I sorted Steamer projections by home runs, and did one of those skimming jobs I’m famous for. You didn’t know I was a famous skimmer? Oh, yeah, worked as a pool boy for five summers in my youth without the use of a net. I once skimmed the 729-tome A People’s History of the United States, and fifteen minutes later, came away with a working knowledge that Taft was fat. Splendid, very astute skimmer, I am. Skimming the Steamer projections, notably by home runs, led me to find a few gems for sleeper posts, but I thought you’d throw tomatoes at me if I wrote one on Pete Alonso, and I didn’t want to write one on Yordan Alvarez, because I think he’s accurately priced considering injury. Which brings us to Franmil Reyes, and the first time (at least that I can remember) that I’ve written a sleeper post for a utility-only hitter. As mentioned last week in my position eligibility for 2021 fantasy baseball, not a ton (palindrome!) of guys have multi-position eligibility this year. So, natch — snatch? — there’s a lot of guys with Utility-only eligibility. Speaking of snatches, maybe Franmil gets time in the outfield this year to make some, and get that eligibility. Where did you think I was going with ‘speaking of snatches?’ Oh. I see. I say he could see time in the outfield, because Cleveland currently has zero outfielders that have done anything of note, and they’re supposedly sellers. Unless Google was right when I looked up UTIL., and found a Urinary-Tract-Infection-Lingering, and I need to rethink everything. So, what can we expect from Franmil Reyes for 2021 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Up front, Franmil Reyes is a sleeper, because he’s being drafted way too late. There’s no way he should be going around 150th overall in drafts. He’s a 40-homer hitter. Without too much effort, if I’m being honest. But we’ll say he’s a 35-homer hitter. You know how many hitters hit 35 homers last year? Okay, trick question, but Steamer projections has five players projected for 40 homers: Alonso, Acuña, Giancarlo, Trout and Bellinger. Throw out Giancarlo, because he threw out his hip reading this. I don’t necessarily agree Acuña is an easy forty-homer hitter either, which is what I think when I hear projected for 40 homers — easy. Don’t get me wrong, Acuña obviously can hit 40. I’d add Joey Gallo, Sano, Yordan and Franmil as easy 40 homer hitters. Gallo and Sano obviously have big contact issues. Yordan is solid, but coming off a major injury. Then that leaves us with Franmil Reyes — the $54 Vending Machine Steak.

Franmil Reyes doesn’t have contact issues, even though he’s been unfairly thought of that way. He hit .275 last year in 211 ABs, and he has a top 10% exit velocity two years running. He slammy-pammies fastballs so hard that people have to have a screw loose to throw him one, but eventually they do. He had a .324 BA on fastballs, seeing them 52.7% of the time. He was beaten by breaking stuff this past year, but there’s so many jokers in the majors throwing junk — junkers? — I’m not worried about Franmil sitting fastball. There’s no speed, unless we count his time in a line where it’s announced, “The buffet ends in 15 minutes.” There’s no splits issues here either. There’s no playing time issue. Franmil is a 40-homer, .270 hitter. Count on your hand how many of those you’re drafting after the top 100 overall. I’ll start, Franmil. That’s it. Okay, maybe Jorge Soler, which is why I almost wrote a post on him. But it’s limited, yo. Also, Franmil is only 25 years old! He could become a perennial 50-homer hitter with a .270 average. Giancarlo is being drafted before because some drafters fell asleep five years ago, and have yet to wake. Some are taking Just Dong Martinez prior to Franmil because “GO SAWX!” I guess. I don’t know why. People are drafting Teoscar 100 picks before Franmil, and, while I love Teoscar Hernandez, 100 picks before? What? Seriously, I’m so confused. For 2021, I’ll give Franmil Reyes projections of 84/40/96/.267 in 572 ABs with a chance for more, though I have projected him for close to his ceiling. But he’s a big guy, he can handle it.

