I get jazz handsy when I’m writing overrated posts. It’s Razzball, after all. Razz is in the name, so it’s only natural I want to mock players. That’s what this whole shebang is built on, mocking. By the by, in retrospect, was Ricky Martin’s hit song, She Bangs, really written to be Shebang, as in the whole shebang, and the record label changed it to make it sound more hetero? “Um, Ricky, I like that song, it’s catchy, but maybe you could pause after ‘she.'” Or maybe Martin was commenting on a hairstyle of a female acquaintance who had bangs. This was a 20-year riff in the making, huh? Any hoo! I enjoy mocking players; it’s fun! With that said (time for Grey to turn this ship around), I’m getting no pleasure from mocking Joey Gallo. I like guys who hit 700-foot moonshots! Who doesn’t? Sometimes I’ll take a bottle of peach schnapps outside at night just so I can do my own moonshots. Sometimes I’ll take my Derringer out there and just shoot at the moon. I love that shizz! The more moonshottie the better! Ricky Martin should do a song, Moons Hottie, putting in a hetero space between words! I’d download that shizz and hit the avenue with the top down, pumping up the jams! I love it! How’sever…Well…So, what can we expect from Joey Gallo for 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

First, let’s get others, namely Steamer, out of the way first. Gallo is ranked 118th overall on our 12-team ESPN rankings; his projections are 82/41/101/.223/7 in 510 ABs. This assumes health. After he missed 80 games last year with wrist surgery, which is absolutely brutal on hitters. I wouldn’t assume 100% health, but, for the purposes of this exercise, I’m going to assume health, because none of us are gods, and who knows. I once thought Giancarlo was a god and now we’re married (in my mind) and he hasn’t said, “I love you,” in months. Like I’m a piece of trash! Maybe Alex Bregman should bang on me! Huh?! Would you like that?! So, Gallo is healthy, but .223 is a huge dip in average in those projections. Here’s where I dug in and discussed this with Rudy. The Rangers are moving to a new park this year, a dome. For the last three years, Arlington was a top five park for walks. Now, you might think, as I did, that walks were a hitters’ thing. Walks are, aren’t they? That’s where you’d be wrong. Arlington was muggier than the 1 Line by 191st Street. Pitchers are controlling walks, not hitters. Think about the Rangers lineup, does that strike as particularly good for walks? In the extreme heat, pitchers wear down faster and get wild. A dome will cause pitchers to be better, in general. (This is good news for my high ranking of Lance Lynn too.) A dome will at worst be neutral. If pitchers are better, walks will come down, strikeouts go up, and Gallo’s gonna get dunked on. For unstints, look at Arizona pre- and post-humidor. It was a great park for walks — pitchers were afraid (top 10 for walks), then it became terrible for walks (22nd last year) — even with Robbie Ray! Look at walks in Tampa (23rd in league) last year. I just randomly looked at 2009 walk rates in parks, and Arlington is 6th and Tropicana is 23rd. I honestly don’t even remember who was on those teams. It’s irrelevant, because it includes visitor data too, so it’s not like who was pitching for the Rays or Rangers matters there. Gallo’s last year saw a 17.5% walk rate, but he’s being projected for a 14.6% walk rate this year. If that holds, he might hit .205 with his 38.4% strikeout rate (his last year’s mark). I know this all sucks, because we’re all a bunch of Moons Hotties, but Gallo is currently being drafted too high and his current ESPN ranking of 45th overall is hideously off.

 
  1. Al KOHOLIC says:
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    Damn good work Boss

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, AL!

  2. Crazy J says:
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    I’m with you on the ADP being too high for what his floor possibly is, but… I’m calling a .260 average on the bald predictions.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He’s bald?! I’m really out now

  3. galica says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Awesome and succinct report – sweet and short!

    a. So Bregman, Gallo…keep ’em coming.

    b. Continuing on from your thread with Son yesterday, a true story (from 1990) follows.

    1. I’m in a Vietnamese restaurant, just off campus, and about a block away from Chinatown, ’cause God knows Vietnamtown can never be in Chinatown, duh. I was down to my last 5$ before I received a Government survivor disability cheque. It wasn’t a lot but got me through college. My father had a disability – it was spinal fracture (L4-L5) and a knee problem not a mental disability but thanks for asking – so survivors got a stipend. Live with it.

    2. I see someone at the table next to me order a soup that looks appetizing. I point to the soup and ask the waiter ‘How much costy?’ He says ‘cost 3.95$’. So I say, hey, beggars can’t be choosers so I order said soup and a can of coke for the 5$ in my pocket. Not a bad deal says I.

    3. The next day I have money in pocket ’cause my survivor disability cheque arrived. So I invite my Vietnamese friend to the same restaurant and they have the same item on their chalkboard menu from the day before. So, acting like the cool guy that I am (I was not and am not) I order 2 bowls of the soup I had had.

