After a mixture of smooth and rough waves last week, we’re looking for some smooth sailing here. This group of streamers is much more reliable and we have some guys that the Streamonator absolutely loves. What does make this time of year fascinating is the weather though, as any starters matchup can change if Mother Nature is unhappy. That’s why it’s imperative to check the weather before picking up any pitcher, as you don’t want to get stuck with someone who may not even make their start. So, with that in mind, let’s get to one of the hottest pitchers in the league.  

Two-Start Streamers 

Matt Shoemaker TOR (at MIN, at OAK) 

It’s simply hard to fade Shoemaker right now and it’s a wonder why he’s still so widely available. Over his first three starts of the season, Shoemaker has posted a 0.92 ERA and 0.71 WHIP while owning a 27 percent K-rate. That’s the numbers you expect from a top-10 starter but we’re getting that production from waiver wire scraps. While the Streamonator doesn’t necessarily love Shoemaker, it does have him collecting 10.3 strikeouts while generating a 1.22 WHIP across 11 innings. Facing Minnesota is the best matchup of the two, as they currently rank 23rd in the MLB with a .307 xWOBA. Facing Oakland is no easy treat but pitching in their stadium is beneficial considering it’s one of the best pitcher’s parks in the majors. That makes Shoemaker tough to avoid in a two-start week, especially with his sparkling form.  

Trevor Richards MIA (vs. CHC, vs. WSH)  

Any time the Marlins have a week of home games, it’s always worth looking at their starters. The main reason why is that ballpark, as Marlins Park has surrendered the second-fewest runs in the majors dating back to last season. In three starts this season, Richards has accrued a 2.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, striking out 18 batters across 18 innings. He’s also allowed a fantastic .250 wOBA so far this year and it’s clear he’s building off a superb spring training. That’s about all you can ask for from someone who’s this low owned, especially a guy who gets to pitch in this spacious ballpark. That high strikeout rate shouldn’t surprise anyone either, considering he posted a 28 percent K-rate in the minors. These matchups are slightly worrisome but not enough to scare me off if you need the extra starts.  

One-Start Streamers 

Michael Pineda MIN (vs. TOR) 

Pineda actually just climbed above the threshold percentage for a streamer but I see him available in too many leagues not to recommend him. In three starts this year, Pineda has accumulated a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP while striking out 15 batters across 15 innings. That’s the Pineda we knew and loved in his Yankees days, as his .238 xwOBA is hard to argue with. What we really like here is this matchup though, as he faces a Toronto team who owns the worst strikeout rate in the league while ranking bottom-six in OBP, OPS and xwOBA. The Streamonator has him projected to provide $16.6 worth of value, which is hard to fade considering he could be a -180 favorite here.  All that makes Pineda hard to fade, even without the goop all over his neck.  

Domingo German NYY (vs. KC) 

We might have to change this article name to “Ride the German”. Wait, that sounds weird and slightly inappropriate. In any case, this marks German’s third appearance in four articles, as he’s getting extremely close to the streamer threshold percentage. It’s easy to understand why when looking at the Streamonator though, as he’s the highest projected one-start streamer. In fact, German is projected to provide $23.4 worth of value, which is the equivalent of a top-20 pitcher.

His early-season form speaks for itself, with German posting a 1.38 ERA and 0.77 WHIP across 13 innings, while striking out 14 batters. Those massive strikeout numbers should be no surprise when you consider the fact that German owns a 27.1 percent K-rate for his career. The matchup is simply the icing on the cake, with the Royals ranking 25th with a .300 wOBA and 20th with a .311 OBP. Not to mention, German is projected to be a -190 favorite in this game.

Jake Odorizzi MIN (vs. TOR) 

Odorizzi is a wildly inconsistent pitcher but he has some huge upside in this spectacular matchup. In fact, Toronto sits 25th in the majors with a .293 xwOBA. That’s far from shocking, as the best hitter on this team is Justin Smoak. Not to mention, Toronto owns the worst strikeout rate in the majors while sitting with an ugly OBP of .279. 

That’s why the Streamonator loves Odorizzi this week, as it has him projected to provide $11.6 worth of value. Not only will he enter that matchup as a favorite in the -160 range, he’s projected to accrue a 3.89 ERA and 1.17 WHIp across 5.6 innings, striking out 6.3 batters. That strikeout number is especially high and it makes him hard to fade with Toronto’s lack of discipline at the plate. While Odorizzi’s 6.35 ERA may scare off some owners, his 1.15 WHIP, 4.01 FIP and 33 percent K-rate indicate that he has some serious positive regression headed his way.  

