We all have certain prospects we’re partial to. Players that for whatever reason strike your fancy, and you’ll forever view them through rose colored glasses. For example I think Peter Gammons is still hyping up Matt Murton. Grey wrote like 7 sleeper posts about Jedd Gyorko. Former prospector Mike legally changed his name to Maikel Franco. I on the other hand trekked down to Pawtucket, RI on consecutive days in April to watch Nick Williams first hand. Did I like what I saw? Was I impressed? Click that button, find out.

No…. He looked like he was pressing, and really seemed to have no idea what pitch selection was. When he did make contact, he hit the ball hard. From then on I soured on Williams quite a bit. I wondered if maybe his aggressive approach at the plate was crossing into overly-aggressive territory, and therefore becoming a major deterrent. He sort of toiled along from there until mid-late May. Then almost as if a switch went off, Williams honed in, and started raking. Now two weeks into the Nick Williams Renaissance, and he’s slashing .362/.423/.638 with 3 homers and 2 steals. The sample size is small, so take of it what you will, but his walks are up to a respectable level (7%+). On the other hand his K% over that time is around 30%. I can deal with increased strikeouts if it means more walks and an improved OBP.

With the current Philadelphia outfield ranking dead last in runs, RBI’s, and wOBA, I don’t see why Williams should spend anymore than another few days/weeks in AAA. Is Cody Asche really a better option? Long and the short, I wouldn’t start stashing him in 12 team re-drafts yet, but if I was in a 16+ with A) A lot of bench spots B) Minors/NA spots. I’d stash him and see what happens. Obviously he should already be owned in any dynasty league with 10+ minors spots and 10+ teams. I wouldn’t expect the second coming of Nomar Mazara, but you can expect maybe a .270 average, with double digit homers and a handful of steals.

Updates

David Paulino, RHP AA Corpus Christi (Astros): The giant righty has been baffling AA with big numbers (1.80 era, 1.00 whip, 10.2 k/9, 1.8 Bb/9) and the peripherals to back it up (2.12 FIP, .298 Babip, .40 HR/9, 79% LOB). No reason he can’t see AAA or the majors this season. (Check the Rime) Definitely a pitcher to keep an eye on.

Andrew Stevenson, OF A+ Potomac (Nationals): College teammate of super prospect Alex Bregman, and 2015 second round pick is proving to be a force on the basepaths this season swiping 21 bags. He’s never going to be a power threat, but could be a solid base stealing leadoff type.

Austin Meadows, OF AA Altoona (Pirates): After getting hurt in spring training, and then starting the season like a pile of donkey feces. Meadows has been en fuego for a few weeks now and has raised his average to .298. He only has a single homer, but does have 8 steals, and is in the midst of a 12 game hitting streak. Any concerns about his early strugglers should be old news.

Austin Pruitt, RHP AAA Durham (Rays): Maybe it’s time I start giving Pruitt his due. He’s not the most exciting prospect, but he’s consistent. The numbers are good 2.48 ERA, 8.76 k/9, 1.46 Bb/9, and he’s allowed less than 2 earned runs in 9 of his 11 starts. The control has always been there, the strikeouts are new. He’s worth an add in a deeper league. Wouldn’t be surprised if he’s called up for some spot starts.

Manuel Margot, OF AAA El Paso (Padres): The centerpiece of the Friars return for Craig Kimbrel this offseason, is another highly touted prospect on a hot streak after struggling to start the season. It’s easy to forget just how young Margot is, he’s actually the youngest player in the PCL. I wouldn’t be shocked if we see Margot at some point in the next two months.

Blake Snell, LHP AAA Durham (Rays): Here’s the first and only Super Two blurb. When’s he coming up Rays? What are you waiting for?

Willson Contreras, AAA Iowa (Cubs): With neither Miguel Montero nor David Ross setting the world on fire, I could see Contreras up sooner, rather than later, if only to see what he can do for a handful of games before sending him back down. Contreras has been scorching this season ranking among the leaders in the minors in batting average, OBP, RBI’s, and OPS. He’s also added the power stroke (9 homers, had 12 all of 2015).

