As summer has come and gone and the weather starts the cool down in the Great White North, so have the Blue Jays. The Jays are still hanging on to a wild card spot, but have gone from first to third in the division. They have lost the last four divisional series, which hasn’t helped. There are 4 teams within 5 games back, all chomping at the heals of the Jays. Early in the season the pitching was a strong suit of the Jays, but now own a 4.46 xFIP so far in September. The Jays have migrated south to Anaheim and have found success. It seems all they needed was some California sunshine to get the back on the winning track. Tonight, Francisco Liriano will take the mound and look to continue the success he found in his last outing. His last outing came against the Rays, and consisted of 6.1 innings, giving up 2 runs on 3 hits and 1 walk, while earning 6 strikeouts. While the Angels don’t strike out a lot (16.7% vs LHP), they lose a lot. Nolasco will be on the mound for the Angles, who is 1-6 since being traded. And with that I give you the rest of my Saturday DFS picks.
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Ervin Santana, SP: $8,900 – Santana hasn’t been perfect, but he has been good. Santana has allowed a homer in 4 straight games (7 over the past 12), but has a 20:69 walk to strikeout ratio with a 2.50 ERA in that same span. In terms of fantasy production, Santana has been averaging 18 points over his past 10 games. Lucas Duda may finally be back from the DL in this one, as a pinch hitter. Duda is a guy that can hit multiple homers, but also a guy who can rack up multiple strikeouts. As a team, the Mets have a 21.6% strikeout rate vs RHP.
Russell Martin, C: $3,500 – Why not pick the guy Liriano will be throwing to! Most of Nolasco’s damage has came from RHB, and most of Martin’s success has came off RHP. Match made in heaven.
Pedro Alvarez, 1B: $4,200 – One of my favorite things to get out of my first baseman is homers. Which is pretty much all Pedro is good at. He doesn’t walk much and strikes out over 25% of the time. But with a .252 iso, Pedro has the power to take Andriese deep.
Dee Gordon, 2B: $4,000 – Dee has more stolen bases than walks on the season (20:14). Flash will need to hit his way on base tonight, which he usually does. The Phillies will send out righty Jeremy Hellickson. Dee is off the juice and has not been hitting as well, but has been better vs RHP.
Evan Longoria, 3B: $4,000 – For my BvP supporters … in 65 PA against Tillman, Longo has 7 homers and a 1.038 OPS.
Carlos Correa, SS: $3,700 – James Paxon found velocity earlier this season. But as the months go on, the velocity has fallen. His average fastball was down nearly 4 mph from what it was earlier this season. Carlos has been batting 4th and should have plenty of opportunity for RBI’s.
Nelson Cruz, OF: $4,500 – This is Nelson. Nelson hit bombs.
Andrew McCutchen, OF: 4,400 – The captain of the ship hit 2 solo bombs on Thursday. He’s only batting .250 on the season, but Brandon Finnegan is nothing to fear. Finnegan comes in to tonight’s game with a 4.86 xFip and 4.43 BB/9.
Roman Quinn, OF: $2,600 – This resent Phillies call up has found himself in the 2-hole and has the good speed. If he can find his way on base, he should be able to steal us some low owned fantasy points this evening. Roman is a great player to pair with the expensive players at Coors.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
The weather may be aggressive at Progressive Field. There is over a 50% chance of thunderstorms all game long between the Tigers and Indians. Other than that, she appears to be a good day for ball. But, as always, check the reports closer to game time.
Doing Lines In Vegas
The Cubs are playing the Brewers and Arrieta is on the mound … that results in a -275 favorite for the Cubs. David Price and the Red Sox also get a large favorite of -255 over the Yankees. Yu Darvish and the Rangers are right behind at -240 over the Athletics. Coors baseball … 12.5 total. Other places to get your runs include NYY/BOS, TB/BAL, CHW/KC, OAK/TEX, and TOR/LAA, all with totals of 9.