Yonny Chirinos was originally in this article in a start against the Baltimore Orioles but has been moved to the bullpen since. He still might be a sneaky pickup though, considering he could provide some quality innings out of the pen against this weak lineup. Prior to a blowup over the weekend, Chirinos allowed only five baserunners across 12 innings in his first two starts of the season.

Kyle Gibson has a high rating according to the Streamonator and should have success against the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles, if he makes both of those starts. Needless to say, get as many Twins starters as possible into your lineup against the Blue Jays and Orioles garbage lineups.

 

 

If you have any comments or questions, write me here or contact me on Twitter @BartilottaJoel.

  1. Handy Afterall says:
    (link)

    Love the article, but for those of us in weekly leagues, it came after rosters locked…which makes the information a little moot. Still cool to read, just for the writing – and to feel regret/pride having our locked decisions skewered/validated – but not quite as useful for fantasy porpoises. Maybe that show about the fancy chairs got in the way this week….
    In any case, thanks again for the fun and insight.

    Have fun,
    Handy

    • The Real Joey Bart

      The Real Joey Bart says:
      (link)

      Yeah, we always try to get it up by Sunday but there were so many changes to my article that I had to make some serious adjustments last night. I had Odorizzi written up as a two-start guy and Chirinos as a one-start streamer. But we’ll try to get it up Sunday next week. Thanks for reading man and I truly appreciate the positive feedback.

      btw I actually really dont like Game of Thrones, watched the first two seasons and didnt enjoy it. Haha, hopefully that doesnt stir up controversy

      • Handy Afterall says:
        (link)

        Ha! Right with you on the GOT. Don’t got it at all, man. Winter is coming? I live in Montreal; buy a toque and brace your shoulders, and deal with it.
        You guys are doing the lord’s work. Nothing but appreciation here.

        Have fun,
        Handy

        • The Real Joey Bart

          The Real Joey Bart says:
          (link)

          Haha good stuff Handy Afterall

  2. I wonder if I made a mistake by streaming Boyd tomorrow. He did do good for me last week, but I don’t like seeing him up against Musgrove. Pirates defense is suspect, but Musgrove has been great, having yet to give up an earned run this year & 1-1 with a 0.00 ERA, 0.65 WHIP and 15 strikeouts in 15.1 innings. I’m in a shallow H2H and McHugh @ OAK is still available. We have no limit on moves. Who do you like here The Real Joey Bart? Musgrove, Boyd, McHugh, Kenta Maeda vs Tyler Mahle (CIN)? Thx!

    • The Real Joey Bart

      The Real Joey Bart says:
      (link)

      Honestly, those are all pretty solid streamers in my opinion. I think the best option is Maeda. I do like Musgrove and Boyd over McHugh but think that McHugh is probably a better option long-term. If I had to rank them id go Maeda, Body, Musgrove, McHugh. With all that said, I think they’re all in great positions and would bet on all of them throwing a quality start with high K potential

  3. Kruk_Ain't_An_Athlete says:
    (link)

    We like our adjustment to our league where we are a Tuesday-Monday league. Too much crap happens on Sun-Mon so we just adjust the settings so the first day is Tuesday.

    Anyway, I have Bauer, Cahill, DeSciafani, Fried, Gausman, Giolito, and Hendricks starting (with Leclerc and Swarzak as RPs) but I do have Sonny Gray on the bench. I don’t trust him this week.

    Available SPs are R.Lopez, Estrada, Lynn, Hellickson, Turnbull, F.Pena, L.Weaver, T.Roark, King Felix, Pomeranz, Nova, Ross, Bailey, Cashner, and Bettis.

    Anybody jump out at ya?

    • Kruk_Ain't_An_Athlete says:
      (link)

      …btw, 14-team QS, K, ERA, WHIP, Saves+Holds league.

      • The Real Joey Bart

        The Real Joey Bart says:
        (link)

        Hmm…
        Lopez against KC is intriguing but his inconsistency scares me to death
        Hellickson is a sneaky play against SF. I actually like him
        Turnbull’s K upside is intriguing against PIT
        Ross is sneaky too, I think he’s being undervalued in the fantasy world and faces CWS

        The rest of those guys are no’s for me.

  4. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Boy, good thing I didn’t stream Trevor Richards LOL

    Then again, streaming any Marlin pitcher, away or home just seems suicidal. But that’s just me.

    • The Real Joey Bart

      The Real Joey Bart says:
      (link)

      Yup, not a pretty performance there

Comments are closed.