Last year’s schmohawk posts were Alex Bregman, Joey Gallo, Charlie Blackmon, DJ LeMahieu and Kris Bryant. Welp, four out five ain’t bad. I crushed four of those so hard it was like I Mola Ram’d my hand into their chest so decisively, some of them were unable to come back from it. Somewhere, Kris Bryant is still walking with his head lowered, kicking rocks at some of the weak-sauce grounders he’s hitting to the 2nd baseman. Imagine you could ruin careers with your typed words — THAT IS MY POWER! I am a responsible enough adult that I can handle doling out this sort of punishment, but I promise you, I go to sleep every night, praying each of my schmohawks will be able to start up a new career after I decimate them with my (s)words.

“Lord, I know you are busy, but please, if you have a moment, let Joey Gallo start a career as a pretzel salesman at a well-attended circus. Or whatever he wants to do. Thank you, and keep in touch, big homey!” That’s me knelt by my Cal-King, 45,000-count linen sheet-covered bed. Just an adult, doing adult shizz. Now, allow me to unsheathe my adjectives, unholster my nouns, something-something-out some verbs! Today’s dressing down comes at the expense of Dominic Smith. En garde! is what I scream as I eat a Snickers bar, while perusing Statcast. You’re done for, pal! So, what can we expect from Dominic Smith for 2021 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

First, let’s look at Dominic Smith’s surface area stats and projections from 3rd person sources:  Last year in that jizzoke of a season, he went 27/10/42/.316/0 in 177 ABs, and *shakes head* I can’t even believe I’m writing this post. Seriously, if y’all wanna do boneheaded shizz I should just let you. Any hoo! Previously, his best season in Triple-A was 16/1/.330 in 457 ABs with a .380 BABIP. More on that in a moment. Our hitter projections this year for Dom:  67/22/75/.248/3 in 500 ABs. Best comps in our projections are Eduardo Escobar, Jeimer Candelario, Nate Lowe, and Miguel Cabrera. Any ideas where those guys are going in drafts compared to Dominic Smith? Later and/or much later are acceptable answers.

As mentioned in my top 20 1st basemen for 2021 fantasy baseball, I do think Steamer’s a bit low on him for his batting average. For that average, it has him at a .298 BABIP, which feels low for him. A .320 BABIP with his line drive rate (25%) feels more appropriate and that should produce around a .280 average. Maybe that gets up to .290 or .300. Would take some luck, but let’s just give him that boost on average. He has no speed, and questionable playing time. So, there’s only one other thing he could have going for him:  power. If he hits 30+ homers and .280+, then he’s worth his ADP and price at drafts. Can he hit 30 homers? That feels like taking the ceiling off his ceiling, grabbing onto a beanstalk, climbing up about four hundred stories, latching a grappling hook on a passing hot air balloon basket that gets its netting caught in a passing lear jet, and going up another 50,000 feet.

Hey, anything’s possible, but this is a guy who’s never even sneezed near 20 homers in a season during pro ball, minors or majors. His expected home runs last year was nine, and he hit eight no doubters. A guy hits eight no doubters, has an obvious lefty platoon looming and y’all are drafting him like he’s as good as Anthony Rizzo. This feels very silly. No one’s actually drafting him where’s his current ADP is, right? Please tell me you’re not. His Launch Angle went down last year — okay, super for line drives, but what is going on? He’s a 20/.280 hitter who might not get 450 ABs. On a personal level, Dom Smith seems awesome. I want to hang out with him. While we’re hanging out, I will insist we draft from about fifteen other first basemen. Sorry, life’s too short, i.e., carpe diem, but don’t carpe Dom.

 
  1. blab97 says:
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    Gray!