    4. My friend said ‘No way, man! That’s dog meat soup!!!’

    5. Sorry Grey, I will never mention this story again.

    c. MLB quote of the day for May 2, 1984

    ‘There was Shawon Dunston and Mark Grace, and together we were a double play combination for ten years.’

    Ryne Dee ‘Ryno’ Sandberg (famous forever for ‘The Sandberg Game’)

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Old School Brother says:
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      Dog meat soup, dont knock it till ya try it

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. I will!

      B.

      4. Welp, gonna be hard to continue to eat food for the rest of my life, thanks!

      5. Too late!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      C. HAHA

      • galica says:
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        Grey,

        Sorry, man.

        Have a nice weekend.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, you too!

  4. Nightpandas says:
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    Happy Friday

    15 team obp qs keep 11 forever league

    My Vlad And Ohtani (p only) offer for Meadows and Flaherty was turned down

    However I was offered Buehler Suarez JGray for Vlad Ohtani Rosario. I would likely then keep Ryu Or Dahl instead of J Gray.

    Keepers before:
    Olson Albies Vlad Mondesi Soto Rosario Cruz
    S Gray EdRod Ohtani(p) Wheeler

    Keepers after trade:
    Olson Albies Suarez Mondesi Soto Cruz
    Buehler S Gray EdRod Wheeler Ryu/Dahl

    Would you prefer the before or after gang

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d make the move and keep Ryu

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT

  5. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Sano might be the BETTER gallo this year…

    • Cram It says:
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      Or Gallo might be the new Sano.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Will be the new Sano — 100 with Cram

  6. Dave D says:
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    Good call. I laughed out loud when I nominated him in my recent Auction, then I yelled “Go get ‘em, suckers!!!” My wife thought I was losing it. My dog wanted to hump my leg before she realized she was female and had nothing to hump me with.

    I put Gallo in the class of the hollow sluggers of past: Dave Kingman, Rob Deer, Gorman Thomas. Them are expensive home runs. No thank you. If I don’t lije to watch their at bats, I don’t want to draft them.

    Good stuff, Greyroni!!!

    • return2earth says:
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      “If I don’t lije to watch their at bats, I don’t want to draft them.”

      this resonates with me on a deep level .. ha!

      • Dave D says:
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        Makes sense, right?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

      See Khris Davis too

      • ozone ranger says:
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        Jay Bruce and now Rhys Hoskins?

        Past candidates- Adam Dunn? Carlos Peña?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          So many guys, it is the standard aging of the slugger (the SATs)

          • Dave D says:
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            “I drafted_____, but I cannot stand to watch him at the plate”

            That is not music to my ears. It is a sad reality for some and is not something I ever want aside from my pitchers playing in NL parks. Joey is an example of this for me as it seems for you. I’ll just watch his homers only on highlight reels and won’t be fooled by the 5-7% good results.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, he hits some rockets, and prolly will again, but some major red flags here

        • Dave D says:
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          Right. Not very exciting to wait for a guy to pop up, whiff or hit a weak fly ball 80% of the time while you wait for the elusive hit. Boring baseball, espresso if they’re on your home team. Even walks are boring if they can’t be a threat on basepaths.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            True

  7. dr chym says:
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    Morning,

    I always shy away from Gallo-types. They are soul crushing when not mashing.

    I have my annual philosophical keeper debate going on in my head:

    6×6 with OPS
    Keep 2

    Options:

    1. Acuna (pick 8) Arenado (22)

    2. Acuna (pick 8) Xander (42)

    3. Acuna (pick 8) Bieber (108)

    I never keep SP but it’s not a terrible choice.

    I also usually lock into Arenado but with a trade out of Coors a real potential, X may hold the best value at that spot and then I can grab similar arenado value with a 2nd pick??

    Thanks for the help!!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d go with the Bieber option

    • Cram It says:
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      #2 for me.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Don’t think you can go wrong, #2

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      I’d do Arenado

  8. Bitter Beerface says:
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    Grey,

    Good stuff. This post had me singing Moons Hottie in the key of Cat Stevens’ Moon Shadow. And imagining Grey in his pajamas firing his derringer at the big wheel of cheese in the sky. With a box of empty wine laying in the grass, the box reads “Gallo Family White Zinfandel – Danger Reduced for quick sale…”. Well, nothing but the finest comes out of Texas!!!

    If I can find Gallo at the right price, aka the “Reduced for quick sale, potentially hallucinogenic from various cultures…”, I too may buy Gallo and pull my Derringer out of my cellphone pocket and shoot at the cheese wheel in the sky!!! As the police haul me away, I am seen muttering “I got the Moons Hottie at a discount price! I’m going to win this year!! I’m finally going to win!!!”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mooooooooons hottie….

      Having Cougs toss a box of Gallo wine into the air and me shooting it out

      • Bitter Beerface says:
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        Beautiful imagery!! I can see the silhouette of Cougs and your impossibly bushy mustache!!