 
  1. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Fantastic sleeper report on Franmil!

    a. So Yu as a top 5 SP, Snell as top 10 SP, Franmil at 100-150….Keep ’em coming!

    b. Love you man! Love the RazzNation! Thanks for all you do, thanks for doing it 24/7, 365 days a year, rain or shine, snow, rain or blazing sun with no air conditioning!!! I knew I was at home the first day I stumbled onto this site.

    c. MLB quote of the day for December 31, 2020

    1. Esteban Loaiza, December 31, 1971

    ‘Everybody’s been telling me I’m an untouchable, but I don’t want to listen to that kind of stuff. I just want to focus on my next start and go out and win every game.’

    Esteban Loaiza in Baseball Digest (November 2003)

    2. Rick Aguilera, December 31, 1961

    ‘He (Rick Aguilera) might not knock your eyes out, but has three above average pitches (fastball, slider, forkball) and can use any of them to finish off a batter.’

    Bill Mazeroski’s Baseball (1993 Edition)

    3. Roberto Clemente, died December 31, 1972

    ‘Roberto’s two-out home run in the fourth inning of the deciding seventh game gave the Pirates their 2-1 win. In the heat of that series, Roberto said, ‘I want to be remembered as a ballplayer who gave all he had to give.’ Although this was Roberto’s second World Series win with the Pirates (the first was in 1960), in 1971 he definitely led the show. An international audience finally saw what Pittsburgh fans had seen from ‘The Great One’ for nearly two decades.’

    Author Jerry Roberts in Roberto Clemente: Baseball Player (Checkmark Books, 11/01/2005, Page 5) [Roberto Clemente Quotes]

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • packers2018 says:
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      Thanks, Ante. Love the quotes.
      Happy New Year.

      Happy New Year Grey and to the Razzball nation.
      I’m loving the fact I have most of your sleepers on my dynasty team.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Happy New Year, packers!

    • Sweatpants Nation says:
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      December 31, 1972 was about the saddest day of my young life.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        I can’t imagine, must’ve been brutal

      • Hernan says:
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        Yeah, for me it was so surreal, my parents helped collect food and other goods for Nicaraguan survivors, learning to read at the time, all newspapers talking about how the plane was in such bad shape, doomed before it took off…all the ordeal with looking for survivors, stories about soo many sharks in water, sadness everywhere

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ugh, yeah, just brutal

        • Dave D says:
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          Must have been sad. I was about the same age as my son is now, chasing my older sister and her friends around while trying to bite them or hit them over the head with a plastic hammer.

        • Smitty says:
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          Saw him at Dodger Stadium as a kid, remember my dad said to keep an eye on #21. A true role model, spirit is still with us

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      A. Yes sir!

      B. Love you too man! Happy New Year!

      C. 1. Haha, Narrator, while Esteban is in prison: It turned out he was touchable

      • Ante Galic says:
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        Grey!!

        Yeah, loved Esteban’s quote. Untouchable indeed.

        HNY!

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HA! HNY!

  2. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    RIP Dawn Wells

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      RIP, I’ll never forget her from that episode of Gilligan’s Island where Gilligan messes up a chance for them to be rescued

      • VinWins

        VinWins says:
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        Ha. I might have missed that one.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Such a classic

          • Sweatpants Nation says:
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            I might have missed that one.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha

  3. Hernan says:
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    The Franimal!!!!, maybe you should’ve done the Alonso sleeper post, give Dave some hope, reassurance, , although personally, I think Alonso has a swing and miss problem, when’s all said and done , he’s the poster boy for “his rookie year was his career year “ , bla, bla, bla…., Franmil seems like next in David Ortiz/Nelson Cruz line of only utility/4 category monster…, soo young….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Alonso hits the ball so hard, I’m in on him again

    • Dave D says:
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      Ha! Alonso will get 45 homers and Renfroe will have 70 extra base hits. You will be a droopy-eyed conquistador on 0ctober 1st, 2020.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        I’m not fighting either of these claims

      • Hernan says:
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        LOL, Dave, in your dreams, your Infinite Dreams!!!, Alonso, for a “top” power hitter lacks elite Average Exit Velocity, sure the Max is tops, still, he’s getting a big dose of Ks, can’t hit breaking balls, have him say good bye to fastballs, specially with mets on base…., big bust.., Renfroe is a weak side of a platoon, another big whiffer…, Burritos Rule 2021!!!!

