The trade deadline is approaching fast, and we’ve already seen a few major deals go down. I’ll wrap up the rest of the trades next Wednesday, but here’s a look at a few of the notable prospects who have changed teams so far. As always, we’ll look at them through the Cheeto-dust-covered lens of fantasy baseball. Not every prospect is going to have a significant change in value, but a few could see their stocks rise or fall with a new organization. One such player is Brandon Finnegan, who got mad famous when he jumped from the College World Series to the actual World Series in just one summer. Kansas City may have been more inclined to let him settle into a relief role than the Reds will be, so the trade to Cincinnati has helped his stock if they truly intend to give him a long look at starting. Finnegan could potentially get stretched out in time to help the Reds this year, but it’s more likely we’ll see him in early 2016. The 22-year-old southpaw – if he makes it – has #3 starter upside with a middle-reliever floor. For some evaluators the difference between those two outcomes lies in the progress of his changeup and his durability. At any rate this trade doesn’t hurt him, and obviously NL pitchers are preferable anyway. Here are some other notable prospects that were traded this week…

Sean Manaea, LHP – Manaea’s value doesn’t change much. He’ll stay in the AL and move from one pitcher-friendly park to another. The tall lefty has #3 starter upside and I actually had him ranked a tick higher than Finnegan coming into the season. Injuries are his main concern. He had hip surgery, which caused him to drop in the amateur draft, and this season he lost time to both groin and abdominal injuries. Still, he carries a 10.9 K/9 over the last two seasons in the minors and should be a nice source of strikeouts as a fantasy starter once he puts the health concerns to bed. STOCK EVEN

Jacob Nottingham, C – I just saw Nottingham picked up in both 20-team and 30-team formats after this trade was announced, so I’m guessing he’s been pretty much flying under the radar. Naturally his stock is up if you’ve never even heard of him before, but his stock would have been up anyway thanks to an impressive first half between Quad Cities and Lancaster. He slashed .320/.377/.539 with 14 homers between the two levels. Catching prospects tend to take a while, and if they move off the position it puts more pressure on their bat. But offensively-minded catchers like Nottingham are nice assets in fantasy if they work out. A player like this flying under the radar says a lot about the depth of the Astros farm system as well. STOCK UP

Casey Meisner, RHP – The A’s acquired Meisner in the Clippard trade, and it looks like a solid return. He’s a tall, lanky right-hander with some projection left. He has three average or better offerings in his arsenal, but likely ends up in the back of a rotation (#4/#5 starter). There’s still some upside for more though at just 20 years old. Despite being so tall, he’s not awkward on the mound and has shown good control to this point in his career with an average BB/9 of 2.6 in over 208 minor league innings. STOCK EVEN

Nick Pivetta, RHP – Pivetta is the return for the Phils, who will take Papelbon off the books after this season. A righty with a plus fastball, average slider, and fringe changeup, he projects as a back-end starter. That won’t have much fantasy value outside of NL-only leagues. His numbers haven’t been good in a very small sample size of 15 Double-A innings this year. STOCK EVEN

Jeff Hoffman, RHP – There’s just no pretty way to spin this. Hoffman’s stock plummets in fantasy and that’s even if he comes all the way back from Tommy John surgery to his frontline starter ceiling. He’s a great pitcher that would have gone much higher in the 2014 draft had he not been injured, but even good pitching prospects seem to falter in Colorado. Regardless of how well the Rockies develop their arms, playing half of his major league games in Coors is going to be tough. I ranked him 35th on the Midseason Top 50 but he’d drop completely out if I re-ranked today. STOCK DOWN

Miguel Castro, RHP – It’s basically the same drop in value for Castro, who didn’t have the upside of Hoffman to begin with. He could be a late-inning guy for the Rockies, but he’s thrown 19.2 innings since going to Triple-A and sports a 5.5 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9. Seeing decent arms going to Coors gives me the same uneasy feeling in my stomach as actually drinking an effing Coors. There I said it.  STOCK DOWN

