Singing a’la Ethel Merman, “I……saac Paredes!” You ever wonder if Ethel Merman was an actual merman, the fabled marine creature with the head and upper body of a man and the tail of a fish? Well, I do. It keeps me up at night, actually. Cougs rolls over in the middle of the night, and sees my eyes are open, as I stare at the ceiling. Finally, she asks, “Are you thinking about Ethel Merman again?” Sullenly, I nod my head, then I turn to her, “She was so…fascinating.” Any hoo! Isaac Paredes is brought to you by me, after Podcaster Ralph brought him to my attention. True story alert! I woke up yesterday at 7 AM from a text message that read from Ralph, “I have your next Dart Throw.” Groggy (after thinking about Ethel Merman all night), I replied, “Who…?” And thus began a back and forth of Ralph telling me Jeimer Candelario wouldn’t be starting at 3rd base this year for the Tigers, and I……saac Paredes would. Back in January, which was approximately 18 months ago in real time, Prospect Itch said Isaac Paredes was a solid pick in 50-round draft and hold leagues, i.e., Draft Champion leagues. With no minor leagues this year, and Paredes on the 40-man roster, and a Latin 21 years old, and every team having a chance in a shortened season, why, I ask, not? He’s definitely going late (NFBC ADP 748), and is a guy who will be available in the deepest of leagues, even your 12-team AL-Only whosie-ma-jigs. So, what can we expect from Isaac Paredes for 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him a great dart throw?

First off, there seems to be a disconnect with projections systems and Isaac Paredes. Steamer projections (every rookie’s projections are at that link) for Paredes has him hitting .264. It also projects him for 13.1 K% and 7.6% walk rate. That’s got me with my hands on my knees, squinting, massively confused. Steamer’s not the only one either. ZiPS has him down for 15.5% K% and 7.5% walk rate with a .253 average. Looking at Paredes, he does appear on first glance like a little dump truck, so he’s not exactly going to beat out many infield worm-killer-dinkers to third. Luckily, he doesn’t hit on top of the ball into the ground. He averages a near-37% ground ball and, for those that don’t know, that’s not a lot of ground balls. Last year, he produced a 20.4 LD% and near-40% FB rate. Ready for your eyes to really pop from your sockets? He had a 4.6% SwStr%. That’s ludicrous. “But you gotta know that’s-that’s my fantasy.” That’s Ludacris drafting Paredes. He’s Nick Madrigal with actual power. You know who Isaac Paredes reads as? A baby Rafael Devers. I will call him, Rafael Natal. Why do the projections think nothing of him? They don’t see him. I think they’re underestimating his contact combined with his developing power. He takes walks, hits strikes and hits them hard. It’s a bit bizarre he’s going after 700 overall in NFBC, but the fantasy community hasn’t pushed Paredes yet, because the Tigers seemed to be tanking in 2020, during Preseason 1.0. When a shortened season is revealed, it will be obvious no teams will be tanking; there’s no reason to anymore. Any team (besides the O’s) can win 45 games in an 82-game season and stay in the mix. Isaac Paredes is still a dart throw because we don’t know the Tigers’ exact plans, but if they include him, he’s going to zoom up in people’s sheets, which is not to say he’s going to be in a group video chat with his teammates where everyone is saying, “Make sure to mute yourself,” and you can’t hear anyone.

 
  1. galica says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Great dart throw report!!

    a. Am sold on Paredes. Will wait for the first injury to take hold to add him if he’s still there. Your selling point? Nick Madrigal with power!!!

    b. MLB quote of the day for May 8, 1929

    ‘A fellow doesn’t last long on what he has done. He has to keep on delivering.’

    Carl Owen Hubbell, aka ‘The Meal Ticket’ and ‘King Carl’. Many accolades (won the NL MVP twice (1933, 1936)). Was able to get away from the Detroit Tigers and Ty Cobb’s poor performance reviews, saying it was the best thing that could have happened to him. He was close to retiring in 1928!! He struck 5 batters in succession at the 1934 All-Star Game – Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Jimmie Foxx, Al Simmons and Joe Cronin. The legend lives on.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Yes!

      B. That’s such a great quote in general…Good stuff today, Ante!

      • galica says:
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        Grey!!

        Thanks, man. Forever I have been tooting the horn to my wife a la the first half of the quote and my wife has been tooting the horn to me a la the second half of the quote. Now for the first time I see both halves of the quote together and it makes sense. I don’t like it that this world is a ‘what have you done for me lately’ world but now I see the logic. Am going to learn from these quotes too!!! Way better than when we started with Queue the cue, CSI Miami quotes, right? Those were funny but not life-learning.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha, life lessons!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Razzball comments leading to personal growth!

  2. NUX says:
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    @Knoche, I just hit you with the Invite link on the Tweeter, please jump in ASAP if you want to join this one still.

    Grey, I’ll send it for you once we have 11 others in

    • return2earth says:
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      if u need another player .. shoot the details + link over to @balkatthemoon on twitter

      • NUX says:
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        Will do brother, problem is that we actually have too many… haha so maybe I’ll start up another. I wrote down your deetz, will let you know

        • return2earth says:
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          all good brother!

          appreciate you keeping me in mind

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Start more leagues!

            • NUX says:
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              I’m gonna, I just saw others commenting here yesterday that they were interested. Might as well fire more up. Stay tuned.

              Grey for this one, we just waiting on 3 more guys to join that have been waiting for NFBC to fix that issue for us. For example, my guy @ZackWho likes to sleep in. WAKE UP ZACK!! Where/who are you?

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Haha, cmon, Zackwho!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

  3. leon says:
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    Looks like we are very close to finding out if theres a season.

