I sorted Steamer projections by home runs, and did one of those skimming jobs I’m famous for. You didn’t know I was a famous skimmer? Oh, yeah, worked as a pool boy for five summers in my youth without the use of a net. I once skimmed the 729-tome A People’s History of the United States, and fifteen minutes later, came away with a working knowledge that Taft was fat. Splendid, very astute skimmer, I am. Skimming the Steamer projections, notably by home runs, led me to find a few gems for sleeper posts, but I thought you’d throw tomatoes at me if I wrote one on Pete Alonso, and I didn’t want to write one on Yordan Alvarez, because I think he’s accurately priced considering injury. Which brings us to Franmil Reyes, and the first time (at least that I can remember) that I’ve written a sleeper post for a utility-only hitter. As mentioned last week in my position eligibility for 2021 fantasy baseball, not a ton (palindrome!) of guys have multi-position eligibility this year. So, natch — snatch? — there’s a lot of guys with Utility-only eligibility. Speaking of snatches, maybe Franmil gets time in the outfield this year to make some, and get that eligibility. Where did you think I was going with ‘speaking of snatches?’ Oh. I see. I say he could see time in the outfield, because Cleveland currently has zero outfielders that have done anything of note, and they’re supposedly sellers. Unless Google was right when I looked up UTIL., and found a Urinary-Tract-Infection-Lingering, and I need to rethink everything. So, what can we expect from Franmil Reyes for 2021 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?
Up front, Franmil Reyes is a sleeper, because he’s being drafted way too late. There’s no way he should be going around 150th overall in drafts. He’s a 40-homer hitter. Without too much effort, if I’m being honest. But we’ll say he’s a 35-homer hitter. You know how many hitters hit 35 homers last year? Okay, trick question, but Steamer projections has five players projected for 40 homers: Alonso, Acuña, Giancarlo, Trout and Bellinger. Throw out Giancarlo, because he threw out his hip reading this. I don’t necessarily agree Acuña is an easy forty-homer hitter either, which is what I think when I hear projected for 40 homers — easy. Don’t get me wrong, Acuña obviously can hit 40. I’d add Joey Gallo, Sano, Yordan and Franmil as easy 40 homer hitters. Gallo and Sano obviously have big contact issues. Yordan is solid, but coming off a major injury. Then that leaves us with Franmil Reyes — the $54 Vending Machine Steak.
Franmil Reyes doesn’t have contact issues, even though he’s been unfairly thought of that way. He hit .275 last year in 211 ABs, and he has a top 10% exit velocity two years running. He slammy-pammies fastballs so hard that people have to have a screw loose to throw him one, but eventually they do. He had a .324 BA on fastballs, seeing them 52.7% of the time. He was beaten by breaking stuff this past year, but there’s so many jokers in the majors throwing junk — junkers? — I’m not worried about Franmil sitting fastball. There’s no speed, unless we count his time in a line where it’s announced, “The buffet ends in 15 minutes.” There’s no splits issues here either. There’s no playing time issue. Franmil is a 40-homer, .270 hitter. Count on your hand how many of those you’re drafting after the top 100 overall. I’ll start, Franmil. That’s it. Okay, maybe Jorge Soler, which is why I almost wrote a post on him. But it’s limited, yo. Also, Franmil is only 25 years old! He could become a perennial 50-homer hitter with a .270 average. Giancarlo is being drafted before because some drafters fell asleep five years ago, and have yet to wake. Some are taking Just Dong Martinez prior to Franmil because “GO SAWX!” I guess. I don’t know why. People are drafting Teoscar 100 picks before Franmil, and, while I love Teoscar Hernandez, 100 picks before? What? Seriously, I’m so confused. For 2021, I’ll give Franmil Reyes projections of 84/40/96/.267 in 572 ABs with a chance for more, though I have projected him for close to his ceiling. But he’s a big guy, he can handle it.
Happy New Year Grey!
Last three word palindrome of 2020!