Rusney Castillo, OF – Castillo should finally get a shot at some regular playing time with Shane Victorino headed to the Angels. The 28-year-old still has the same power/speed upside as in the preseason, and to be honest it’s about time the Red Sox gave him a long look. Even with a small crowd remaining in the outfield (Castillo wasn’t in yesterday’s starting lineup) his stock is up after this trade with increased playing time. I’m confident he’ll emerge as an everyday player and contribute for fantasy teams down the stretch, providing value as an OF4 or 5 with OF3 upside. STOCK UP

Trevor Story, SS – Obviously Jose Reyes is going to be the shortstop in Colorado for right now, but I wouldn’t be shocked if the Rockies flip him, opening the door for Story. Between Double-A and Triple-A this season, Story is batting .281 with 16 homers and 15 steals. The 22-year-old has been especially hot of late, hitting .366 with four homers over his last ten games. The biggest concern coming into this season was his strikeout rate, but he lowered that enough for me to rank him 37th on the Midseason Top 50. He should be on the radar in keeper leagues since he’ll be a hot pickup once the Reyes roadblock is removed. STOCK UP

I tried to touch on what I felt were the most noteworthy prospects. There were obviously several more than this that were traded/affected. Feel free to chat me up in the comments to discuss them. Or not. You do you.

 
  1. Clint says:
    (link)

    I was wondering what the Finnegan deal meant for the other young Reds arms including Iglesias, Lorenzen, Cingrani, and Desclafani. Do they have a young future ace somewhere we should target in keeper leagues amongst any of these guys or what?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      hmmm, probably not an ace, but I like both Iglesias and Finnegan for #3 upside if it comes together.

  2. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    Mike, we liking this guy in my keep forever league:

    Michael Foltynewicz

    where do you have him ranked, or is he good, just not a Carling.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      eh, depends how deep the league is

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @Mike: just a ten teamer, I have plenty of pitching for the next ten years or more..lol

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          nice! I wouldn’t sweat him then

  3. ScottyB says:
    (link)

    crazy how the mighty fall. i remember when Reyes was untouchable on the Mets. then the injuries happened.

    Id be surprised though if the Rockies CAN flip him.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      word…I guess it depends what they’re asking for but if they are really looking ahead obviously it makes sense to move him. It will be interesting to see the return if/when it happens

  4. Nick says:
    (link)

    would you go Castillo @ OF for dropping let’s say a Dyson or a Yasmani thomas?

    my OF is so thin with Springer Buxton and Myers DLd !
    only Bautista remains ! CRAMPY !

    other Of in discussion to be picked up: Eaton, Rios, Polanco, DeShields

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I like Castillo over Dyson

  5. Scott says:
    (link)

    Ok, I’m holding on to Trevor, waiting for the…
    Rest of the Story.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      HA!

      *stands up at computer desk…claps*

  6. Pouss-Pouss says:
    (link)

    Miguel Sano has played in 20 games now (1/8 of a season). Here’re his stats extrapolated over 162 games:

    543 AB – 162 H – 81 R – 24 HR – 49 2B – 105 RBI – 122 BB – 235 K – .299 AVG – .951 OPS – 0 SB

    Kris Bryant’s extrapolated 162-game stats, by comparison (over 90 games):

    601 AB – 151 H – 95 R – 25 HR – 29 2B – 106 RBI – 94 BB – 216 K – .252 AVG – .806 OPS – 18 SB

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      cool beans

      • CMUTimmah says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Sample sizes MIGHT come into play here…

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          shhh

  7. PancakeMaker says:
    (link)

    Read in one spot that Cody Reed may end up as the best player of the 3 Cincy got for Cueto. Any thoughts on him?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      it’s possible, but he looks even more likely to end up in the pen than Finnegan

  8. Malicious Phenom says:
    (link)

    What is the Story with Trevor, other than above, I don’t think I have seen him ranked on any of your prospect lists, or because I am so SP crazy, I missed him?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      aw, c’mon MP! I even wrote it in the blurb above :) 37th on Midseason Top 50

      power/speed but some strikeout concerns that he’s improved on this year

      • Malicious Phenom says:
        (link)

        @Mike: WOW, sorry man, I really messed up there..

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          lol, no need to apologize!

  9. thorbs says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike, great stuff as always!

