Honestly, in June of last year, if you would’ve asked me if I’d be writing this post come January, I would’ve said you were as crazy as the Republican field for president, but then July through the end of the year happened and Joc Pederson not only looked lost, but he lost his starting job.  Yes, Cro-Magnonly was their manager and you need to take all of his moves with a grain of salt, but anyone could see Pederson was struggling.  Here, I’ll test you to see if you could tell.  Pederson had a high for a month in power with 9 homers in May and followed that with seven homers in June.  He cruised into the All-Star break with 20 homers and a .230 average.  Post-All-Star break saw him hit only six homers and a .178 average.  That’s-a, how do stereotypical Italians say, notta so good.  Actually, “notta so good” calls up its attorney about pressing defamation charges for being used to describe Pederson’s 2nd half.  The proverbially wheels came off the cart Luke was pushing to buy some frankinstinks.  Is that a proverb?  I don’t know, but it sounds like it.  Anyway, what can we expect from Joc Pederson for 2016 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

To tackle the 2nd part first, I think he’s going to be a sleeper because I doubt he has a locked in job in spring training, which will scare a lot of people off. That’s not to say he won’t have a full-time job for the majority of the season, just that he’ll need to win the job and that could last into April.  Thankfully, that’s gonna cause his stock to plummet.  This is for a 23-year-old with a 30/30 season in the minors under his belt.  30/30 seasons are rare at any level nowadays.  His 30/30 season in Triple-A was the first time it had happened in the PCL in 80 years.  That’s almost as old as those sweatpants you bought from Goodwill!  In Double-A, he had 22 homers and 31 steals.  In High-A, 18 homers and 26 steals.  I mean, these are prodigious numbers and I have no idea what prodigious means but goddamn if it doesn’t sound good.  Last year, he only stole 4 bases in the majors.  Partly, he was only on base to run around them for a home run, but he’s 23 years old!  If he can drop his strikeout percentage from 29.1% to only 22%, he’s gonna hit .275 and steal 25 bases.  Can he do that?  This is where it gets murky.  He swung at only 27% of pitches outside of the strike zone.  That’s not bad.  Yet, he only swung at 65% of pitches inside of the strike zone.  What does that tell me?  He’s not swinging at anything. I.e., he has no idea what’s a strike or a ball.  To back this up, he only swung a total of 43% of the time.  That’s the 27th fewest in the majors.  Mostly, that top 27 are guys that, when they swing, they get results.  Pederson, however, swings and misses 14% of the time.  To give you an idea, Ben Revere only swings 42% of the time, but he only misses 4%.  Charlie Blackmon swings 43% of the time, he misses merely 6%.  This isn’t good for Pederson.  Let’s get back to what is good.  For home runs, his True Distance the ball carried, Pederson was the best in the majors at 421.7 feet.  2nd best was Giancarlo with 417.6.  Most sluggers are in the 405 feet range.  Pederson didn’t just hit balls further, he did it by a far margin.  He has room to spare with his power, he’s got great speed, if he can pick his spots better, and he might hit .220, or if due to his age, he takes a step forward with his batting eye, he hits .270.  That’s the kind of chance I’m willing to take.  For 2016, I’ll give him the projections of 67/26/69/.235/12 with huge upside.

 
  1. Al koholic says:
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    I waited to long to trade him last year dropped him with about thirty games left

  2. Sasquatch sluggers says:
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    Great to be back and hopefully off to a great keeper forever season (we keep 16 this year). RCL leagues were pretty intimidating esp in second half. I’ll try to pick your brain later (if you’ll let me), on how to better manage a RCL team.
    Anyway from this keeper forever team which 16 would you keep? Thanks and I can’t get enough of your wit and wisdom!
    Buxton
    Correa
    Castillo
    Dickerson
    Hosmer
    Kipnis
    Peterson
    Lindor
    Sano
    Segura
    Solarte
    Yasmany Tomas
    Justin Upton
    Vogt
    Giles
    Kenley Jansen
    David Robertson
    Tolleson
    Kluber
    Salazar
    Syndergaard
    Taijuan Walker
    Samardzija
    Paxton
    Matz

    • Sasquatch sluggers says:
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      @Sasquatch sluggersSorry: I meant Pederson not Peterson .

