Last year, Blake Snell had a 3.54 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP.  Hootie hoo, that’s wonky as all get-out.  For players with that terrible of a WHIP since 2000, there was only one guy under a 4 ERA (Chad Billingsley in 2006 with a 3.80 ERA) and most guys weren’t even below a 5 ERA.  Snell’s walk rate 5.2 was horrific.  *Insert Tyra Banks’ “We were all rooting for you” GIF*  Forget it my dude, you Snell with an em, nah’mean?  So, what else is up, my dudes and five girl dude readers?  Yeah, forget Snell, he’s out of control.  Literally.  Speak on your winter break.  You hit the sauna, you look sweaty?  Oh, you just ran up one flight of steps?  Just one step?  Gotcha.  So what else is new?  *taps finger, scratches chin*  Well, maybe we should look at Snell anyway since we’re here.  I mean, we have the time and you just have anecdotes that involve fast food milkshakes and girls that you think like you that don’t.  So, what can we expect from Blake Snell for 2017 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

His stuff is unreal.  Not fictitious, like it doesn’t exist, but unreal like, “Damn, girl, what you working with?” unreal.  Not just an unreal fastball either.  Or fastball and curve.  Or fastball and slider.  He throws four pitches and all of them can be “Damn, girl, what you working with?”  He works from 92-95 MPH with his fastball, but averages 93.5 MPH, and mostly sits 94 and 95.  It be blow away, bye bye time.  Here he is during the climatic Moses flood scene:

Let my pitcher go!  That pitch may have been North by Northwest, but it cropdusted him at 96 MPH.  Now drive a train through a tunnel to simulate my feelings on it cause it’s sexy-time.  Now look at how whatever he is on this breaking pitch.  He looks like he just got off the wrong floor on an elevator and needs to get back on it.

Snell after the pitch was like, “Damn, I thought my dentist was on the 5th floor.  Rewind.”  Why show you rather than dazzle you with words?  I think to appreciate him you really need to see a 96 MPH heater and then a silly 76 MPH breaking pitch.  I also see what appears to be a possibility to leave the ball up, and a kind of across-the-body, la-di-da throwing motion that produces nasty.  After every windup, there’s an explosion of the pitch and then a matter-of-fact shrug and a “Guess I got him.”  While the walk rate never came down to respectable levels last year in the majors, he has shown control in the minors and his walk rate was in the 4’s two of the four months he was in the majors last year.  That’s really what it’s going to come down to, not much else.  If he commands his pitches, he’s going to be a number one fantasy ace.  If he doesn’t, he’s going to walk guys, and push a 4-plus ERA.  In 2017, I don’t see him being fully there for the whole year, but we’ll see flashes and there will be more good than bad with around a 4.2-4.4 BB/9.  For 2017, I’ll give him the projections of 9-12/3.63/1.37/181 in 160 IP with a chance for a lot more.

136 Comments
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Juan
Juan
5 years ago

Grey,
12 team H2H keeper league. We keep 10 players. Our draft starts in the 11th round.

I am trying to move todd fraizer for edwin encarnacion.
He was fraizer my #1 pick round pick, my 2nd round and 3rd round picks.

should i make this trade?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

Grey,

what are you thoughts on Dodgers pitcher Grant Dayton. Where will he fit in the pitching staff? will he be in the majors this year? Is he worth a draft pick? I have a 4th, 5th,6th,8th and 9th.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Scott Kimmel
5 years ago

@Scott Kimmel: pen arm

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

odio,

no specific role? 8th inning? 7th inning? long relief?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

I have 4th-6th round picks and 8th, and 9th rd pick on him to use.

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

Grey,

WHat are your thoughts on that other pitcher from the dodgers, Chase De Jong?

Scott Kimmel
Scott Kimmel
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

do u have a list of prospects i should consider for my upcoming minor league draft

scotty the captain
scotty the captain
5 years ago

hey guys… 5×5 14 team mixed league. keeper question. daniel norris or alex cobb???