    Conforto was a hot topic in my league before our trade deadline – I pegged him as having Alex Gordon fantasy upside (20 – 25 HR, minus some speed). Sound about right?

    Also, speed round:
    SS Prospects – Story/Difo/Lara/Gordon/Turner/Barreto

    Top 3 for 2015, and beyond?

    I’ve got it Story/Difo/Turner for 2015, and Barreto/Turner/Lara longterm

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! sounds about right on Conforto

      I’d go Turner/Barreto/Lara, but I’m giving Turner points for upper-level experience

  10. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    not sure if i mentioned t.o’neill OF SEA as possible choice. i sure hope he wasn’t as high as tocci/sierra (guys i’ve gotten). somebody did just take j.pujols ahead of me. i got 2 more to get first though anyway.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      nah

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: PHI OF pretty sick for future, wonder how much williams sets back tocci/altherr/pujols/cozens. all of those but pujols on my team. shouldn’t hurt williams’ value, PHI’s been higher runs park factor (i think i don’t have BP in front of me) for last 3 years, since TEX did that weird jet stream tweak.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        for sure. I don’t think it’s a big issue. can’t have too many good players and it usually works itself out, especially with prospects

  11. Kid A says:
    (link)

    Nice haul for your Phils. Alfaro + Williams = delicious. Tasty arms too.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      word…I love this return.

  12. Pugs & Slugs says:
    (link)

    What’s up Prospect Mike?!
    I grabbed Peraza w/in 3.5 seconds. He’s been sitting on FA in our NL-Only H2H (Auction) league. He’s only $2 to keep. I have no intention at all to keep him because of the value I have in my other keepers. However, me and 6 of the other 9 owners are huge Dodger fans and I plan to throw him back in the pot or trade him for an arm or bat. There’s no way I’m letting someone have a cheap keeper even if he has to rot on my bench for several weeks. My wife said I’m a total ass for doing that (with a smile of course).

    Anyway, I’m assuming the Dodgers will bring him up at some point, but he’s got to be blocked more now than he was before barring any more trading (which I don’t see happening with infielders). I doubt they flip him given he can play SS or 2B and Olivera is gone.
    Thoughts?

    • Pugs & Slugs says:
      (link)

      @Pugs & Slugs: @Pugs & Slugs: I also snagged Story, but he can’t be kept. Just hoping for some MI help in the next couple of weeks.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        word, I think it’s 2016 for both

        • Pugs & Slugs says:
          (link)

          @Mike: Thanks. I think it could be that too, but given the nature of my league, I could risk it.

          • Mike

            Mike says:
            (link)

            no problem…makes sense :)

  13. Kid A says:
    (link)

    The word of the day is…..

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Wilmer?

      • CMUTimmah says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Renege

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          ha!

  14. Eric B says:
    (link)

    Mike…what do you think of the Braves “reported” deal with the Dodgers? Is Olivera THAT good? I think they’ve realized Peraza might not be much better than Peterson with more speed, RP Johnson and LRP Avilia doesnt bother me too much but I think Wood makes the deal a little lop sided…thoughts? And should I pick up Olivera immediately? I have one move left this week and would have to drop Gausman or Alexi Ramirez(whos finally heated up but I do have Aybar).

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Olivera is coming back form a hammy injury in the minors, but I’d imagine they’d give him a look as soon as he’s ready. He is a really nice bat, don’t get me wrong, but the move shows that they see Peterson and Maybin as pieces to hang on to rather than flip, at least that’s what I’m reading into it. I’d grab Hector. Don’t get too wrapped up in the age, it’s more about his health and playing time. If both of those are on point, he’ll produce.

      The Wood part does make it kind of a head scratcher. As far as your drop I’d lose one of your two shortstops…whichever one isn’t producing for ya.

      • Eric B says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thanks Mike, appreciate the insight.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          anytime

  15. Jupton says:
    (link)

    Hey,

    I was wondering what are the odds are that Luis Severino or José Berrios get called up before the start of September and if they get called up what are the odds they produce? 12 team keeper league?

    Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d give both better than 50/50 chance of coming up before September. How they’ll produce is another thing, but I’ve been a little higher on Berrios from the beginning this year. Likely streamers with upside this year in 12 teamers, but more value in keepers like yours.

      • Jupton says:
        (link)

        Awesome. Thank you.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          no problem

          • Jupton says:
            (link)

            Now with Pineda going to the DL and Nova having arm soreness do you think this bumps up Severinos chances of being called up?

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              depending what they do at the deadline, absolutely

  16. Scratch this says:
    (link)

    My best memory of Finnegan’s is the 2006 Santa Crawl & pouring my egg nog on an unsuspecting coed… classy establishment… Actually pee’d next to jayson werth in their urinal shortly thereafter.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      haha nice!

  17. RePete says:
    (link)

    What’s your take on Baez at this point? It seems like he’s improved his approach and strike out percentage so far in AAA this year. Do you think he’ll make a fantasy impact this year or next? I read rumors he could be headed to the Padres for one of their pitchers. Thanks!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d bet more on 2016 impact, and I’d think the Cubs would be less inclined to move him in a deal than others. That’s just me speculating though.

      I wrote some about this in the preseason, but basically he just needed more time to work. He’s still young with massive power upside. Even small improvements in his approach could yield real results. Great target in keepers.

  18. Drexel Hill Dragons says:
    (link)

    I’m in a keeper league and have Kolten Wong as my 2B.

    Yoan Moncada is the highest ranked prospect available and I like what I’ve been reading on him. Do you think Moncada has a good chance to get every day at bats as early as next season in Boston?

    Starting next year do you like Wong or Moncada better overall as a 2B to hold on to?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      if you can keep Moncada tucked away on a farm and still hold Wong that would be ideal. 2016 would be aggressive for Moncada, not impossible, but aggressive. 2017 more likely. I’d take the bird in hand with Wong if you have to choose between them.

  19. Raoul Duke says:
    (link)

    Mike-

    I am still holding out hope that Javy Baez can reach his potential in the majors, but I get nervous when I hear his name linked to the Padres. Park too big and I don’t remember the last time they developed a good hitter. Do you share the faith and would you worry about a trade to the Padres?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      of course I get a little nervous when a bat goes to a pitcher’s park, but I share the faith in Baez, yeah

  20. Raoul Duke says:
    (link)

    Right now I am carrying Adrian Rondon in my minors. Gleyber, Arcia, Hanson, Mateo, Adames and Brendan Rodgers are available. Is the upside of any of these guys great enough to drop Rondon?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Arcia is closer. I might take him or Torres over Rondon at this point, but I don’t know that their upside is necessarily greater than his.

      • Raoul Duke says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Yeah it is a tough question because there is too much projecting at that age. Thanks though.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          anytime

  21. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
    (link)

    for dynasty purposes, is this about the rankings of these (can keep up to 9 , minimum 7, start 3 OF and 1 util).
    puig/cargo 1/a.jones/ellsbury/reddick/heyward/mesoraco/cano/carpenter/dahl/buchholez
    I have 6 good OF’ers need to likely trade for 1 good SP.

    • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
      (link)

      @Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves: for every guy under 9 we don’t keep we would get 1 or 2 picks BEFORE the official draft starts, so pre-round compensatory, not post round, like in real life. And while we can’t be SURE which guys are kept predraft, i could look and see which guys couldn’t be kept (simply due to that player being a 10th or higher guy on a certain roster)

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        that order makes sense, although I might argue for Heyward after Jones in a dynasty

  22. ReleasetheMcKracken says:
    (link)

    12tean keep forever dynasty with 25man MiLB rosters. Give Steven Matz and Hunter Harvey for Carlos Carrasco?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      yup, I’d do that

  23. JJ says:
    (link)

    Hey Mike,

    I am just wondering if it time to cut bait on S.SOUZA and/or Y.TOMAS in a 12 team 5X5 H2H keeper league. We only keep 10 players so the odds of them being kept are pretty slim. I already have SANO, C.SEAGER as far as blue chip prospects go.
    Other bats that are available include
    R.CASTILLO
    MELKY
    A.EATON
    J.BAEZ
    A.HICK
    J.KANG
    T.D’ARNAUD
    What do you think?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I like both Castillo and Baez, but I don’t think I’d lose Tomas and Souza for them. It might be an upgrade, but there’s also a risk attached on the other end. I’d hold.

