The prairie wind stirs up the sweet bouquet of spring. On the horizon, we see Mason Saunders, a rodeo extraordinaire, who looks remarkably similar to Madison Bumgarner. Mason stands on top of a wild steer throwing knives into a target right above the Astros’ mascot’s head, Orbit. Charlie Blackmon, dressed like the star of the blaxploitation film Chazz Noir Does Your Mom, approaches Saunders. “I’m Chazz Noir and my tricked-out Cadillac lowrider ran out of gas at the entrance of your ranch. Was wondering if you had any extra gas.” Saunders throws one last curve with his knife, and it sticks into Orbit’s arm and the mascot goes down like a sack of potatoes. Finally, Saunders replies, “Around here, boy, there’s no handouts. You need to work for gas. In the silo on the left of my ranch, we make Horsey Sauce that we sell to Arby’s, and, in the right silo of the ranch, is ranch dressing.” Oh, sorry! I didn’t hear you come in. I was just working on my NL West-ern novel. Any hoo! Here’s what I said in the top 20 outfielders about Chazz Noir, “As with most 33-year-olds, Noir’s speed has completely vaporized. Last year, he had two steals in — and this made me laugh — seven attempts. Bud Black, man (no relation), had to keep sending him? That franchise is such a mess. Coors is so good too! It’s like a hot fudge sundae made by a five-year-old and it’s all fudge and whipped cream and there’s no actual ice cream. Chazz Noir’s sprint speed was 308th in the league. He was as fast as Jay Bruce. With his flat feet, Blackmon’s BABIP is going to come down (for those not convinced about Sprint Speed, his HP to 1B was not great either), even in Coors, which is a notoriously high BABIP park, then his average will fall and his goofy power will fall back to earth and–This is like musical chairs. You keep sitting in Blackmon’s fantasy value, year after year, but at some point the music is going to stop and you’re gonna be left standing with a 24-homer, .270 hitter. Or worse:  Daniel Murphy.” And that’s me quoting me! Then, I had a hot flash like my much older wife, Cougs, and I thought I screwed the pooch like my dog, Ted, out on the prowl. A full-on panic attack, guys and five girl readers, because I searched Chazz Noir’s Sprint Speed and HP to 1B again to double-check my work, and he wasn’t nearly that bad. His Sprint Speed was decent-enough, around that of Jonathan Villar, and his HP to 1B was actually okay around that of Chase Utley–Wait a second! That doesn’t sound right; Utley was retired. Then I looked at what I was searching, and it turned out Chazz Noir’s speed was good. Dot dot dot. In 2018! I was searching the wrong year. What a nerd, I am, said like Yoda. I wanna roll with the gangstas, but so far they all think I’m too…White and nerdy! Think I’m just too white and nerdy (repeat 3x). When going back to 2019, Blackmon was once again slow. Now, this isn’t necessarily new information in the standard way one thinks about new information. It’s more like not new news (stutterer!), but it points out my big problem with Darker Noir, he slowed massively last year. He went from 4.27 HP to 1B/27.6 ft/sec to 4.35/26.7. As the the guys who spit chew, chew spit and wear stopwatches around their necks say, he lost a step. Only player ever to get faster as they got older, according to Sprint Speed, was Manny Machado. Though, Machado’s HP to 1B seems to more likely stand for him ordering an intern, “Hammock Please to 1B.” Also, Machado got faster from 2018 to 2019 because he was only ‘slow’ due to effort. Anyway, what can we expect from Charlie Blackmon in 2020 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

The 2nd paragraph in these schmohawk posts are colloquially known as the “Wait! There’s more!” paragraphs. Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity was 88.5, good for 207th (sorting by 100 batted ball events), and sitting next to Buster Posey and Austin Slater. Um, yay? His xBA was .294, which is actually very strong, but I just don’t fully buy it. Blackmon’s O-Swing%, Z-Swing% and F-Strike% went up. Mean’s while, his Contact% went down, i.e., he swung more and made less contact, i.e., he needs to guess more as he gets older because he’s losing just a little bit of his hand-to-eye coordination or swing speed. His walks were also down while his BABIP buoyed the Titanic that Blackmon is currently captaining. His Launch Angle isn’t bad, and his fly ball rate (37.8%) was 54th in the league. He gets enough lift, assuming the ball is flying out for him. You’d have to think in Coors that wouldn’t be a problem. Well, Cincy is pretty good for homers, and Joey Votto had a near-identical fly ball rate and no one would say he’s a home run threat anymore. The 1st half and 2nd half splits show a guy who looks like the grind of the long season is starting to drag on him. His HR/FB% tanked in the 2nd half with a nearly identical fly ball rate. It also saw his batting average go from .330 to .294. Men of a Certain Age is a good show for men of his certain age who see their stats start to trail off with his age. Would be shocked if Noir puts up a repeat of last year (32/2/.314), but would not be surprised if he looks closer to his 2014 year when he hit 19 homers and .288, but without the 28 steals he chucked in back then. Back when? No, Blackmon, and he’s a strong avoid.

 
  1. Member Berries says:
    (link)

    Yordan Alvarez needs 10 games at OF to gain OF eligibility for 2020 in my nmlb league. Do you think he gets there (and if so, in how many games) or do you think he DHs only?

    I’m so pumped for best shape of my life spring stories.