  9. return2earth says:
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    spring training games today .. solid friday in february

    with the changes to mlb’s substances of abuse policy, can we get Giancarlo traded out of NY to San Fran so he can smoke blunts before games and put up 70+ homers w/ all that THC running thru those muscles? or maybe we can get Puig in Denver w/ legal shrooms running around in the outfield?

    let the old baseball regime eat itself with all the scandals and cover ups .. let it pave the way for a more entertaining product in the coming years

    • Cram It says:
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      Idk if you’ve ever done drugs, but I’m positive it either of those wouldn’t help an athlete hit better.

      • return2earth says:
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        get outta here old man .. boomer opinions can be kept to yourself

      • return2earth says:
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        also, you obviously never smoked a sativa that will keep you laser focused beyond adderall .. for some people, marijuana is a legit performance enhancing drug .. maybe you should try some so you can stop being a cranky commenter

        • Cram It says:
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          Ah, my favorite kinds of comments, personal attacks based on incorrect assumptions about someone. That’s so millennial of you!

          I’ve probably smoked weed for longer than you’ve been alive…and I’m a Gen Xer.

          • return2earth says:
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            dude you are one of the worst commenters on here .. i’ve read this blog for awhile before commenting and every time i saw your avatar in the comments i roll my eyes and keep scrolling because no one gives a shit about your opinion and you reply as if you think people care .. keep it moving old man

      • WhiteRabbit says:
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        plus by the looks of it, Puig is already doing shrooms

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Giancarlo is about to get stoned in NYC by fans if he stays healthy, so he’s got incentive

      • ozone ranger says:
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        When you wrote “stoned”, I got confused whether it will be by cannabis or lapidation? Or both?

  10. Tigres says:
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    Grey! I used to take the 1 train to 191st street for high school track meets, hosted by Manny Ramirez’ alma mater George Washington HS. Arlington is definitely muggier!

    Interesting take on potential impacts of Rangers’ new stadium on BB rates. Would this (plus everything else) make Gallo a schmohawk even in OBP league?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, good to know!

      Yeah, Gallo’s getting hit on OBP too

  11. Old School Brother says:
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    Love me some Gallo, but around 80-90 not 45 so i’m not going to be drafting him. You’ve got a good point about the new stadium, really bums me out. Nothings more fun than going to a Rangers day game in July or August when its 100+ out, all the seats are empty, and you can sneak down to a couple rows behind home plate and feel that steady flowing stream of sweat down your buttcrack. Now that beautiful palace is nothing but a smut shelter for crummy XFL games, a damn shame.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      When I wrote this, I forgot how it would affect you OSB, I’m sorry… I still love and drafted Odor!

      Smut shelter — ha!

  12. William graham says:
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    Hey there Grey,

    12 team NL-ONLY 5×5 Roto and we keep 4 players. I went all in last year and won the title, but sacrificed nearly all of my draft picks for this year, hence, I’m in a rebuild year. My strategy is to build around the best player I can and then try to upgrade my other 3 keepers during the season.

    Right now, my 4 keepers are

    Trea Turner
    Marcel Ozuna
    Nick Castellanos
    Noah Syndergaard

    No one has interest in upgrading the keepers before the draft, so my approach during this season will be to move any of those 3 players to upgrade.

    I’ve just received an offer of Bryce Harper and Kirby Yates for Trea Turner and Noah Syndergaard. The only reason I’m considering it is because of my concern about Turner (seems to be risky – injury-prone with only 1 year of more than 120 games). Another reason is Thor. If he gets out of the gate slow, the rumor mill will start up and he loses all value (NL league and I’d lose him for nothing if traded to AL). My only reason for wanting Thor is for his trade value..

    I know Harper has really only had one superstar year, but he’s been durable and seemed to be settling in nicely in the 2nd half to Philly.

    I really don’t trust Turner long term to keep the wheels and feel as though Harper’s skill set is more sustainable.

    Thoughts?

    Thanks!!!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d pass, you should be able to do better

    • Cram It says:
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      Agree with DT

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with others

    • ozone ranger says:
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      The bigger SB wheels concern I would have with Turner is if he is dropped in the lineup from 1 to 3, as I have read about. Reportedly, Turner wants to move down the order. Again, these are rumors, and most are hot garbage takes by hot garbage “journalists”. But there is some logic in play to the move with the loss of Los Angels Rendon.

  13. LOLmets says:
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    Since I know you love my Yankee sleepers heres a name. Clarke Schmidt.

    He’s 24, he’s a like 9k/9 and 2.5bb/9 guy in minors and looks primed to step in. If severino and Paxton are both out look for Schmidt to make the team over loiasiga.