        • Dave D says:
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          I can’t deny them, Hernan. Afterall, infinity is hard to comprehend!

          Here’s to the clairvoyant!!!

  4. jayj says:
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    will smith (catcher) or franmil. 16 man. thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Franmil

  5. Philip says:
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    In a dynasty league, which side would you want if you were rebuilding? Is it fair?

    Sano / B. Lowe or Albies

    Thanks, Grey! Feeling good about the Franimal!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Albies

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        It is fair

        • Philip says:
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          Thanks!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            No problem

  6. return2earth says:
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    GREY .. was waiting for this post and surprised no one else has been seeing this in all the early drafts but you couldn’t wait 1 more day to post this? had the Franimal queued up in round 11 of a DC and he was drafted 2 picks before me this morning .. damn dawg that one seriously hurt

    as a consolation, maybe you can help me w/ my next 2 picks .. here’s the squad so far :

    C –
    1B – Alec Bohm
    2B –
    3B – Ke’Bryan Hayes
    SS – T. Story
    MI – T. Anderson
    CI –
    OF – M. Conforto
    OF – K. Lewis
    OF –
    OF –
    OF –
    UT –

    P – A. Nola
    P – Z. Plesac
    P – S. Alcantara
    P – R. Iglesias

    my plan was to grab Franmil for the UT spot and keep Tim Anderson in the MI spot .. since Fran is gone, i’ve got some flexibility but probably need to look for RBIs + HRs + SBs .. a few of your other sleepers are currently available

    as for 2B, i’ve got a few targets still available later where i can load the position up and feel confident .. some players w/ 2B eligibility that are still available include Cronenworth, Profar, Fletcher, Wong, Arraez, LaStella, Lux, Chris Taylor, Segura, Berti, McMahon, Hampson, Kingery, France..etc.

    hitters currently available that I’m considering w/ my next 2 picks ..
    – Jake Cronenworth (1b/2b/ss)
    – Anthony Santander (of)
    – Mike Yazstremski (of)
    – Ryan Mountcastle (1b/of)
    – Leody Taveras (of)
    – Austin Riley (3b)
    – Sean Murphy (c)
    – Jorge Soler (of)
    – Ian Happ (of)
    – Michael Brantley (of)
    – Andrew McCutchen (of)
    – Josh Bell (1b)

    or we can add more pitching from this pool ..

    – Frankie Montas
    – Dustin May / Gonsolin
    – Marquez
    – Bassitt
    – Tyler Mahle
    – Eflin
    – Montgomery
    – Stroman

    as always, appreciate all of your work and insight!

    happy new year brother!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy New Year!

      Usually alternate hitting and pitching at that point in drafts — Prolly go Santander or Soler and May or Mahle, those orders

      • return2earth says:
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        thanks for the feedback .. grabbed Soler but May & Mahle went off the board before my next pick .. so we’ve got Santander / Montas / Cronenworth / Eflin and the others listed above still available .. Santander is where I’m leaning for another strong OF and just double up on pitchers after that?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Santander, then double Ps

  7. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Happy New Year Grey and razznation! See ya next year!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy New Year!

  8. FrankGrimes says:
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    Well??

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wished it was 8 hours longer like a season, but I liked it, didn’t love it…Honestly, just happy Ciro’s alive for the final season

      • FrankGrimes says:
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        Exactly plus I had a shit version of subs haha
        Planning on a rewatch from start soon…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, the subs were kinda crappy…It was like the person who subbed it didn’t know common idioms so it would be like, “I do not know the answer to your question,” instead of “Don’t know.”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Oh! You should watch Gangs of London (if you haven’t)

          • FrankGrimes says:
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            I’ll check it out!