    Happily letting Dom go way earlier than he should. Got a question for you: in a 12-team set it and forget it league, no bench or transactions, 6×6 (OBP/QS/SV+H). About to make my 14th pick, here’s where I stand:

    C:
    1B: Abreu
    2B: Moore
    SS: Story
    3B: Devers
    MI:
    CI: Chapman
    INF:
    OF: Robert
    OF: Conforto
    OF: Gurriel
    OF: Myers
    UTIL:
    UTIL:
    UTIL:
    UTIL:

    Pitching slots are 2 SP, 2 RP, 10 P, got Maeda/Ryu/Bundy/Gausman so far. Feeling pretty good, but AVG/SB seem like spots to shore up, so I’m weighing someone like Solak here. Would that be wise, or should I focus on pitching — a starter like Bassitt or a RP like Pomeranz who’s great in this format — and target guys like Cronenworth, etc later? Appreciate the help!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d take Bassitt

  2. galica123 says:
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    Grey!!!!

    Great Dom Smith schmohawk report!

    a. Keep ’em coming, man!

    b. Bought me some trout today from our local market, would love to draft Trout. At what # in the first round is Trout a steal? After #5?

    c. MLB quote of the day for March 2, 2021

    1. Cal Abrams, born March 2, 1924

    ‘I always had the feeling that Charley Dressen only played me enough to give me rope to hang myself. I remember one game, I hadn’t been playing, and it’s the ninth inning, bases loaded, two outs. Dressen puts me in to pinch hit. I popped up. Meanwhile, there was an opportunity in the sixth and the seventh for a left-handed batter, and the fans were yelling, ‘We want Abrams,’ and he wouldn’t put me in. He waited until the ninth. Then there was the time Pee Wee Reese had two strikes on him and Dressen sent me in to pinch hit. I don’t recall in the history of baseball where any major leaguer ever had the same situation. Two strikes and to go up and pinch hit? Never in a million years. I could understand it if it was a rookie, but [Hall of Fame shortstop] Pee Wee Reese was up there. And two strikes? I popped out.’

    Cal Abrams in An Oral History of the Brooklyn Dodgers (Peter Golenbeck, 1984, pg. 267)

    2. Ron Gant, born March 2, 1965

    ‘I’m a more mature player now. If that means I’m better, then, yeah, I’m better. I know mentally I approach the game differently. I just do better under pressure situations… The comeback hasn’t surprised me, but I didn’t think I could get off to this fast a start. I knew I couldn’t afford a slow start, because I was under such a microscope.’

    By Dave Van Dyck in Baseball Digest (December 1995, ‘Hard Work Paid Off for ’95 ‘Comeback’ Star Ron Gant’, Page 43)

    3. Leo Gomez, born March 2, 1966

    ‘Leo Gomez can flat-out hit. He has produced wherever he’s played, and last year at AAA Rochester he did nothing to diminish that reputation. He cracked 26 homers and knocked in 97 runs, tops in the International League, and hits with power to all fields. Unfortunately he plays third base, where Craig Worthington also plays.’

    Inside Sports, February 1991

    4. Bud Norris, born March 2, 1985

    ‘No matter what Bud Norris does or doesn’t accomplish for the rest of his career, he’ll always be able to reminisce about a sunny Sunday afternoon at Busch Stadium when he dominated a lineup that included some of baseball’s best and hottest hitters. The fresh-faced, fast-talking California kid with the electric arm owned the first-place St. Louis Cardinals in his first Major League start (August 2, 2009), throwing seven scoreless innings and getting a hit in his first at-bat to lead the Astros to a 2-0 win. Norris, pitching in his second big league game, carried a no-hitter into the sixth inning before Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright broke it up with a leadoff single. He walked four batters and struck out five while throwing 91 pitches. ‘I haven’t had a chance to let it soak in yet, but it’s probably No. 1,’ said Norris, when asked by reporters where Sunday ranked among the best thrills of his young life.’

    by Brian McTaggart / MLB.com (08/02/2009, ‘Norris’ gem in first start gives Astros lift’, Source)

    5. Rick Mahler, died March 2, 2005

    ‘He (Rick Mahler) was a great guy, a great teammate. I talked to him a lot about pitching when I first came up. He was a big help, especially for a young guy who was struggling… My first year in the big leagues I lost 17 games. He was always there to kind of lift you up. Always upbeat.’