    • LOLmets says:
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      Courtesy of a tweet from Jack Curry of the Yes Network

      “Clarke Schmidt is a pitcher to watch for the Yankees in 2020. Former 1st round pick was 8-5, 3.47 ERA w/ 102 Ks, 28 BB in 90 2/3 innings at A and AA last year. Throws a 2-seamer, a curve that’s also a slurve and a change up. Had a strong outing during yesterday’s simulated game”

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Good to know…I added Jordan Montgomery into the rankings yesterday when Severino went down

      • LOLmets says:
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        JA happ was laughably bad for most of last year.
        Tanaka can’t stop giving up homers
        Severino prob needs tj
        Paxton is a complete lemon

        Theres going to be so much opportunity for someone to breakout. Montgomery will be the Yankees second best starter and start game 2 of the ALDS vs Oakland. Screenshots.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, all fair points

          • LOLmets says:
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            If I’m you I’m grabbing Clarke Schmidt in that Al only league u just posted here the other day.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Not a bad idea, waivers don’t open until season starts tho

  14. Tom says:
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    With a full season of ab’s I think Gallo is more of a lock for 40+ homers than Olson and with both of those guys that’s really what you’re paying for, the question is with Gallo’s BA downside how much more is Olson worth? My money says not much but a lot of folks that post here are GaGa for Olson this year. FYI right field power alley slightly shorter in new Texas ballpark, shouldn’t make much of a difference but perhaps something to consider?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      If you ignore everything else, be careful about guys returning from wrist injury

    • Smitty says:
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      Yep I’ll be layin off that Gallo whine. I’m out

  15. Spendthrift says:
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    Happy Friday here’s a couple of strange trade scenarios. 8 team league. My$49 Trout for his $38 Mookie. My $49 Trout for his $13 Story. Thanks

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      I’d do the Story one

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with DT

  16. keith o branstetter says:
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    Is Joey worth $22 in an obp instead of ave 5×5 roto 12 teamer ?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
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      It’s a fair price IMO. Is there a lot of inflation in your league?

      • keith o branstetter says:
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        yes

      • keith o branstetter says:
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        appreciate it Grey

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  17. Spendthrift says:
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    Happy Friday here’s a couple of strange trade scenarios. 8 team league. My$49 Trout for his $38 Mookie. My $49 Trout for his $13 Story. Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Story

    • ozone ranger says:
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      Run as fast as you can to accept that Story deal. That’s a great offer.

      Think of it this was, for $50, you can have Trout and a $1 player or Story and a $37 player.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Run, spendthrift, run!

  18. Random Collmenter says:
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    Do your top 3 rankings change at all in an OPS league, i.e. does Trout move past Yelich or Acuna? Thanks!

  19. Dude at Dudes says:
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    In my keeper league (keep 12, $260 budget, salaries rise $5 per year) I got Stanton ($60) basically for free and on my team he is the 3rd OF with Luis Robert ($4) as my current reserve/replacement. However, I have been offered several draft pick upgrades for Stanton.

    Just your opinion, cash in now or take a chance on Stanton? I know he was injured last year but if he plays isnt it a guarantee he hits 40+ dingers?

    Thanks Dudes!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Stanton’s free on your team? Then why wouldn’t you keep him — don’t understand the $60 in parenthesis tho

  20. baby seal says:
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    Hey Grey,

    I talked myself into joining your NFBC league. Hopefully it isn’t too late — just submitted my email address — so tell Rudy to sneak me in the backdoor as if my father just donated a new building!

    With Giancarlo, were you referring to that weird Brett Gardner story where that lady says she’s his future wife and he filed for a restraining order?

    Hard for me to ever fathom owning Gallo — I am a sucker for AVG, and separately, players w/ plus hit tools. I’d rather take McNeil at the same adp and role the dice w/ him.

    My home league is about 3 weeks away now. I quickly hopped on ESPN for a mock to test drive that, see if there were any changes, see how the players are actually ordered in the draft room (since they conveniently don’t have that listed anywhere AFAIK…). Also plugged in my league setting on the F Pros Draft Wizard to get a feel for something a little more realistic.

    It’s funny how you immediately think if you’ve been preparing for deep 15-team leagues, then a shallower 12-team league will come easy. It felt like skiing for the first time in a few years, and being surprised how difficult it was / sore you are the next day, even though you run every day. Training different muscles.

    I do want to try and take advantage of these wonky prices, especially on some of the pitchers. But it’s weird AF to try and guess if my league is dense enough to wait on Castillo until ~73 wherever he’s hilariously listed. Or Bieber in the 40s. I think I’ll just take to take them like a round later than their normal adp.

    My guess is that it’ll be a mix of both. Especially guys after rank 100 should slip. But I think someone else will see Castillo and want him too. My league mates aren’t *that* dumb. Game of Chicken ensues!

    But you also got to figure out like where the values are in each situation. Franmil and Schwarber are sick discounts in NFBC. But their price is higher here. All power guys seem to get pushed up, and the “back of the baseball card” guys too, obviously. Anyone with a brand name is at least 5 spots higher than they should be.

    League is H2H, 5×5, 12 team, 3OF, 2U, no MI/CI, 8P, 4 bench, max of 4 acquisitions per week. I’ve been spending a lot of time on roto this year (like it a lot better), and there isn’t a lot of good H2H content out there I trust.

