How many Pollocks does it take to hit 20 homers, steal 39 bases and bat .315?  200 billion Pollocks.  One, A.J. Pollock, to hit, and 199,999,999,999 Pollocks to run real fast to make the earth spin.  Pollock’s year in fifteen-after-twenty couldn’t have went any better.  On our Player Rater, he was the 2nd best outfielder behind Bryce Harper and in front of Mike Trout.  Yes, that Mike Trout.  The fish oiliest of them all.  If you owned Pollock last year, you are a Serbian who purchased a Polish person at a flea market or you are a fantasy baseballer that enjoyed one of the best seasons of recent memory.  Either way, you’d be more than happy with the Pollock’s output.  Value-wise, things couldn’t have been much better.  When I called him a sleeper last year, I foresaw great things, but even I couldn’t have imagined greatness that hadn’t been achieved by a Pollock since Ivan Putski.  That’s why it’s real sucky that we’re not all drafting for 2015 again.  Think of the advantage we’d have knowing what players would do!  (Sadly, if we got together today and drafted a 12-team league for last year, eleven of us would still lose.  Talk about depressing.  Even more depressing, all twelve people drafting would think they’d win easily.)  This is one of the biggest mistakes people make each year.  Forget Aaron Hicks or Adam Eaton, let’s all draft guys that were good last year.  I mean, how wrong can we go with that?  Honestly, you won’t go that wrong, but you won’t go that right either.  It’s a good way to find yourself right to the middle of your league with Malcolm and Monie Love.  Anyway, what can we expect from A.J. Pollock for 2016 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

Let’s break him down one stat at a time from his line last year of 111/20/76/.315/39.  111 runs is not entirely ridiculous.  It’s not entirely repeatable either.  Last year, he had 673 PAs.  That’s more PAs than Michael Bay had on his last movie, but shy of James Cameron on Avatar.  It was only 23rd in the major leagues last year, and, with Ender gone, Pollock will have less competition for everyday at-bats.  That doesn’t exclude injuries happening, but I’m not going to say, “This guy will get injured and miss time,” that’s a cop out, which is bad, but not as bad as Cop Land or Cop & 1/2.  Still, Pollock was third in the league in runs, that’s asking a lot.  101 runs would’ve been tenth in the league and that seems fair.  Next up: homers.  Here’s where I have some issues.  Nine of his homers were Just Enough, and the average distance on his homers was 398.7 feet.   That’s in the bottom third of the league for guys who hit at least 18 homers.  It’s not obscenely low, but he could lose three homers there easily.  More troubling, his Fly Ball rate was 29%.  Here’s some names around him for fly ball rate:  Alexei Ramirez, Kevin Kiermaier, Odubel Herrera, Gerardo Parra, Melky Cabrera, Alcides Escobar and Martin Prado.  Bunch of real boppers there, huh?  Know why those names give you the yawns?  Because they don’t hit the ball in the air enough to hit homers.  Pollock’s career HR/FB% is 10.1%.  If he hits 152 fly balls like last year with all 673 of those plate appearances, he will hit 15 homers.  Maybe he gets lucky on two more, but maybe he gets unlucky too and hits 13 homers.  Lowercase yay.  Next up, 76 RBIs.  Pollock hit 2nd last year more than leadoff.  This year, he’s penciled into the leadoff spot.  The top guy in all of the majors for RBIs last year batting leadoff was Mookie Betts with 69 RBIs.  Betts also doesn’t have the pitcher hitting in front of him for at least half the game.  Pollock will be lucky to get 60 RBIs.  Next up, a .315 average.  He hits the ball hard, a decent amount of line drives and has speed.  Not in the top 30 of the league for hard contact or line drives, but solid.  He dropped his Ks and upped his walks.  He makes a lot of contact with strikes (top 6 in the league), but doesn’t make nearly as much contact with balls outside of the strike zone (77th in the league) and will chase, so he has a flaw there that could be exposed.  For instance, Goldy makes contact on 67.5% of pitches outside of the strike zone and Pollock on 67.2%, but Goldy only swings at 23.1% of balls while Pollock swings at 30.8%.  I’d be lying if I thought this was a huge problem, but he feels closer to a .290 hitter.  Pollock can spray balls all around the field like his first name is Jackson, but the average is coming down.  Finally, his steals.  He’s a year older, 39 steals was his career high, and crazy high for the league.  It was the third most steals in the majors last year.  One nagging injury that has him playing but not running, cuts his steals.  He gets caught more often and sent less?  It cuts his steals.  He doesn’t get on base as much?  It cuts his steals.  Maybe David Peralta gets hurt and Pollock moves to the cleanup spot, will help his RBIs, won’t help his steals.  The pitcher gets on base more often in front of him and he won’t steal as much.  SAGNOF!  Steals ain’t got no face, i.e., don’t pay for steals, i.e., a platoon of Yasmany Tomas and Jarrod Dyson on your fantasy team could give you Pollock’s homers and steals.  All of this is to say, I’m not drafting Pollock, especially not at his current price tag, and even in Serbian flea markets this Pollock’s price tag is high.