    Hall of Famer / Teammate Tom Glavine (The Associated Press. Rick Mahler dies at 51. 2005 March 3.)

    d. Random Reggie Jackson quote of the day for March 2, 2021

    ‘People think I hate Billy Martin. I don’t. I hate some of the things he did. And I will say I don’t understand him. Billy Martin is not an intellectual, but there is a cunningness to him that is something to behold.’

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks, Ante!

      B. Great price!

      D. Such great quotes from Reggie!

      • galica123 says:
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        Grey!!

        Enjoy these Reggie quotes, I won’t have enough for more than April 1.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Damn

  3. toolshed says:
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    Small sample for Smith but every is loving him based on his adp. What about jd davis, his adp is much lower. He didn’t do that well last year, but do you expect their numbers to be that much different? Do you think Davis gets the at bats and rebounds from a last year?Everyone loved him last year but has soured on him this year. He has 3b/of eligibility in yahoo which is helpful. Would you rather take the discount on davis?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I like JD, but within reason…He’s a bit lower in my eyes than last year…Would still draft him, and think I have already

  4. JAscher says:
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    In Grey We Trust!

    12 team league, 5 keepers, rotisserie.

    Keepers move up 3 rounds each year and you can trade draft picks. I don’t have a fourth, fifth or sixth round pick. Have 2 picks in the eighth, 2 picks in the tenth and 2 picks in the eleventh.

    Just traded: (was only going to keep Lux)
    Bieber in the 4th
    Hoskins in the 21st
    Semien in the 12th
    Lux in the 27th
    8th round pick

    For

    Luis Robert in the 26th
    6th round pick

    Keepers are now:
    Acuna in the 21st
    Eloy in the 24
    Kyle Lewis in the 25th
    Robert in the 26th
    Wander in the 27th

    Thoughts? Did I make the right move?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds solid!

  5. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    He keeps getting traded in my keeper leagues too! People are super into him. Oh well!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, sigh, yes, oh well

  6. Put the devil back in ray. says:
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    If a starter in the Dodgers’ rotation gets hurt who do you think takes his place, Gonsolen or May? Thanks.

    • Captain obvious says:
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      He doesn’t know. No one does.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      May

  7. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    5 spots left in Razz league where bad players are good.

    Drafting tomorrow at 7 PT/10 ET

    https://www.fantrax.com/newui/fantasy/joinLeague.go?leagueId=r8hgtol2klaolgoo&isSubmit=y

    HITTING

    At Bats (AB) 2
    Hits (H) -3
    Home Runs (HR) -6
    Runs Batted In (RBI) -4
    Runs Scored (R) -4
    Strikeouts (SO) 2

    PITCHING

    Earned Runs Allowed (ER) 1.5
    Hits Allowed (H) 1
    Home Runs Allowed (HR) 4
    Innings Pitched (IP) -1
    Losses (L) 8
    Strikeouts Pitched (K) -1
    Walks Allowed (BB) 1

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nice!

  8. Dave D says:
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    Good read. Full agreement on this schmohawk!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

    • VinWins

      VinWins says:
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      I’m sure it will fill, but I’ll check tomorrow afternoon and take the spot if no one else has.

      • Racehorse says:
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        Sounds good — thanks, Vin !!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, damn, if it’s not filled, that’s a punching!

  9. Steve says:
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    Advice needed! Assuming I’m competing for this year, which of these three do I keep as my potential 4th OF? (Behind Acuna, Yeli and Conforto)
    -Raimel Tapia
    -Garrett Hampson
    -Nick Senzel

    Thanks!

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      Hampson for me, him and Tapia are close. Call Bud Black and find out who he will play.