    Got any tips, bro?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice! I don’t think it’s too late, you’ll hear from NFBC soon

      That’s a very shallow league, every team is going to look stacked… I’d especially want big time power and offense…If you don’t have a huge infield, you won’t compete — OF is going to be a dime a dozen with only 3 OFs — I’d go heavy infield up front, a starter or two then OF — like around OZUNA area of draft would be my first OF

      • baby seal says:
        (link)

        That’s awesome advice man, thanks!

        I usually skew infield early for similar reason, but def should focus even more. Like Donaldson gains some value, I think, while Moncada is still awesome, but maybe not as much of a target for me in H2H. Makes sense?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, you needs to baby seal

  21. Game of Throws says:
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    I think I know your answer Grey, but with the news about Severino and Carrasco (not to mention Glasnow and Clevinger) do you think its more important to get your first two starters in early rounds or is it just proof that you should load up on hitters and target SPs in later rounds?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Don’t assume I know — What news? That Carrasco’s got a leg issue? It’s early. Clevinger and Severino were moved way down in my rankings — Glasnow? I wasn’t drafting him, what happened?

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        He’s working on a splitter and a changeup….that’s all I saw

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I didn’t see anything negative (yet)

  22. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I need your help. I am trying to acquire Gerrit Cole (SP/NYY/$45). This is my roster. What kind of a package would I have to offer to get him?

    C Mitch Garver (MIN) $6.00
    C Salvador Perez (KC) $11.00
    C J.T. Realmuto (PHI) $26.00
    1B/OF Cody Bellinger (LAD) $29.00
    1B Freddie Freeman (ATL) $30.00
    1B/3B Yuli Gurriel (HOU) $33.00
    2B Jose Altuve (HOU) $34.00
    2B/3B/SS/OF David Fletcher (LAA) $6.00
    3B Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. (TOR) $6.00
    3B Jose Ramirez (CLE) $53.00
    SS Bo Bichette (TOR) $6.00
    SS Didi Gregorius (PHI) $22.00
    OF Yordan Alvarez (HOU) $6.00
    OF Michael Brantley (HOU) $30.00
    OF Nick Markakis (ATL) $19.00
    OF J.D. Martinez (BOS) $39.00
    OF Luis Robert (CWS) $5.00
    OF Eddie Rosario (MIN) $18.00
    OF Nick Senzel (CIN) $6.00
    UT/SP Shohei Ohtani (LAA) $34.00
    SP Yu Darvish (CHC) $33.00
    SP Clayton Kershaw (LAD) $29.00
    SP Corey Kluber (TEX) $42.00
    SP Frankie Montas (OAK) $6.00
    SP Chris Paddack (SD) $6.00
    SP James Paxton (NYY) IL $34.00
    SP Chris Sale (BOS) $42.00
    SP Max Scherzer (WAS) $47.00
    SP Luis Severino (NYY) $33.00
    RP Nick Anderson (TB) $6.00
    RP Giovanny Gallegos (STL) $6.00
    RP Will Harris (WAS) $6.00
    RP Daniel Hudson (WAS) $6.00
    RP Raisel Iglesias (CIN) $39.00
    RP Corey Knebel (MIL) IL $26.00
    RP Emilio Pagan (SD) $6.00
    RP Will Smith (ATL) $17.00

    Minor leaguers:

    C Luis Campusano (SD)
    C Ronier Quintero (CHC)
    C Adler Rutschman (BAL)
    1B Andrew Vaughn (CWS)
    1B Logan Wyatt (SF)
    2B/SS Nick Madrigal (CWS)
    3B Alec Bohm (PHI)
    SS Royce Lewis (MIN)
    SS Dauri Lorenzo (HOU)
    SS Brice Turang (MIL)
    OF Jo Adell (LAA)
    OF Corbin Carroll (ARI)
    OF Bayron Lora (TEX)
    OF Mickey Moniak (PHI)
    OF Edward Olivares (SD)
    OF Ben Ruta (NYY)
    SP/RHP J.B. Bukauskas (ARI)
    SP/RHP Deivi Garcia (NYY)
    SP/LHP Braxton Garrett (MIA)
    SP/RHP Logan Gilbert (SEA)
    SP/LHP MacKenzie Gore (SD)
    SP/RHP Hunter Greene (CIN)
    SP/RHP George Kirby (SEA)
    SP/LHP Matthew Liberatore (STL)
    SP,RP/RHP Jack Leiter (NYY)
    SP/LHP Shane McClanahan (TB)
    SP/RHP Tristan McKenzie (CLE)
    SP,RP/RHP Casey Mize (DET)
    SP/RHP Ryan Weathers (SD)
    SP/RHP Cole Winn (TEX)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Altuve/Sale? Why don’t you ask them what they want?

      • Scott Kimmel says:
        (link)

        i did and said he wants a top tier prospect in the deal

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Like who? Ask him

          • Scott Kimmel says:
            (link)

            Robert, Bohm, Madrigal, Vaughn, Adell, Paddack, Gore, Mize were the names he asked for

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              One of these guys for Cole?

