It’s a rare occurrence when a Yankees player is a sleeper. I can count the instances on one finger, the same finger I use to point at my mustache, my mustache-pointing finger. In 1984, Don Mattingly was coming off a 4-homer, .283 season, and everyone admired his mustache, but thought his bat was too weak to stick at 1st base. “He’s no Cecil Cooper,” they’d say. “I do love Mattingly’s mustache though,” they’d continue, “Do you think he’d sell pictures from his nose down to his top lip only? I’d really like to buy a picture of that to put on the ceiling of my bedroom.” That’s what they’d say. Then Mattingly broke out in 1984 and the world thought, “This guy is more than just a glorious mustache. How can one man be so lucky? A glorious mustache, a great hitter and a great wife.” A sleeper for the ages from the New York fawkin’ Yankees, or the Fawkees, as they say. Almost 40 years later, Don Mattingly is mustache-less and the Fawkees still didn’t have another sleeper. Dot dot dot. Tension builds. Until now. Last year, Gleyber Torres went 9/14/.259 and, mah gawd, this better get good fast, because that’s awful. I think I fell asleep under a giant poster of Mattingly’s mustache one too many times and my brain is mush. Well, I’m this far in, let’s just salvage this thing. So, what can we expect from Gleyber Torres for 2022 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Gleyber Torres from August 1st to the end of the year: .305/.350/.445 .339 wOBA 116wRC+. In August, Gleyber hit .393, and, in September, he hit 3 homers and .280. In the 2nd half, he went .289 with six homers. Six homers per half isn’t gonna cut the cheese, wash the laundry, or mustard the hot dog. It’s twice as much as he did in the 1st half though! You don’t hit nine homers on the year in the The Stadium They Built Across The Street From the House Ruth Built without really struggling. Have you seen that park? A pop-up to right is a home run. With a 7.8% Barrel rate, which is kinda sucky, it’s no wonder he had a 14.2 Launch Angle and only nine homers. Could Gleyber Torres be the biggest beneficiary of 2019 juiced balls since Alex Bregman? Yeah, p to the erhaps. The factories were sewing them baseballs extra tight and Gleyber was like, “Give them to the Orioles so I can hit ’em.”

In the 2nd half, Gleyber Torres had a 11.1% HR/FB with a 38% fly ball rate. I won’t try to convince you 11.1% HR/FB is good, but convincing makes an ass out of ‘con’ and Vince–Wait, huh? My most favorable read on Gleyber’s power is 38% fly ball rate and 15% HR/FB, which is about the same as Austin Hays, who hit 22 homers last year in 131 games. So, 24 homers for Gleyber in 145 games. That takes us back to his rookie year of 24/6/.271 way back in 2018. At 25 years of age, that seems well within the conservative estimates of a bounce back. For what it’s Cronenworth, Steamer has him down for 23 homers in 150 games. 

My read on the lineup is the Fawkees are moving Gleyber Torres to 2nd base, Gio Urshela to 3rd, and hoping to get a shortstop in free agency. Hello, Trevor Story; step right up. Not so sure on Carlos Correa, because that feels like a cataclysmic clubhouse event, but the Fawkees’ fans can scream cusses at the Pope, so Correa might not be a bridge too far. What does this mean for DJ LeMahieu? Honestly, I don’t care, but he’ll likely float around the field. A floating DJ sounds like a Vegas pool party. Finally, a DJ FTW! That’s a “deejay for the Wynn.”

If Gleyber Torres can continue his 2nd half gains on barrels and just making good contact, he could be a 25/.290 hitter with fantastic counting stats, as the entire Fawks’ offense bounces back. That’s not asking a lot from a guy with a 38/.278 season under his belt at 25 years of age. This might just be the last Fawkees sleeper for another 40 years, when a Roomba in the shape of Mattingly’s mustache wins the 1st base job, causing ethical issues because the Roomba’s father is also a well-respected robot ump. For 2022, I’ll give Gleyber Torres projections of  83/25/87/.283/11 in 542 ABs with a chance for more.

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Jimmy
Jimmy
7 months ago

Moncada or Torres?

leon
leon
7 months ago

Cavan Biggio or Torres?

Will
Will
7 months ago

Man, I just don’t know what to expect from Gleyber. His first two seasons were great but his last season and change were not. Putting 2020 and 2021 together he hit around .250 with 12 HR, 67 RBI and 15 steals in 169 games (595 at bats). That’s acceptable for a fantasy 2B but not all that great. What really stands out to me is how far his slugging % has fallen – .368 in 2020 and .366 in 2021. This is troubling after .480 and .535 his first two seasons. You’re projecting .283 / 25 / 87 / 11 so you must see something in his approach you believe can rebound. I’ll probably steer clear unless he’s available really late in the draft.

