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In case your offseason of binge drinking and crack smoking (in case Andy Dick is a reader), a quick reminder the Royals develop pitching well. That bumps up against being a cheap-ass organization and Noah Cameron looks like he’s been ready since 2024. Alas, he’s here now and last year he went 138 1/3 IP of 2.99 ERA pitching. I’d buy that for a dollar, he says while smoking a cigar of rolled-up dollar bills. [realizing he could use one of those rolled-up dollar bills to buy stuff, he stomps out the dollar-bill cigar, takes the burnt money and asks the store clerk, “Can I buy a Zippo lighter with this burnt money? No? O. Henry!”] Cameron’s 7.4 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 are less drool-inducing, but you can’t let the surface-level stuff get you down. Rise up, prematurely balding man, rise up! Not literally, I mean emotionally, you can sit down again. Besides, you shouldn’t stand up while you’re sitting on the toilet doing a number two. See, I know where our readers are! These new analytics are amazing! Also, three of you are named Kenneth. I’d go by Ken, if I were you three. No pressure though. Just saying that Kenneth sounds like a serial killer. I am merely stating opinions! Noah doesn’t sound like a killer though. Unless you’re talking about his slider! Bam! Hashtag still got it! So, what can we expect from Noah Cameron for 2026 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Member three sentences and two half-ass goofs ago when I said his K/9 was a bit yawny? Well, he had a much better strikeout rate in the minors (2024, 128 2/3 IP, 10.4 K/9). By the way, “Three sentences and two half-ass goofs ago,” is the beginning of the Gettysburg Address if I wrote it. Call it the Greysburg Address. Okay, so where’d those Ks come from? Thanks, Expositional Question! His slider is devastating (.205 BAA). Maybe he throws that more (14% of the time in 2025) this year. Then again, he has two better pitches, per his BAA. His curve was thrown 19.3% of the time and it had a .153 BAA. Here’s more:

That’s as a rookie. He’s up there with some of the best curves by starters and relievers. Lowest xOBA by an individual pitch? He was 6th. The top six is ridink. You don’t believe me? Here:

That seems pretty effin’ good. He couldn’t possibly have a third great pitch could he? Ah, geez, here we go again. The changeup: .204 BAA, threw it 18.5% of the time and had a 41.1 Whiff%.

Talking in more general terms? Lowest Barrel%: he was 9th best, right in front of Chris Sale. Highest Whiff%: He was 28th best, right above Framber Valdez. Pitches in a great stadium; has a 41.4 ground ball rate; 30th best BB% at 7.7, a notch better than Hunter Brown; top 40 K-BB%; guys and five girl readers, this guy rocks.

I understand why he’s a sleeper too. Currently, he’s being drafted around 260 overall. That’ll do it! He has a fairly whatever 92 MPH fastball. It sets up his other pitches. Who cares? Don’t get so wrapped up in velocity. He was a rookie last year — have I mentioned he was a rookie? He was a rookie. This is merely the beginning! — and still had a 2.99 ERA. He had exceptional strikeout and walk rates in the minors and could just repeat next year or be even better. There’s a ton to like here. Honestly, he was one of those where I was like, “He had a 2.99 ERA last year as a rookie, so he’s going to be drafted around 120 overall, right?” And was floored it was 140 picks after that. Ks may not be there, but stop chasing Ks. 160-ish innings of great ratios and supplement his Ks with a solid reliever. For 2026, I’ll give Noah Cameron projections of 9-11/3.32/1.12/143 in 157 IP with a chance for more.

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frankgrimes
3 days ago

Can the lockout start this season instead?

frankgrimes
Reply to  frankgrimes
3 days ago

bossmanjunior333
bossmanjunior333
3 days ago

12 team ottoneu points keeper league

Traded $8 Jasson Dominguez for $10 George Springer. Won the league last year and am poised to complete for a title again this year. Good move?

AntiScioscia
AntiScioscia
4 days ago

Our draft date has been set, so you know what that means: keeper questions!

14-team league, $260 auction. We only auction our starters then do a 10-round snake draft for reserves. We start 9 pitchers, 5 OF, 2 Util, there’s CI & MI. All the standard categories are scored, plus there’s a “Doubles+Triples” stat. OBP league.

The only keeper I’m set on is Raleigh at $9.

Choose 3 from…

Gunnar $41

Woo $19 (likely doing this but need to see how he looks in spring after that pec injury ended him)

Pivetta $11

Westburg $10

Stowers $10

Barger $10

Jake the Rake Wilson $5

Always interested in your thoughts if you want to play the game.

VinWins
4 days ago

Let me be the 4th to remind you (on this post anyway) that KC is moving the fences in!!

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  VinWins
4 days ago

What’s up Vinny winny!

AntiScioscia
AntiScioscia
Reply to  VinWins
4 days ago

This is the year he becomes Vinnie PasquanTinoMartinez

The Great Knoche
4 days ago

And you could have had him in NFBC, but you must really love Ramon Laureano

Joed1414
Joed1414
4 days ago

Did you hear they are moving on the fences in KC? MJ Melendez was the king of hitting it to the warning track. He should have lobbied for this years ago. Does this change your take on the royals this year? Are they being slept on? Should we pump the breaks on Cameron?

Last edited 4 days ago by Joed1414
Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
4 days ago

Witt going 7th is a travesty….this is the year if baseball is played.

