A quick preamble about the 2012 fantasy rookie series that is coming all this month.  Rookies are picked through MLB eligibility requirements, less than 130 ABs or 50 IP.  That means no Brett Lawrie, no Lonnie Chisenhall, no Mike Moustakas.  Last November I said, he is the best prospect currently in the game with under 130 ABs.  Only that “he” wasn’t Mike Trout last year, it was Desmond Jennings.  With DJ off the ones and twos for top fantasy baseball prospects because of eligibility requirements, we have Mike Trout.  He’s currently ranked number two on Stephen’s top 50 fantasy baseball prospect list.  He’s ranked number one for me.  Numero uno.  The Big Mahoff.  He’s the big Statue of Liberty in New York, not that girly one in Paris!  (Or that weird one in Israel that overlooks a goat farm.)  Last year in Double-A, Trout had 11 homers, 33 steals and a .326 average in 91 games.  Combine that with his major league ABs and he had 16 homers and 37 steals in 131 games.  In 2010 in the minors, he had 10 homers and 56 steals between different levels of A ball.  A ball, indeed.  As in what he had in the minors.  You may have noticed I didn’t mention his Triple-A stats.  That’s cause he didn’t have any.  The Angels skipped him right past Triple-A.  Bee tee dubya, Trout’s not legal to drink, i.e., he’s twenty years old, i before e except in Teixeira, there’s room to grow.  So what can we expect for Mike Trout in 2012 fantasy baseball?

He’s never had an OBP lower than .388 at any stop in the minor leagues, so I don’t think the bottom is going to fall out on that in 2012.  If he’s getting on base, he’ll be stealing bases and scoring runs, whether he’s slotted leadoff or ninth.  Is he much more than SAGNOF?  Yes and no.  He can be more than SAGNOF for 2012, but, worst comes to worst (or wurst comes to wurst, if you’re German) he’s going to steal bases.  There’s the possibility of him getting 5-8 homers and he has the power for 12.  In mixed leagues, Trout will be worth drafting late as your fifth outfielder if he has a starting job.  NOOOOOO!!!  WHAT DO YOU MEAN IF?  Sorry, Al Caps, the Los Angeles Angels That Aren’t In Los Angeles County have a crowded outfield.  If the Sciosciapath somehow figures out a way to get Abreu, Hunter or Wells out of the lineup or if there’s a serendipitous injury to one of the 2005 All-Stars, then Trout will start.  In 2012, I expect a line of 55/7/30/.270/20 in 300 ABs, that’s worth a 5th outfielder flyer in redraft leagues because of his upside.  You should go after him so hard in keepers that you dance your panties off.

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Loic
10 years ago

Dear Grey,

Sorry for commenting on such an old post, but I have a little question about the Rookie eligibility. Wikipedia reads that a player should have indeed 130 at bats but before September 1. In the Lawrie’s case, he had only 89 AB in august and then 61 in September, so logically he is eligible for 2012’s ROY, no ?

I would really be grateful if you could answer me, as I’m working on ROY projections for 2012. Thank you very much !

chata
chata
10 years ago

melky traded to the giants must come as a shock to coco crips ,
who stated , earlier , that he would sign with them .

Boomer19
Boomer19
10 years ago

I like Lorenzo Cain for the starting spot now that Melky is gone. What do you think? Decent 4th or 5th OF in 5×5 roto?

Eddy
Eddy
10 years ago

What’s up fellas, hope everyone has been surviving the off-season!

Wanted to drop the news that the Melk-Man has been traded to SF for Jonathan Sanchez and a minor league pitcher.

The classic “great for real baseball, terrible for fantasy” trade.

black_toshiba
black_toshiba
10 years ago

If you had to choose one of these SP to keep for 2012.
Billingsley, Rodriguez, B Anderson, Kuroda, Bucholz & T Hudson?
Thanks

Josh
Josh
10 years ago

Keeper league where we keep 4 and lose the round they were drafted in previously. Who do I keep?

AGon (3)
Miggy (1)
Kemp (1 but would count as a 2 if I keep Cabrera as well)
Reyes (5)
Trout (25)
Santana (10)
Pineda (15)
Gordon (25)
Morse (25)

Tony
Tony
10 years ago

ESPN artcle says the Mets might look to move David Wright. What do u think? All espn hub bub or actually something that might happen. We all know REYES is goneeeeeee…. Keeping Wright around with nothingggg else around him doesn’t make a ton of sense. I hate seeing teams do this though. Like the Astro’s shipping Pence for nothing. Just always seems like keeping the star over the “potential” makes more sense. Unless you’re the indians, they seem to schwing some deals…..

sean
sean
10 years ago

You have to be concerned about 4 SB in 123 MLB ABs. Bourjos only swiped 22 bags in 502 ABs.

Also, it’s a myth that the Angels are demons on the basepaths, Dan Brown. The Yanks stole more bases last season.

Yeah, I Remember When
Yeah, I Remember When
10 years ago

I guess i’m freeballin’ it ’cause I got Trout in a Keeper League.