              • Scott Kimmel says:
                (link)

                and probably Sale

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Sale and which one?

                  • Scott Kimmel says:
                    (link)

                    thats just it. I am not sure. which one would you offer Cole

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Bohm

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
                      (link)

                      I was even thinking Darvish and Adell for Cole

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Yeah, could see it…

                    • Scott Kimmel says:
                      (link)

                      he is also telling me that he wants a few young arms in the deal.

                      Also would you trade Royce Lewis for Julio Rodriguez where I get Rodriguez

  23. Huffin Gas says:
    (link)

    Grey you doing the Yahoo expert league again (or am I thinking of someone else)? Did that draft yet? That’s usually an interesting bunch.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I think so, but I don’t organize it, Pianowski does

  24. kelly leak says:
    (link)

    Thanks Grey!
    Interesting info about walks. In addition to avoiding the heat, the dome should help Texas pitchers avoid weather delays/cancellations and keep a routine.
    Not interested in Gallo either. Drafting a low avg power guy off a wrist problem is Livin La Vida Loca.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yup! Exactly, Kelly Leak, ma’am

  25. RADickeyJokes says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    So, speaking of Gallo, taking over a team in a 12-team 6×6 OPS H2H league where you start 4-to-5 SPs weekly and you can keep 2 keepers 4th round or later in the same round they were drafted (the guy drafted Giolito in the 25th round and dropped him?!). Planning on keeping Yates in the 9th, which leaves me with only two other legitimate options, both of which feel borderline, although leaning Gallo since it an OPS league.

    10th: Gallo
    21st: Stroman

    Gallo? Stroman? Neither?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      In OPS and 10th, I’d go Gallo

      • RADickeyJokes says:
        (link)

        Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  26. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Rockies front runners (with White Sox) for Puig!!!

    [immediately pushes Hlliard into tracks to hop on Puig train]

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA

  27. SheaSeraSera says:
    (link)

    I play Yahoo 6×6 OPS and Complete Games added stat categories. Your walk talk just got me off Gallo, so I will thank you in advance.

    As for rankings for my league, am I to believe this player rater link is the one to use for my draft, minus CG’s I know which is crap shoot anyhow:

    https://razzball.com/playerrater-preseason-yahoomlb12-6X6ops/

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah

      • SheaSeraSera says:
        (link)

        Thanks. Going to do some investigation. Giancarlo 8th….wow. Will take some testicular fortitude to jump on him early this year.

        If Puig goes to Colorado how much would that push him up?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Puig goes to about a $20 player, so what’s that? Around 70-ish?

      • Fungazi 2.0 says:
        (link)

        Have you noticed that Rudy’s projections typically make Rendon look like a schmohawk?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, I have noticed — Anaheim and injury concerns

  28. BBHHI says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    In AL only and as I watch your commentary on the juices ball and who had real power, i feel better and better about Franmil Reyes as a keeper. What do you see as that guys potential ceiling?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      45+ HRs, he’s gonna be great

      • Smitty says:
        (link)

        Love this guy, agree – all in

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yup

  29. Coolwhip

    Coolwhip says:
    (link)

    Look at the big brains on papa Grey here! Bringing in the aerodynamics, physics, and biology, I love it. Did not know that the new stadium was a dome, that certainly makes things interesting. Is it a sealed dome like Tropicana or more like Milwaukee? I agree then, Lance Lynn feels like a chef’s kiss now.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think all domes are retractable nowadays, but I honestly don’t know…Let me know!

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
        (link)

        Oh yeah… Its going to be a giant garage door. So will be interesting how often they leave it open. Cus summer in central Texas can be hot AF and muggy. If the heat index is like 98+ will they close it, or leave it open? something to watch.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          They’ll never leave that f***er open…It’s so freakin’ hot there

          • Coolwhip

            Coolwhip says:
            (link)

            HA. Believe me I know, I have family down there. I like wearing my Angels hats when i visit :)… so i’m guessing April and first half of May its open, then rest of season it’s closed… check. haha.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, right when it heats up and the ball used to jump out of stadium they’ll close it

  30. Earl says:
    (link)

    As late round flier to perhaps take over their team’s closer job, who do you like better Blake Treinan or Matt Barnes?

    Also, think Ryan Mountcastle will make it Baltimore either at start of season of say soon after and do any damage? Also thinking of Nate Lowe. Either of these would be like last round flier in my draft.

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Barnes

      Yes, in on Mountcastle

  31. Jason says:
    (link)

    Solak is a CF now!?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meh, still early, but I do like him

  32. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    He is also telling me that he wants a few young arms in the deal for Cole.

    Also would you trade Royce Lewis for Julio Rodriguez where I get Rodriguez?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure

  33. Ryan741 says:
    (link)

    Grey, couple of trade questions in a points keeper league. Currently have Acuna (11th round keep), Soto (12th), Buehler (12th), Flaherty (12th) and Paddack (14th) as keepers. I can stand pat with those keeps, or I have an offer where I could move Paddack for a 2nd or 3rd round pick, then I could flip Soto to another guy for Betts (2nd round keep) and either Nola or Corbin (both 11ths). Would you stand pat, or make both deals?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hold

  34. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    If Puig signs with Rockies, is he suddenly a strong keeper at $25 in 12 team leagues?

