If there’s one reason to start James Paxton ($9,200), it’s to rack up strikeouts, as Paxton’s 29.2% K-rate is one of the best in the game. That’s why he’s got so much upside for this start against the Rangers, who strike out more than any other team against lefties at 26.0%. Paxton has recorded a win in six straight starts, and should have another strong performance here.
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Trevor Richards, SP: $5,700– As a value starter, Richards gets to face the Orioles, who have just a .303 wOBA against right-handers. Richards is at home in a pitcher’s park and has a 2.31 ERA in his last three outings.
Paul Goldschmidt, 1B: $3,500– Goldy is in a great spot for runs and RBI batting third against Dereck Rodriguez, who has an awful 5.53 FIP. Goldschmidt also has 29 home runs, so he can easily go deep against Rodriguez’s 1.68 HR/9.
Eric Sogard, 2B: $3,000– Sogard is a good bet to score batting leadoff against Baltimore, the league’s worst pitching staff. Sogard is batting .313 over the last month and is a cheap target in cash games.
Manny Machado, 3B: $3,400– Machado’s has been much better on the road this year, with an .890 OPS away from Petco. He’s too cheap at this price against Merrill Kelly, owner of a 4.91 ERA.
Adalberto Mondesi, SS: $3,100 – Mondesi wasted no time in his first game off of the injured list, going 4-for-5 with three steals. Buy in now while he’s still this affordable.
Max Kepler, OF: $3,500– The Twins lineup should be one of the highest scoring teams in Fenway against Rick Porcello and his 5.42 ERA. Kepler has a .968 OPS over the last two weeks and will lead off for Minnesota.
Shohei Ohtani, OF: $3,400 – Ohtani has been cold lately, but he still has a strong 124 wRC+ against righties. Opposing starter Mike Fiers has significantly outperformed his 4.65 FIP and 16.6% K-rate.
Mookie Betts, OF: $3,800– You’d be out of your mind to miss out on Betts at this price. He’s got a .954 OPS in Fenway this year.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Everything looks clear for today’s games.
Doing Lines In Vegas
Philadelphia at +110 against the Reds and Lucas Sims looks interesting.