    • I'mgettingsomeHeadley says:
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      @Sasquatch sluggers: I’d keep Kluber, Salazar, Noah, and not Vogt, Solarte and either Tomas or Segura. FWIW

    • Malicious Phenom says:
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      @Sasquatch sluggers:

      I like these 16:

      Buxton
      Correa
      Castillo
      Dickerson
      Hosmer
      Pederson
      Lindor
      Sano
      Yasmany Tomas
      Justin Upton
      Giles
      Kenley Jansen
      Kluber
      Salazar
      Syndergaard
      Taijuan Walker

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Sasquatch sluggers: Thanks!

      Buxton
      Correa
      Dickerson
      Hosmer
      Kipnis
      Pederson
      Lindor
      Sano
      Upton
      Giles
      Robertson
      Kluber
      Salazar
      Walker
      Rusney
      Matz

      • JoeG414 says:
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        @Grey:
        Wow , 16 keepers.

      • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
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        @JoeG414: wow.

  3. Rawr... says:
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    My league is switching to an OBP league this year. Do you think he can keep up his walk rate or were his 92 BB kind of fluky last year?

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      @Rawr…: BB’s are hard to fluke, unlike hits, or homers in some cases.

  4. Charles says:
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    ESPN has him 124 overall (OF37) in their early Cockcroft rankings. 11th round in a 12-teamer. How early would you consider drafting him?

  5. Amolnar says:
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    Grey, I need some advice. Before I start I just wanted to say thank you. I have won my league back to back mainly because your excellent advice.

    I am in a keeper league though and I need some thoughts on who to keep. We changed the league to a “contract” league this year. I can keep any of these guys (up 5 years) but I have to take the average of the last two year auction values as their keeper value. If i want to lock a player in for multiple years I need to sign them to a contract. Each year I add to their contract, their price goes up by $5. Example A: Xander Bogaerts was $1 two years ago and was $3 last year. His contract would start at $2 this year and for every year I sign him, it would increase to $5. Essentially, I need the player to make a big jump or just improve by $5 each year for it to make sense to sign them. Lastly, I can keep up to 10 guys if I want and I get $280 for both the keepers and the auction draft.

    In general, what would your strategy be for this type of league. Just sign a bunch of young players to long term deals? Would you ever keep a Clayton Kershaw when the upside is so little given I would pay $35 for him and each $5 increase makes his value much harder to achieve.

    Of these guys who would you be looking to sign long term? I will list the player and then the average price I could start the contract at this year.
    Kolten Wong: $5
    Xander Bogaerts: $3
    Corey Dickerson: $12
    Delino DeShields: $1
    Starling Marte: $22
    Anthony Rendon: $15
    Carlos Gomez: $24
    Joc Pederson: $1

    Kershaw: $32
    Pineda: $2
    Severino: $1
    Arrieta: $5
    Strasburg: $20
    GAusman: $2

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Amolnar: In general, I’d keep studs that were expensive like Kershaw… I don’t know how many teams, I’d probably keep Xander, Dickerson, Delino, Marte, Rendon, Pederson, Kershaw, Pineda, Arrieta, Strasburg

      • Amolnar says:
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        @Grey:

        It is a 10 team league. Would you sign them to contracts even though it bumps up their contract value by $5 each year?

        In three years Kershaw will be costing me $42. At the end of the contract he automatically goes back into the auction pool. If I decide to cut someone and drop him while on contract I have to pay half of his remaining salary even though he isn’t on my team.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I wouldn’t want to be tied to Kershaw at that price for that long

  6. Luvdarooks says:
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    Who would be a comparable to trade for? All are Only $10 in this high inflation 10 keeper $5 /year raise NL ONLY very deep league?

