I have a predilection for highlighting fantasy baseball rookies that are of the hitter variety, and less so of the pitching type.  I will also say I don’t 100% trust anyone that uses the word predilection in everyday conversation.  They sound like they have a pedo-lection.  Stretch a Home Depot slide ruler out 500 feet and talk to me from there.  “What’s that?  Having a hard time hearing you.  No, don’t come within 500 feet of me.  Thanks.  Why?  Because you used the word predilection.”  Pitchers are just so flaky.  Last year, Michael Fulmer, with little-to-no fanfare, was a top 30 starter for all of fantasy as a rookie.  If you predicted that, you’re a liar or a time traveller.  Mean’s while, Giolito had a 6.75 ERA in 21 1/3 IP.  How was Corey Kluber in the minors?  How was Arrieta?  The list goes on with pitchers that weren’t great in the minors that broke out in the majors.  Then on the opposite side of things, great pitching prospects who reached the career levels of Nadir Bupkis.  In regards to this, there’s actually a well-worn acronym by Baseball Prospectus that is TINSTAAPP, which is There Is No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect.  So, this is the 2nd year in a row I’ve gone to the Lucas Giolito well, well (stutterer!), he deserves it.  Here’s what I said last year, “Before watching the video on Lucas Giolito, I looked at his vitals.  This is something I don’t usually do.  Doesn’t really matter to me if a guy is six-foot-one or five-ten.  But, dizzamn, Giolito is a strapping young man, huh?  He’s listed at six-six and 230.  He’s only 21 years old, but I think he’s done growing.  Hopefully, cause his mom tells CBS Sports that his “feet already hang off the bed.”  With a six-six frame, as you can imagine, he throws fast.  (Christall Young is the exception that proves the rule, which never made any sense to me.  If it’s an exception, how does it prove anything?  It proves that there’s exceptions, but that’s about it, right?  I’m gonna move on before my brain hurts in my thought-nodes.)  Giolito hits 97 MPH on his fastball, which is actually up a tick from the previous year.  If he keeps steadily increasing his fastball every year, by the time he’s 40 years old, he’s going to be throwing 117 MPH.  He throws from nearly right over the top, so the ball fires downhill and hitters have no chance of hitting it.  A 9+ K/9 seems to be a given once he gets settled in the majors.  In 20 years, Al Pacino could be playing the role of a Hall of Fame pitcher in the film, Giolito’s Way.  Assuming Pacino has eighteen-inch stilettos.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Anyway, what can we expect from Lucas Giolito for 2017 fantasy baseball?

In 2016 in Double-A, Giolito had a 4.3 BB/9, then a 2.41 BB/9 in Triple-A later last year, then, finally, in the majors his BB/9 was 5.1.  When your walk rate can be confused with Altuve’s height, it’s not a good sign.  Though, that sequence is slightly misleading.  Giolito saw major league action in June, July, August and September.  A start here and there, bouncing back and forth.  There might be something to Giolito not knowing if he was coming or going.  Weird to see a pitcher under Dusty Baker mistreated.  Mark Prior just tore his rotator cuff disagreeing with that.  Between pitchers being flaky, Dusty Baker, and Giolito’s less than ideal results last year, I’m less bearish on him, and I’m wearing pants so less bare-ish too.  The most practical advice I can give is draft zero rookie pitchers before the final three rounds of a draft.  There’s just no rhyme or reason which ones do well.  Physically, Giolito could easily be a fantasy ace.  If he ends up being better than Strasburg, it would not surprise me.  As I’ve said many times, Kershaw was not good in his first season either.  A lot can happen still with the Nats signing another starter, but I’ll project Giolito for 5-4/3.67/1.27/97 in 105 IP with a June call-up.

  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Good write-up. Loved the Giolito’s Way reference.

    Am in a coordination meeting in N’Djamena. Just found out my boss was admitted to a hospital in Paris, so my acting job as his replacement will continue for quite some time!! He has gout.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: Thanks! This sounds like a great break for you… Gout for everyone but Ante!