      • Steve says:
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        Interesting! My bigger debate was between the other two guys, because I’d rather keep my one likely closer in Rosenthal over a fifth outfielder (who could DH) in a league where we keep 15 and draft 17 and start four OFs.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hmm…agree with Knoche, it’s close tho

  10. Pass the Pepper says:
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    Dominic Smith addressed his sleep apnea problem in 2020. Increased ability to focus and a new found level of energy enabled him to find his potential of a first round pick. I don’t think he will choose not to use his overnight mask in 2021. Top 5 first baseman this year. 1 for 1 in a reverse jinx for Grey.

    • J says:
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      And I hear he is in the best shape of his life.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        #BSOHL

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, damn, got reversed jinx already!

    • Whatever says:
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      I addressed my sleep apnea 4 years ago. Probably saved my life. Sleep apnea is no joke. They dont call it the silent killer for nothing.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Glad to hear you’re doing better!

  11. The Great Knoche says:
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    First 6 packs with Rudy from 14th slot. Who needs Pitching?

    Freeman
    Mondesi
    Arenado
    Lynn
    Blackmon
    Castellanos

    • Jolt In Flow says:
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      Hey TGK, I’m pick #15 in the DT league. Will be interesting to see what happens as I have Bellinger, Freeman(same), Arenado(same), and Lynn (same) to start my team. I’d much rather have started with Bellinger, Bichette, Abreu, and Lynn, but I didn’t think Abreu would last until mid-4th round. I was mightily tempted to take Abreu instead of Arenado for my last pick, but I decided position filling with studs was more important at this point. Needed to take care of my basics first. Otherwise, I would now have Bellinger(1b/OF), Freeman(1b), Lynn, and Abreu(1b). Three 1st basemen with none of the other 3 infield positions filled. Further, the more I thought about it, the more I should have stayed away from Abreu and Freeman as Bellinger has 1st base eligibility. His dual positioning is thrown out the window the way I took Freeman. Hey, rookie mistake, but I’ve now learned for all future pools.

      Anyhow, we shall see. Good luck the rest of the way. Due to a similar starting 3 of 4, I’ll be interested to see how we do in our respective leagues.

      Jolt

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        Yeah, I’m shocked some of bats that are falling. We’ve got three teams that have 4 pitchers through 6 rounds.

        The dual positioning will still help later on, he can go to CI or OF for you, and 1B/3B gets thin quick after about 200 ADP

      • Donkey Teeth

        Donkey Teeth says:
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        Jolt, did you see your RazzSlam email invite? Please join ASAP, only a couple spots left and we need to close it out here in the next couple hours…

        • Jolt In Flow says:
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          DT, I registered and am ready to go. Last night at 12AM.

          Thanks for the heads up!

          How are you liking your team so far?

          Jolt

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That’s your 1st 6 picks? Wow, nice! I wish I could’ve got Lynn, I think I moved up his ADP too high with my stupid rankings

      • Tom says:
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        Grey you’re on the clock.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Gotcha, looking now, sorry I’m in LA, west coast time

          • The Great Knoche says:
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            Yup. First six picks. Arenado free fall continues….

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Saw he’s batting 4th behind Au Shizz…Uh…I guess that’s to be expected, but kinda wanted it reversed

              • The Great Knoche says:
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                Agree, more protection for him. Hoping O’neill/ Carlson ends up 5th and not Molina.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Yeah, not great

  12. toolshed says:
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    Would you rather own jd davis or w calhoun, obp league? This is for a keeper league with 28 man rosters. I am trying to lock down my last roster spot. Thanks

  13. Dr Sauce says:
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    6 player keep forever (no limits) … if you had strong positional keepers and Flaherty would you rather start your draft with:
    Option 1: Olsen, Moncada, Sonny Gray, Paddack
    Option 2: Ryu, Carrasco, Chapman, Myers
    I ask, because in the ESPN rankings there seems to be a sweet spot of starters in the 90-120 overall rank (converting to our 3rd and 4th round picks). My sense is grab the bats early and gobble up the Gray, Paddack, Luzardo, Valdez, Musgrove’s of the draft. Doesn’t seem like much of a drop off from Ryu/Carrasco and I get a couple more great bats in Olsen and Moncada. Also, I have 2 picks in the 3rd round and 2 in the 4th, so I could grab 3 of those SP’s and one RP in those picks. Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Why not tell me actually who you have? In a bubble, Option 1 is better

      • Dr Sauce says:
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        Thanks for reply, sorry my keeper bats are Acuna, Tatis, Betts, Bellinger, Tucker.