Sam Travis, 1B AAA Pawtucket (Red Sox): ligament snapped
Too soon! Too soon! Too soon! Damn!
Season’s over now

Franklin Barreto, SS AA Midland (Athletics): Yet another top prospect starting to overcome a rocky start. Though Barreto’s might be a little rockier than the rest. Hit an inside the park homer on Friday night, and showed some of the off the charts tools that make him a fantasy prospect favorite. He’s still only 20 at AA, so unless he really heats up, I’d expect him to stick at this level for a majority of the season.

Yandy Diaz, 3B AAA Toledo (Indians): Diaz is sort of an unexciting player overall, and certainly shouldn’t be on any 12 team radars at the moment. On the other hand if you’re a deeper leaguer he should be someone you look to add as the type of player you can shuttle between the minors and majors once he gets the call. Has good approach and on base skills, looks like a potential .280ish hitter with a little pop and a little speed.

Tyler Beede, RHP AA Richmond (Giants): After having a rough go of it during his first run at AA last year, Beede is writing a different story this season. It features a talking dragon, and improved walk rates. His k rate is still garbage, but he could be a nice ratio boost once he makes his way into the Giants rotation.

Andrew Benintendi, OF AA Portland (Red Sox): Let’s not talk about the struggles. Let’s not. I won’t lie, I’m a little worried about the power.

Chance Sisco, C AA Bowie (Orioles): One of the top catching prospects in the minors, Sisco has been putting up a .300 average and a .400 OBP, but he still lacks power. I’d temper my expectations as a fantasy owner.

Willie Calhoun, 2B AA Tulsa (Dodgers): A quick update on everyone’s favorite sleeper prospect from last June’s draft. He’s started to heat up the last two weeks, as he’s more than doubled his home run total. Over the last 14 games Calhoun has slashed .340/.431/.660 with 4 homers, 10 runs, and 12 RBI’s. Most impressive is Calhoun’s Bb% (13.8%) is a full point higher than his K% (12.1%), and he’s a power hitter! Calhoun’s stock should continue to climb as a power hitting second baseman who has the ceiling of OPS league superstar.

Paul DeJong, 3B AA Springfield (Cardinals): The other hitter not named Harrison Bader to keep an eye on in the Springfield lineup. He’s your classic power hitting corner infielder, big power, contact issues, and a solid amount of walks. Another 2015 draft pick from what could be an excellent class for the redbirds.

Beau Burrows, RHP A West Michigan (Tigers): The Tigers decision to take a Prep arm in the first round of the 2015 draft is proving a sage move so far. Burrows has been rock solid at Class A West Michigan, providing sterling ratios and displaying elite control. He’s a ways a way from the show, but worth a stash or trade inquiry in leagues where 200+ specs are owned.

 

Bush League Non-sequiturs

  • There’s an interesting situation brewing in the Astros 1st base soap opera. First we had the emergence of Tyler White, then he started to suck. Then we had the early struggles of A.J. Reed, a DL stint, and now the emergence of A.J. All the while, forgotten man Jon Singleton has been slugging homers in AAA. The average is still awful, but he can take a walk, and the power is very real. The Astros also have that pesky contract they gave him to account for. I wonder if he surfaces before Reed.
  • One of the biggest risers leading up to the 2016 MLB draft is Boston College’s Justin Dunn. The righty’s stock has jumped significantly in recent weeks, and the hot rumor is he’s not making it past the Mariners at 11.
  • Can Peter O’brien and Dan Vogelbach be traded to AL teams without DH’s? I’m sick of these two potentially useable fantasy players rotting on the vine.
  • Detroit prospect Christin Stewart is leading the minors in homers right now with 16. It will be interesting to see what Stewart does once promoted to AA. His batting average is low (.254), but his OBP is high, thanks to a 16% Bb rate. He’s been a bit unlucky too, as his ISO (.296) is higher than his Babip (.273)

 