    Spring Training notes already:
    Bart pushing Posey out
    People hitting Winker to get Aquino more playing time
    Eovaldi throwing chedda’
    Andujar reminding people to put some respect on his name
    Willie Calhoun investment looking goooood
    Giancarlo winking at Grey that he’s back and in the best shape of his life!

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      He gets it but not until around all star break

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      I think Yordan will get to 10 games but it could take awhile. Maybe after the all-start break? Blind guessing…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yordan gets it…

      Eovaldi throwing Sal Romano? Holy crap

  2. TarmanGotHim says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    Salutations. First post of the year. It’s about that time again.

    Hope all is well.

    2 leagues, one is in its 4th year, keeper, this year keep 5.

    I made some dumb choices and some dumb draft choices and mixed with bad luck I took 1st in 2017, 2nd in 2018, and essentially last in 2019.

    I kept Hoskins over Bellinger along with Stanton, Benintendi, and Juan Soto (I traded Kris Bryant for Soto and Bellinger at the deadline the year before).

    My keeper backfired.

    This is what I got and I’m not thrilled what so ever as I don’t really know who to keep. I will name the guys that are keepable lol.

    Keep 5

    Obvious
    -Juan Soto*

    The rest
    -Yordan Alvarez*
    -Ozzie Albies*
    -Jack Flahtery*
    -Shane Bieber*
    -Luis Castillo
    -Victor Robles
    -Rhys Hoskins
    -Giancarlo Stanton
    -Tim Anderson
    -Marcus Semien

    * is who I plan to keep. I don’t want to keep 2 pitchers but I think Soto, Albies, Alvarez which is OF, OF, 2B going into the draft and 2 SP I can really focus on bats in the first half of the draft.

    It’s a shit show. I have one top 15 guy. I’m
    Overblowing it because I know my guys are solid and I’ll draft well this year, but some of the choices I made and not keeping Bellinger came back to bite me now that we’re keeping more than 3 players.

    I’m overblowing it. I get 5 top tier 1 players and I get to redraft the rest and I won’t make rookie mistakes again.

    Thanks Grey!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      I’d keep the guys you have marked, solid core you have.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I don’t know how many teams are in your league, but looks decent

      *’s look fine

      • TarmanGotHim says:
        (link)

        Thanks and thanks guys.

        12 team. I’ll go with said marked players. Will be strong with 2 too 10 pitchers and 30 too 30 (one top 10 IMO) hitters on great teams OF OF 2B going into draft with many guys to choose from. I’ll have a fine season.

        Thanks again!

  3. Ante Galic says:
    (link)

    Grey!!!!

    Awesome schmohawk report.

    a. Keep ’em coming!

    b. So glad I didn’t really catch on to the Chazz Noir bandwagon because it makes falling off his wagon that much easier. Phew!

    c. MLB quote of the day for June 13, 1979

    ‘There was one guy who had an amazing claim to fame, in terms of drugs and sports. And his name was Dock Ellis. And Dock Ellis did an incredible thing. The one person who knows, thank you. Dock Ellis pitched a no-hitter on LSD. Those of you who have taken LSD, tell the others how hard that might be.’

    Robin Williams on Dock Ellis

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

      A. All right!

      B. Yup

      C. Ha, nice

  4. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    15 team roto dynasty with net saves and holds over saves, QS and OPS added. 3 year contract cycles (we can drop at no cost, the pricing is only for predraft and online draft budgets). keep max 18 predraft (25 active max, 10 NA’s, max DL’s (5)), finish draft with max 25. max predraft budget is 257, max in draft budget is 343 (predraft budget is 75% of in draft budget). in season adds for FAAB 10 or less had been 10 (and they start year 1 as soon as you add them, unless prospects, those don’t start their year 1 till they go over 130/50) now it’ll be exactly what the FAAB winning price is. if anybody is drafted/kept predraft their contract remains even if dropped that season and added by somebody else.

    C
    1B
    2B hiura (10, year 2)
    SS baez (25, year 2)
    3B bregman (30, 2)
    LF alvarez (10,2)
    CF laureano (RF, 10, 2)
    RF judge (30, 1, if i match his arb bid, which i will)
    util mcneil (2B/3B/LF/RF 4, 2)
    util kingery (2B/SS/3B/LF/RF 10, 2)
    BN lux (10, 0)
    BN

    SP (want 7 or 18, small innings cap of only 1250, might go up to 1400, either is easily makable, i have to bench some guys to only get to 1250)
    – verlander (30, 2)
    – ryu (10, 2)
    – luzardo (10, 0)
    – maeda (9, 2)

    RP (room for 5 max):
    – hand (10, but he could be bid up to 30, i don’t think he will though, 1)
    – robles (10, 2)
    NA (10): patino (10, 0)
    – brujan (10, 0)
    also we have a draft coming up, i have the 13th pick in both rounds. ONLY those drafted in 2019 MLB draft can be bid on here. but their prices will be in the 4 to 1 range if i draft anybody, but that player counts towards the max 18 pre-main-online draft and his cost too towards the max 257 predraft budget. it used to be any 1st rounder was 10 and 2nd rounders were 5. now 1.1 is 10 but it slowly tapers downward towards 1 by early in round 2. i should probably leave 1 spot open here for a player i might get at 1.13 for 4.

    so far the above makes my budget 228/17 players.