        After examining ESPN rankings, I’m definitely leaning option 1. Thinking my hitting will be so strong with those 7 bats that I can really go after pitching hard in round 3 and 4.

        You still lean option 1 given my keepers?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, option 1

  14. Big League Wood says:
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    Sup Grey, I’m out on Dom Smith. Pillar is the nail in the coffin.

    In a 15 team 5×5, thoughts on a tag team of Urshela in R11 and following with Sano in R12. I like it like that.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      and that coffin is using Big League Wood — I like Sano a lot, and could see Ursehla if right for team and price is fine

  15. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Grey – what do you think / have you seen Kyle Lewis going for in auction drafts? Seems like you are the high one on him – I like him too, just wondering how much to budget for snagging him in my auction drafts. CBS has him ranked next to guys like Clint Fraizer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m so high on him, apparently…I think you can get him for around $12-5, right?

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        Yeah, I think so, maybe even less (even though he’s worth way more). Unless he has a Moustakas / Brinson style spring of course.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, true

      • VinWins

        VinWins says:
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        In the RCL last night I took Lewis in the 11th with the 124th pick.

        • Dr Sauce says:
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          Lewis certainly polarizing this year. We us ESPN platform and he’s ranked #140. Following Grey’s rankings he should be on a lot of our teams!! He obviously presents crazy value!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Amazing!

  16. Ciwa says:
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    Hi grey!
    Good to read you again! It’s fantasy baseball time here in italy too!
    Hope eveiìrything was okay with that fucking pandemic.
    In my keeper league I have to choose 4 out 5 of these:
    Cody Bellinger
    Trevor Story
    Xander Bogaerts
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    Luis Robert
    I thought to lose Vlad the mini impaler but i read this morning about a possible Bogaerts injury. Do you know more about it?
    And in the same k league: maeda or sonny boy?

    Thanks for everything!

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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      I think it’s gotta be Vlad going. Xander is fine – sore shoulder and MRI came back clean and “nothing serious”. I

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Hope you’re doing well, and it’s good to hear from you!

      I’m fine keeping Vlad since you have a SS in Story

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Obviously that nudges Xander out

      • Ciwa says:
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        My league settings are 2 MI e 1 UTIL, i can put Xander in the lineup. Vlad anyway? I like a lot xander but at the same time i’m afraid The Mini Impaler could be the next big (litterally) thing

    • Dr Sauce says:
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      Are you able to trade Xander? He seems like a valuable commodity to just flat out drop. Sounds like you need to keep a pitcher, maybe you could use Xander to upgrade from Sonny or Maeda and get a true #1 ace. Just me .02 cents …

      • Ciwa says:
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        No, can’t trade before draft.

  17. Random Collmenter says:
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    All things being equal, would you rather have Austin Riley, Jose Urias, or Victor Robles long term in a 6×6 dynasty league with OPS and QS? Can keep one of those guys in the last round. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Urias I think has best floor, and most upside…I like all three of them tho

  18. DonnieB says:
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    Would you do this trade?
    I give:
    Kirby Yates at $10
    Cavan Biggio at $10
    Joe Musgrove at $10
    I get:
    Ozzie Albies at $30
    My other keepers would be Gallen, Burnes,Diaz, Swanson, Conforto, Happ, and Riley. I could also keep Trea Turner at $56. I can keep 8. It’s 12 team roto. THANKS!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Works for me

  19. Cram It says:
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    *Ping* You’re up. Take ya boy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      He made it back to me? Shut up!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Wait, my boy has been gone for many rounds now

        • Cram It says:
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          Ha. I thought you would take someone else.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            Oh yeah? You’ll have to tell me after that player is taken

            • Cram It says:
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              I will. If you don’t take him this round if he comes back to you, then I give up.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Just drafted again

                • Cram It says:
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                  Ha! There it is! I thought about him myself but alas.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Yeah, I usually can let him fall pretty far, but in this league I was lucky to get him

        • FrankGrimes says:
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          What round you in?