 
  1. Chuzwozza says:
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    Thanks for the warning Grey. If nothing else Mr Pollock seems to be expensive in drafts.

    In other news, I was hoping for a wise word or two (anyone who’s well-informed about the topic is welcome to help as well – thanks!)

    I realise that Razzball is primarily interested in roto and I am down with that. However, I have just been invited by some friends into a head-to-head league. Are there any special considerations or does the usual received knowledge work? Can I still wait on pitching? Otherwise, the league appears to have standard 5×5 categories …

    Thanks!

    • Jbona3 says:
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      @Chuzwozza: I’ve been in a H2H league for a couple years, and the most important thing I’ve found is consistency. In my experience it’s important to have 1-2 very good SPs to anchor your staff each week, the high end SPs are generally consistent week to week and will give you a solid advantage in 4 categories right out of the gate.

      Another issue to consider is that on a week-to-week basis SBs will be highly variable if you rely on 1-2 SB specialists solely for that category, it might make sense to have that “specialist” but Id suggest supplementing him with a few other guys that will chip in a steal once in a while (the 15+ sb guys).

    • Cram It says:
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      @Chuzwozza: Every day 25 people ask about how Razzball RCL strategy translates to H2H, specifically, pitching. You can find a plethora of information on this from past articles. A what? A plethora. Oh yes, El Guapo.

    • MJC says:
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      @Chuzwozza: I’ve referred to razzballs rankings and advice for only 2 years now in my H2H leagues, I’ve made the finals in both years and won my keeper league last year trading for guys mainly pitchers that Grey and the team recommended last year (arrieta and de grom mainly). Now maybe coincidence, maybe not I’ve found these rankings to be far better than yahoo or other sites. There is a ton of value in the middle and late rounds. Draft power early.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Chuzwozza: You can wait on pitching longer in H2H

      • Chuzwozza says:
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        @Grey: Thanks for the tips Grey et al! Sorry if this comes up often Cram – I had a quick skim and couldn’t find anything quite right so posted this.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No worries

  2. Los locos says:
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    Grey

    10 team keeper league, keep 7 players. 5×5 OBP.

    If I trade for c Seager for my 1st rd pick and get other owner 4th rd.

    I would keeper Seager Arenado JDMart Kershaw Strasburg salazar. Need help with the final player cargo, Lindor darvish or prince (prince is only DH eligible)

    And how do i attack the draft and draft the best team I can ? I will lose my 1st and 3rd rd picks due to trades. Take best available ? Best player?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Los locos: CarGo…Don’t draft a pitcher again until the end rounds

  3. TheMuppetManiac says:
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    I have Jean Segura on my bench. Should I drop him for Trevor Story?

    Also someone dropped Blake Snell would you drop Ian Kennedy or Kyle Hendricks for him?

  4. Streaming Leake says:
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    I agree Pollock is unlikely to pick up where he left off. Prior to last season he had 31 HR in 2274 pro plate appearances, and 14 HR in 1412 MLB plate appearances. If he was 23 It would be another thing but he was 27 last year and it was more likely a career year.

  5. Peter says:
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    Grey
    11 rounds into slow NFBC draft and need some guidance on next few rounds. So far team looks like this:

    Trout, Votto, Frazier, Bogaerts, Salazar, Odor, Franco, Matz, Rodon, Taijuan Walker, Boxberger.

    Let me know what to do from here.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Peter: You need outfielders

  6. Sport says:
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    Here’s hoping for Franco or Deshields as this year’s Pollock! Thank you Grey for the information.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Sport: No problem

  7. Old School Brother says:
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    Found out that since I won first in my league last year I get picks 12/13. What do you think of Rizzo and Bryant there? Any issue with drafting your first two picks from the same team?

    • Zeus says:
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      @Old School Brother: I don’t think it’s an issue in a roto league. If rizzo is still there that’s a no brainer. I’m not so sold on Bryant as the 13th pick but that’s just a personal choice. I mean you will have 23 picks before you get to pick again so you really have free reign (or is it rein as in reining in cattle? Damn now I’m going to waste a half hours down the Google)

  8. Natty Boh says:
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    You think Rizzo will fall to 12?

    • Cram It says:
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      @Natty Boh: Not in an RCL. Maybe in an office league.