Follow me on Twitter @ralphlifshitzbb

  1. Nation says:
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    pondering a trade in a 16 tm dynasty league

    send

    dahl, reyes, and a first rounder

    receive

    buxton

    im hesitant to move off a 1st rounder(where you get a buxton type). I have a ton of 2b/ss dept (traded for gordon when he got suspended, have Russell, Story, Rodgers, barreto, mondessi).My initial thought is to move mondessi or Barreto (higher rated prospects than Dahl) and try to give a 2nd rounder where more “win now” types are available. Plan is to tank for this year having a window of 2018 and beyond. Obviously getting buxton would be a huge coup, but this draft class could be a weak one, and first round picks aren’t valued highly by the league(where I view them as highly valuable). My hope was to build last year and this to acquire talent and then move around. Whats your thoughts? If i could do reyes/barreto/2nd rd id be more than happy to move that as opposed to the aforementioned deal with the first rounder. Thoughts?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nation: I’d want to dump Momdesi over Dahl. Fantasy wise I’d rank Dahl ahead of Mondesi, probably Barreto too. I’d tell you to hold. Though the draft class is thinner, the international crop is great. So don’t de value the picks. I think you should hold personally.

  2. One Man Crusade says:
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    As always, good stuff. What are your thoughts on when Bregman gets the call? 3b is an equal disaster for Houston as much as 1b and there is still a lot of baseball left to be played.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @One Man Crusade: I still think it’s late July the earliest. Valbuena has started to hit of late.

  3. EazyE says:
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    Thorough job as usual, Ralph.
    Any thoughts on Newcomb coming up?

    Also, Manaea has seemed to turn things around. Worth a pick-up in 12 team h2h points keeper league?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @EazyE: Big Newcomb fan, I actually know his family. He’s been excellent his last few starts. I would imagine he’s sees the rotation at some point this year, but the Braves have the luxury of taking it slow. So I wouldn’t expect a callup and extended stay anytime in the next month.

      • EazyE says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: you know his family? That’s gotta be cool. Tell him, he’s got a friend in EazyE

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @EazyE: Yeah I played legion ball and was in a band with his older cousin. He’s from Middleborough, MA. I grew up in the next town over, and most of my teammates on my high school baseball team were from Middleborough.

      • Scott says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: tell him this Braves fan is looking forward to his debut

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Scott: Will do!

  4. Yescheese says:
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    Kudos on this diverse list for fantasy value. Don’t see a lot of these names (Paul DeJong!) on the “other” blogs. Andrew Benintndi hype machine RIP. Great work Ralph

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Yescheese: The hype machine is not dead! It’s not dead!!!

      Thanks Cheese! I was waiting for the “Hey I like that Stevenson kid”. One of your better pickups in the nasty.

  5. Chud says:
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    Ralph,

    I feel the love on Nicky Nick! As a Phillies fan n owner of him I’m pumped to see him get the call up to the bigs.

    What r your thoughts on Bradley Zimmmer? Great counting stats but his average is not where it should be…..

    Also, what r the Dodgers doing w/ De Leon? Is he actually injured or r they saving his arm to use him later in the year?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chud: I like Zimmer a lot the upside is massive. He does have some contact issues. This is obviously a product of the 30% k rate. Outside of the average everything else is great. There’s power, speed, and a delicious 14.8% Bb rate. I can ignore the batting average of he keeps getting on base at a .370 clip. Particularly with his wheels.

      • Chud says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: that’s what I like to hear about Zimmer!

        What about the De Leon question?

        Thanks!

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chud: De Leon’s shoulder is balky. I don’t think they’re playing on that.

  6. Bogaerts Turner Overdrive says:
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    Ralph,

    What are your thoughts on Brewers lefty Josh Hader? Crew rotation is struggling mightily. Who do you think from their farm makes it up first, or should make it up first?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Bogaerts Turner Overdrive: I think he’s up before Lopez at this point, Hader had been a monster since the trade out of the Houston system. A lefty with power stuff, sign me up. He’s squarely in the top 10 minor league pitcher conversation. His numbers are dumb this season.

  7. Tedy says:
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    Can you rank these guys in a dynasty for long term production? Swanson. Arica. Bregman. Rogers. Robles. Bennintendi. Hader.

    Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tedy: Rodgers, Bregman, Benintendi, Robles, Hader, Swanson, Arcia

      • Alex says:
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        Guesses on ETA of these players ?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Alex:
          Bregman, Arcia, Hader 2016
          Benintendi and Swanson 2017
          Rodgers and Robles late 2018-2019

  8. James T Kirk says:
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    Love Willie Calhoun’s bat, but the scouting reports on his defense have been less thain impressive. Sounds like unless he improves defensively he won’t be much more than a utility player. Or at best he would be pulled early for a defensive replacement.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @James T Kirk: It’s still early in his defense he might be able to make it passable. At worst they move him to left or he gets moved to an AL team.

  9. The Greatest says:
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    Is it just me or is this minor league season very unimpressive in terms of potential? Giolito has stumbled. Benitendi has stumbles in AA. Crawford is very unspectacular. Outside of Mocada, I don’t see anyone turning into a superstar type player. Please tell me I am wrong!!!!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The Greatest: I know his first two starts haven’t been good but how about Urias? Taillon and Glasnow have been great, Bregman has been going nuts, Arcia has looked good, Hader is a beast, Harrison Bader is doing his thing. There’s a lot of positive, it’s just not Bryant, Correa, Schwarber, Lindor, etc good.

  10. Ryan says:
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    What can you tell me about Willy Adames. Been looking to get a rookie shortstop and I was shocked at how good his numbers were in AA. Also shocked that he is just 20 and still available! What am I missing about this kid…

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Ryan: Nothing he’s a very good prospect and has really hit his stride. One of the big risers of this season. I plan on doing an depth write up of him in the next week or two. Wednesday’s post is probably going to be a pre-draft thing.

  11. Jbona3 says:
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    Ralph, great as always…2 things:
    –what’s your eta on Dahl this year? I need to infuse my of with some young talent and I’m eyeing him and Margot.
    –if you get the chance, head to Trillium in canton – they’re selling Artaic, the best double IPA I’ve ever had.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jbona3: Still think Dahl is August at earliest, but more likely Septmeber roster expansion callup.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: And yes I need to get over there!!

      • Jbona3 says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: What are the odds the Rox move an outfielder at or before the deadline, and would Dahl be the candidate to fill that spot?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Jbona3: I think Patterson would be up first.

  12. @WorldOfBrant says:
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    Any update on Daz? I haven’t heard much from him this year and wondering what his status was? What about Acevedo as well? I read about him a few weeks ago and haven’t heard much since. Is he worth holding in my dynasty?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @@WorldOfBrant: Daz had been struggling at class A Quad City, and was sent to extended spring training.

      Acevedo has been pitching well in low class A and is worth a stash in the right format (100-150+ MiLB players owned)

  13. ReleasetheMcKracken says:
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    Which side do you prefer in this one: Jackey Bradley Jr or Aaron Nola?

  14. Uno Mas Cerveza says:
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    Good stuff sir. So is J P Crawford a possibility for the Phillies in the next 30 days or are we further away?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Uno Mas Cerveza: I think we’re further away but I could be wrong. He’s close.

  15. Ryan says:
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    What can you tell me about Willy Adames. Been looking to get a rookie shortstop and I was shocked at how good his numbers were in AA. Also shocked that he is just 20 and still available! What am I missing about this kid…

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Ryan: Sure he’s a big riser this year, always been a talented player and looks to be breaking out. I plan on doing an in depth write up about him in the next few weeks. This Wednesday will probably be a draft preview so after that.

      • Let us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: nice, two answers for 2 identical questions about 4 apart. making us think we got memento man disease or are much drunker than we are. good stuff.

  16. Mike says:
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    Would you drop Judge or Williams for a guy like Meadows (crowded of), David Dahl, or Margot? I have the first two on my roster and guys like Rodgers, Robles, and Espinoza are available also but I’m trying to compete next year. Very confused on what to do.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike: Hmmm, I wouldn’t pass on Espinoza or Rodgers.

      • Mike says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I’ve got Bregman, Anderson, Swanson, and Moncada though. Pitching i own Snell, Reyes, Giolito, Ed Rod, Gausman, Thor, Tailion, Severino, Bradley and Street. Obviously my team is toast this year but think next year most of them are starting except Moncada and Swanson. Stash more talent and go for 2018? Probably flush another 50 down the shitter.