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
      (link)

      Maybe a better question is, where would he jump to on top 100 ranks?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Around 70ish, I’d guess

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Not strong, he’s prolly around a $22-25 player

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
        (link)

        Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  35. Paul says:
    (link)

    In my 20 team dynasty league, there are 3 or 4 guys that I can’t stand as owners (3 transactions per year, offer ridiculous trades, don’t respond to counters, etc. You know the type).

    I have to admit that I take an inordinate amount of pleasure seeing Schmohawk posts for guys that are keepers on those teams.

    I can’t be alone in this behavior, can I? Or am I just a bad person?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, that is correct reaction

  36. Primetime says:
    (link)

    10 team keeper league. We keep 7 players, 3 of them are pitchers.

    I own kershaw but was offered a 3rd rd pick for him. Which would be 21st overall.

    I would have to either keep Lynn, Gallen or Glasnow.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sure, Gallen or Glasnow

  37. johnnyhobbes says:
    (link)

    If you were in a points league and had to decide between Matt Olson, Keaton Hiura, and Austin Meadows……

    Same question apply to the trio of Sonny Gray, dinelson Lamet, Zach Galen

    Right now I’m leaving Olson and Gray….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Meadows, Hiura

      Gray, Gallen, but close on both

      • johnnyhobbes says:
        (link)

        Thanks Grey

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  38. Dean says:
    (link)

    My $10 tucker for his $10 canning and $2 josh james, who wins? AL only 10 tm, $260 budget. Keeper league, all players in year 2.

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      It’s fair, I’d go Canning if year 2 is it

  39. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Damn, Grey.

    That’s fantastic work. I can’t argue one thing you said there. And I had never even considered Gallo a potential schmohawk until I read this piece. I agree. Steer clear.

    Great stuff. Looking forward to your next schmohawk!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  40. brian says:
    (link)

    Thanks for talking me off the Moon-Shot Man, Grey.

    Here’s a thought experiment:

    15 team NFBC auction. 4 beverages down to calm the nerves before it starts.

    You end up with Acuna/Betts for $91 combined after 9 minutes.

    Are you jumping up and down, jumping in your head, or jumping off a low bridge?

    Love the stuff!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Low bridge

  41. Q says:
    (link)

    Does SP strategy change at all in a H2H league w QS instead of wins? Or is the Pitcher Pairings post still the way to go?

    It’s also a 5 moves a week league. So I can stream but only to a point?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, sounds pretty flexible…I’d use the pitchers pairings, but I’d make sure I got my 1st SP in Giolito’s tier

      • Q says:
        (link)

        I have Snell as a round 7 keeper, so I’m straight there.

        You are the absolute best, my dude. Looking forward to renewing my subs and a year under the dome–I’m a Palos Verdes transplant living in Dallas, so looking forward to Ranger games without melting; even night games are untenable for my pathetic SoCal sweat glands.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I went to Texas once in September and I melted and some guy tried to put me on a biscuit, be careful

  42. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Grey, draft strategy question 12 teams
    Was going to draft Story/Ramirez and wait till 4 th rd pick 43 to take Olsen but was wondering at Rd 3 pick 30 i know i should be looking at OF. If Springer is there as i assume all outfielders u have rated ahead of him are gone should i take him or by chance Tatis, Baez or Boagerts are still there take one of them?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, turning down Tatis would be too hard for me that late

      • Cohen says:
        (link)

        Yea i figured that too but if Tatis is gone is Springer the pick?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah

  43. hot corner says:
    (link)

    Nice. Received my NFBC league assignment to find out that I get to match up with the mighty Grey, Son and Grimey this year. Looking forward to it!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      GRIMEY?! Ugh, just sent in my cash to league office, not worth drafting now

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Should be fun, glad you’re in!

  44. rafi says:
    (link)

    Good afternoon Grey!

    slight variation on previous nl only keeper question i had for you. In advance of league draft, each team gets to protect 8 players from being stolen by expansion teams who get to steal a player from each team to fill their roster.

    So, I have to let one of the three planned keepers listed below go unprotected, open to potentially being nabbed in this fashion. It’s an 11-team 5×5 roto, 2-catcher nl-only league, $280 draft budget

    Harper @ $41
    Musgrove @ $6
    Carson Kelly @ $1

    I could see a case made for any of the above. Which one would you leave unprotected? (is it kelly? I’m guessing you’re gonna say kelly)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Kelly

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, I hadn’t even read your last line before answering

      • rafi says:
        (link)

        thanks! i was leaning musgrove at first but my inner Grey voice kept nagging at me to punt catchers

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ha, No problem

  45. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
    (link)

    Signed up for the razz DC. Not sure whose league it is (email said either Donkey or Rudy, but didn’t specify), but I’m ready to go. Watch out Donkey and/or Rudy!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You sandbagged to avoid me!