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            7 I think….This draft is flying!

            • FrankGrimes says:
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              Nice. The change to 2 hour was good.

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Yeah, it’s flying…We might have time for another draft, if people want

                • FrankGrimes says:
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                  We stalled last night. Currently at pick 81.

                  • Jolt In Flow says:
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                    FYI – Our draft is stalled at 70th right now.

                    Jolt

                    • FrankGrimes says:
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                      Damn… hopefully it picks up!

            • FrankGrimes says:
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              You in tgbfi too?

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Yup

                • FrankGrimes says:
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                  Which number league?
                  Rudy is in four for peeps who want to check it out.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    How do I see the #?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, I’m so dumb

                    • FrankGrimes says:
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                      What’s the number ear the top of your draft board? Next to date. His is #670.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Oh! 692

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      The one you would never expect — 9

                    • FrankGrimes says:
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                      Haha the Hader pick threw me!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Haha, I know…I just didn’t want anyone there…Might have to write a post just about that one pick

                    • FrankGrimes says:
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                      Got it thanks.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      No problem

                  • FrankGrimes says:
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                    Nice. I almost started the closer run with my fifth pick But took Yordan instead – shrug emoji

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Donkey’s trying to reach you about Razzslam, Grimey

  20. P_Swayze_OnAHorse says:
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    Between this post & your Mountcastle post, ‘m sitting here scratching … my head.
    Trying to decide between the 2 as a 26th round keeper. If I choose to keep either one moving forward, they go up 5 rounds each year. To a degree it seems like a wash this year. I’d assume Mountecastle has greater long-term upside.

    I’m also keeping Betts, Ryu, Maeda, B. Lowe, D. Moore, and A. Bohm.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I prefer Mountcastle in a keeper

      • P_Swayze_OnAHorse says:
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        Gracias … that’s what I was wanting to hear!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problemo

  21. garrett says:
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    are you at all worried Dom Smith steals Ab’s from the Polar Bear ? Seems like mets will do whatever they can to get him into lineup. It’s obviously not a straight platoon but some rumblings of that kind of scare me.

    Then again all starters scare me ( especially with inflated prices this year)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m a little worried, but not that much — Alonso should see 140-5 games, which is full-time

  22. Luke says:
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    Hey Grey!! Glad fantasy baseball is finally back! We carried our team over from last year, and my bats are strong but draft picks are weak haha. I’m looking to snag Kyle Lewis while he’s still low..

    League is 5×5 OBP

    Here is my team!
    C. Murphy
    1. Olsen
    2. Hiura
    3. JRam
    SS. Story
    OF. Acuna, Trout, Chris Taylor
    Util .Voit, Semien
    Bench. Hayes, Madrigal

    Pitchers: Giolito, Nola, Rosenthal, Hicks, Wheeler, Bundy, McCullers, Maeda, Mahle, Urquidy, Manaea.

    1st question, who should I offer for Kyle Lewis?

    2nd Question, Do I have any guys you would sell high on or you would look to shop around if this was your team?

    3rd Question, Any players that are really high on your radar that would be a surprise to others?

    Thanks a lot my man and happy Tuesday!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      1. Wheeler?

      2. Wheeler

      3. See my rankings

      • Luke says:
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        he rejected wheeler, I also offered semien for him.

        Any other thoughts of what I could offer that wouldn’t be too much from my team?

        Thanks pal.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Does he want any of your SPs besides Nola or Lucas?