    other keeper options:
    x.edwards (5,0)
    cron (5, 2)
    stanton (51, 2)
    n.lowe (10, 2)
    lucchesi (9,2)
    yarbrough (10, 2)
    paxton (30, 2)
    m.barnes, buttrey (10, 2)
    paxton i’ll go after to try to save money. stanton too. from injuries they will both probably be cheaper than this, certainly stanton will be. cron can be replaced or gotten back similarly cheap. what you think any changes?

    the players i can bid on, those being (due by the 28th), but if i win any of these (i can say “only bid on the first one i win that’s not matched”) i’d either have to drop one of the 17 i have listed or not draft a prospect from 2019’s draft (only these 5 from your top 200 are higher than patino: abrams, vaughn, carroll, rutchsman, witt, and no guarantee any of them fall to 1.13, maybe only carroll or abrams):
    – bellinger (max 30 bid, about certain to be matched)
    – moncada (all of these are max 30 bids)
    – m.chapman
    – olson
    – albies
    – hoskins
    – devers
    – puig
    – mostsuckass
    – berrios
    there are others but these are the best. assume bellinger/olson/devers/hoskins/chapman/moncada/albies all worth attempts.

  5. Lee says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey! I got 1st pick in my H2H 8 x 8 keeper league using walks, strikeouts and XBH as extra 3 offense. QS, K/9, IP for pitching. Snake format so have double pick 2/3, etc. Few question/thoughts if you can help. Keepers are below.
    1)Who do I take number 1, Trout or Yellich? Thinking Trout due to SB counted as 1/8 instead of 1/5 and walks favoring Trout (plus Yelich injury). Acuna is being kept.
    2) Looks like I can get Springer in my 2nd/3rd back to back pick. Would having 3 OF early on hurt me? (With trout/yellich given and Laureanno as 20th round being kept) Could be only offensive in top 35 open at that point.
    3) Where do I take my 3rd SP.? Round 3, 6 or 9 or later. Planning on 3 batters in first 3 rounds given Cole/Bieber already. Do I contemplate 3rd round if the right choice is there or go 3 offensive regardless? Could see Strasburg as a small possiblity availible in that round 2/3 pick as only SP i wouod take but still thinking need a 3rd bat.
    Keepers:
    Cole -4, Baez -5, Bieber – 7, Villar – 8, Laureanno – 20
    Rounds 1 -3 – Trout/Yellich plus 2 other offense. Next rounds open 6, and 9 and forward.

    Thanks!

    • bigbear says:
      (link)

      1. Trout
      2. Springer’s fine.
      3. Round 6 or 9. Go hitting in the 2nd/3rd. You’ve already got 2 aces. You need some more power in the infield.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      1) Trout works
      2) Take the best player available
      3) Depends who else is there, but probably would take a bat in round 3.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with DT

  6. Steve says:
    (link)

    Hey grey. I was hoping to meet you at the labr function this weekend. Will you be there for all three days. I will be unable to make it on Friday. Hope to hear from you and good luck Friday night

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks! Sadly, I’m in Thursday night, out Saturday morning…Only really there Friday

  7. Cram It says:
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    Keep forever:
    Ohtani (batter)
    Lux

    I was leaning Lux, until I saw yoked Ohtani this spring. Arms, brah.

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      Lux.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      I’d go Lux since it’s batter only Ohtani.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      He forgot leg day

      I’d go Lux

    • Smitty says:
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      Know what you mean Cram dude is yoked! Could be a beast if in the lineup daily

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Cram is yoked!

  8. Pine Tar Incident says:
    (link)

    *yawns deeply as he awakes from his fantasy hibernation*

    Nice to have you back as a daily read, Grey.

    12-team mixed keeper (keep 4eva), OBP league. I’m keeping Trout, Treat Urner, and Arenado. Who do you like for the last keeper spot?

    Ohtani
    Huira
    Bieber
    Hoskins
    Berrios

    That’s basically the order I have them (best to worse). You’ve always been kind of anti-Ohtani and this year you’re a bit down on Huira, you also have the anti-pitcher bias that I love and respect (lol so I guess I’m expecting you to hate everyone).

    My instinct is to keep Ohtani, it’s a daily moves league so I can Stream-O-Nator when he’s on the bench, and Ohtani+Best Bat on SON=Top 20 hitter IMHO… and if he comes back as a good pitcher, it’s gravy. Ohtani is still only 25.

    Thoughts? Thank you.

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      I’d go with Ohtani as well since you can keep him forever.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Good to see you!

      Hiura

  9. Brad Cote says:
    (link)

    When is Hot Rod releasing his Fantasy Baseball War Room tool? I need it immediately! :)

    • FrankGrimes says:
      (link)

      Use Rudy’s

    • NUX says:
      (link)

      I’ve been in touch with HotRod, he’s waiting on my revised tier sheet, which I was hoping to finish over the weekend but I didn’t. I think he’s planning to still do it for this year, but you’re not gonna see it posted this week.

      Rudy’s is gold, but i do like to have both

      • Brad Cote says:
        (link)

        I agree…Rudy’s is nice, but Hot Rod’s is gospel. I eagerly await its release.

  10. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Someone offered me: Max Muncy ($22), and Buster Posey ($33) and I give up Salvador Perez ($11) and Nick Markakis ($19). Would you make that deal?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      Definitely want Muncy there. And then I’d cut Posey at that price.