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: I’m picturing Phillip Seymore Hoffman from along came poll as the proxy for Ben Stiller.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Whatever gets Ante in the boss’ chair so he can rule over the entire organization with an iron fist and Rambo quotes

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: rambo? I don’t think he can pull that off. Now get that man some aviators and I could see the Horatio (David Caruso) one liners all day. Speaking of one liners I daw an interview of nick cage only using nick cage quotes for questions

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              That would be awesome! Ante needs to up the, uh, ante

              • Ante GALIC says:
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                @Grey: Grey!

                Haha! Very funny all ’round.

                Actually not looking forward to being his replacement for much longer because everyone is posturing to be away from the office on leave during the Christmas break. We are given special leave every 56 days so everyone’s planned their leave mid-October so that come mid-December (aka 8 weeks) they can go for leave plus add annual leave and then I’ll be the only here for Xmas! No biggie, I’ll just assemble my John J. Rambo quotes. I will be proceeding from Rambo I and will move to Rambo II and so on until the quadrilogy ends.

                More SNAFU ensues, must reply to an e-mail.

                Cheers,
                Ante

                • Ante GALIC says:
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                  @Ante GALIC: Grey!

                  Nick Cage quotes for 2018 would be awesome.

                  Going back to the hotel which means no way to communicate until tomorrow!

                  GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO TRIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIBE!!!!!

                  Cheers,
                  Ante

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Be safe!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  To be the man, be the man!

  2. Packers says:
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    Per previous comments is Madden protecting Bryant with Rizzo batting behind him? Bryant batting 4th with no real protection would have an uptick in K’s and would lead off a lot of innings with no one on base. I get the leadoff hitter doesn’t always get on base either but still you can’t pitch around Bryant with Rizzo batting next.
    Another interesting thought, the media talks about things people want to hear or read which has been stated here many times. They want the Cubs to win and fail to give Francona any credit.
    I really wanted to know the words of the chant/song the Cubs fans were saying after the game 5 victory. Not one announcer mentioned it. When they started to interview players with cliche questions and the cliche answers that follow I switched over to the football game.
    Thanks for reading.

    • Count de Monetball says:
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      Agree Packers, Francona has out managed Maddon to th his point. The batting and pitching plans are what I believe has the Indians ahead in this series. You can see it with the approach on the hitters from a pitching perspective and the batters approach against Cubs pitchers.

      Of course the media wants the Cubs to win, bigger market, “bigger story due to the longer drought”; i can’t stand the media “loves” my team anymore than I like it when they are “against” my team.

      • hondo says:
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        @Count de Monetball: I just want the Cubs to win tonight.I’ll be Switzerland if there’s a game 7.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @hondo: I read that fast and thought you said you’d be *in* Switzerland… I was like ‘Wow, this guy really believes if the Cubs win it’ll be the apocalypse….’

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Count de Monetball: I think you guys are over thinking it. If you watched the NLCS it came down to one thing. When the curveballs were breaking and the sliders not getting hung…or is it hanged, the cubs couldn’t do jack. The question now is can the Indians make their pitches when they need to and cubs lay off bad pitches. That’s it

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          @Big Odio: “You guys are overthinking it. For instance, I haven’t watched a game in two weeks so I have a better gauge on things.”

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: I’ve watched most of the world series…on mute. Joe Fuckstick is the worst.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Smoltzy’s actually been all right for the most part, though he’s admittedly only a pitching commentator with nothing to say about the other side of the ball

              • Big Odio says:
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                @Grey: smoltzy has had a few too many hat the Fuck ate you talking about moments.

                The best is the post game when we wait for what pete is going to say next

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Pete’s a buffoon, and Fox doesn’t respect viewers’ IQ by having him on

                  • Big Odio says:
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                    @Grey: mlb…respecting viewers….HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!

                    That’s the best statement of sarcasm ever

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha

                  • @Grey: Rose actually has a lot of great stuff to add about hitting. But I agree that he is mostly there for comic relief and a foil to ARod, who is doing very well semi-surprisingly.