    Matz-R Ray- Franco-Shrwarber-A Guerrero
    OR IS JOC BETTER THAN ALL OF THEM THE NEXT TWO YEARS?

    This gives me a gage on his worth in our league according to you…. Joc is one of the toughest guys to figure in my 30 years of fantasy.
    ( I hate Dunn type players if that’s what he becomes)

  7. Left Hangs Lower says:
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    What’s up, Grey

    In a brand new dynasty draft (16 teams, 28 MLB players, 5 OF), about what ADP are you nabbing Pederson?

  8. Clint says:
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    I can’t believe I’m asking this but which young underperforming Dodger OF has a higher ceiling and/or do you expect to actually get close to it in 2016: Puig or Joc? I have Puig in both roto & h2h and am wondering if I should cut keeper bait & roll the dice Joc may be thrown back into the pool too instead, assuming Yasiel isn’t traded, that is. I wanna believe Puig can pull a Harper & turn this around in 2016 but the news around continues to feel far worse.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Clint: Joc has a higher ceiling

  9. CMUTimmah says:
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    In OBP leagues, I can’t see Joc being a sleeper. In AVG where walks are ignored, his ceiling might only be a 3rd OF.

    I had Joc as a minor leaguer in a league where Walks/OBP are 2 of many categories. I had to make a decision to call him up or trade him due to injuries near the all star break. I chose trade, got back CarGo (on this last year of his contract) and rode Cargo to the world series. Why did I trade him? It’s ez:

    I drafted Joc as a guy I thought would break into the league hitting .275/15 HR/30 Bags. That was my expectation. Instead he hits 30 HRs and gets 4 bags. FOUR. Why is this? I know he wasn’t hitting, but his OBP was respectable due to never swinging and getting walked. The Dodgers made a conscious decision to keep him on a leash on the base paths. But why?

    My theory is because he’s not too bright. He ran at times that didn’t make sense often in the minors. He ran against catchers in the PCL that aren’t known for their defensive acumen. Maybe it will never translate to the MLB?

    I traded him for one reason. I thought to myself, if I had Chris Carter on my team, would I keep him? Even with all the HRs, Carter isn’t even a 4th OF in leagues like this one with so many offensive categories. If Joc isn’t going to steal, and he isn’t going to get RBIs in the leadoff spot, then is he even as good as Chris Carter at this point? Will he be in the future?

    Calling him a sleeper is OK – because if you can get him in the last 5 rounds of your draft, you’re not investing much in a high ceiling. But the floor is as low as the ceiling is high for this guy.

    • Luvdarooks says:
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      Dude my sentiments exactly. WELL PHRASED

    • Caitlyn Jenners Penis says:
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      @CMUTimmah: Sounds like you made the right call on the call up or trade decision. My issue with your comparison is that Carter was never a SB guy at any level and his ‘power only’ label is after 6 seasons in the majors with 2000+ PA. Pederson is 23. This is a difficult game even for the best athletes. I don’t think either half of the 2015 season is necessarily indicative of what his career will be, but I am confident his stats will not emulate Chris Carter as a comp..

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @CMUTimmah: Have you seen his speed? He’s not a 4 steal guy… He’s not Chris Carter…

      • CMUTimmah says:
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        @Grey: Grey – I’m aware of his speed, but I am not sure they “just had the reigns on him” causing him to only have 4 steals. He had 55 singles and 92 walks. He was on first base 147 times, say 30% of those times he was blocked by a guy in front of him, he still had 100 opportunities to steal and he stole 4 times, caught 7 times. That % of stealing, with that few attempts, is alarming. Austin Jackson has speed, but can’t steal bases to save his life. There have been plenty of guys that can’t steal a base with speed in this league, and maybe he’ll get better and reading pitchers, maybe he’ll learn better counts to steal in, but as of right now, you can’t count on him for 25+ steals without sounding extremely optimistic. That being said, the rest of his perifs look very Carter-y. He might just be a #6 hitter, not a leadoff guy. He sure doesn’t take a leadoff swing. He sees a lot of pitches, which is way Donny Mat thought leadoff was the right spot for him. But in the 6 hole, his ceiling would be even lower.