      • Scott Kimmel says:
        (link)

        Donkey,

        Just so you know. He would be sending 1/2 the difference in the salary ($13 my way) in the deal. and leave me with Realmuto and Garver at C.
        1) would you still cut Posey or try to trade him.
        2) see if he would trade just muncy for Perez and Markakis?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Trade Posey if you can

      I’d take Muncy

  11. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Also, what’s the deal with the draft room you and Rudy use with the “Target share values”
    that you’re always screen shotting in your draft recaps? That’s not the free War Room is it?

    • FrankGrimes says:
      (link)

      It’s Rudy’s

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      That’s Rudy’s google spreadsheet war room that comes free with subscriptions. It’s pretty great.

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        Free with a PAID subscription? Not the free War Room accessible with just a Razzball account, correct?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          You get it with Razz Tools (Streamonator, etc)

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            Got it! Sheesh, like pulling teeth sometimes.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha, my b

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        Maybe it’s just me, but I love the fact that you basically just told Cram to “See Rankings”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, did I?

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            Haha. Yeah you did.

            I read that post. So the “free” War Room available on the Tools tab is different than Rudy’s draft room that you get with a paid subscription? Was what I was trying to drill in on….

  12. SwingingNBangin says:
    (link)

    I need to keep 5 of these guys and having a little trouble deciding. It’s an OPS/QS league. Each keeper kept you have to take a round earlier every year after.

    Lindor – rd1
    Bregman -rd3
    N. Cruz -rd5
    Bieber – rd8
    Eloy – rd14
    Buehler – rd15
    Soler – rd16
    Stroman – rd22

    Thanks for all you do Grey!

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      Buehler, Bieber, Lindor, Bregman, Eloy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with DT

  13. Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
    (link)

    Who would you rather own: Lux or blackmon for 2020-2021?

    • Donkey Teeth

      Donkey Teeth says:
      (link)

      Depends on the rest of your team but lean Blackmon.

      • Skip Mcgillicuddy says:
        (link)

        Albies at 2B, goldy at IF, Hoskins UTIL. Judge, Gurriel jr, Schwarber OF. Points league

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          Blackmon

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Blackmon

  14. Peacecoast says:
    (link)

    you schmohawk him every year eventually he will age into it lol

    joined NFBC and we draft Sunday! I think it’s DT’s league. Rudy is in it too I think. Completely new website I hope they have a good draft room. Right now the player list shows last years stats and I don’t want to see that. Any pointers for the draft?

    Watch The Spy yet? I started Goliath S3 and am already turned off. I just want to see a good legal drama why do the writers of that show try to make some surreal film noir type thing? Remember the villain in S2? I bailed after 2 episodes of that one.

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      Do you see me? I’m in with Donkey Teeth. Have Cram It too and Hernan, along with Walter McMichael of The Fake Basbeball Podcast, he’s also in TGFBI.

      Rudy in a different league.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I hate him!!!

      Yeah, Goliath was officially unwatchable this year, I bailed after one episode…

      The Spy was okay, bit of a snooze

      We all start on Sunday — Pointers for the draft? I’ve been giving you pointers for 5 years!

  15. dude says:
    (link)

    I’m in a 12 team 5×5 roto keeper league. We keep 15 players and here is my team going into the draft

    C –

    1B – Mancini (1B/OF)

    2B – Albies

    SS – Lindor

    IF – A. Rosario (SS)

    OF(4) – JD Martinez, Laureano, Mercado

    U –

    SP(5) – Verlander, Berrios, Fried, E-Rod, Lynn

    RP(3) – Hader

    P –

    Bench – N. Pearson(SP)

    I’ve run projections on a couple sites and going into the draft I’m towards the bottom in HR, RBI, and Saves.

    I draft 11th out of 12th each round. My biggest competition (drafting 10th and 12th), both kept 10 bats and 5 SP and are stacked, #1 and #2 in all batting categories, but didn’t keep any closers.

    Top Available players

    C – W. Smith

    1B – Rizzo, Goldy, Abreu, Santana, Y. Gurriel

    3B/SS – Machado

    SS – Seager

    OF – Castellanos, Beni, PUig, Schwarber, L. Gurriel

    SP – Sale, Morton, Darvish, Kluber, Boyd, Minor, Price, Weaver

    RP – Jansen, Diaz, Rodgers, W. Smith, Iglesias, Colome, Robles, Bradley, Pagan

    Should I look to target the biggest bat or another high end RP with my first pick in slow draft? 6 teams don’t have a 1B going into draft, so assume those will all go quick. 8 teams kept 2 closers, 2 kept 1 closer, and 2 kept none, so the competition for closers will be among the 4 of us that finished top 4 last year. Any thoughts or tips on what to target with my 1st (and 2nd pick), would be appreciated.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You run projections here or at other sites?

      You have plenty of pitching and your hitting is solid… I’d go BAO — I guess Machado or Rizzo, prolly Manny for position flex

      • dude says:
        (link)

        Here and myself using STeamer projections. Here I’m projected 6th or 7th in Runs, HR’s and RBI’s. Steamer has me 3rd or 4th in Runs, HR’s, RBI’s. Either way, it looks like an area I need to address. Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  16. Hernan says:
    (link)

    Happy KDS day!!!, except for Donkey Teeth…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You also celebrate Korean Dashi Soup?

      • Hernan says:
        (link)

        “Kiss Donkey Smoothly “, yikes!