Grey,
Happy New Year!!! Someone is offering me Kyle Lewis, but they want either Alex Bregman or Jose Ramirez. What are your thoughts?
unless there’s some contract stuff involved here or amount of time you can keep these, i’d def not move jose ram for k.lewis.
dyansty/keeper league also Salaries are involved goodfold
well then the salaries on these 3 players would be pertinent to question being answered.
Bregman $35
Ranirez $53
Lewis $5
then someone offered me Meadows ($22), Brandon Kintzler ($6) and luis Patino for Bregman $35
30 teamer with holds/OPS added roto. got this, our restricted bids are due shortly. got about 72.3 out of 115 mil budget left
C (1)
CI (2): j.turner 16.2 (ends this year), e. rios (.4 ends 24, can be minor’d, barely at 123)
MI: (2): a.tejeda (.4 ends 24 can be minor’d), barreto (.4 till end of 22)
OF (3): adell (.4 ends 24, can be minor’d barely at 124), v.reyes (.5 ends this year), mcneil (.617,676 this year, CI/OF also)
util (1): demeritte OF (.4 to end of 22, can’t be put down)
other prospects possibly useful this year: padlo, paredes, cozens, fraley, trammell,
SP: (3): yarbrough (.4 ends this year), pab lop (unknown, depends on what he’s bid up to and if i match)
RP (3): b.martin (.4 ends 22)
P (3)
IR (6): sale SP (22 mil ends this year)
prospects that might possibly be useful this year: crowe, j.guzman, c.hernandez, kilome, j.soriano
possible bid on FA:
– MI: profar, dejong
– CI: son of donald (probably costs more than worth), moncada, rizzo, bryant (probably costs more than worth), mostsuckass
– OF: gallo, stanton, springer, jd mart, grichuk
– SP: fleming, heaney, corbin, wheeler, bauer, j-mont
– RP: hand, c.green
i only listed the ones that might be worth bidding on. springer i’m pretty sure will go for over 20 (12 is the max on 1 year deals, we have to pay half of any deal over 1 mil that we cut, either spread out over life of the contract or all at once), i’d think stanton too risky to bid numerous years on, so probably not worth bidding on as he’d cost min more than 12 mil at more than 1 year.
i kept e.rosario too so i have him at undermined price based on what people bid, pab lop i just got at around .660 mil per year.
You need pitching, homey — Wheeler for sure, Heaney, Jo-Mo and maybe even Bauer, though might be too expensive…I like Grichuk and Profar or DeJong if you can swing them
i absolutely do. weirdly i’m 6th in all draft rounds (every other year i was 17th-22nd, but no sale and that much budget sucked up from us having to announce tags so early that he was kept at 22/115 screwed me over bad last year). i’ve NEVER once drafted a pitcher in 1st round here but my prospect pitchers are far weaker than my hitters too would you go lacy or another pitcher at 1.6, these are out there (based on ralph’s PL top 500 dynasty list, an absolutely needed resource for a league like this, i’m at around 300 and only 59 of those not owned by that point, it’ll be more the deeper i go):
a.martin, n.gonz, m.meyer, h.kjerstad, z.veen, a.lacy then these others just below: a.hendrick, g.mitchell, p.crow, e.hancock, g.crochet. asked itch too since his overall lists are much older (may i believe) and not this deep, but i’ll still be incorporating his team lists (he’s FAR ahead of almost everybody at 22 done, PL at 12)
– hard to figure how much the grichuk/profar/dejong range of prices is: dejong i’d guess around 14ish (but he did just come off crappy short season), grichuk probably cheaper, profar should be cheaper than that too. guessing wheeler is around 20, heaney less (but probably not tons less)
oops, i missed 1.1 guy torkleson, but clearly he’ll be gone at 1.6
forgot, in prospects possibly useful this year the biggest one: kirilloff, so my highest 2 ranked guys going back to last year finally likely up at the same time with adell. also should/could indicate less money to want to tie up in FA OF’ers.
As if things couldn’t get worse in San Diego, it looks like they are still interested in Profar.