        I rarely disagree with you Grey, but you can have this guy :)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Austin Jackson stole 27 bases and more than 20 bases twice in five years…

          • CMUTimmah says:
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            @Grey: I understand what you’re trying to say, but he was lauded as a guy that WOULD steal 30 plus for years and never showed that kind of ability in the majors (and maybe that was just the Yankee hype machine working in overdrive). Just like Joc coming up and the expectation was 20+. If you could tell me Joc will get 40 attempts to steal bases next year, I would tell you he has a chance at 20 successful steals. Considering last year in 3/4 of a season as a full time leadoff hitter they only give him the green light (or he only got a good enough jump to attempt the steal) 11 times, I don’t see him getting 40+ attmepts. And that’s taking into account the fact that the dodgers lineup came out the gates hitting like the Babe Ruth/Mickey Mantle era Yankees. I see him getting at most 30 attempts and 10-13 steals. As I stated in my original post, if you can get him very like as a 5th OF flyer, then I guess you could then call him a sleeper, but we all know his price tag will be higher than the 14th-15th round.

            Last year, you loved Wong, and I was totally mouth-ifying Wong with you. Chris Davis, I was on board. Arenado’s price tag sky rocketed around draft time, or I would have nabbed him early too. We usually agree! Joc I just don’t see the love for. Maybe if they get him to cut that massive uppercut swing down a bit, he’ll prove to be better at hitting improving his ability to get to first base creating more opportunities to steal, but I just don’t see him changes his game with his very apparent attitude. Maybe I’m wrong, we’ll find out next year.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You’re talking about a guy that stole 17 bases last year… If Joc equals AJax’s steal totals with 25 homers, I’d be thrilled

              • Kutty says:
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                All I know is last year I doubted AJ Pollocks sleeper post last year.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Mmm-hmm

            • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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              @CMUTimmah: just for a possible year 1 to 2 with speed guys, springer wasn’t allowed to steal either as a rookie, then go look at his last year pace. in year one he did have a nagging injury that we may have only heard about months after it existed, and that could’ve been why, but it could’ve been just coaching.

        • @CMUTimmah: yeah the alarming part wasn’t really the “only 4 steals” thing, it was him getting caught 7 times. lots of basestealers kind of take it easy their first year in the league while they get a feel for the pitchers’ moves and stuff like that, but getting caught twice as often as you make it will get you the red light real fast.

          that doesn’t mean he can’t learn, but he has to fix that ratio or they won’t let him run. luckily, the new manager knows a thing or two about getting a jump.

          but there IS such a thing as minor league basestealers that just never translate to the majors.

          • @wily mo: To follow-up on this point, the fact that Joc had such a rough second half at the dish may very well have plagued his confidence while on base, thus affecting his ability to feel comfortable stealing bags. The non-statistical side of baseball tells me that his steals will come with more consistent contact and confidence at the plate. I think it was more of a mental, confidence thing than an inability to steal bases at the major league level.

  10. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Last year I drafted Joc in the 19th round in my 12 team OBP league + traded him a week after all star break for a great return. I have a feeling that somehow he’ll still be draftable in the 15+ round area (at least with my leaguemates), which is NUTS!

  11. Malicious Phenom says:
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    Looking for anyone interested in taking over a team in a forever keeper league.

    I have a few teams available, so first come first served.

    This league is played on fantrax.

    email me here, if interested:

    [email protected]

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @Malicious Phenom: dude, you need to post the teams by roster. it takes a few minutes to type, but you get informed interest that way. it’s easier than sending out emails to half a dozen people (or more) some of which end up being wasted email sending if/when somebody sees a roster they don’t like. You also save a LOT of time of the people who might be interested.