        • Yescheese says:
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          @Mike: is there anybody else in your league? Like any other humans I mean?

          Aka that’s an absurd minors roster, and minors waiver wire.

          • Mike says:
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            @Yescheese: I’ve got less than 7 starters (26) roster and unlimited minors 13 team dynasty. I’m in dead last but I’ve been rebuilding for 3 years. So I’ve paid the price to get stacked with minor league guys.

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Yescheese: Ha! Right?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Mike: I don’t see the other options being anymore immediate help than the guys you have. Do you have the ability to trade top 25 prospect talent for MLB pieces? Because Espinoza and Rodgers are top 25 guys.

          • Mike says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: So basically you’re just saying might as well still go after best talent and replace a guy like Judge or Severino. We only draft live 3 times each year so I’m always looking for ways to improve. And lucky me I’ve picked 1st or 2nd last 8 drafts and well on my way again.

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Mike: I’m saying you should do a better job of leveraging your farm depth and acquiring better win now players. I think Judge’s reputation of two years ago has a lot of people reluctant to sell him. He hasn’t been good since being promoted to AAA nearly a year ago.

              Williams on the other hand is getting things going, and I think he has an immediate route to big league playing time. As for Espinoza and Rodgers those guys should be owned in any league with minors IMO. If those guys are available I imagine players that could come up sooner who have less prospect status would be available to grab as needed.

              • Mike says:
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                @Ralph Lifshitz: Trust me Ralph if more were willing to trade I’d try that option but it’s one of those leagues where everyone thinks their players are untouchable unless they’re getting the better end of the deal. I also bought into a squad full of turds when I started so it’s been a long process. Thanks for your help though and comments.

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @Mike: Seems odd that you can’t move any of those guys.

                  • Mike says:
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                    @Ralph Lifshitz: Most are filling in starting positions. Bregman is at utility spot right now and Anderson at my SS spot for example. And since it’s not a weekly pickup league it’s hard to let go/move guys unless you trade. Yes half of my league is asleep.

  17. Tom says:
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    What’s your take on Willie Adams? I have seen his name a few times on some lists, but don’t know much about him. 20 year old shortstop, in AA, and mashing. Surprised I haven’t read more about him….

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tom: Haha answered twice above!

      • Let us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: now you got me thinking you yourself didn’t realize when you answered it the 2nd time you already had. this is great.

  18. Chucky says:
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    Cant wait to read your weekly article on the kids. 12T Dynasty forever. Have a wealth of MI INF gold but someone’s gotta go. Lindor, Villar, Murphy, Travis, Baez, Bregman, Profar and Moncada. I know a trade is the obvious but sometimes harder to do, with the league knowing someone’s gotta go. Who gets cut?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chucky: Murphy.

      • Chucky says:
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        LOL the same Daniel .400 Murphy?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chucky: Oops! For some reason with the names listed I thought it was Tom Murphy (No idea why). Drop Baez

  19. Dan says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    Should I grab and stash Alex Reyes in a 12 team H2H redraft league? My offense is pretty crowded so I would have to drop either Odubel Herrera or Billy Burns to get him.

    Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dan: Yeah drop Burns if you have enough speed that it won’t kill your SB totals

  20. Mike says:
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    @yescheese There are a few in my league who have been awful since it started (01) but I’ve only been in since 2013. I’m still not sure if they know we can own someone before they’re called up.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike: Ha!

  21. ferris says:
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    If your theory holds, Singleton would instantly become history’s greatest villain, narrowly edging out Stalin while still comfortably trailing Hitler. Yes, I am invested.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @ferris: Ha!

  22. Mike says:
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    I think the Yankees should try and acquire Singleton somehow. Still think he’s a monster that just needs a fine tuneup.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike: Yes! Or the Blue Jays! My assumption is someone takes a chance on him and he breaks out.

  23. Landisimo3 says:
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    Great write up as always Ralph!

    12 team dynasty… Roto..
    Ryan McMahon was just dropped… Is he worth adding to my farm for any of the following ? Thank you in advance…

    Crawford
    Maitan
    Lazarito
    Tapia
    Meadows
    Bell
    Albies
    Peraza
    Hayes
    Hoffman

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Landisimo3: Yeah dump Hayes and add him. McMahon is closer so why not.