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
        (link)

        Sorry, no redemption this year! Unless… you want to join my DC? Or are you avoiding me… hmmmm?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, dah!

    • nice. my league hasn’t filled yet. if your league says ‘league not full’, you’re in mine. otherwise, in donkey’s.

  46. dontbichetteme says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,
    Up to pick again. Round 16 in a 12 team H2H keeper league(keep 10)
    Still need some pitching, 1B and maybe a bench bat.

    Best available
    Paxton,Heaney,Maeda
    W.smith, A.Bradley,Gallegos,Kela
    S.Ohtani(DH), Andrus, Tucker, Calhoun

    C-S.PEREZ
    1B-
    2B-ALBIES
    3B-ARENADO
    SS-BREGMAN
    OF-ACUNA, TROUT, SOTO
    UTIL-GALLO, C.BIGGIO

    SP-SNELL, BIEBER, CORBIN, KLUBER, OHTANI
    RP-IGLESIAS

    • dontbichetteme says:
      (link)

      Maeda was just picked

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You need a 1B but you don’t show me any that are available

      I guess a closer

      • dontbichetteme says:
        (link)

        I dont think that any of the 1b options are worth it right now. pretty slim pickings
        Voit, Votto, B.lowe, McMahon, Hosmer, Pederson, Cron, Chavis

        Any closer you prefer?

  47. Mordacious Levator says:
    (link)

    that same league where we drafted the NA draft psycho early (we have no regular draft, but waivers start tonight). i went howard and frias (seemed he had more upside from itch’s comments than some of the others listed ahead of him still out there like kirby, espino (maybe it should’ve been him though), cantillo, j.ryan), o.cruz still out there (itch is a bit higher than where ever these guys look for prospect stuff, a few guys drafted here wouldn’t have been very high for itch). itch said go o.cruz but having mondesi and r.lewis i didn’t necessarily think having 3 young SS (2 of them out of 7 prospect slots) was as useful as maybe stashing some high end SP guys when i had none. nor OF having larnach and k.robinson for OF’ers since we start such shallow hitters started anyway.
    C (1) kraken
    1B (1) E5
    2B muncy (1-3B)
    SS mondesi
    3B dozier (1B/RF)
    LF yordan
    CF acuna (all OF)
    RF dannys antana (pretty much all non 1B/C)
    util (1) j.polanco (SS)
    BN: k.davis (if healthy and not freaked out from impregnating somebody he’ll probably be fine again, did drop upton though on him vs him), brujan
    SP: paddack, darvish, ryu, kluber, carrasco, hendricks, carmart, a.reyes, turnbull (streamer spot), yarbrough
    RP (max 5): osuna, rogers, r.iglesias (actually prefer him to get holds), hand, britton (so i have too many saves too little holds guys)
    NA (max 7, i draft the 2 i don’t have filled): r.lewis, groshans, k.robinson (CF), larnach (RF), puig (later puig and brujan will switch spots), s.howard, frias

    1. i got turnbull to drop for sure, thinking of nabbing ed cab (not NA in yahoo so he wasn’t draftable but can be obtained tonight), tsutsugo (3B/LF) in case say h.dozier isn’t great after last year or k.davis sucks again (already a minor injury), or puig gets signed so late he sucks too tsutsogo could go in util spot (or 3B) and any of these: akiyama, mercado (not sure where he’s playing though and i got speed guys already). if ed cab i could put him in frias’ slot later when he gets minored. see which you’d think should be highest WW priority.

    2. also i’m dropping britton for n.anderson (holds in this league so i’d prefer anderson to get holds, and TB moves so many guys around he probably will, and he’s just better than britton easily), i’d assume n.anderson is a better get in a saves/holds sold separately league than any of itch’s prospect RP guys (this is the kind of league where those guys could be obtained AS they get the role, not stashing them till they do, only 12 X 5 at most RP can be started unless they have SP)

    • Mordacious Levator says:
      (link)

      forgot the original league stuff wasn’t copied here, it’s h2h 12 team dynasty with OPS/holds, QS, hits added.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. Mercado, Cabrera — don’t see how you don’t go Mercado with his skill even if you can’t play in OF

      2. Yeah, that works

      • Mordacious Levator says:
        (link)

        what about chucking j.polanco to try to get both of mercado/ed cab (later he’s the 7th NA over frias unless he’s up this year to start, doesn’t seem likely) and then also chucking britton for n.anderson? if i only drop turnbull i couldn’t get both of mercado/ed cab. i think i first obtained polanco when mondesi went out the first time last year, and if i get mercado he could play RF or util (assuming k.davis doesn’t hit well, and puig).

  48. MrBaseball says:
    (link)

    I Know nobody around but I am drafting will smith over Willson Contreras in a keeper league
    is this madness

Comments are closed.