      • SwaggerJackers says:
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        @goodfold2: Agreed! More details!

        Is it a money league?

        H2H, Roto?

        Is there a public link for the league we can take a look at?

  12. Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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    Steve Avery?!!?

    • Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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      @Mrs.Featherbottom: We’ve still got 3 episodes left – but thought you’d like to know that I used to party with the ex-boyfriend and roommate. Completely forgot about those dudes until episode 2.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        No way! Are you serious? That’s who everyone is saying is the real killers…

        • Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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          @Grey: Went to my undergrad, along with Katrina!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Come on! You’re messing with me now… You still talk to them?

            • CMUTimmah says:
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              @Grey: I like the brother as the real killer. He seems pretty calculating in his responses to questions in the media from what they showed on the show……

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I like Brendan’s stepfather as the killer

              • Pager24 says:
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                @CMUTimmah: I have an old roommate that is from Manitowoc and while he’s not friends with the Tahlbac’s, he’s knows of them pretty well. It turns out the brother Tahlbac is currently employed by the Packers in some way? I too thought it was weird he took some many opportunities to get in front of the cameras… i mean what about the mom and dad?

            • Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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              @Grey: Nope – just remember them hanging out with the same hippie crowd.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Get them all on the podcast! You’re like our Milwaukee booking agent…

                • Mrs.Featherbottom says:
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                  @Grey: Ha!

            • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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              That’s crazy Mrs. Featherbottom.

              Lenk and Colburn were the slimiest people on there (except for that sketch artist). I wouldn’t put anything past them.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha… What about Paula Dean, the DNA expert?

                • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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                  How can we leave out Dassey’s first defense lawyer and his investigator?!?! Top-notch lawyering and investigating out of those two.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    We’re winners and we choose sides, though it may not be side we’re defending — Law offices of Len Kacinsky

                    • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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                      You get a plea! And you get a plea! Everyone gets a plea deal!!!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      If it would PLEAse the court, I’m Len Kawinski and I approve this message…I think, the editors are still fiddling with it and I need to go to dinner.

                    • Dr. Kenneth Noisewater says:
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                      Draw me a picture of what you think your plea deal should look like. We can’t help you if you don’t color inside the lines.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      How about we break for lunch…you can have filet mignon if you take a plea and dog food if you want me to try this case. Your call.

  13. Boomer19 says:
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    Morning Grey. I have Joc on my list but hoping he falls in our draft to about pick 100. Who do you like more next year between Dee Gordon and Chris Davis in 5×5 roto? Does it matter where Davis lands? Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Davis… Where he lands could change things slighty

  14. J-FOH says:
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    I always like a player who takes a walk, regardless of how you want to interpret it, the kid was in good company as he was one of 6 players to have an ISO higher than .200 and a walk rate greater that 15% (Goldy, Harper, Joey Bats, Votto, and Sano are the others).

    The Dodgers as a whole didn’t run even though they had the best BB% (9.2%) and third best OBP (.326)in the league. They were 1 of 7 teams to attempt less than 100 steals swiping 59 total or 1 more than Dee Gordon and got thrown out only 34 times. I’m assuming you can’t get more conservative than Boreattingly. With all that being said, they didn’t have the flashiest team, but with Joc’s wheels he has no where to go but up with the bags

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You know Dave Roberts isn’t going to be sitting on bags too

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: exactly. He’s a great buy low and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him leading off at some point in the year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Totally

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: Totes McTote Totes

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

  15. nmdunkel says:
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    Hard dude to figure out. Totally burned with sliders in the second half, hit fastballs almost identically.

    My guess is that Pederson’s dead-pull hitting was exploited via shift (which would explain the babip drop), and his hesitancy to swing when he wasn’t getting his pitch allowed the slider to travel too far before he made contact, resulting in a lot of infield flies.

    Anyway, from my armchair I’m seeing a young hitter with serious power with one glaring isolated problem. I’d bet he can be coached up and fix it enough to hit .250. That’s be tasty.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agreed!