  9. Dave D says:
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    Great read! Sorry I am late to post, I’ve been as busy as a rat on the franmil today… happy new year! Heres to 2021…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Happy new year!

  10. Jose says:
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    Grey, HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!!
    You mentioned a couple of my boys, so I am going to give you my lineup with Steamer HRs projections. Except one that will be Zips.
    1- Lemahieu 2B (19)
    2- Bellinger CF (40)
    3- Tatis Jr SS (39)
    4- Machado 3B (36)
    5- Alonso 1B (43)
    6- Reyes DH (37)
    7- Molina C (13)
    8- Happ RF (29)
    9- Kim LF (23) *** Zips has the only projections on Kim.

    I expect to get Kim at #3, with Betts and Snell going one and two.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I project Kim for 15 HR — Those other #s seems fairly close tho

      Happy New Year!

  11. Remember thinking I better be on this guy after seeing him RIP a SINGLE to right. Missiles come off this dude’s bat, a great sleeper call with the “Utl Only” his only drawback. Love me some Franny! Thanks for helping us get through 2020 Grey, Happy New Year!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Happy New Year, Coach!

    • Smitty says:
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      Smitty

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Smitty!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          And coach!

          • Smitty says:
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            Love ya stay safe

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Be well, be safe!

        • Carl says:
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          Grey! I’m happy to say ive got Franmil in my 5×5 head to head dynasty league. He’s like Sano without the contact issues. Ceiling is very high. What do you think of my dynasty team? 10 teams, 20 keepers each.

          C-
          1B-Cody Bellinger
          2B-
          3B-Anthony Rendon
          SS-Tim Anderson
          OF-Mookie Betts
          OF-Austin Meadows
          OF-Randy Arazorena
          OF-Kyle Lewis
          Ut-Franmil Reyes
          Ut-Shohei Ohtani
          Ut-Dom Smith

          SP-Jack Flaherty
          SP-Lucas Giolito
          SP-Blake Snell
          SP-Dinelson Lamet
          SP-Tyler Glasnow
          SP-Sixto Sanchez
          SP-Jesus Luzardo
          SP-Jose Berrios
          SP-Dustin May
          SP-Tristan McKenzie

          I’m excited about the staff. Keepers are on yearly round inflation and I’ve got a boat load of early picks. Do you think I can get by with these bats and my early picks? Thanks broseph

  12. Saw Roberto when I was 13 in 1969 make a hit saving catch against the fence in right field on Bob Moose’s no hitter.
    both of those guys had a sad demise
    :(

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Super sad

  13. DonnieB says:
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    How do you rate Story,Yelich,Freeman? Is Machado,Mondesi or Harper in that conversation? Thanks and Happy New Year! You are so lucky to live in CA.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Story, Yelich, Freeman looks right…Those other three are after them…. Happy New Year!

  14. Sweatpants Nation says:
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    As if things couldn’t get worse in San Diego, it looks like they are still interested in Profar.
    Maybe it’s just “checking in” . Whatever.
    Thanks for giving some diversion in 2020. It’s been great following you and all the band if idiots and 5 girls (remember when it was 4, ahh memories) all these years but this was a special year.
    Happy New Year, Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ugh, I do like Profar too, but not if he’s there… Happy New Year, Sweatpants!