Maybe it’s just “checking in” . Whatever.
Thanks for giving some diversion in 2020. It’s been great following you and all the band if idiots and 5 girls (remember when it was 4, ahh memories) all these years but this was a special year.
Happy New Year, Grey.
Ugh, I do like Profar too, but not if he’s there… Happy New Year, Sweatpants!
How do you rate Story,Yelich,Freeman? Is Machado,Mondesi or Harper in that conversation? Thanks and Happy New Year! You are so lucky to live in CA.
Story, Yelich, Freeman looks right…Those other three are after them…. Happy New Year!
Saw Roberto when I was 13 in 1969 make a hit saving catch against the fence in right field on Bob Moose’s no hitter.
both of those guys had a sad demise
:(
Super sad
Remember thinking I better be on this guy after seeing him RIP a SINGLE to right. Missiles come off this dude’s bat, a great sleeper call with the “Utl Only” his only drawback. Love me some Franny! Thanks for helping us get through 2020 Grey, Happy New Year!
Thanks! Happy New Year, Coach!
Smitty
Smitty!
And coach!
Love ya stay safe
Be well, be safe!
Grey! I’m happy to say ive got Franmil in my 5×5 head to head dynasty league. He’s like Sano without the contact issues. Ceiling is very high. What do you think of my dynasty team? 10 teams, 20 keepers each.
C-
1B-Cody Bellinger
2B-
3B-Anthony Rendon
SS-Tim Anderson
OF-Mookie Betts
OF-Austin Meadows
OF-Randy Arazorena
OF-Kyle Lewis
Ut-Franmil Reyes
Ut-Shohei Ohtani
Ut-Dom Smith
SP-Jack Flaherty
SP-Lucas Giolito
SP-Blake Snell
SP-Dinelson Lamet
SP-Tyler Glasnow
SP-Sixto Sanchez
SP-Jesus Luzardo
SP-Jose Berrios
SP-Dustin May
SP-Tristan McKenzie
I’m excited about the staff. Keepers are on yearly round inflation and I’ve got a boat load of early picks. Do you think I can get by with these bats and my early picks? Thanks broseph
Grey, HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!!
You mentioned a couple of my boys, so I am going to give you my lineup with Steamer HRs projections. Except one that will be Zips.
1- Lemahieu 2B (19)
2- Bellinger CF (40)
3- Tatis Jr SS (39)
4- Machado 3B (36)
5- Alonso 1B (43)
6- Reyes DH (37)
7- Molina C (13)
8- Happ RF (29)
9- Kim LF (23) *** Zips has the only projections on Kim.
I expect to get Kim at #3, with Betts and Snell going one and two.
I project Kim for 15 HR — Those other #s seems fairly close tho
Happy New Year!
Great read! Sorry I am late to post, I’ve been as busy as a rat on the franmil today… happy new year! Heres to 2021…
Happy new year!
Well??
I wished it was 8 hours longer like a season, but I liked it, didn’t love it…Honestly, just happy Ciro’s alive for the final season
Exactly plus I had a shit version of subs haha
Planning on a rewatch from start soon…
Yeah, the subs were kinda crappy…It was like the person who subbed it didn’t know common idioms so it would be like, “I do not know the answer to your question,” instead of “Don’t know.”
Oh! You should watch Gangs of London (if you haven’t)
I’ll check it out!
Happy New Year Grey and razznation! See ya next year!
Happy New Year!
Happy New Year!
Usually alternate hitting and pitching at that point in drafts — Prolly go Santander or Soler and May or Mahle, those orders
Santander, then double Ps
In a dynasty league, which side would you want if you were rebuilding? Is it fair?
Sano / B. Lowe or Albies
Thanks, Grey! Feeling good about the Franimal!
Albies
It is fair
Thanks!
No problem
will smith (catcher) or franmil. 16 man. thanks
Franmil
The Franimal!!!!, maybe you should’ve done the Alonso sleeper post, give Dave some hope, reassurance, , although personally, I think Alonso has a swing and miss problem, when’s all said and done , he’s the poster boy for “his rookie year was his career year “ , bla, bla, bla…., Franmil seems like next in David Ortiz/Nelson Cruz line of only utility/4 category monster…, soo young….