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
4 days ago

In the dinger he is. I got him 8th in one

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
4 days ago

They push up outfield though because it is 3 INF 3OF and a flex

schoolboy p
schoolboy p
5 days ago

Keeper league. His Chandler Simpson for my Murakami?

packers2018
packers2018
Reply to  schoolboy p
5 days ago

Depends if you need speed.

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  schoolboy p
4 days ago

I am not touching murakami with a 10 foot pole. Joey Gallo is his comp.

Jon
Jon
5 days ago

Looking for some dynasty trade advice:
A) Eovaldi ($23) + Quintero (minor leaguer)
B) Torkelson ($18) + Hagen Smith (minor leaguer)
Which side do you prefer in a vacuum? What if I told you my hitting is pretty pathetic at the moment?

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
5 days ago

Have you talked at all about the Reds and their stolen bases last year under Tito? I might be late to the party on this. I 2024 the Reds were 3rd in MLB with 207 steals. Tito comes in and they go to 105 steals in 2025. Elly went from 67 to 37. Steer from 25 to 7. McClain had 27 in 103 games his last fullish season 18 in 147 games last year. Espinal went from 11 to 2.

When Francona was with the Guardians they did run. They finished 3rd in the league in 21 and 22. I remember him being very pointed in interviews beginning of last season saying the Reds would be careful to run “in the right situations.” But they had and 82% success rate in ’24. Whole thing is wierd.

NJW
NJW
5 days ago

Love the Cameron sleeper!

Quick side question – in a dynasty league I’m being asked if I would trade Chase Burns straight up for Wyatt Langford. Would you pull the trigger on that?

Feels like a buy low on a guy once regarded as a can’t miss stud, and I usually favor bats over arms, but I do really like what I see from Burns.

Will (the other one)
Will (the other one)
5 days ago

Arenado to the DBacks. They only have to pay him 5 million this year and 6 million next year. Gave up a somewhat projectable young pitcher.

Will (the other one)
Will (the other one)
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

That about sums it up

Sport
Sport
5 days ago

Grey the White!

The Royals are moving their fences in 10 ft at Kaufman. Will have to make some adjustments on projections? I’m starting Patreon account this afternoon to start making my cheat sheets.

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Perfect. Thank you for the feedback.

ashtray
ashtray
5 days ago

Gotta redo all the Royals analysis. They’re moving in the fences!

Arnold
Arnold
5 days ago

Zebby Matthews or Tyler Wells?

Arnold
Arnold
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Thanks, love the Noah Cameron sleeper post. I knew he was good despite what the pundits said and was planning to keep him, but you brought real data to back it up that has me a little more excited.

titan
titan
5 days ago

is patreon down? haven’t seen a Grey post since 12/29?

titan
titan
Reply to  titan
5 days ago

Grey u can’t possibly enjoy spending more time with the in laws over holidays than us!

titan
titan
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Can’t wait. Hope you enjoyed some family time.

This ain't no disco
This ain't no disco
6 days ago

Nfbc keeper league – 15 teams
Keep 5
Keeping gilbert in the 19th
Who else

Goodman – 18
Baldwin – 20
Barger – 20
Soderstrom – 15
N. Marte – 22
Grisham 20
Ray – 25
Z. Matthews – 24
Cabrera – 28

This ain't no disco
This ain't no disco
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Thanks for the input

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
6 days ago

The “chance for more” for sure includes innings upside. He averaged 5.75 innings per start. Wacha made 33 starts for the Royals last year. Give Cam 33 starts at his IP/GS that’s 189 IPs. He’s a 6’3″ 220 pound soft tosser which sounds like an old fashioned work horse. It would be a big innings jump but he’ll be 27 this year. Seems plausible. You have him at 8.2 K’s per 9. Give him those innings and that’s a tasty 172 k’s. 172 was good enough to be top 25 in k’s last year.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

i had him in draft chimps er champs last year.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

I tried to have good pitching for so long but my womb was a rocky place where pitching seed could find no purchase. so i had to adopt.

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
3 days ago

Careful he might get octopitchlets usually you end up with more than you bargained for with IVF

Last edited 3 days ago by Joed1414
Joed1414
Joed1414
6 days ago

It’s Dinger Season. Started drafting yesterday. Come play against me

Last edited 6 days ago by Joed1414
Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Bestball tournament on Under dog. 15 to get in 200k first prize.

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Trying to get some early values

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
5 days ago

Cameron going in last round haha

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
3 days ago

Jose Ramirez at the turn sometimes

Nick
Nick
6 days ago

Hi Grey
welcome back for a new season :)

here is my dynasty young rooster :
un-movables
SP1 Hunter Brown
SP2 Logan Webb
Breakout & sleepers
SP3 Eury Perez
SP4 Noah Cameron
SP5 Ed Cabrera
SP6 Cade Horton
Prove-me-more
Kris Bubic (hurt?)
Luis Gil (rebound?) tradeable?

i can get from waivers :
Shane Smith
Logan henderson
David Peterson

still thinking about my RPs :
Saviour
RP1 Johan Duran
Hold-uppers
RP2 Griffin Jax : hopefully 9th inning guy in TB
RP3 Jeremiah Estrada : for Ks
Set*up
RP4 Edwin Uceta –> set-up man for Jax?
RP5 Jose Ferrer –> will he close? else i can get Helsley from waivers!

Last one : Kyle Stowers or Jo Adell ?