          • Luke says:
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            He’s hard to deal with and doesn’t really say, he said Semian was a good offer but already has two SS, then laughed at my wheeler offer.

            So I guess a SP thats better than Wheeler lol.

            I was thinking maybe Voit?

            What’s your thoughts? Thanks pal, you always help me finish top 3 in my league lol.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Voit is fair, I’d hold

          • Luke says:
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            I could also offer Maeda

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yup, that works

              • Luke says:
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                Okay brother! Do you think I’m wining the trade even though I’m already weak at pitching?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  You’re not weak on pitching

                  • Luke says:
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                    oh perfect haha, thanks again dude!!!!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      No problem

                  • Luke says:
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                    he countered with Lewis for bundy? Still go with it?

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      That works

                  • Luke says:
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                    Im assuming yes since bundy is ranked lower than Maeda

                    • Luke says:
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                      thanks dude!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      No problem

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Yes, trade Bundy

    • Captain obvious says:
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      Get rid of Hiura.

  23. Jr says:
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    Grey, I’ve always followed your advice of drafting top hitters, filling in a rotation and steaming as the season goes. I’m joining a new Roto league this year that is weekly for pitchers and allows one roster move for hitters each day. 5 SP spots and 3 RP spots. Would this change how you draft pitchers?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I draft similarly in weekly leagues — how many teams in league matters more

      • Jr says:
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        It’s a 10 team league, so fairly shallow for pitching. Hitting not so much as it’s normal Roto roster for offense.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      That’s shallow, I wouldn’t change my pitcher rankings

  24. Gary Z says:
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    What’s up Grey? Hope all is well!

    My draft is coming up, but I may not be able to take part in it live… Im doing my pre-draft rankings so I can auto pick, using the link you sent for ESPN non 5×5 leagues for hitters…how would I insert your pitcher rankings when ranking them among the hitter rankings?
    We have 8 pitcher slots: W, L, K’s, QS, ERA, WHIP, SV, H

    Oh and Im still haunted by the pics of the Canadian snow/ice sculptures! haha

    Thanks!

    -Gary

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hahahaha — what are Canadians doing with those ice sculptures? I mean, geez

      Why can’t they accommodate your schedule? How dare they — I’d prolly go with my rankings, and hope it works…I never have luck with predraft rankings…I just remember last time I did it, I wish I ranked all catchers around 250 overall so I didn’t draft 2 or more

      • Gary Z says:
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        I mean in fairness, it’s pretty cold in Canada, what else is there to do this time of year? haha

        Its my fault, I live in Wisconsin and will be in flight to Florida during the draft for spring break (I need to rethink my priorities, I know) haha… Im the only one that cant make the time slot, oh well, is what it is…

        Ok, so yeah Ill use your rankings…in the league format, im using your ESPN non 5×5 since its 8 hitting categories. In that ranking list, the pitchers are not included. Do you suggest I take your say your number 1 pitcher and slide him in the 16th spot since that is where he is slated in your 5×5 rankings?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Hahaha — Yeah, I’d do that with the rankings

          • Gary Z says:
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            Thanks for the help! Good luck in your drafts!!

            -Gary

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              You too!

        • Captain obvious says:
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          You’re annoying plus why don’t you just get all of the pitching since you don’t listen? Dumbass.

  25. JAYS FOR DAYS says:
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    Howdy Grey got offered Santander for my Semien.

    5×5 OBP.

    tHOUGHTS?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Sounds totally fair

  26. Sam says:
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    Keep machado in the 6th rd or mondesi in the 8th?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Machado

  27. Jr says:
    (link)

    Just got my keeper options for a team I’m taking over. Normal Roto stats plus Total Bases, K’s and walks. My options are:
    Jose Ramirez – Rd4
    Javy Baez – Rd10
    Tim Anderson – Rd13
    Pete Alonso – Rd15
    Alec Bohm – Rd15

    Leaning Ramirez, Alonso and Anderson. Keeping 2 guys at Rd15 moves 1 up to 14, so keeping bohm over Anderson is only a 1 round difference. Any changes you’d make?