Alonso hits the ball so hard, I’m in on him again
Ha! Alonso will get 45 homers and Renfroe will have 70 extra base hits. You will be a droopy-eyed conquistador on 0ctober 1st, 2020.
I’m not fighting either of these claims
LOL, Dave, in your dreams, your Infinite Dreams!!!, Alonso, for a “top” power hitter lacks elite Average Exit Velocity, sure the Max is tops, still, he’s getting a big dose of Ks, can’t hit breaking balls, have him say good bye to fastballs, specially with mets on base…., big bust.., Renfroe is a weak side of a platoon, another big whiffer…, Burritos Rule 2021!!!!
I can’t deny them, Hernan. Afterall, infinity is hard to comprehend!
Here’s to the clairvoyant!!!
RIP Dawn Wells
RIP, I’ll never forget her from that episode of Gilligan’s Island where Gilligan messes up a chance for them to be rescued
Ha. I might have missed that one.
Such a classic
I might have missed that one.
Haha
Grey!!!!
Fantastic sleeper report on Franmil!
a. So Yu as a top 5 SP, Snell as top 10 SP, Franmil at 100-150….Keep ’em coming!
b. Love you man! Love the RazzNation! Thanks for all you do, thanks for doing it 24/7, 365 days a year, rain or shine, snow, rain or blazing sun with no air conditioning!!! I knew I was at home the first day I stumbled onto this site.
c. MLB quote of the day for December 31, 2020
1. Esteban Loaiza, December 31, 1971
‘Everybody’s been telling me I’m an untouchable, but I don’t want to listen to that kind of stuff. I just want to focus on my next start and go out and win every game.’
Esteban Loaiza in Baseball Digest (November 2003)
2. Rick Aguilera, December 31, 1961
‘He (Rick Aguilera) might not knock your eyes out, but has three above average pitches (fastball, slider, forkball) and can use any of them to finish off a batter.’
Bill Mazeroski’s Baseball (1993 Edition)
3. Roberto Clemente, died December 31, 1972
‘Roberto’s two-out home run in the fourth inning of the deciding seventh game gave the Pirates their 2-1 win. In the heat of that series, Roberto said, ‘I want to be remembered as a ballplayer who gave all he had to give.’ Although this was Roberto’s second World Series win with the Pirates (the first was in 1960), in 1971 he definitely led the show. An international audience finally saw what Pittsburgh fans had seen from ‘The Great One’ for nearly two decades.’
Author Jerry Roberts in Roberto Clemente: Baseball Player (Checkmark Books, 11/01/2005, Page 5) [Roberto Clemente Quotes]
Cheers,
Ante
Thanks, Ante. Love the quotes.
Happy New Year.
Happy New Year Grey and to the Razzball nation.
I’m loving the fact I have most of your sleepers on my dynasty team.
Happy New Year, packers!
December 31, 1972 was about the saddest day of my young life.
I can’t imagine, must’ve been brutal
Yeah, for me it was so surreal, my parents helped collect food and other goods for Nicaraguan survivors, learning to read at the time, all newspapers talking about how the plane was in such bad shape, doomed before it took off…all the ordeal with looking for survivors, stories about soo many sharks in water, sadness everywhere
Ugh, yeah, just brutal
Must have been sad. I was about the same age as my son is now, chasing my older sister and her friends around while trying to bite them or hit them over the head with a plastic hammer.
Saw him at Dodger Stadium as a kid, remember my dad said to keep an eye on #21. A true role model, spirit is still with us
A. Yes sir!
B. Love you too man! Happy New Year!
C. 1. Haha, Narrator, while Esteban is in prison: It turned out he was touchable
Grey!!
Yeah, loved Esteban’s quote. Untouchable indeed.
HNY!
Cheers,
Ante
HA! HNY!