    ($23)Jorge Soler or ($19)Conforto for 2020 and beyond. 6×6 dynasty league. walks/holds are the extra stats.

    thanks ahead

    • NUX says:
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      Why do you say that about being close to season? Did I miss some news?

      Also, archer is toast for 2020, just saw that news

      • leon says:
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        no, no news, but an answer should be made within the next 1week for a realistic shot of july games.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Yeah, they have to decide soon, Nux, one way or the other

      • lennydykstraisjustkmisunderstood says:
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        Does not sound very promising to me at the moment….they are so far apart

        I have to say if there is no major spike in the virus after all the close contact and rioting it will not be due to health concerns. It will be money…..

        Amazingly, I hear virtually no-one warning against and shouting out about the virus with all the close contact or protesters and rioter so either:

        1. there is no major danger
        2. there is still danger but some factions would be happy for this lock down to continue

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’ve heard the danger drops in a big way in outdoor spaces, so yeah, I don’t know why they’re not playing baseball anymore either outside of $ issues

        • Cram It says:
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          1. The risk is significantly lower outdoors, especially when they’re moving around and majority still wearing masks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Agreed, we’re getting close to hearing

      Soler or Conforto is so close…I’d go Conforto due to cheaper price

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        I’d want Conforto for the simple fact that I’ve seen it more than once. Literally only thing that changed for Soler was FB% and HR/FB% with a slight uptick in hard contact. K Rate, BB Rate and Z/O Swing % all very similar. If those FBs turn back into IFFB he’s back to what he was before. Granted I dont see full regression, but it is possible

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s fair points

  4. Shallow League Decisions says:
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    I’m really solid at 1B and 3B. I also have K. Marte at 2B. Muncy can play either of those positions and is in on my bench.

    1. Would you start Muncy over K. Marte at 2B in a shorter season for counting stats?

    2. If not, would you offer up Muncy for Gleyber? With the proposed division alignment I’m liking the AL/NL east players and all those hitters parks.

  5. Grey

    Grey says:
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    1. I’d want Marte, but they do feel much closer now

    2. I’d take Gleyber

    • Shallow League Decisions says:
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      Would you start Gleyber over Marte at 2B?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Sure

        • Shallow League Decisions says:
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          Sure as in deco alley or sure like a shoulder shrug? ?

          • Shallow League Decisions says:
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            Sorry, bunch of typos. Meant to type “sure” as in definitely over Marte or “sure” like a shoulder shrug? ?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Gotcha

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Haha, they’re super close in my rankings, Gleyber is above him, but I’d prefer Marte if I were straight drafting

  6. NUX says:
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    Starting up a $10 NFBC Bestball league, which you may have seen me commenting @Grey and @Knoche about the last few months. The link to join is below. The Password is “Bobby” (caps B).

    https://bestball10s.shgn.com/signup/baseball?for=0;399,70,2972,7200&private_code=75243k

    NFBC doesn’t appear to work in all 50 states or overseas. So if you have an issue joining, it may be that.

    A few things to point out about this type of league:

    Starting Lineups as follows:
    1 Catcher
    1 1B
    1 2B
    1 3B
    1 SS
    2 OF
    1 UTIL
    4 Pitchers

    Yes you read that correct, only 2 OF and 4 OF start in your weekly bestball lineup. There are 12 starting slots and 32 rounds in the draft, so you’re drafting 20 bench slots.

    You don’t select your lineup, you draft and then your done. Optimized lineups run by NFBC does the rest of the work.

    The points/scoring can be found within the league page.

    Payout:
    $75 to 1st
    $20 to 2nd
    $10 NFBC Credit to 3rd

    When this league fills, the draft will start. There is a 2 Hour clock on picks until the last round or two, then its a 1 hour clock.

    • NUX says:
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      Grey, the others from our usual drafting group are all in this other draft that I’ve been waiting to get to 11 before I send the link.

      The reason that I do that is because if I post the link for you here, any commenters can just jump into it before you do.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Okay

    • NUX says:
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      So what I mean to say is, you should def jump into this one here that I just commented about. But be on the lookout for another link if you wanna do 2 of these (it might not be until tomorrow).

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Meh, no rush on 2nd

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Nux!

      • NUX says:
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        I’ll repost this on tomorrow’s writeup, got a feeling most have already checked in and read your post today.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Okay, cool

  7. Homer's got the Runs says:
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    Villar value? In a keeper league where I am carrying Wong, Odor and Solak who all have eligibility at 2nd base, do you think offering Verlander straight up is a fair offer? I am deep in starters and want a top end option at 2nd base.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You’re carrying Wong? Hey now! Verlander is fair, I think you can likely do better tho

      • Homer's got the runs says:
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        I need the stolen bases Wong provides. Problem with getting better value is that all the other teams with top 2nd baseman aren’t really in need of a starting pitcher.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Hmm…Maybe trade another starter for another MI? I mean, it’s fair-ish, but you do seem to be getting less than you should

  8. NUX says:
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    Where is the baby seal!!

    The people want to hear from the seal!

    Grey if baby seal comments soon, I’ll send you the link early… we are at 11 of 12 for the draft including you!! Sadly @ZackWho will have to sit this one out

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wonder if a sea otter got baby seal — praying hands emoji it’s not true

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        He’s probably just been typing his next comment for the last week or so.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA — baby seal getting owned and he doesn’t even know it

          • NUX says:
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            L0L

            He knows, I been talking to him this week and today. I was baiting him, but the seal won’t take the bait! Need to pop back over to Lisbon quick and scoop up some sardines. Seals love those, right?

            I am thinking we get a nice long read tomorrow morning.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha, looking forward to it!

  9. NUX says:
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    There is a new Fun the Jewels album!!!! When did this happen? Incredible timing

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I’ve been listening to it all day, it’s good and I had high hopes

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