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      @Wake Up: you sound like my dad

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Rose is such a dipshit, I can’t get beyond that… I’m one of those that thinks he should be in the HOF!

                    • Big Odio says:
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                      He is, but isnt that what murica is all about. Keep it dumb, make them come….back

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Count de Monetball: The Cubs are the easy favorites in Vegas last February, because their team is stacked, right? (They are.) So, my question is, if the Cubs win the series, does it feel less exciting than if they were the underdog all year? It’s weird to root for the end of a a 100+ year drought AND a stacked team

        • Count de Monetball says:
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          I really like that question M.E.G.! The short answer is no. The long answer is noooooooooo! I remember when that was the case. When I was in high school I left the Chicago Bulls and while Saturday night live almost got it right that the bulls almost got a “eight-Pete” it was getting boring that they were winning the championships so handedly. So when Michael Jordan went and played baseball in the balls had to win without him, it was more exciting. However in the Cubs situation, it’s awesome and I’ll take about five more years of it before I get bored :-)

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Makes sense!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Packers: The Cubs victory song? It’s same song they sing after every win, Go Cubs Go…. Bryant is a better hitter than Rizzo so doubt he’s protecting him…Zobrist feels like the prototypical two hitter, but it’s worked for the Cubs going with him at cleanup…Worked more in the 1st half of the year when Zobrist was hitting well and in the playoffs

  3. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    AND if the Cubs lose, I am sure Trump will say it was rigged, to really give the out of control media something to talk about!

    • Big Odio says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: wrong, it’s the other way around. IF the Indians lose its rigged because Obama is from Chicago.

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Big Odio:
        ok, I see that..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Trump said the Cubs were the worst owned team earlier this year b/c the Ricketts were supporting Cruz

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        I do remember The Donald saying something like that..

        Right now I could care less who wins, I want the Cubs to end the century plus of not winning it all. But I really just want a game SEVEN!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I want a game 7 definitely… Which means I might’ve just just jinxed it so there’s no game 7

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Grey:
            Oh there will be a game 7, I just un-jinked your jink I think..

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha, nice!

              • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                @Grey:
                SEVENS are wild!! woo hoo!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yup! Here’s to game seven!

  4. Matt says:
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    Im wearing pants too!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Same!

  5. When I hear predilection, I almost always fear that something about the banjo is to follow…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha… I want you to squeal…

      • @Grey: Pete Rose thinks to himself when he gazes at ARod: “He got a real pretty mouth ain’t he?”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HA!

  6. Fred Garvin MP says:
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    Went to Friday’s game at Wrigley. Sat in outfield terrace reserved about 10 rows back from the corner. Pretty good seats, as well they should be for the price (3k, which was the top of my budget). Very nice weather for that time of year in Chicago. Awesome experience as a lifelong, die hard Cubs fan. The only thing that sullied it was with the Cubs bizarre inability to do anything with crappy Tomlin on the mound and the wind blowing 20 out to left center.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That’s awesome, so jealous! I looked at tix, but between a flight, hotel and tix it was insane, and I would’ve need to bring Cougs… Plus, I’m not even a Cubs fan! You go on your own?

      • Fred Garvin MP says:
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        @Grey: Nah, went with my 67 year old mom and my brother. My bro lives 2 blocks from the park.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          So effin cool, ugh… jealous too! All these emotions!

          • Fred Garvin MP says:
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            @Grey: Ha! Wrigleyville had so many people. It was lit, as the kids say.

            Two interesting occurences at the game: I was right behind Derrek Lee in the concourse as me and the fam made our way to our seats. The Japanese Tom Verducci from NHK (Japanese tv network) sat in front of us the entire game and was doing in game sideline broadcasts, so we were probably on Japanese television.

            Make a plan to go to a series in the next few years. Anywhere but Wrigley is going to be a lot cheaper.

            • Big Odio says:
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              @Fred Garvin MP: I always wanted to be big in Japan

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                You are

                • Big Odio says:
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                  @Grey: El Sumo of Odio

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Now that’s good!