Polka
5 years ago

notes…not noes.

Polka
5 years ago

Grey as always most entertaining and informative…In a land of a million Expert opinions, I consider yours very top three-ish. I used most of your noes to form my top 150 last year and won many leagues. I look forward to all knowledge and killer podcasts again this baseball season!!!

Big Odio
Big Odio
5 years ago

Every since that guy complained about Kardashian references we haven’t got anymore Kardashian references and I want them back. Don’t make me read the actual news for Americas most ridiculously untalented family updates.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: I heart your obliviousness to the haters

Geoff
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Big Odio: Word on the street is he’s saving them for his rankings…

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: there are lots of words on the street about razzball

Clogged Rosterman
Clogged Rosterman
5 years ago

I think this is every question I have or will ever have, in life:

a) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph?

b) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy?

c) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy or Miguel Sano?

d) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy or Miguel Sano or Maikel Franco?

e) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy or Miguel Sano or Maikel Franco or Alex Bregman?

f) Addison Russell or Dansby Swanson?

g) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler?

h) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler or Miguel Sano?

i) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler or Miguel Sano or Gregory Polanco?

j) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler or Miguel Sano or Gregory Polanco or Ian Desmond?

k) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark?

l) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark or Gerrit Cole?

m) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark or Gerrit Cole or Kenta Maeda?

n) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark or Gerrit Cole or Kenta Maeda or Yu Darvish?

o) Tom Murphy?

Clogged Rosterman
Clogged Rosterman
Reply to  Clogged Rosterman
5 years ago

@Clogged Rosterman:

Whoops. Sorry.

Geoff
Reply to  Clogged Rosterman
5 years ago

@Clogged Rosterman: This is like a “Choose Your Adventure” novel for young readers.

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

That’s awesome Ralph!!!! HAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Clogged Rosterman
5 years ago

@Clogged Rosterman: Poor Tom Murphy. Spiritual successor to “I’m Ron Burgundy?”

Clogged Rosterman
Clogged Rosterman
5 years ago

I think this is every pressing question I have or will ever have, in life:

a) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph?

b) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy?

c) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy or Miguel Sano?

d) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy or Miguel Sano or Maikel Franco?

e) Greg Bird or Tommy Joseph or Ryon Healy or Miguel Sano or Maikel Franco or Alex Bregman?

f) Addison Russell or Dansby Swanson?

g) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler?

h) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler or Miguel Sano?

i) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler or Miguel Sano or Gregory Polanco?

j) Byron Buxton or Max Kepler or Miguel Sano or Gregory Polanco or Ian Desmond?

k) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark?

l) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark or Gerrit Cole?

m) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark or Gerrit Cole or Kenta Maeda?

n) Junior Guerra or Tanner Roark or Gerrit Cole or Kenta Maeda or Yu Darvish?

o) Tom Murphy?

Aubrey Plaza's Pillow
Aubrey Plaza's Pillow
Reply to  Clogged Rosterman
5 years ago

@Clogged Rosterman: it’s much easier to condense these to like positioned guys when possible (a-e and h-j condense to just a single CI or OF ranking each), or maybe this is the schtick, clogged roster/clogged questions.

Jeff P
Jeff P
5 years ago

Taillon or Snell in QS instead of W league for 2017 and beyond?

Fungazi
Fungazi
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Was there a sleeper post on Taillon?

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
5 years ago

M.E.G. I’m excited to draft Snell everywhere this year.

Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
5 years ago

The getting off the elevator on the wrong floor line made me laugh entirely too hard. I’m just picturing my dumbass self doing it and reacting in that exact manner.

Geoff
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Dr. Kenneth Noisewater: @Grey: It almost looks like a two step from a Kid and Play dance routine.

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

Pump it Hottie

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

Only when listening to Kwamé

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

Haha niiice! Is it still Christmas, because everybody’s rapping? What can I say though, I’m the magnificent with the sensational style and I can keep it going on for like a mile a minute…

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

Dat’s cause you are oneovdabigboiz

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

at least it goes down Lyte

Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: Class Act is one of my top movies that was constantly on HBO growing up and that I watched every time.