        • The Great Knoche says:
          (link)

          Kick Donkey’s Scrotum.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Better, Knoche

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          WHOA, Hernan!

    • Tom says:
      (link)

      Thanks for the reminder!

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
      (link)

      Hernan, you joined an RCL yet? If not, you should pop in the Frequent Commenters League with us. We need one more. Me, Knoche, Grimey, NtD, Skip, etc are all in there.

      • J_FOH says:
        (link)

        F the FCL. I should have burned that thing to the ground

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Wow, someone woke up in a mood — shame on you, Full of Hate…Wait a minute, it’s in the name!

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            It is! Ah Truss is trying to get me to join the ORL to take Royce! spot. I dont play fantasy anymore. I feel like Paul Newman in the Color of Money

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You should do a few (one) NFBC weekly league, play for a $30,000 and not have to worry about the team after draft

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                I could also start paying for my porn or go light a pile of money on fire in my backyard

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Or you do a BestBall, which you don’t manage at all

                  • J-FOH says:
                    (link)

                    But I play best ball (the left one) all the time

        • MattTruss

          MattTruss says:
          (link)

          Ha! Instead you’ve created a mutated monster, like the blob

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            a fantasy blob?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              BLOB stands for what?

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                Bring Liquor or Beer

                Box Loving Orange Bastard

                Being Lucid Or Bleek

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Bring Liquor or Beer, def

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Grimey!

      • Hernan says:
        (link)

        @MattTruss, is that one by invitation?, I’m down if spot still available

        • MattTruss

          MattTruss says:
          (link)

          It is and you got it – email me: truss at razzball dot com and I’ll send you an invite!

  17. Scott Kimmel says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    the guy is asking for Garver ($6) and Markakis ($19) for Muncy ($22) and Posey ($33). I have Realmuto ($26), Sal Perez ($11) and Garver ($6).

    1) Would you make that deal.
    2) if not, which catcher along with Markakis should I offer?
    3) should I keep Posey or cut him and go with 2 catchers?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Muncy side, cut Posey

      • Scott Kimmel says:
        (link)

        I swung the deal of Perez and Markakis for Posey, Muncy, and $13 in salary cap room. I may keep posey this season. Just want to hear when Rutschman will be be up for good. I am trying to trade Posey ($33) for Greinke ($34)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nice

          • Scott Kimmel says:
            (link)

            He said no to the Grienke for posey swap. What would be considered fair trade value OF or SP wise for Posey?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Who does he want?

              • Cram It says:
                (link)

                Esskay threads are my favorite.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Esskay….haha

              • Scott Kimmel says:
                (link)

                the traede goot shot down. we are going to plan b of Perez and Markakis for Muncy, Is that a fair trade?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Sounds fair

            • Cram It says:
              (link)

              If you’re trying to trade Posey to this guy, it would help to know who his OF/SP are.

              If you’re trying to just trade Posey to anyone, there’s no point in throwing out names for fair trade if that guy doesn’t want a $33 Posey.

  18. Bobbo says:
    (link)

    12 team 6×6 h2h with OPS and QS
    Keeper question in a league where pitching is at a real premium and therefore SP value is a bit artificially inflated. With that in mind, who’s the third keeper to go with Bellinger and Soto?

    Devers
    Y Alvarez
    Verlander
    Bieber
    Strasburg

    Leaning towards Verlander because of pitcher value but was also thinking Devers too.

    Any help would be great and thanks so much in advance!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Verlander

  19. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
    (link)

    Ketel over Baez? Explain yourself sir!

    I’ve started off Mookie, Alonso, Baez in my league and I’m giddy

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Who me?

      I needed AVG according to the War Room, so figured I’d go with it now vs. waiting

      Nice 1st 3!

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
        (link)

        Gotchya, I need some too, prolly chase it later or semi-punt it

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I think I was also thinking I had Story and didn’t want to double up on SS

          • MattTruss

            MattTruss says:
            (link)

            Oh right, that make a lot of sense!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              You don’t like Ketel?

              • MattTruss

                MattTruss says:
                (link)

                Ketel is fine, you just have Baez ranked a bit higher and I know he’s kind of your boo so I was surprised. Didn’t think about the double up at SS though.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Yeah, it was easy call to not double up SS, but I hear ya…

  20. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
    (link)

    Also, looks like we need one more Frequent Commenter to fill the FCL RCL. If you comment often and want a shot at the championship belt, email me: truss at razzball dot com to get in! Hernan?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hernan should get in

      Do I need to update the spreadsheet? Is it my day?

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
        (link)

        Nope, I did it this morning.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Ah, cool

      • Hernan says:
        (link)

        I’m in…..,

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Amen!

    • J-FOH says:
      (link)

      you guys seriously still have the belt?

      Are there any original members left?

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        He’s in it

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
        (link)

        We do! I wasn’t in the first year of FCL, but Knoche may have been? Nick maybe? It’s been rotated through a bit.

        • J-FOH says:
          (link)

          we never invited Knoche…Nick was year two

          Year one was Oaktown, Wake, Kid A, Nacho, Magoo, Me, Cram,….I’m failing to remember the others right now. It was a show. I think Steve NZ might have been. Oh SKy was there.