    • Captain obvious says:
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      Ramirez Alonso Baez.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      So keep 3? Ramirez, Alonso and Anderson

  28. chicago3224 says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! great writeup.

    Got a keeper question for you. I play in a 2 keeper 6×6 H2H Standard league with R,HR,RBI,SB,Avg,OPS and auction draft. We have $260 to work with at the draft, and players that are kept have salary amounts that are subtracted from $260.

    I am keeping $6 FTJ but I have the following options for my second keeper:

    $16 Gleyber
    $11 Conforto
    $21 Mondesi

    Was leaning Gleyber or Conforto. Gleyber has 2B position elig. on Yahoo which I love because 2B is a wasteland, but your ranking of Conforto near Springer has me salivating. Thanks for your help Grey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

      Conforto

  29. I am the Walrus says:
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    Dynasty league.. best long term ss Giminez or Kim?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Gimenez

  30. Captain obvious says:
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    Not Kim

  31. Curious George says:
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    Hey grey!

    Loving the content as always. Lucky for me someone opted to keep Dom smith (24th round) instead of Luis Castillo (11th round).

    Question for you – 10 team mixed h2h cats: how many SP are you looking to have drafted in the first 10 rounds? 3?

    • Curious George says:
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      2 SP slots, 2 RP slots, 5 P slots*

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nice! 3 makes sense

  32. joeurso1 says:
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    If Vaughn is up full time. Are we looking at 35-40 HR? If we know he’s up, where in the 1b ranks would you put him?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, more like 27 HRs

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Look at my projections and prorate them out

  33. Alex says:
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    Hey Grey! Been a long time. After virtually teaching high schoolers since March, I have a toxic relationship with my computer screen.

    Would you keep Bregman (at $50-ish) or Giolito (at $7)?

    • Jolt In Flow says:
      (link)

      If a $260 max league? Got to keep Giolito and toss back Bregs back. With the exception of the craziest of leagues, you’ll be able to pickup Bregman for cheaper in all formats. Take advantage of most owners being down on him this year.

      Just my opinion.

      Jolt

  34. Dom is a good dude, but struggles defensively in LF. A platoon seems likely at best

  35. And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
    (link)

    just finishing ep01 queen’s gambit, and yeee hah that is NOT the way to go about robbing pills. good god she probably could’ve taken like 10 or something for a long long time. even as a kid she seemed to know what she could’ve gotten away with (she was careful when entering the room and such and is smart obv) then BAM! full on fat kid with cake. at her weight too though, it’s probably good she got caught, likely overdose on that much of that shit (likely valium or librium) if not caught, but probably would’ve just fell over in the middle of the day and wouldn’t have died anyway maybe. the thing is, IF the state gov (mentioned) just came down on them for giving benzos to kids, why in the hell would they still even have that super large jar amount of that still being in their med clinic anyway? it’s not something that’s like needed in an emergency or anything. i’d guess if the state just banned you from giving it to kids they’d have taken away the benzos from the orphanage entirely.

    • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
      (link)

      ok, yeah, few seconds later, falls over. but that’s too quick, it takes at least a few minutes for that stuff to metabolize, no matter how many you took (unless she shot it up or something). obv they’re playing it up for drama.

  36. J-Dawg says:
    (link)

    Grey, hope I’m not too late on this one (been quite the layoff for me). Would you trade Dom for either Means or Civale? I’ve got a ton of hitters I’m keeping and not many worthwhile pitchers. I’ll also be keeping my $1 Tellez, and I have E. White in my minors. I was going to propose Dom for Framber Valdez until I saw the broke finger today. Unless you think it’s still worth it… Thanks dude!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I think you can do slightly better

  37. gg says:
    (link)

    I agree with your general point, but heard some weird shit out of mets camp that Alonso would sit before Smith. I mean, I don’t agree with it, but I think the PT is there. But yea hardcore fade

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