Welcome back to the Tuesday edition of Fanduel DFS here on Razzball. I hope you all enjoyed a nice break from the grind last week, I know I did. Nice little trip to Vegas prior to the break, followed by a golf tournament in southern Michigan this past weekend has me relaxed and ready to take on the second half with confidence.
Tonight we have a near full slate of games on Fanduel’s main slate with minor weather concerns in Toronto, and expected rain throughout the game in Atlanta. Because of this, our top priced pitcher, Yu Darvish ($11,200), may again be in danger of delays or postponement. The pitching options overall tonight are quite shaky. Trevor Rogers ($10,00) gets a hot Nationals team in D.C. Aaron Nola ($9,100) is returning to the mound after 14 days off and a stay on the COVID-19 injured list (though he never tested positive). Wade Miley ($9,300) keeps doing his thing but has only eclipsed 40 fanduel points 2 times in 10 starts since his no-no back on May 7. I have my eyes on two guys under $9,000 who’s price and matchup look good enough to highly consider tonight.
Good luck tonight, and remember to stay positive and visualize that bank roll spiking. Visualize your success! You HAVE to believe it to be true before it can happen. Go with your gut and do it with confidence. Let’s go!
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Starting Pitcher Targets
German Marquez, SP: ($8,600) – Marquez has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since the start of May. If you take out the minor blow up in Cincinnati on June 12, Marquez is 7-2 with a 1.33 ERA and over a K per inning in 11 games since May 9. The Coors factor doesn’t seem to matter with Marquez, as he’s actually been a better pitcher at home this season while allowing just 3 HR in 70 innings. He gets the Mariners tonight at home, a team that strikes out plenty and is bottom 5 in baseball in OBP, SLG, and overall run production vs RHP. Coors or not, his price is just too low tonight as he’s averaged over 44 Fanduel points his last 5 home starts.
Tarik Skubal, SP: ($8,200) – Skubal has had his ups and downs this season, no doubt, but since May 30 he owns a 3.55 ERA with over 11 K/9 and a 13.2 swinging strike percentage (SwStr%). In his 10 starts prior to May 30, his HR/9 was all the way up at 2.72, having given up 13 long balls in just 43 innings. Since May 30, his HR/9 have dropped down to 1.18, allowing just 6 in 45.2 innings.
Skubal gets the Rangers today, a team that walks the least amount in baseball vs LHP, strikes out above league average, and is in the bottom 5 in run production. If Skubal can miss enough bats tonight he could be a top scoring pitcher on the slate. This is not a for sure thing, obviously, but his price, matchup, and overall skill make him a nice target tonight at home vs the Rangers.
First Base
C.J. Cron, C/1B: ($3,700) – In Coors and should hopefully get at least 2 ABs vs Marco Gonzales who has an 8.32 expected ERA and gives up a ton of fly balls. I’m sure he’ll be highly owned but this is a Coors play worth rostering tonight, no doubt.
Mitch Garver, C/1B: ($2,300) – His first game back since June 1, Garver went deep twice yesterday. If we know anything about Garver, he hits in bunches and his matchup is a solid one tonight. He has a great history vs Keuchel and the weather tonight in Chicago bodes well for power.
Second Base
Garrett Hampson, 2B (OF) & Brendan Rodgers, 2B (SS): ($2,900) – Both the same price in a great home matchup vs flailing Marco Gonzales. Take your pick or get them both into your Rockies stacks.
Jonathan India, 2B (3B): ($2,700) – Seems to be locked into the lead off spot for the Reds. It’s a hot day in Cinci with a solid matchup vs Stock and the wind blowing slightly out. The Reds should score some runs tonight.
Third Base
Rafael Devers, 3B: ($3,700) – Facing 26 yr old righty Thomas Hatch, Devers looks to have a solid matchup. Hopefully the HR yesterday gets him back going again. There’s likely going to be plenty of runs scored in this game, and Devers (along with Vlad and Semien) are the likely top benefactors from their respective teams.
Yoan Moncada, 3B: ($3,100) – There’s a ton of spots to stack tonight and the White Sox are definitely one of them. Moncada is starting to lift the ball with 2 homers in his last 3 games. He, along with Gleyber Torres are two seasonal guys I’d like to buy low on heading into the second half.
Short Stop
Bo Bichette, SS: ($3,600) – I like the Blue Jays a lot tonight, so Marcus Semien is obviously in play, but Bichette is $500 cheaper so he gets the nod here. Garrett Richards has not been good and is actually worse vs righties.
Tim Anderson, SS: ($3,600) – With so many options, Anderson could go slightly overlooked. He’s homered in his last 3 games and gets Bailey Ober who lets up a ton of fly balls. I always like matchups like this during the warm summer nights in Chicago where balls can fly out of the park in bunches.
Didi Gregorius, SS: ($2,700) – Playing in Yankees Stadium where he had great success during his time with the Yanks. Didi is facing off against Domingo German who’s giving up 47% fly balls and 42% hard hit rate to lefty batters this season.
Outfield
Bryce Harper, OF: ($3,900) – Yankees Stadium was built for hitters like Harper and Domingo German is very fly ball prone this season. I’m calling a dong for Harper tonight in New York.
Nelson Cruz, OF: ($3,700) – Finally got that first home run in July yesterday, likely the longest homerless streak of the past 10 seasons for Cruz. But, now that it’s over, maybe Nelly will be ready to start one of his streaks. He has 1.075 OPS with 6 HR in his 55 at bat history vs Keuchel.
Nick Castellanos ($3,600), Jesse Winker ($3,100), Tyler Naquin ($2,200) – They’ll each be pretty popular. However, they are also too cheap to not get some exposure vs 31 yr old journeyman Robert Stock who’s been pretty good at being pretty bad when given shots in the majors.
Akil Baddoo, OF: ($2,900) – He’s been on fire lately and has done all of his damage this season vs RHP.
Brian Goodwin, OF: ($2,900) – The trend you might be seeing is that I expect there to be runs scored in Chicago tonight. You’d be correct. Goodwin continues to hit in the middle of the lineup and that should be a prime spot tonight.
Favorite Stacks : Rockies, Blue Jays, Reds, White Sox
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Seems like rain is likely throughout the Padres/Braves game tonight in Atlanta, so be sure to check the weather updates prior to lock. 20% chance of rain throughout the Red Sox/Blue Jays game, though looking at it now it seems likely to play unless storms pop up later in the day.
Doing Lines In Vegas
MIN @ CWS: o/u 9.5 – OVER
PHI @ NYY: o/u 9 – OVER
BOS @ TOR: o/u 11.5 – OVER – This is aggressive but I can see this game having a 15 run total easily.
FanDuel Money Line Parlay
BOS +116
CIN -158
CWS -154
HOU -184
COL -190