              • Fred Garvin MP says:
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                @Big Odio: I’ve heard, they do like bigger fellas over there….

              • Fred Garvin MP says:
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                @Grey: Awesome! My brother sat behind him, Murray not your buddy’s dad, in the bleachers during a regular season game a few years back.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  So great!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Love it!

                • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                  @Fred Garvin MP:
                  Nice Seats MP!

              • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                @Grey:
                Huge fan of Bill Murray, that is so cool!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, my buddy’s dad must’ve had good seats

                  • Malicious Phenoms says:
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                    @Grey:
                    Really good seats, prolly the $5000 ones..jeez

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Insane for sure

    • Malicious Phenoms says:
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      @Fred Garvin MP:
      Nice MP, sorry the Cubs couldn’t hit a ball in the air that night..lol

  7. Rose is a buffoon, no question.

    Rose is one of the best hitters of all time, no diggity.

    Rose belongs in the HOF, no doubt!

    All of these things can be true, simultaneously.

    On hitting, he can cover much ground, got game by the pound…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice! Blackstreet would be so proud, though they might be proud about any mention of them at this point

  8. Hatred:

    I agree with you on momentum. People who played a high level know it’s true. Number nerds just don’t get it.

    • Big Odio says:
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      @Wake Up: number nerds who are not really number nerds will never get it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      See if the Cubs can go with the momentum now

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        They need to jump on Tomlin in the first inning, be patient, take some pitches and wait for one you like to hit, just don’t go up there hackin!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          On the other side of it, Tomlin needs to give them 4-5 innings then you know Francona’s going to the bullpen

          • Malicious Phenoms says:
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            @Grey:
            Definitely a bullpen game for the Indians, they do not want to play a game 7 after the Cubs winning 2 in a row and having the MO..

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Totally

  9. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Breaking: Mets closer Jeurys Familia was arrested on Oct. 31 after an alleged incident of domestic violence.

    from twitter Adam Rubin..

  10. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Cubs lineup for game 6:

    Dexter Fowler CF
    Kyle Schwarber DH
    Kris Bryant 3B
    Anthony Rizzo 1B
    Ben Zobrist LF
    Addison Russell SS
    Willson Contreras C
    Jason Heyward RF
    Javier Baez 2B.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Don’t really get Schwarber there either, not sure why Maddon won’t put Zobrist in the 2 hole, but my be a right-lefty thing

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        I agree.

        Fowler
        Zobrist
        Rizzo
        Bryant
        Schwarber

        AND Zobrist is a good get on base guy..

  11. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    What are you thoughts on this trade?

    I give: Donaldson ( I have Machado, and Ramirez), Maeda, and Gurriel
    I get: Rizzo and Turner

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds solid

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        Would you make t hat offer?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Sure

  12. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    I got it, I got it, I got it, opps nobody got it!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, terrible play by Naquin

      • Malicious Phenoms says:
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        @Grey:
        Nyquil and Chieslhead need to get it together..jeez..

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha

  13. Big Odio says:
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    I’m super confused. I thought they had the Buster Pussy rule with the catcher.

    • Count de Monetball says:
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      yeah I’m just going to appreciate the noncall there. Signed Cubs fan

      • The Hack says:
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        @Count de Monetball: as you should, terrible rule, but still odd they disregarded that

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      They said something like because of where Perez stood he was fair game, I hadn’t heard that before

      • Big Odio says:
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        @Grey: I recall them calling people out for something like that. I could be wrong. Either way game 7.

        I like how they made a big deal to let us know salazar is back to 100% and that they have no intention of using him

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Salazar should’ve started yesterday then just use a bunch of relievers…

          • Big Odio says:
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            @Grey: salazar should of started game 5 in Chicago or been brought in after the 3rd for Bauer. WHY don’t these managers use all their weapons

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, no idea, but agreed

  14. costarican chata says:
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    happy anniversary .

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Big O! I miss you!

Comments are closed.