I did a google for Matt Mervis and his ETA and I found he’s going to be promoted to the Cubs in 2022. Very cool, let’s see how he did. Let me do another google for us. Hmm, I’m not seeing any stats for Matt Mervis with the Cubs. They must’ve had some great 1st baseman in the North Side of Chicago, huh? Let’s see…Alfonso Rivas? Hmm…I don’t remember him being, how do they say it, good. I kid, of course, Alfonso Rivas was great (if you don’t know what the word great means). Rivas hit three homers and .235, but in only 101 games. Maybe he needs more of a chance? Say, another 4,000 games? No? Okay. Oh, I’m being told Rivas was only the lefty side of the 1st base platoon for the Cubs! Of course! The righty side must’ve been so much better, right? Let’s see…P.J. Higgins got 38 games at first and hit six homers and .229. Pajamas Higgins must’ve just had a bad year! What? That’s his best season at the plate in eight years of pro ball? Oh, okay. So, my point is obviously that Matt Mervis is going to be the Cubs’ 1st baseman to start the season, unless they want to see more from Pajamas. *weighing options with hands as scales* Pajamas, who sucks worse than feety pee-jays…Or a good prospect. Hmm, tough call. So, what can we expect from Matt Mervis for 2023 fantasy baseball?
Okay, let’s get some eyes on Never Nervous Matt Mervis:
Another tank for Matt Mervis #Cubs pic.twitter.com/WOTgOezQOQ
— Josh Norris (@jnorris427) October 14, 2022
Lefty dropping the bat, then his head and rounding the bases is one of the most pleasing sights in baseball. Here’s one more with a little more flare:
A perfect bat flip for a perfect homer ?
Matt Mervis leaves the yard for the second time this season, putting the Solar Sox within one of the Desert Dogs! #AFL22@Cubs @NBCSCubs pic.twitter.com/d3xr4hVjFu
— MLB’s Arizona Fall League (@MLBazFallLeague) October 14, 2022
Not the best angle on where the ball went, but I showed it to you so you could see how easy it is for him. Power, that is. He’s got easy power. Across three levels last year, he hit 36 homers, ending the season in Triple-A with 15 HRs in 209 at-bats in Triple-A. Said in a similar but different way then with some additional information: From Itch’s Cubs top 10 prospects, “The 6’ 4” 225-pound Mervis hit 36 home runs in 137 games across three levels and keeps on hitting them in the Arizona Fall League, where he’s got six homers in 15 games (as of Friday). He has struck out and walked thrice a piece, continuing the case of the disappearing strikeouts after K-ing in just 14.6 percent of his Triple-A plate appearances. Should open 2022 in the major league lineup, and knock down major-league pitching like I’d knock down Grey.” Not cool at all.
Matt Mervis is a 25-homer guy in the majors tomorrow with no change in approach. He sorta came out of nowhere, and he’s not young. At 24 years old, it would be easy to write him off, but he was a college guy who lost 2020. I asked Itch if Mervis was going to be Tork 2.0, and he said he hoped not, then asked for my GPS coordinates to send a drone. Itch also added that Mervis has more reps against good arms and he keeps getting better. There’s super sexy rookie fantasy outlook posts like my Jordan Walker fantasy, and there’s this one. Matt Mervis is not super sexy. He reminds me of every super late cornerman that is drafted in every league. He could be absolutely usable though in most leagues. 25/.260 guys have value, even if it’s slightly less sexy than a Jordan Walker or Corbin Carroll possible 30/30 season. Matt Mervis feels like he’ll be absolutely free in drafts, and could give you a Jose Abreu-type year. For 2023, I’ll give Matt Mervis projections of 62/24/76/.254/1 in 531 ABs with a chance for a decent walk rate too, since he knows how to take a walk.
Well as a Cubs fan I would love to see Matt Mervis come to MLB and rake for the team, but there really wasn’t anything in his college stats with Duke or his first MiLB season at Myrtle Beach to suggest his 2022 performance would happen, or would be sustainable at the MLB level. Nelson Velasquez dominated MiLB and the AFL in 2021 for the Cubs and look what happened to him in 2022 at the MLB level. Call me skeptical on this one.
That’s the first I’ve heard someone that down on him
Just reminds me a lot of Nelson Velasquez hype last year. Hope I’m wrong though.
Velazquez has no contact and can’t hit .215, think they’re different enough
To be fair 2021 was the year coming off a year of no baseball and he didn’t even get a full year in of at bats. He adjusted incredibly well all year and at each level in 2022. No offense but Nelson Velasquez did not dominate MiLB the way that Matt Mervis did last year. It wasn’t even close. Nelson had 50 strikeouts in 123 ab in AAA in 2022. Mervis had 35 strikeouts in 209 at bats in AAA in 2022. Mervis had a .976 OPS in AAA while Nelson had a .706 OPS. They are miles apart.
Besides Velasquez did not dominate MiLB in 2021. He hit .270 with an .829 OPS and 132 strikeouts in 385 at bats and that was in A and AA ball.
Grey, in a dynasty would you prefer Mervis or Manzardo? Thanks!
Grey, Can you give me small outlook on 2B Jazz Chisholm? I have high hope for him. What kind of numbers do you expect in 2023? Please add OBP to his projections. Thanks, Jose
Great stuff! Love the outlooks…13 team 5×5 dynasty…can keep Kirk, Melendez or Gabriel Moeno…also Harrison Bader or Josh Rojas…Rojas has a ton more flexibility but Bader could thrive in NY…thanks for all the great content!
Can only keep 2 of the 3 catchers listed above…
See question above to clarify
Thanks! Bit confused so two out of all five names or two catchers and one or the other on the OF?
Sorry for the confusion! 2 of the 3 catchers and Rojas or Bader thanks!
a. Gonna love Nervous Mervis. He’s gonna be great or sneaky good, your choice.
b. George Carlin quote of the day for November 7, 2022
‘Here’s one for the baseball park. Baseball Park. You ever notice at the ballgame a lot of guys bring a glove? Fuck that bring a bat. You see a foul ball coming hit back to them. Hit back to them. Yeah. Then stand up and wave at the pitcher. They’ll think you’re a fun fan. They’ll think it’s straightjacket night.’
What am I doing in New Jersey, 1988
B. Hahaha, I like it