Will
Will
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

Not saying he can’t reach your projections, just that those last 595 at bats slugging only .367 make me skeptical. His EV and barrel % in 2021 were also below his first two seasons, per Fangraphs Statcast data. A late round sleeper but I’m not going to pay much. Been burned too many times by Lawrie types (remember him???)

zombie
zombie
7 months ago

Surprised (often the case) here. But pleasantly. I think I’m with you! GleybyBaby! & yeah, we’ve got a Roombas, and no security system. Thanks to our collection of beautiful, brave and loyal pitties. But they’re petrified of that hovering cleaning mechanism. You’ve got me worried. That conniving robit could pretty much take over whenever it decides to do so. Might chuck it tonight, and just deal with the filthy floors. Happy New Year, lothario.

Philip
Philip
7 months ago

Grey, Would you move Mahle for Torres?

Big Magoo
Big Magoo
7 months ago

Grey!

Sport
Sport
7 months ago

Now this is a sleeper! I wouldn’t have expected him at all, and I’m guessing most others won’t either. Is he top 100 for you? 8th round in a 12 team draft, or more 9th/10th round?

The other day I came to you for help on a LouRob trade that came out of no where. I was trying to get a OF upgrade when the LouRob manager kind of opened the door. I ended up giving up Ranger Saurez and Cronenworth, for LouRob and Quantrill. I hadn’t planned on moving Ranger, and I really didn’t want Quantrill but to get LouRob in a dynasty format was too good to pass up for me. Plus I still have Bieber, Musgrove, Gausman, Gonsolin, Sale, and Kopech.

Do you like the LouRob side of the trade?
I have still have Civale and now have Quantril. Do you agree I need to move those guys or are they ok considering the SP depth I have?

Thank you!

Tony Berkman
Tony Berkman
7 months ago

Would you trade Muncy for Gleyber?

Dr Easy
Dr Easy
7 months ago

Grey, I love your vision of 40 years into a future where Roombas beget Roombas while honoring the glorious mustaches of the past! I want to live to see it, unless the Roombas don’t want us to.

Rebar
Rebar
7 months ago

I hope everyone in my league reads this and goes all in on Glyber!

Wake Up
7 months ago

He also had 6 grand slams in 1987.

Wake Up
Reply to  Wake Up
7 months ago

I’m now seeing it was ate six grand slams and it was Balboni…

Wake Up
Reply to  Wake Up
7 months ago

“You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.”

https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Dennys%20Grand%20Slam&amp=true&defid=4986476

why the face
why the face
7 months ago

Great content as usual! I’d like to see GT play some second this year.

I am prepping for 2022 (because I have no life and this is my addiction). Anyway, I am a Patreon member and was wondering if there was going to be an “Overall Rankings” beyond the top 20 available before they come out on the Razzball site?

Simps
Simps
7 months ago

Grey,

I did not expect a Torres sleeper post from you this year. You were a hard pass last year.

Also worth nothing he had 14 steals in 2021. Solid contribution.

Simps
Simps
Reply to  Simps
7 months ago

Noting*

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
7 months ago

Grey!!

Awesome.

a. Love Gleyber and all these sleepers and of course none are available in my league. Sigh.

b. Seriously, is no news good news for the CBA? I hope so.

c. Norm MacDonald quote of the day for December 27, 2021

‘Police in Newman, Georgia found 35 bags of cocaine in the backpack of a second grader yesterday. Authorities say they became suspicious when the boy showed up in a stretch limo surrounded by hookers.’

d. Marx Brothers quote of the day for December 27, 2021

‘There’s one thing I always wanted to do before I quit…retire!’

Cheers,
Ante

Ante Galic
Ante Galic
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

Grey!!!

Thanks.

Question. Villar available. Would you add him and over whom?

4×4 start-up dynasty, 12-team [OBP, SB, TB, RC x WHIP, K/9, QS, SVH]

Garver
Cron
India
Chapman
Xander
Schwindel
Brujan
Walsh, Arozarena, Betts, Marte, Biggio
JLowe, Siri
Bench-Aranda, Otto Lopez, Jake Burger, Eguy Rosario, Kreidler, Tena. Fraley, Connor Joe, EPereira, Tsutsugo
MiLB-DHarris, JWalker, CSantana, MWinn, Cowser, Haskin, Wiemer

SP-Cease, Manoah, Musgrove, Roansy, Gonsolin, Houck, CMorris, Ryan, RSuarez, Kopech
RP-Doval, Iglesias, Hendriks, CGreen, Kittredge, Whitlock
MiLB-Cole Henry, Landon Knack, Lodolo, Ty Madden, Walston, OWhite, Eury Perez, Logan Allen

Cheers,
Ante