          • Cram It says:
            (link)

            Not Knoche. There was that kid who you constantly belittled so harshly I think he went into a deep depression and I never saw him in the comments again.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

              • Cram It says:
                (link)

                It was bad! Haha. That was my first year. I was like, damn “This Jack really is an a**hole, I feel bad for this kid.” Not like I was immune to his wrath. Jack laid into me like I was the biggest idiot in the world for dropping Tajuan Walker a month into the season. Ah, the memories.

                Man, I wish I could remember his handle. You would remember the name I’m sure. He was a frequent commenter.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  I wish I knew who you meant

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      Holy shit. You nailed it. Prezzi!

                      That guy was in a lot of weird shit

                      Damn I miss him. We reconciled

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Prezzi! Wow, damn, I liked him… I hope he’s still here but under a different name

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      Nah, he had a lot of life drama. I reached out a year after he left and he was not coming back

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Member when you chased away Wake Up too

                    • MattTruss

                      MattTruss says:
                      (link)

                      Man, that whole thread is gold, look at all the names in that comment section. Ahh, the good ol’ days.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Haha

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Wow, Kid A too…I think he was another one that got chased by JFOH

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      Kid A would never be run off by anyone. Stop blaming me for other people’s choices.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Hahaha

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
                      (link)

                      Wasn’t he a spy or something?

                    • J-FOH says:
                      (link)

                      He worked for the “state department”

                • J-FOH says:
                  (link)

                  HAHAHAHAHA… but that is where you learned to RCL. Oaktown’s philosophical musings were key to cracking the code. Year two is when you came into your own. That was also the year you were next to Reachy Truss and just swooped up all his misses. man that was hard to watch.

                  I can’t remember who it was. I know Nacho snuck in but was so hilarious we had to keep him in

  21. Coolwhip

    Coolwhip says:
    (link)

    Bad Luck Chuck

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Chuck a Duck

      • Coolwhip

        Coolwhip says:
        (link)

        quack quack Mr Ducksworth

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Dracrapper Noir

  22. Smitty says:
    (link)

    Incredibly I’d just faded Noir to the 6th round last night knowing I won’t be owning Blackmon at his current price. Been in sync so far and feel a PhamSchmo coming – ha.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, Smitty!

  23. swaggerjackers says:
    (link)

    @Grey: In a weekly H2H league where I already have Acuna and Treat Urner, is it unnecessary to prioritize drafting Mondesi? I also have Alonso and power is easier to come by but….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ignore Mondesi there

      • swaggerjackers says:
        (link)

        I’m kind of sad. But I get it.

        Does it change things that it’s a keeper league?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Not especially

  24. KCC26 says:
    (link)

    12 team mixed 6×6 (OPS, k:bb)

    Do you prefer an 8th round Albies keeper or a 13th round Muncy?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Albies

  25. omar says:
    (link)

    How much does FTJ’s value get bumped down in an OPS league (standard 5 cats + OPS)?

    I’m torn between keeping Tatis or JoRam (keepable for this year only)… What’s the play here?
    (not sure of draft position, we keep 3 for 1 year; already keeping Story and Soto… Ideally I’d like to keep JoRam and draft Tatis where I could own him for 2021 as well, but I believe he’d be picked in the 1st round of the draft considering 30 keepers (10 team league) are already rostered.

      • omar says:
        (link)

        Thanks. That was what prompted the question. I was all-in on Tatis, but after I looked at the rankings and saw JoRam 28 spots higher, I second-guessed my decision. Am I looking at it wrong?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Nah, you’re not…I hadn’t looked…I guess Jo-Ram is the play if going off that

  26. Doc Deezy says:
    (link)

    5×5 keeper – 12 team – $260 cap. Need help on my last (6th) keeper.

    Locks:
    Soto -13
    Tatis jr. – 5
    Ketel – 7
    L. Castillo – 8
    GlasNow – 5

    6th keeper options:
    Suarez – 20
    Eduardo Rod – 9
    K. Tucker – 5

    Any thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Suarez

  27. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    13th Pick. My 11th KDS.

    Never top 3 for me.

    • Fungazi 2.0 says:
      (link)

      I’m in the same league. Also couldn’t land a top pick, got 10th.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Are we in same league?

        • Fungazi 2.0 says:
          (link)

          Mine was the beat Donkey Teeth league, so I’d guess no. You got lucky this time!

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Phew!

            • Strat O says:
              (link)

              I was lucky enough to get 13 – getting lots of practice down there this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, never top 3 either…I got 6th

      • CloudTown says:
        (link)

        Made it into your league Grey! Unfortunately got the 15th pick and I’ll be in Vegas for the first 3 days of the draft. May have to set it to auto for that lol

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Meh, it’s a 4-hour clock on drafting, you can check your phone once every couple of hours

    • Hernan says:
      (link)

      We, The Better Burritos, got the wheel, stay away from our guys!!!!!, lol, good luck!!!

  28. Tom says:
    (link)

    So are you going to shock us and go with a pitcher at pick six? Cole will probably be there.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, deciding between Mike Leake and Julio Teheran

      • Tom says:
        (link)

        I’d go Leake but that’s just me, love them flamethrowers.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Heard he added a 4th pitch which he calls a meatball

          • Tom says:
            (link)

            Whoa didn’t know that, might have to consider him should he slip to me at #11.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              HAHA

      • Lame Burrito (Hernan) says:
        (link)

        Lol, we need a contest!!!!, whoever guess the highest ever, that Grey has taken a pitcher, wins a big price!!!!!, obviously we need the name…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha, if it were a 45-person league, I could see drafting a starter in the 1st round

  29. Harley Earl says:
    (link)

    Not sure how I feel about the Charlie Blackmon schmohawk prediction. I don’t disagree. I also don’t know if I agree that he’s really going to turn to sour milk in 2020. Just hard for me to bet against anyone that plays 81 games in Coors.