  24. B the Esq. says:
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    Hey Ralph, Great write up!

    what is the outlook for Reyes and Taillon this year and moving forward? Any thoughts on how quickly the Cards and Buccos are moving them along? A little surprised Taillon isnt up. How quickly does Reyes get the call, and is the 50 game suspension a blessing in disguise so he can be in the rotation the rest of the season when he is up?

    Thanks

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @B the Esq.: I think Taillon could be up within a few weeks. They may have a July 1st date or something. With his injury history there are obviously concerns beyond his super two date.

      Reyes can be up whenever they want, the kids got the goods. I do think the 50 game suspension could be a blessing in disguise when it comes to his innings limit this year.

      • B the Esq. says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: good info, thanks!

        How would you rank Taillon, Reyes, Urias and Eduardo Rodriguez (I know not technically a prospect) for this year and moving forward as late round keepers?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @B the Esq.: This year, Ed-Rod, then the other three are probably Urias, Reyes, Taillon. It’s close. Going forward its Urias, Reyes, Ed-Rod, Taillon.

  25. PancakeMaker says:
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    Eduardo Nunez, is he actually this good or is he just getting lucky these first couple months? Worth trading for in 16 team dynasty?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @PancakeMaker: Depends what you give up, I wouldn’t pay a lot for him, and wouldn’t have much expectation beyond this year, but could be worth a good gamble.

  26. luvdarooks says:
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    thinking of trading giishuk ( he is cheap and a keeper for next year) and Godley for chen and N Williams—- Need a starter badly and if williams comes up from your article hitting seems a wash.

    make the offer??

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @luvdarooks: Yes I like that offer, make it!

  27. J-FOH says:
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    Good range of stuff today. You know how much I like Mr calhoun. I still believe he’s on the fast trackish. Bringing back Utley and Howie points to that being their plan. Heard the talk on him and he has time to work on the “defense” like one commenter pointed out. But really, how many times do we hear about glove issues. Hell go search first basemen defensive war and see how many positively grade out. It’s a sad state. If you can hit you got a job.

    My one take away here is how many comments are about what they have read. What happened to studying the numbers beyond what fan graphs puts out there. There are some solid sites that can help paint a larger picture that can help them come up with their own conclusions. Teach them to fish ralph.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @J-FOH: Yeah, I think guys can work out defensive issues too, it would be a bigger deal at short or 3rd than it is at second. He’s still just a year into his pro career and has shown he can hit for power and take a walk, while also avoiding strikeouts. There aren’t many players coming into pro-ball with that sort of advanced approach.

      Ha! Yeah, too many scouting report reliant evalus and beliefs. I check MLBfarm.com for advanced stats, I do a lot of study on Fangraphs in the game log department, to manipulate sample size. This is really helpful in a case like Aaron Judge where you can look at the larger sample and see why he’s still in AAA. I also use the MILB app to follow players and teams almost daily. It’s a labor or love.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I love mlbfarm. I have my checklists I go down and love that they have numbers vs top prospects. I was looking at a player the other day because he had a decent amount of dongs but when I looked at the spray chart and batted ball profile I was shocked/laughing to see that his estimated (I didn’t do the math) hr/fb was insanely high. Coupled with a 50% + gb% made me do a whaaaaaaat. Yes even minor leaguers get lucky with the long ball.

        I also want to point out that I don’t like the handling of Ooooorreuz. He got a little unlucky/bad strikezone vs the mets. The ump was awful that game to both sides and even the mets radio guys did a wtf. thought they should of waited on bringing him back up. Sending the kid up and down so quickly was a bad move.

        Maybe it’s me but I’m intrigued by the mlb draft this year. Feels like the year of the outfielder. I might also be hiased because I own two of the top outfielders in Lewis and ray. But I see reed fell in the projected drafts but cheeses high school 3rd baseman nolan Jones is rising. Me aaaaaaand nolan jones….nolan jones, we got a thing going on.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @J-FOH: Yeah it’s the year of outfielders and prep arms. It’s because there’s a lack of college arms that project to be front of the rotation type talents. It’s one of the reasons Dunn, a converted closer is now shooting up draft boards. These teams are searching for safety in the waters of prep arms.