  16. Joey Bats says:
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    In a 6×6 OPS and QS league I need to keep 6 players. Which two on the list do I throw back? — Correa, Betts, Votto, Greinke, Kuechel, Cain, Heyward, Buxton. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Buxton, Greinke

  17. Zeus says:
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    Would you rather have Joc or Souza? I think I’d rather wait a few rounds and pick up Souza. I guess it’s going to depend on where they’re going

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Joc

  18. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    new league – 10 team roto/keep forever. won the ‘ship last year, trying to get an early think on these keepers.

    which 10 are you taking?

    Swihart
    Crush Davis
    Arenado
    Machado
    Bogaerts
    Edwin Encarnacion
    Conforto
    Starling Marte
    Tulo
    Adam Jones

    Arrieta
    Scherzer
    Hamels
    Carrasco
    Salazar
    Darvish

    thinking probably: Crush, Arenado, Machado, Bogey, Edwin, Marte, Tulo, Adam Jones, Arrieta and Scherzer

    thanks homies

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Malicious Phenom: thanks. sucks to break up that pitching staff either way

    • J-FOH says:
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      @SheriffMcRawDawg: In a dynasty I would actually consider Conforto over Jones since the rest of your keepers are so good

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @J-FOH: thanks – my guys are definitely getting on the old side. hopefully I’ll swing some trades early on. maybe 2fers or picks for a correa or something. either way, the wire in this league is pretty much always stockpiled.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @SheriffMcRawDawg: If you are throwing back what you are you might as well hold Jones, is this 3 or 5 OF?

          • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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            @J-FOH: 5 OF…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, those ten work…

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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        @Grey: thanks. any chance carrasco takes a semi-arrieta leap forward next year? would probably still prefer adam jones to him, no?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Carrasco’s better than Jones but not in a 10 team league with the pitching you have

  19. Polka

    Polka says:
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    Mr. Burns would be yelling at Sideburns for not being more patient with his young hitter, and to trim those sideburns!
    He’s a kid and will learn and earn his spot and batting style. I agree 101% with him as a sleeper again without a promised starting job, and the Trolley-Dodgers buying everything in site. What would a guess be at an Auction Price? I’d imagine he’ll go for more than a buck?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, yup… I’d guess $8-12 in 12 team leagues… Changes on how many teams

      • Polka

        Polka says:
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        yeah that’s my guess too, most of mine are 12’ers anywho-
        @Grey:

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Gotcha

  20. Fungazi says:
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    In a 12-team league with 6 keepers forever, you are keeping Goldsmitty, Arenado, Stanton, Marte, G. Cole, who is your last keeper? Dickerson, Schwarber or Salazar?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Tough call…Schwarber

      • Fungazi says:
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        @Grey: Thanks my man, right now I’m leaning Dickerson mainly because Schwarber has such a small sample size. He sorta finished the year Pederson-like. Can’t wait for the rankings and then ask you again in March, haha.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, I can’t argue with that

  21. MB says:
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    Im gonna draft him and then if I win I will send you a couple dollars for happy hour.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sweet!

  22. ERad says:
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    Man I remember last year when it was a question of who was gonna make it into the top 20 overall between him and Springer – poor guy just needs a little shove in the right direction.

    I held on to him all year as a 13th rounder – but with Harper (1), Altuve (7), Rizzo (9), and Pollock (12) locking up my 4 keeper slots it looks like I’ll just have to reach (around) to grab him in the top 100. And yes I know Vulfpeck – check out Snarky Puppy for more white boys reinterpreting African-American musical styles.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, totally… Snarky Puppy? Looking now… Sounds like a meme

  23. chaz says:
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    So basically he’s pretty picky about what he swings at, but when he decides to swing, it’s all or nothing. With a name like Joc …

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, yup

  24. Friedman for Freeman says:
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    Gotta make a decision on last keeper in obp format. Joc or Stras?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Stras

  25. Whatever says:
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    Not sure what to do in my OBP keeper league. Cutch owner cant keep him next year and has to trade him. He wants Pollock straight up. I can keep Pollock for 2 bucks for one year and then trade him or give him a long term contract for extra $5 a year. i.e. 2 years at 12, 3 years at 15. Or trade him now for Cutch who would cost me $27 for one year or $32 per year for two years. Sometimes keeper leagues can drive you crazy.