    Then again, there is Ian Desmond, and I wouldn’t touch him with your 9-inch pole. I guess we’ll see.

    What about Auu Shizz? He seems like he’s ripe for a schmohawk year. That old fart is in decline and has NOBODY to protect him now that Ozuna is gone. Cards are screwing their fans as usual, calling it a “bank” year in 2020 so DeWitt can roll around in his bed full of money at night.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Goldy is already a past his prime — wasn’t good last year and I told you not to draft him this year

  30. Aufan says:
    (link)

    Standard h2h 12 team dynasty 5×5. I got offered Darvish for my Gallen. Which side do you take there? Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Damn, tough in a dynasty, think I’d hold

      • Aufan says:
        (link)

        Thank you for the quick response. He also offered me Matt Boyd plus a couple of smaller pieces for him. Do you feel the same way in a deal revolving around Darvish and Boyd?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yu and Boyd makes it better, but doesn’t sway me that much, not a huge Boyd fan

  31. Cram It says:
    (link)

    Friggin’ 12 slot in the NFBC draft. That was like a bottom 3 spot I prioritized. I’m so unlucky.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I did the best with this draft by not changing anything except moving the 9th pick to the end

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Such a crapshoot

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        9 is my lucky number! I just moved 15, 14, 13 to the middle. I’m not even going to touch it next year. It does me no favors.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, same, doesn’t matter, just give me something!

    • The Great Knoche says:
      (link)

      You, me and Donkey were the last three choices. Donkey and I got our 11th priority and you got your 14th. And you are sandwiched by me and Donkey.

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        14th, awesome!

        I don’t really care that much. It’s just funny/not funny how I never get a high pick.

        • Hernan (Blind Burrito) says:
          (link)

          Lol, we’re at the wheel, good luck

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Haha

  32. Task Force says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, I do have Blackmon as a keeper in my 6×6 OBP league and I have Laureano as potential keeper. Should I take Laureano over Blackmon?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah

  33. Hey Grey,

    Long time reader, first time commenter. Picked up Mondesi with my third pick, so I’m posting my team so you can touch your screen ever so gently. ESPN 10 team, H2H 10 Category league.

    C – Christian Vazquez
    1B – Cody Bellinger
    2B – Jonathan Villar
    3B – Yoan Moncada
    SS – Fernado Tatis Jr.
    2B/SS – Aldaberto Mondesi
    1B/3B – Matt Olson
    OF – Jorge Soler
    OF – Oscar Mercado
    OF – Willie Calhoun
    OF – Hunter Dozier
    OF – Scott Kingery
    UTIL – Mike Moist-ass-kiss

    P – Lucas Giolito
    P – Patrick Corbin
    P – Sonny Gray
    P – Lance Lynn
    P – Eduardo Rodriguez
    P – Dinelson Lamet
    P – Zac Gallen
    P – Zack Wheeler
    P – Jake Odorizzi
    P – Mychal Givens
    P – Seth Lugo
    P – Dellin Betances

    Besides the lack of saves, how do you think I did?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks for recognizing wonderful!

      This is a gorgeous team, you should remove your pants (keep on boxers) and run around the block… This is exactly the type of team I would draft, well done!

  34. Licketty Splits says:
    (link)

    Severino is toast …out for the season with TJ

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ouch

  35. southside dom says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    Excited for the return of baseball. Should be a fun season.

    10 team dynasty keep forever league. Came in 2nd last year, so playing for now, but don’t want to totally mortgage the future either.

    We only start 10 hitters (one at each position, plus a DH), and then 7 pitchers (at least 2 of which are RP).

    Get to chose 15 keepers. Below are my current picks. Let me know if you would swap anyone out.

    Initial selections:

    1. 1B – Paul Goldschmidt
    2. 2B – Mike Moustakas
    3. 3B – Anthony Rendon
    4. SS – Trea Turner
    5. OF – George Springer
    6. OF – Eddie Rosario
    7. OF – Luis Robert
    8. DH – Yoan Moncada
    9. SP – Shane Bieber
    10. SP – Zach Greinke
    11. SP – Eduardo Rodriguez
    12. SP – Zach Wheeler
    13. SP – Tyler Glasnow
    14. SP – Brandon Woodruff
    15. SP – Michael Kopech

    On the Bubble
    1. OF – Willie Calhoun
    2. OF – Kyle Schwarber
    3. SP – Carlos Carrasco
    4. SS – Jorge Polanco
    5. SP – James Paxton

    Thanks

    • southside dom says:
      (link)

      Should mention 6×6 roto – with OBP and QS

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Any of the bubble guys over Kopech, take your pick, I’d go Carrasco for an SP or Calhoun for a hitter

  36. the tone ranger says:
    (link)

    Happy new year grey.
    Keeper league question
    K/9 is a category so leaning to keep Cole since he helps out so much although I know you usually wouldn’t keep a SP like that.