Geoff
Reply to  Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
5 years ago

@Dr. Kenneth Noisewater: I would watch that movie now. I always loved the scene where Play is trying to teach Kid how to talk urban.

My dad loves the House Party movies, he’s even seen 3!

Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: Is that the same scene where Kid was astounded by dreadlocks? That Hillary Banks turned out to be freaky, plot twist!

What about Disorderlies? Baby, You’re a Rich Man….

Geoff
Reply to  Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
5 years ago

@Dr. Kenneth Noisewater: All good. Hillary Banks was such a hottie. She was on point in How High as well

Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: Whatever happened to Ashley?

nick the dick
nick the dick
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: Hillary in How High? Nah man, that was Lisa Turtle. The Ladies Man tho…

Geoff
Ralph Lifshitz
Reply to  nick the dick
5 years ago

@nick the dick: Damn it! I got the hot black ladies from my childhood who happened to star in stoned on the couch movies confused.

Thanks Nick!

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

Is it weird that I taught my six and eight-year-old boys the Kid n’ Play kick step?

Geoff
Reply to  Count de Monetball
5 years ago

@Count de Monetball: I played hockey and in high school that was me and one of my line mates goal celebration.

Count de Monetball
Count de Monetball
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

I can’t think of a better celebration :)

Ra'zbahl Al Ghul
Ra'zbahl Al Ghul
5 years ago

Oh that GIF is mmmwwwahhhh! Like Snelling a rose

Ra'zbahl Al Ghul
Ra'zbahl Al Ghul
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Train through a tunnel indeed, halfway to a threeway with Klum!

Landisimo3
Landisimo3
5 years ago

12 team Dynasty (Roto/ saves + holds)… We keep 10 … I’m very torn who to keep.. I finished 3rd this past year.. here’s what I have:

Marte
Braun
Cutch
Frazier
Kinsler
Lemahieu
Lucroy
K Davis
Bruce
Santana

Greinke
Salazar
Sanchez
Porcello
Maeda
Hendricks
Chapman
Britton

Farm= Glasnow, Taillon, Albies, Maitan, Morejon, Albies, Tapia, Martes, Crawford, Calhoun

Help!! Help!! Lol … Thank you as always !

Geoff
5 years ago

I read this entire post in Martin Lawrence’s voice.

CMUTimmah
CMUTimmah
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: Now all I can hear in my head is:

“Geeeeeena!”

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz:
Jamal: With these hands, I make
[holds out and flicks on lighter]
Jamal: … FIRE!
Crowd member: We have fire.

Geoff
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: I read my own articles in Robin Williams “black guy” voice.

Geoff
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: I do spell you like chu.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: really, I do it in Yakov smirnoff voice

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: hahaha…what a country

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
5 years ago

Do you believe in Murphy’s Joey Votto-lite impression (.300+ ~20-25, handful of SB and ok counting stats)? Based on ADP he’s been going in the late second / early third round in most drafts!

RusselTHEmuscle
RusselTHEmuscle
5 years ago

In 6 player keeper league. Need help deciding keepers please.

Bats
J.baez, benintendi, dahl, duvall, renfroe, mazara, o.arcia, j.villar, rendon, w.contreras,

Arms

B.snell, cmart, degrom, matz, giolito, rodon, glasnow, a.sanchez, d.bundy, j.guerra

Thanks

Cram It
Cram It
5 years ago

Here comes the Rays!

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Cram It
5 years ago

@Cram It: you knew this post was coming

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Yes, so, I can’t get excited for the TB Rays fantasy sleeper pitching profiles?

Cram It
Cram It
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Haha. Oh yeah..neither is Smyly…sad emoticon

Steve Stevenson
Steve Stevenson
Reply to  Cram It
5 years ago

@Cram It: Bring on Honeywell and his screwball!