          On Urias, he needs a home start. He’s faced the Cubs and Wrigley and the Mets in New York. Can we get him a home start or at least a matchup with the Braves?

        • Yescheese says:
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          @J-FOH: to be fair I think we share equal credit on Kyle Lewis. You know it’s a good pick when Tom Trudeau pans you.

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Yescheese: we traded for kyle lewis. Nolan jones was all you

        • Let us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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          @J-FOH: ozuna (at least before this year down in the 43’s now) rocked a 48% GB rate and nearly nobody ho hummed him round here.

  28. regan says:
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    Keeper league with 10 man minor league bench. I picked up Sam Travis this year but with the ACL tear wondering if i should pick someone else up like Willie Calhoun who is available. Where does he rank on a top 100 list abouts? Not really familiar with him. Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @regan: Yeah go grab Calhoun. He’s probably in the back end of the top 100. Somewhere in the 70-85 range. I haven’t finished my mid-season yet.

  29. Beastman says:
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    A Middleborough man huh? I’m a native of Brockton who wisely fled and now calls NYC home.

    What’s the word on Taylor Jungmann? Holding on to him in a deep 16 team keeper league but his numbers in the minors are somehow worse than what he did this season in the bigs. There hope of a call up anytime soon, or is he simply a September guy?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Beastman: Nah, I’m from Taunton, went to a private school where half the baseball team was from that Middleborough team that made Williamsport.

      As for Jungmann he’s not that good. A lot of his performance in 2015 was lucky. I’d move on.

  30. Roll of SAGNOF, Hear my Cry says:
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    Good stuff as always.

    Thoughts on Kyle Zimmer? Is he relevant or worth keeping around in AL-only leagues?

    He just got placed on the 7-day DL with shoulder fatigue.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Roll of SAGNOF, Hear my Cry: I feel like at this point his shoulder is made of metal and rubber bands. He’s just damaged goods.

  31. Happyharry says:
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    Nice write up. 12 team,H2H,6×6. What to do with Fielder ROS ? Keep or drop for either Lamb or Valencia.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Happyharry: drop for Lamb

  32. Chris says:
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    Hey Ralph,
    I’m in a 14 team league h2h 5×5 roto,
    Tough call with my staff I’m facing a good one. I’m leaning using all 3 three closer to give me a good chance at saves, era and whip are going to be tough along with K’s doesn’t mean I can’t win all 3. I’m thinking. If I go all 3 I need to sit 2. Who you sitting? That would give me 8 starts to his 9, most likely.
    This is my staff:
    Carrasco @ Sea and @LAA
    Matz @ Pit and @ Mil
    Gio @ CHW
    Rodon vs Was
    [email protected] Min
    Corbin @ Mia
    Ray @ TB @ Mia
    Corbin Vs Mia
    RP-Krod
    RP-Street
    RP-Dyson
    Staff I’m facing
    Fernandez @ Ari
    Garcia @ Cin
    Happ vs Balt @ Det
    Lewis vs Hou and @ Sea
    Price @ SF
    Sale Vs KC
    Valezquez Vs Chc
    RP-Chapman
    RP-Rodney
    (currently this is what he has in)
    Sonny Gray @ Cin
    Bolsinger Vs Col and @ SF (Obviously could go these guys)

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chris: If I understand correctly I’m sitting Corbin and Gio.

  33. B-Mac says:
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    I need to grab 1 ML Bat and 1 Arm

    For bats I’m stuck on Fisher, Calhoun, Hayes and Adames. Arms it’s between Paulino, Bickford and Junior Fernandez.

    Suggestions?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @B-Mac: Paulino for arms, and hitters I’m torn between Fisher and Adames. I guess you go Adames because he’s a SS.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Rendell Locke: Handsome Fella!

      • Rendell Locke says:
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        what are your thoughts on Willy Adames?

