By my calculations, Anthony Rizzo is the top rookie 1st baseman heading into the 2012 fantasy baseball season.  (For all of you screaming Paul Goldschmidt, he has too many ABs to be considered a rookie and too many Christmas presents to be considered a Jew.  Sorry to all you, Zimmermaniacs.  Though since we’re talking about Goy-schmidt, I like his home park better so he gets the edge over Rizzo if rookie eligibility doesn’t matter, which, in the big picture, it shouldn’t.)  Rizzo put up big numbers in Triple-A last year with 26 homers and a .331 average.  Unfortunately, those numbers were in the PCL which is like hitting with an aluminum bat on the moon.  He also contributed 7 steals, which again reminds me of Goldschmidt or Au-shit as his name translates to in German.  It’s nice when a big man can knock the cover off the ball and chuck in some steals.  Reminds me of a young Adam Dunn.  Rizzo, I will call you Donkey Kong Jr.  So what can we expect of Anthony Rizzo for 2012 fantasy baseball?

His eye isn’t terrible, but his strikeouts aren’t pretty.  If he hits .250 or lower, it wouldn’t surprise me at all.  The power is there, definitely.  If anyone can hit 25 homers in Petco, it’s Rizzo, but that’s taking his ceiling and knocking a hole through it to make a sunlight.  It just seems absurd to give anyone a 25 homer prediction in Petco until they’ve actually done it once.  So let’s say 20 homers.  Then you look at his surrounding offense and you figure no runs or RBIs. Finally, he may not have the first base job, which would severely cramp his production.  Funny thing happened on the way to Rizzo’s rookie year, some has-been prospect who wasn’t supposed to do anything, Jesus Guzman, did something.  I think Guzman will fizzle and Rizzo will get the job, but it’s no guarantee.  For 2012, let’s say Rizzo’s line is 60/20/75/.255/5 in 500 ABs.  It’s not bad because of the potential upside, but at first base you want a guy you can rely on in mixed leagues.  In NL-Only leagues, you take the gamble.  No relation to Rudy or Oscar.

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Confused . . . Again
Confused . . . Again
10 years ago

The rule says “130 at bats,” not official at bats. Rizzo had 128 official at bats (dumb term anyway), 21 walks and 4 HBPs, giving him 153 at bats and no rookie status any longer — unless they changed the rule.

chata
chata
10 years ago

pilfered this from lasorda’s blog :

“Bill Buckner, who was leading the league in hitting, hated Lloyd Allen. They must have had problems in high school because Buckner hated this guy, and he hated Buckner.

The visiting team’s bullpen was right behind our bench on first base. Buckner, who played first base, would tell our infielders to throw the ball really high with the hopes that he couldn’t catch it and it would hit Lloyd Allen sitting in the bullpen.

Now we graduate from the rookie league and we are in triple-A. Allen is set to pitch the game. I am on the line for the National Anthem with Bobby Valentine as the leadoff hitter and Buckner hitting second. Valentine was on my left and Buckner was on my right, and Allen was on the mound.

Buckner looked at me and said, “I’m going to hit him the head and kill him.”

I thought he was goofy.

God be my judge when I tell you this. Allen threw him a fastball and where do you think Buckner hit it? He hit a line drive that hit Allen right on the top of his head.

Allen was down on the ground, and as Buckner was running down to first base I could hear him hollering at Allen, “Die, die, die.”

That’s Buckner. That’s how he played the game.”

black_toshiba
black_toshiba
10 years ago

Do you see Wandy as a okay number three? Or do you like him more as a number four for 2012?

royce!
royce!
10 years ago

So wrong about Rizzo! Dude’s gonna go 95/32/110/.295/10. I swear to God. Plus the two aces of Latos and Luebke! I gotta start saving up for playoff tickets now! YEAH!!!

chata
chata
10 years ago

rizzo … nba … survivor

my wife likes survivor .

FANTHEAD
10 years ago

Hey there, Grey. Would you mind rubbing the crystal ball with this question: Who will be better in 2012, R. Nolasco or Wandy Rodriguez?

Thanks!

steve b
steve b
10 years ago

survivor?Is that show still on?I think my gramma used to watch it on the same night as “Gunsmoke”..

Racehorse
Racehorse
10 years ago

Grey,

Did you see that the 2012 Zips projections are out for the Mariners?

They’re showing Mike Carp .252/.317/.414, 21 HR in 563 AB and Justin Smoak .231/.326/.376, 14 HR in 441 AB.

Advice? Thoughts? Prayers?

Tony
Tony
10 years ago

@grey: got the check, thanks man…. i know most dont care but the NBA finally is settling, thank god, i dont do the lazy mans fantasy sport (Football) so i’ve been very bored waiting for spring….

Awesomus Maximus
Awesomus Maximus
10 years ago

Ed Wade fired… no world on his toupee’s employment status. It may have actually been his toupee that fired him!

Did you watch that Survivor recap episode last week?

Giant JJ
Giant JJ
10 years ago

Knocked off line

Giant JJ
Giant JJ
10 years ago

Help