Geoff
Reply to  Steve Stevenson
5 years ago

@Steve Stevenson: Here! Here!

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
5 years ago

What up dawg

Jason
Jason
5 years ago

Hey Grey

I want your opinion on a trade offer.

I’m in 12-team H2H keeper “keep forever” league. For some context, the scoring categories are:
R H HR RBI BB K SB TB AVG OPS and IP K/9 K/BB QS W HRA ERA WHIP SV+HLD

I have an offer where I trade: Dn.Murphy+Braun for Carrasco+Dozier

At SP I currently have – Arrieta/Lester/Verlander/Hamels/Hill

Dozier and Murphy would replace each other at 2B, and I have Brantley/Jose Ramirez to replace Braun in LF

Which pair would you want now and in the future? Murphy side OR Carrasco side?

Thanks :)

JeF WiTh 1 F
JeF WiTh 1 F
Reply to  Jason
5 years ago

@Jason: I’d rather have the Murphy side, but seems pretty fair.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Jason
5 years ago

@Jason: then why trade murphy?

Geoff
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Jason: @Big Odio: I’m all in on the Dozier side. There’s a better chance Dozier is a stud than Murphy again, and you get Carrasco for Braun. Honestly how many good seasons does Braun have left?

CMUTimmah
CMUTimmah
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Big Odio: @Ralph Lifshitz: The only hesitation is betting Brantley will be useful. He may not be able to just jump back in the saddle.

Dozier isn’t getting younger, so that power better be real because he will stop stealing bases and keep hitting .230… Murphy has stats that age better than Doziers, no?

Geoff
Reply to  CMUTimmah
5 years ago

@CMUTimmah: Brantley is an after thought Jose Ramirez is very solid.

I’m far more inclined to believe in a 29 year old Dozier who’s been a useful fantasy player for a few years over Murphy who got good in the 2015 playoffs. He needed a super high BABIP last year and his power surge was suspect. What if he goes back to 2015 Murphy, or something in between and hits .300 with 16 homers?

It’s totally possible he transformed into a top 25 hitter, and certainly his batted ball profile says that, but what if it’s just a career year?

What makes you doubt Dozier’s power?

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: good point and when I answered I was thinking roto not h2h. Those dongs play better for dozier in the format. I think braun will be good til he retires. Like we have learned with guys like beltre, papi, and Cruz, sometimes they are immune to the age regression. Or at the least not as sharp of a dropoff

Vegans
Vegans
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: I heard he changed his stance to provide more plate coverage just before the 2015 playoffs and his success transferred to 2016.

Geoff
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Haha I was going to say trade Arreita, Hill, or Hamels, but it’s head to head, and pitching is more important.

Jason
Jason
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
Thanks for the input guys. I appreciate it.

I want to improve my pitching by adding Carrasco but not at the expense of hurting my offence too much and I’m wondering if trading Braun/Murphy for Dozier/Carrasco will hurt my bats.

My current keeper offence is:
C- empty
C- empty
1B – Encarnacion
2B – Murphy
3B – Longoria
SS – BMiller
MI – DGordon
CI – TFrazier
LF – Braun
CF – Pollock
RF – Bautista
OF – Brantley
OF – JRamirez
UTIL – VMart
UTIL – OrArcia

Taking into account the scoring categories [in a post above]. I think my offence offers a pretty balanced attack (counting stats and ratios-wise).

I guess it comes down to whether I prefer Dozier or Murphy [two different types of hitters] and whether I can stomach the loss of Braun (replaced by Brantley/Ramirez) and the addition of Carrasco.

It’s a 12 team H2H league but the top-4 teams in the league each have 3-4 top-25 starters. I currently have four myself (Arrieta/Lester/Verlander/Hamels). I was thinking adding Carrasco would give me a significant boost but just not sure it’s worth it.

Thoughts?

Jason
Jason
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:
We have 32-man MLB rosters and start 5 SPs/4RPs/1P

So there’s some SP available on the wire but all the good ones are gone. Same story with quality RPs

But I see your point. It may be best to just target high-end relievers

Jason
Jason
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey:

Development here..