        • Montezuma's Revenge...right now says:
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          @Rendell Locke: look up, you’ll find at least 3 other same answers.

  34. operationalex says:
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    You don’t think adding Paredes could be an indication that they’re not ready for Williams?

  35. Bobbo says:
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    12 team 5×5 h2h
    Who comes up first and who’s the better stash in your opinion, snell it Glasnow?

    Also, when do you see these guys called up and who has more value this season when they come up, Reed or Turner?

    Thanks!

  36. Josh-NYC says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    Position eligibility aside, who do you see making the bigger impact this year?

    Bregman or AJ Reed?

    Also what are you thinking of their call up dates? I know Bergman is double A but there’s word he gets the call up and skips Triple A

    Thanks

  37. highmindedness says:
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    Hi Ralph,

    Perfectly timed article. Just thinking of ways to improve my lot in fantasy life and stash tomorrows superstars today.

    Would you consider offering B. Zimmer for Williams, or is that just crazy talk? It appears that Zimmer has the higher upside, but that skyrocketing K rate is making me a little nervous. Still walks a ton though.

    Also thinking of offering Zimmer for Mateo. Seems like a great time to buy a bit low (20 SB and 9 CS). Any thoughts?

  38. Let us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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    i felt it when upton homered (really it was just that he had enough effort to steal in previous at bat and when i saw the score went up 2 more i knew the 3 guys around him in lineup were up, so not really clairvoyance here, but since he had only 1 homer all year kinda), him AND heyward being useful in the same day! 12 teamer h2h with OBP over AVG, total bases and hits added. losses added for pitchers. wow, upton just hit again.

    C hundley
    1B rizzo
    2B walker
    SS villar
    3B frazier
    OF (3) mookie, heyward, hanram
    util (2) ortiz, duvall
    BN upton, segura, turner
    DL leonys, swihart (likely don’t need him when he comes back, holt will probably be back by then, but catchers get hurt all the time, and have DL room for now)
    SP carrasco/salazar/duffy/smyly/shoemaker/chen/wisler/nola/walker/gausman/porcello
    RP dyson/casilla/allen/osuna
    NA reyes
    with the utter travesty that is the WAS management with turner (3/4 and a BB and can’t get a 2nd day of at bats eh, that espinosa D better really be as good as alien simmons over there) am i better off holding turner in active slot or dropping him and holding alex reyes? my pitching hasn’t been that good for a while. only 1 NA slot

    2. also, with that lineup trade n.walker for shark? an owner was looking for a power hitting MI. other things from that opp’s roster that are worth trading for would be k.davis/cargo 1/harper/cespedes but i doubt he moves me most of those for n.walker

    • Let us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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      @Let us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves: this is for redraft league, as for possibly dropping turner, i’d never do that in a deep enough keeper/dynasty.

  39. Nation says:
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    Appreciate hte advice earlier, propsed something with either of the two SS prospects/reyes/ and a protected first rd pick (i seem to be one of the few in the league that values those) and talks have stalled a bit. We’ll see where that goes.

    Going through the roster again one of the biggest needs we have is at 1b, but while in rebuild mode ive been focusing mostly on acquiring assets and piecing everything together once the window has arrived (shooting for 2018, a hard sale to the comanager in a money league). In that vein, what is someone like tommy joseph worth? 16 team league, but a “short side” platoon guy like Tommy Joseph (he’ll likely start eating even more into howards PT going forward i imagine) who isn’t a heralded prospect is unlikely to get any return despite his age. What do you do with these guys? Its hard to justify “juicing the orange” when your strategy is to actively tank to secure a higher draft spot and theres little to no trade value. Same goes for other platoon (strong side) guys like Lind or aging players like Melvin Upton? If teams aren’t looking at platoon bats or guys playing as an OF3/4, what do you do to maximize your waiver pickups and moving those for assets? Do you move those guys for fringy prospects or try and package, say, a 4th rd pick and Upton(or Lind) for a 3rd rd pick?

    Btw, appreciate all the help! As someone whos followed baseball as fervently as I have for so many years, the foray into a dynasty league is equal parts awesome and frustrating in a league with half sharks and people who dont share the same player valuations (classic endowment effect!)?

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