    • Malicious Phenom says:
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      @Whatever: I keep Pollock and give him a 3 year deal @ $15.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agree with MP…Prolly only two year deal at $12 though

    • Whatever says:
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      @Whatever: Thanks Fellas. Appreciate it.

  26. Tom says:
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    Do you think if Joc’s avg bumps up to .250 or .275, do you think that it will effect his power? Will he take something off his swing and hit more for average? I feel like he swings for the fences with every swing. Is this something you think will change?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t think that’s going to change, I think if he hits .275 he’ll just be hitting more line drives and K’ing less

  27. The Great Knoche says:
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    Pederson or Pollack in dynasty long term? Comparable Salaries.

    Glad it’s baseball season again!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Pollock, but could change after this year

  28. Tom says:
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    Thanks for the response Grey! What do you think about the news that Javier Baez might be a super utility player like Zobrist was for Maddon? Do you think all of the movement will effect his at bats? How many ABs do you think he gets in 2016?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Can’t imagine he gets more than 250 ABs as of right now

  29. J-FOH says:
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    You ever watch Master Chef Canada?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, I haven’t, I’d likely love it though

    • Vegans says:
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      @J-FOH: poutine… poutine… poutine…

      oh, and beaver!

      Seriously, Toronto is one of the greatest cities and it is jammed with incredible places to eat.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Vegans: I love eating Beaver!

        • Vegans says:
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          @J-FOH: Who doesn’t?

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Vegans: Charles Nelson Riley?

            • Vegans says:
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              @J-FOH: Okay, I laughed at that one.

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Vegans: I was playing up to your age group

                • Vegans says:
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                  @J-FOH: I figured as much. He hasn’t done a whole lot lately but I hear he’s knock ’em dead somewhere in the ethereal plane.

          • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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            @Vegans: those things almost went extinct in north america from those damn frogs doing stuff like that.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Today’s Mystery Box…Elk!

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Grey: they use animals I’ve never heard of and the contestants say “oh, I cook with dat all the time eh”

          And my new favorite line about rabbit “I’m Italian we eat rabbits all the time”

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Sounds like one of those crazy northern (prairie) Italians

          • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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            @J-FOH: i thought rabbits eaten all the time was a french thing more than most of europe.

  30. Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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    ahhhh hhaaa, last shield episode,
    “hello, i’m steve billings’ attorney”
    dutch: (looks up, confused, when he sees her and matches face to previous reports) “the bitch dyke?”
    “i’m sorry?”
    “billings described you differently”

    and oh man was shane stupid and went out very very badly, but he was loved by his wife.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, such a great finale… Whole series really held up well the whole way through, better than a ton of other shows

      • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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        @Grey: this is true. Forget that Mackey probably ended worse than Shane did, wherever he ran off to can’t end in anything other than family hostage situation/death/prison (and i don’t think he’d ever let himself be caught for that)

  31. Sheik says:
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    Dynasty league trade proposal

    I give up Vincent Velasquez SP, PHI and receive Kevin Gausman…

    I’ve always thought Gausman has had the stuff but just needed experience. Thoughts on this one Grey…thanks a bunch.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds fair, I’d hold

      • Sheik says:
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        @Grey: Thank you sir! V.V. also earns RP/SP this year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  32. Billy the Kid says:
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    So who you like better then, Spring or Joc? This year? next couple of years?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Springer

  33. Fever Dog says:
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    Howdy Grey,
    10-team, h2h, 5×5
    Keeping three, one must be 25 or younger
    Just wanted to see if these keepers are still the right choice going into 2016. Those first three are who I was going with. If those are the ones I should go with, I’m going to try to deal Kershaw before the draft. If I should keeep Kershaw, who gets dropped?