    Need 6 Keepers – rounds I can keep them are in parenthesis
    Arenado (1)
    Cole (2)
    Rosario (5)
    Snell (6)
    Springer (9)
    Turner (17)
    Muncy (23)
    Soto (24)
    Giolito (27)
    Sonny Gray (27)

    Thanks Man!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rosario who? Turner who?

      • the tone ranger says:
        (link)

        sorry. Trea Turner and Eddie Rosario

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Arenado (1)
      Cole (2)
      Snell
      Turner
      Soto
      Giolito

      • the tone ranger says:
        (link)

        wow thanks! I think you suprised me w/ 3 SP but i kind of like it lol

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  37. uncle ernie says:
    (link)

    I was offered Matt Olson $7 and Springer $21 for my Boegarts $17 and Eddy Rosario $17. Fair?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Fairskis, Uncle Ernie

      Depends on other keepers prolly

      • uncle ernie says:
        (link)

        Thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  38. Junker23 says:
    (link)

    Keeper question – Gary Sanchez at catcher or Brandon Woodruff at SP? H2H league w/ total bases and OPS instead of steals and quality starts added for pitchers. (Keepers replace last round picks, so no consideration there.)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Woodruff

      • Junker23 says:
        (link)

        Thank you!!

        First time playing fantasy since like, 2012, happy to be back on Razzball again.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Good to see you!

  39. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    With the Severino news . . . increased chance Andujar gets dealt for pitching, making Andujar an even more attractive stash?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hmm, hadn’t thought about that…He feels worth it for a stash anyway, so sure

  40. J-FOH says:
    (link)

    Screw all this baseball mumbo jumbo. Lets talk shows. You watch Narcos Mexico season 2? Im watching Hunters. I like it. Its like a graphic novel about Nazi hunting Jews in 1977 New York.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hunters sucks, I couldn’t get past the middle of the 2nd episode…It’s such nonsense, it’s a little bit offensive

      I loved Marcos, finished 2nd season of Mexico already… Chapo is my boy!

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        I appreciate the offensiveness. But what do I know. Im only Jewish for the jokes. You can’t take the show seriously. Its like a comic more than anything. Its not a historical drama

        Narcos was muy caliente

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I don’t take it serious, but I also can’t get into it as a goof either — I was 2 episodes in and Carol Kane hasn’t even spoke yet…And Pacino’s doing Rabbi Whisperstein…I just can’t

      • Cram It says:
        (link)

        Haha. I sensed Hunters could be offensive just from the previews. I have zero interest.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          It’s offensively trying to be Tarantino

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            very Tarantinoish

            Its not a goof, its just like a comic

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              It’s trite BS, I’m out on it — I mean, of course they had a scene within the 1st 90 mins of a chess match, how could they not?

              • J-FOH says:
                (link)

                The intro is a chess board!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
                  (link)

                  Oh yeah, hacky

  41. Q says:
    (link)

    Ok–so this is a theoretical question, I guess. Anyone feel free to chime in.

    My oldest league is an 8 team points league with an auction. Benches are deep but this is still, like, as shallow as leagues get. I have other leagues, but this is my one with my buddies and we don’t have any other friends, so 8 is enough.

    The question is this: When I do values based on Rudy/Steamer, they most often end up fairly clumped together. Highest value player is around 40 and then it scales down normally from there. Similar to the auction values both of you put out for 12 teamers.

    If this was a bigger league, I’d stick to my values, let the crazy guys overbid, and then clean up the middle of the draft. But is this the right thing to do in an 8 team league? Shouldn’t I overpay to make sure I get some elite players in a league this small? If so, should I just kinda wing it on how much? Just go ahead and pay $60 for Arenado instead of $20 for Bryant (for example, I know you’re out on him).

    Thanks to anyone for any input.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      In an 8 team league, you need top guys, feel free to overspend on guys I like

  42. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
    (link)

    Was I supposed to do something to hop in the NFBC thingies or have we not filled up enough leagues for that yet?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Think we’re waiting on a few more for your league to fill…Once it fills, you’ll be emailed — any way you can help getting your league filled would help

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
        (link)

        On it!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Don’t think our promo code works anymore, fwiw

  43. KrazyIvan says:
    (link)

    Blackmon will play one month like the best player in fantasy baseball and will do nothing the rest of the year. I’m convinced the Rockies actually don’t try to win baseball games. They just try to score 7 runs at home and hand out tacos.

    Waiting on the rest of your NL West(ern) like I’m waiting on the Buckaroo Bonzai sequel “Buckaroo Bonzai Against the World Crime League”. Team mascots need more bit roles IMO.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, nice

  44. DavidS says:
    (link)

    Which side: Muncy/Yates or Olson/Rogers? (Keeper league)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Olson

  45. Tbone says:
    (link)

    Giolito, Hoskins, and Ronny Mauricio for Machado and Goldschmidt

    I’m assuming the Machado side, however I’m having hard time estimating the dynasty value of Giloto given his youth.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Giolito, but it’s fair

    • Alex says:
      (link)

      Hey Al, I’d be interested. Could you send me some info at [email protected]? Thanks!

  46. Alex says:
    (link)

    Happy fantasy baseball season, Grey! Baseball is back! I just umpired a high school game. Called a sick foul ball down the line. Really showed it out.

    Keeper question–Who would you keep out of these three? Adalberto $16, Giolito $7, Bregman $42

Comments are closed.