  15. goodfold2 says:
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    30 teamer with holds/OPS added roto. got this, our restricted bids are due shortly. got about 72.3 out of 115 mil budget left
    C (1)
    CI (2): j.turner 16.2 (ends this year), e. rios (.4 ends 24, can be minor’d, barely at 123)
    MI: (2): a.tejeda (.4 ends 24 can be minor’d), barreto (.4 till end of 22)
    OF (3): adell (.4 ends 24, can be minor’d barely at 124), v.reyes (.5 ends this year), mcneil (.617,676 this year, CI/OF also)
    util (1): demeritte OF (.4 to end of 22, can’t be put down)

    other prospects possibly useful this year: padlo, paredes, cozens, fraley, trammell,

    SP: (3): yarbrough (.4 ends this year), pab lop (unknown, depends on what he’s bid up to and if i match)
    RP (3): b.martin (.4 ends 22)
    P (3)
    IR (6): sale SP (22 mil ends this year)
    prospects that might possibly be useful this year: crowe, j.guzman, c.hernandez, kilome, j.soriano

    possible bid on FA:
    – MI: profar, dejong
    – CI: son of donald (probably costs more than worth), moncada, rizzo, bryant (probably costs more than worth), mostsuckass
    – OF: gallo, stanton, springer, jd mart, grichuk
    – SP: fleming, heaney, corbin, wheeler, bauer, j-mont
    – RP: hand, c.green

    i only listed the ones that might be worth bidding on. springer i’m pretty sure will go for over 20 (12 is the max on 1 year deals, we have to pay half of any deal over 1 mil that we cut, either spread out over life of the contract or all at once), i’d think stanton too risky to bid numerous years on, so probably not worth bidding on as he’d cost min more than 12 mil at more than 1 year.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      i kept e.rosario too so i have him at undermined price based on what people bid, pab lop i just got at around .660 mil per year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You need pitching, homey — Wheeler for sure, Heaney, Jo-Mo and maybe even Bauer, though might be too expensive…I like Grichuk and Profar or DeJong if you can swing them

      • goodfold2 says:
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        i absolutely do. weirdly i’m 6th in all draft rounds (every other year i was 17th-22nd, but no sale and that much budget sucked up from us having to announce tags so early that he was kept at 22/115 screwed me over bad last year). i’ve NEVER once drafted a pitcher in 1st round here but my prospect pitchers are far weaker than my hitters too would you go lacy or another pitcher at 1.6, these are out there (based on ralph’s PL top 500 dynasty list, an absolutely needed resource for a league like this, i’m at around 300 and only 59 of those not owned by that point, it’ll be more the deeper i go):
        a.martin, n.gonz, m.meyer, h.kjerstad, z.veen, a.lacy then these others just below: a.hendrick, g.mitchell, p.crow, e.hancock, g.crochet. asked itch too since his overall lists are much older (may i believe) and not this deep, but i’ll still be incorporating his team lists (he’s FAR ahead of almost everybody at 22 done, PL at 12)

        – hard to figure how much the grichuk/profar/dejong range of prices is: dejong i’d guess around 14ish (but he did just come off crappy short season), grichuk probably cheaper, profar should be cheaper than that too. guessing wheeler is around 20, heaney less (but probably not tons less)

        • goodfold2 says:
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          oops, i missed 1.1 guy torkleson, but clearly he’ll be gone at 1.6

          • goodfold2 says:
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            forgot, in prospects possibly useful this year the biggest one: kirilloff, so my highest 2 ranked guys going back to last year finally likely up at the same time with adell. also should/could indicate less money to want to tie up in FA OF’ers.

  16. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    Happy New Year!!! Someone is offering me Kyle Lewis, but they want either Alex Bregman or Jose Ramirez. What are your thoughts?

    • goodfold2 says:
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      unless there’s some contract stuff involved here or amount of time you can keep these, i’d def not move jose ram for k.lewis.

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        dyansty/keeper league also Salaries are involved goodfold

        • goodfold2 says:
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          well then the salaries on these 3 players would be pertinent to question being answered.

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            Bregman $35
            Ranirez $53
            Lewis $5

            then someone offered me Meadows ($22), Brandon Kintzler ($6) and luis Patino for Bregman $35

  17. Scrapski says:
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    Happy New Year Grey!
    Last three word palindrome of 2020!

Comments are closed.