    Thanks!

    Rizzo
    Arenado
    Correa (U-25)

    Kershaw
    Betts
    Justin Upton
    Car-Go
    Hosmer
    Bogaerts
    Carlos Gomez

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, I’d go 1st three

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Fever Dog: grey will kill me with this but I might be inclined to keep kershaw over nolan or rizzo in h2h. Such a tough call.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Sounds like someone who never played H2H

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Grey: Oh I have, didnt care for the format, really lame, but usually did well. Came down to being able to count on my aces in the playoffs as we were limited by moves so streamers became a little more difficult to use

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Aces are a waste in H2H

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Grey: yuptcha

  34. Q says:
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    Soooooo……sure this is well worn territory……but when do rankings start?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      1/18

  35. John Gibbons' Speech Coach says:
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    Hi Grey,

    Happy New Year!

    Two questions about my 14 team keeper league. There are 3 OF

    1-I got offered Pollock ($18) for Corey Seager ($7)

    2- Who is a better target Pollock ($18) or Springer ($24) and would you trade Seager for either?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1. Seager 2. Springer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      2. Prolly not

  36. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
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    alright is this a no brainer? just offered to me: my first round pick (2nd overall) for his 3rd, 4th, and 5th round picks…

    my first pick would be giancarlo or donaldson. not sure which # picks I’d be getting, but should I go for it?

    12 team, keep 8, here are mine for reference:

    4 – Cole Hamels
    6 – Nelson Cruz
    10 – Dallas Keuchel
    17 – Taijuan Walker
    18 – Chris Davis
    19 – Joey Gallo
    21 – Lorenzo Cain
    25 – Jeurys Familia

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d want the first pick

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
        (link)

        @Grey: ahh it’s tough!

  37. Caitlyn Jenners Penis says:
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    Please rank following SP for 2016:

    Odorizzi
    Corbin
    Tanaka

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      My ranks come out soon

  38. KevinB says:
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    Hi Grey!

    Do you feel Alex Wood will bounce back this season? What are you early projection on Wood? I see that he is on the WW on a few of my keeper leagues while I was cruising for bargains. :)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, he’s barely in the rotation if at all

  39. How'd you know says:
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    For a keeper league with OBP, do you prefer Joc or Heyward for this year? What about over the next 3 years?

    Stupid to drop Heyward and keep Joc with the knowledge that Hey probably outperforms him this year?

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Heyward for this year, Joc prolly starting next year is better (hopefully)

  40. Wild Thing says:
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    Hi Grey, can’t wait for the season. Thanks for your awesome advice! My question is how long would you sign Joc Pederson for in a $260 salary cap league where every extra year is $5. He’s $1 on my roster so if I sign him 3 years it’s $16 every year, 4 years = $21 per year, 5 years for $26 per year, etc. I have a ton of cap space and my other OFs are JD Martinez and Polanco signed for 2-3 year deals each. Thanks!!!

  41. SteveNZ says:
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    I’d be keeping the week of May 10th free, if I were you.

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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      @SteveNZ: you celebrate my sister’s birthday….

  42. Justin says:
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    I was lucky enough to pick him up off waivers in a keeper league who was going for it all and traded for depth and had to drop him. That’s a reason you hold onto the #1 waiver priority.

    It’s a 12 keeper ops and qs are extra cats. We keep 7 and play only one util but one extra infield slot. Can you help with early keepers.

    Bryant
    Carlos Gonzales
    Joc
    Cano
    Prince
    Rendon
    Tulo
    Crawford
    Carlos santana
    Grienke
    Wacha
    Severino.

    Love the site always appreciate the help and humor of the site. I have been checking everyday for the beginning of the rankings. When will they start. Thank you in advance.

Comments are closed.