Braun+Longo for Carrasco+Kang+3rd round pick (in a 12 round draft of non-keepers)

I have Frazier to replace Longo at 3B…I know I can flip that 3rd rounder for Betances…what do you say?

1st deal better, this deal or HOLD?

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: that makes sense because ralph rarely agrees with me

Geoff
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Grey: @Big Odio: If we agree, then I change my vote.

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: is that a trumpism?

Geoff
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Big Odio: Don’t pee on my parade Jack…

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Geoff
5 years ago

@Ralph Lifshitz: no peeing in the suite

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
5 years ago

Grey!!

Very nice article, GIF-ed it up!!!

a. Had a SNAFU this AM, forgot to bring my passport to the airport. That’s like

1. inviting someone over for supper and then forgetting to put the turkey to roast AT ALL!!!
2. inviting someone you like over for sex and then switching off the phone, locking all doors and windows, closing the lights and going into a self-induced coma for 20 years.
3. betting that Stafford with his hand still in a splint will be able to lead the Lions to their first win in a playoff game since 1982.

As a prelude to my what my wife said, our daughter acts like she’s a space cadet high on hash or worse meanswhile she is not high on anything except high on life. My wife says to me, you’re brain is 100X worse than ‘your daughter’s’!! When she says that our daughter is ‘my daughter’ that usually means that she f*kced up, like when she posted on facebook that she was ‘pregnant’ when she wasn’t!!!

b. I wrote to my boss that I will be coming to work on Wednesday (of next week) instead of tomorrow thinking he’d blast me. His response was very magnanimous so I thanked him profusely in response.

c. Snell looks very nasty. I could see him eat up CLE or SEA at home.

Cheers,
Ante

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Ante GALIC
5 years ago

@Ante GALIC: I love when grammar nerds like you make errors.

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  Big Odio
5 years ago

@Grey: @Big Odio: Jack!!!

Thanks, man! I handed in my grammar licence a week ago when I was unable to say Robert De Niro’s name.
My 12-year old son: ‘Hey, dad! What’s that actors name who was in Dirty Grandpa?’
Me: ‘I can’t remember. Taxi (1976), The Godfather…’
My 12-year old son: ‘Come on, dad! Al Pacino, Martin Scorsese and…’
Me: ‘Can’t remember. Honestly.’

Cheers, Ante

Big Odio
Big Odio
Reply to  Ante GALIC
5 years ago

@Ante GALIC: HA! You better redeem yourself or he will be challenging you to a fight when he is 15. That reminds me of when I was 11 or 12 when my dad had me sit down and watch mean streets with him.

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Grey!

Thanks, man! Wife is still super steamed. It’ll take at least a few weeks, plus she’s on her monthly cycle so you know she’s going to make it that much worse for me.

On the plus side, I did

a. contact the airline and changed my ticket to departure Tuesday for 120$;
b. change the date successfully for my next bus transport to and from the airport – I had one half of that ticket canceled because the transporter didn’t wait for me when I was late taking off from Paris because of fog. Frank Voila – French Fog! That must be the name of a cheap French cologne for homosexuals! When you want to make out in the fog and want everyone to know you’re THAT way, use French Fog.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: Grey!

No hotel reservation made!!! The joy of working in Africa. You can arrive at any time, any day, EVEN have a reservation and then change the date without any excuse or reason for making the change and, OF COURSE, no need to pay any penalty/fine.

Cheers,
Ante

Ante GALIC
Ante GALIC
Reply to  Ante GALIC
5 years ago

@Ante GALIC: My wife had to make to make 2, 30-mile return trips this morning (one at 04h20 and the other at 06h00)!!! Not fun and we’re still recovering from 5-hour jetlag from our trip from the DR!

Cheers,
Ante

SheriffMcRawDawg
SheriffMcRawDawg
Reply to  Grey
5 years ago

@Grey: that is the most savage April fools I’ve ever heard