What’s up, everybody? I’ve got a big list of players because Fanduel has a big all-day (15 games) and main (14 games) slate. As always, check lineups with Rudy’s tools or your favorite lineup site (not including MLB The Show). It looks like a great hitter slate today, so you mega-event players should let your optimizers run wild and you single-event players will likely want to focus on Athletics, Rays, Marlins, and Angels lineups.
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Starting Pitchers
Charlie Morton and Corbin Burnes
Go get yourself some CM, punk! That’s Charlie Morton, not the wrestler who just re-appeared. Morton and Burnes really shouldn’t be a surprise to anybody. But my personal rankings show only 2 true aces today, and they’re ranked #1 and #3 on Rudy’s DFS rankings. Unless you’re the type that wants to do a German Marquez/Andrew Heaney lineup, you might want to pony up the cash to get your elite starters today. Jack Flaherty is an option, but he’s also likely to be inning limited. If you really want to white knuckle, take Dylan Cease against the Blue Jays. Cease is poised for a big game soon…but will it happen against the best offense in the league? We’ll find out this evening!
Hitters
My “Crushonator” looks at projected matchups and highlights players who have optimal splits for Home/Away, wOBA, ISO, and upside DFS points as provided by Rudy’s DFS Rankings. Here are my favorite “Crushers” today:
| Crushers |
|---|
| Rafael Devers |
| Shohei Ohtani |
| Mitch Garver |
| Pete Alonso |
| Bryce Harper |
| Mike Zunino |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. |
My “Hobbitotron” looks for batters who have less reliable power but are cheap plays:
| Hobbits |
|---|
| Jorge Soler |
| Kyle Schwarber |
| Patrick Wisdom |
| Miguel Sano |
| Mitch Garver |
| Pete Alonso |
| Joey Gallo |
| Brandon Belt |
| Mike Zunino |
Lastly, I calculate the cheapest batters who have favorable handedness splits on line drive %. These guys are your roster fillers:
Stacks for Today:
As always, please double-check lineups before making your DFS submissions. This especially applies to the Unexpected Hitters bracket — those guys have a greater than 50% chance to play, but many of their jobs are volatile.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains:
20% chance of rain in MIL/CIN. So, keep an eye on that Corbin Burnes start and be ready to flex to Flaherty, Berrios, or Cease if needed.
Doing Lines in Vegas:
Why not hedge against Corbin Burnes? CIN is +170 at the time of writing, yet they’re putting Tyler Mahle out against the Brew Crew. Imagine each starter going 6-7 IP and the score is 2-1 in the Brewers’ favor when the bullpen comes in and Jonathan India and Joey Votto make it a 3-2 game in favor of the Reds. Great DFS game for DFS pitchers AND a Reds win AND it’s the under (7.5). Could be an interesting play there (albeit, a low chance outcome).