      • JJ says:
        (link)

        @Mike:
        Which do you like better if I did decide to cut bait on one of them

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          between the two, I prefer Tomas

  24. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    Hi man, happy Hamels day from yesterday! You should be happy and sad right :)

    What’s your valuation on catchers in dynasties. Alfaro is still available out there, G Sanchez too as no one really values catchers in my keeper league. They could be great but often take ages to breakthrough offensively due to having to work mainly on defense. Would you rather have Alfaro/Sanchez over a guy like AJ Reed/Meadows/Pompey?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      haha, pretty much! I like Alfaro, but would still take the other three over him

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thing is if (and it’s a J-Lo sized butt, I mean if…gah can’t stop thinking about it now!) they breakthrough right away and pull a Posey, I think Aflaro would be much more valuable than the others. Pompey and Meadows really aren’t exciting me based on this year. It’s a risk but could be worth taking seeing as I have a shizz load of outfield prospects. Alfaro really sounds like the real deal.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          word. in that case, I’d hold Pompey and lose Meadows for him

  25. WalleyWorld says:
    (link)

    Hey mike, always great content, thanks! Wanted to consult the prospect expert on a couple dynasty questions. I have Rizzo/Hosmer at 1B/Util slots and Grichuk holding down CF now. Need to drop Cron, Maybin, or Leonys Martin to make room for Dan Norris. Hesitant to drop any of the three as I don’t want to throw away a good player. Leaning Maybin I guess but he’s getting playing time and finally showing some promise. Not sure what kind of upside Martin has at this point. Will it be worth waiting for when he does eventually get an everyday role back? I was also offered Odorizzi for my Cron and Dan Norris. Consider it? Thanks again!

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      thanks! I think it’s safe to cut Martin. I’d hold Cron and Norris

      • WalleyWorld says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Awesome thank you. One more for ya. After promoting Norris I will be able to add another prospect. I think my top choice is A.J. Reed. Do you like him more than Cron long term? Other options include Mella, Honeywell, Jake Thompson, Brett Phillips, Derek Fisher. I currently own Albies, Rosario, Margot, Brinson, Giolito, and Taillon. I appreciate it!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          no problem. I like Fisher the most, with Phillips and Reed basically tied behind him. Reed gives you big power potential at first. Phillips probably less risk, some power, more speed. Fisher I like because he can offer both. Can’t go wrong with any of those three though.

          • WalleyWorld says:
            (link)

            @Mike: Same league. Just swapped Andrew Miller and Arodys Vizcaino for Matz. What do you think, did I get enough back? Hurts my pen but I think Matz is a pretty solid add for the rotation. Still own Betances, Capps, and Giles. Cheers!

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              looks good to me

  26. Brian Dozier Fanzine President says:
    (link)

    Mike,

    1) Thoughts on Astros prospect SP Francis Martis, in a 20 team, 30 prospects each…..type league? He worthy of a minor league stash spot?

    2) Of these recent international free agent signings….Dermis Garcia, Christopher Acosta, Anderson Espinoza, Nelson Gomez…..any stick out to you as having particularly good upside, and worth stashing in the said league mentioned above?

    3) Last but not least….thoughts on Aristides Aquino? Had a phenomenal year last year in rookie ball (as a 20 yo), 16 HR, 21 SB, .900+ OPS…..but has had a disappointing year this season. He still have worthwhile upside in your opinion?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      1) high ceiling. I’d def take a chance on him in that format
      2) Gomez, Espinoza, Garcia is how I’d rank them, but all three are a coin flip at this point
      3) given the long ETA and last year was Rookie ball, you probably knew there’s be some risk/rough patches along the way. I’d give him some leash since nothing really sticks out at me. He’s a good one to find first-hand reports on if you can. They’d be a lot more telling than his stats

      • Brian Dozier Fanzine President says:
        (link)

        @Mike:

        Brilliant stuff as always, cheers man.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          thanks! you too!

Comments are closed.