This is the 2nd Angels outfielder that I’ve pegged as a 2022 fantasy baseball sleeper. What’s the chances that comes to fruition? Zero? Can you do negative odds? Last year I pegged Jared Walsh as a sleeper, and he broke out. This year I like two. What can I tell you, I’m a dumb man. At least I think Luis Rengifo is still very terrible. Having Mike Trout (I think, he still plays, right?) and Shohei Ohtani in the lineup with Anthony Rendon (remember him? I legit forgot until I looked at their depth charts), David Fletcher, Jared Walsh, Stassi, Adell and Brandon Marsh shouldn’t be a layup for anyone. Their pitching still looks pretty raunchy, so don’t worry, it’s not like I’m picking the Angels to win the World Series. Above average hitting? Yeah, I’d think so. Unlike Jo Adell, or similar to Jo Adell, depending on how poorly that works out for me, Brandon Marsh might have playing time issues. Assuming Mike Trout is healthy (HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA), there’s two outfielder spots for Adell, Marsh, Phil Gosselin and Justin Upton. Clearly, I think Adell and Marsh are easily the lead candidates for the last two spots, but other guys have to get some at-bats, and benching the lefty Marsh against lefties does make some sense. It’s not ideal, but there’s plenty of other reasons to like Marsh, besides always knowing where the stash is:

So, what can we expect from Brandon Marsh for 2022 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

Psyche! Before we get into the Brandon Marsh sleeper post, just wanted to announce that I’ve begun to roll out my 2022 fantasy baseball rankings on our Patreon. It’s an early Xmas miracle! Like this new deodorant that I invented that smells like sweat. Investors? Anyone? Anyway II, the Brandon Marsh sleeper:

If Angels don’t have shirts made that read: Don’t Harsh The Marsh, then that’s a big missed opportunity. For a guy who looks like the definition of “eating Takis on a beanbag” Marsh is actually fast. For a guy who looks like the definition of “watching the same TV channel for five hours because he can’t be bothered to move” he’s got power too. Power and speed, it’s this athletic profile that makes us go gaga. They contribute in the two most desirable roto categories, and above all they help you win leagues. If you want 1,000 words on guys with empty batting averages, and solid hit tools, holler at someone else where you can get their hot tips and finish in 5th every year in your league. Fortune favors the bold, and the bold like Brandon Marsh. Why do the bold like Brandon Marsh? Imma let the numbers do the talking.

Brandon Marsh has a top 95th percentile sprint speed and top 86th percentile Max Exit Velocity. He had a .356 SLG but .405 xSLG with a 51.7% Hard Hit rate, that was with a 31.3% Line Drive rate. Lot to unpack there; that SLG is around league average, or Xander Bogaerts’s last year. That Hard Hit rate is between Rafael Devers and Paul Goldschmidt. That line drive rate is unheard of. Will double back to that.

Devers, Bogaerts, Au Shizz have what in common? The inability to steal 25+ bags. Guess what they do have in common with Marsh: Those guys are sluggers and Marsh is right there with them. Okay, about that line drive rate: It was the 2nd highest in the majors for guys with at least 180 plate appearances. It would’ve been the highest in the league for the 2nd half. It’s crazy high for a rookie. He was the 38th in the league for Hard Hit% right by Eloy and Muncy. Brandon Marsh had the lowest Soft Contact% in the league at 4.1%. These numbers are so wildly insane, I need to point something crazy out: Marsh had the 8th best line drive rate since 2000 and the lowest — again for emphasis — the lowest soft contact. In 2nd place was Barry Bonds’s 2006 season. I will now cackle for the next 20 minutes, excuse me. *lies on the ground and cackles, after 20 minutes, sits up* Okay, I’m back. Brandon Marsh and Barry Bonds, ya know, two totally normal guys to mention in the same breath. If Marsh can cut his strikeouts (35% last year) to minor league levels (26%), he might hit .320, because unlike the 2006 version of Bonds, Marsh can actually fly. Marsh’s BABIP last year was .403 and he was still unlucky.

Brandon Marsh might get some games off vs. lefties and might still strike out a bit, but in the realm of possibilities is Brandon Marsh going 15/30/.300. No, I’m not high. Marsh prolly is though. For 2022, I’ll give Brandon Marsh projections of 68/8/51/.271/21 in 481 ABs with a chance for much more.

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Los locos
Los locos
8 months ago

Is your rankings available on Patreon?

Coolwhip
8 months ago

Stangels Grey is back!

update: Gosselin was non-tendered… so as of right now, its Trout, Upton, Adell, Marsh.

Upton hasn’t played full season in like 5 years… i’d wager Maddon gives him routine days off this season and plays the 2 young bucks along Trout more with Trout moved to LF. At least, I hope that’s what he’ll do. That’s what I’d do (sigh). I’d also sign a frontline start or 3, but what do I know.

Wake Up
Wake Up
8 months ago

For what it’s Werth…someone must’ve said this already but he looks like west coast Jayson Werth and Jayson Werth looks like he was raised in a marsh!

Prolly have him on every team.

UkraineGameToYou
UkraineGameToYou
8 months ago

Thanks for making me lament not offering him a cheap rookie contract in one league (sad face)!

Dude
Dude
8 months ago

Great as usual, Grey, thank you. Question: Which two of these $10 players would you keep in 5×5 NL-only? L. Webb, Knebel, B. Gray of Colorado.

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
8 months ago

Grey!

Awesome!!

a. Loved Marsh last year, will love him again in 2022.

b. Which team wins this trade in k/9, whip, qs and svh cats 12-team, keep forever dynasty league?

Team A: Patrick Sandoval
Team B: Josh Winder, Camilo Doval

I think I know the answer.

c. Norm MacDonald quote of the day for December 13, 2021

‘Earlier this morning, someone fired six shots into the White House. Police say they have little to go on but say they are on the lookout for a middle-aged black woman in a Surgeon-General’s uniform.’

d. Marx Brothers quote of the day for December 13, 2021

‘One gloomy weekend, bent on romance, I journeyed to Palm Springs. It was raining when I arrived. I had engaged a suite of one room at a prominent tennis club and, as is my wont, was on the prowl for female companionship. The weather had been unusually bad that year (according to the Chamber of Commerce), and the inn was almost devoid of the opposite sex. I dined alone. Except for my deep breathing, the only other distraction in the large dining room was the fearful sound generated by an old gentleman in the far corner. He was breaking Melba toast into his clam chowder in the hopeful notion that this additive would make the mess palatable. Wolfing my dinner, I casually cased the premises for young, or even middle-aged, female society. I finally came upon four elderly women in the cardroom (and when I say elderly, I’m referring to Grandma Moses and her contemporaries), who were sitting there cheating each other at canasta. Luckily I had brought a good book with me (Dead Souls), and concluded that if this was the best the club had to offer I would return to my room and read.’

Cheers,
Ante

Wake Up
Wake Up
Reply to  Ante GALIC
8 months ago

C. HA! Elders was a hero!!!

Wake Up
Wake Up
Reply to  Grey
8 months ago

Fired by Clinton for the controversial takes like …hey maybe we should just make weed legal and masturbation is normal… coming from the top doctor in 1993.