      • What's a Drexl? says:
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        @Cram It: kershaw goes in the top 10 in i think nearly all RCL’s, so people don’t actually follow Grey’s rankings to the letter, at least not 100% of RCL’ers per league. I noticed this last year when Jaywrong (or somebody else) showed a bunch of 1st round RCL draft data, Kershaw ALWAYS went closer to Yahoo or somewhere else’s ranking/ADP than Grey’s rankings.

  9. The Great Knoche says:
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    I agree that Pollack will not return the fantasy value of last year or where he is being drafted. I do think Chip Hale is going to play with this lineup a bunch like he did last year and Pollack wont’ be locked into the leadoff spot every day. I think Segura is going to see some time there as well. Some combinations could see Pollack hitting 2 or 4.

    Segura
    Pollack
    Goldy
    Peralta
    Tomas
    Castillo
    Lamb
    Ahmed

    Could see Peralta and Pollack swapping spots. I guess moral of the story is I completely agree on Pollack, but Segura could be getting undervalued especially if he ends up 1st or 2nd consistently….

    • J-FOH says:
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      @The Great Knoche: Segura sucks. I doubt that experiment will work.

      • The Great Knoche says:
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        @J-FOH: Oh Ye of little faith…He doesn’t walk much, but also put the ball in play. I can see him hitting in the 2 hole a bunch and them having a ton of hit and run fun with Pollack on base.

  10. Ryan says:
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    What is your take on the McCullers innings limit? Will we see it all year, or will he be shut down early again? Thanks.

    • Cram It says:
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      @Ryan: I’m going to apply some logic, because I’m a man, over whatever Grey’s voodoo answer will be, but he should have a full season batting lead off instead of the 90-some odd he had last year?

      • Cram It says:
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        @Cram It: Directed @wrongperson

  11. Ruben says:
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    Looking at the Polanco projections, why do you see such a big spike in runs?

    • Cram It says:
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      @Ruben: I’m going to apply some logic, because I’m a man, over whatever Grey’s voodoo answer will be, but he should have a full season batting lead off instead of the 90-some odd he had last year?

      • Ruben says:
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        @Cram It: That explanation would make sense … Although I still prefer Grey’s black magic, voodoo answer!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ruben: Agree with Cram

      • Ruben says:
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        @Grey: Need more voodoo!

  12. Warren says:
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    Preseason trade opportunity. I have lots of potential keepers, and this other guy pretty much just has Machado and Betts. Won’t trade Manny though.

    It’s an overpay, but I can only keep one of these guys I’d be trading, so thought I could turn them into a better asset:

    Abreu
    Arrieta
    Schwarber

    for Mookie Betts

    Obviously, steep price, but I think I’d rather have Betts than Abreu. OBP league.

    • Five-On-One says:
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      @Warren: Just say . For those three, you should be able to do better

  13. 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
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    Reading about Pollock reminds me of a nightmare scenario in our full redraft H2H league last season. Two teams tried a trade of Pollock for next years first round pick. We have never kept players, traded picks, anything. And many owners were okay with this mid-season.

    How could this work in a redraft? I just don’t get it.

    • CMUTimmah says:
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      @‘Saul Gooood, Man: It doesn’t work in a redraft, essentially it’s collusion. Where’s Ruxin when you need him? haha

      I had something similar that cause me to leave the league I was in. Keeper league, you could keep 6 players, the rest go back to the draft. Guys were trading players they weren’t keeping for draft picks because other players wanted to keep them. If you trade a 7th player for value, you’re essentially keeping a 7th player. The commish said “we didn’t say you COULDN’T do that” and let it happen, instead of putting on his big boy pants and stopping the BS. It’s amazing how crap like this happens.

      • Five-On-One says:
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        @CMUTimmah: In a keeper league, trading draft picks is often fair game. If the rules allow it, a good manager will use it.

      • 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
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        @CMUTimmah: I’m not too involved with keepers scenarios, but I tend to say if even one manager disagrees with a mid-season predicament, it has to wait till offseason votes.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @‘Saul Gooood, Man: If all of the same owners are back every year and everyone agrees prior to the season it’s okay, then…

      • 'Saul Gooood, Man says:
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        @Grey: I fully agree. This was nearing H2H playoff time though when it was brought up.

        And now, of course, the league is voting against it this preseason. All the same that voted for it mid-season.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s ridiculous

        • What's a Drexl? says:
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          @‘Saul Gooood, Man: this stuff has to be spelled out before it happens, not after.

  14. Honus says:
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    Franco or Bogearts?

  15. mc2Rumba says:
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    So 101/15/60/20ish SBs/.290?

    Looks like a line Adam Eaton could post this year.

    Sell on Pollock and buy on Eaton later in the draft, IMO.

  16. ERad says:
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    I hear ya G – I have Pollock as a 12th round keeper, wouldn’t draft him in the 3rd-4th rounds – just looking for a reasonable return, no schmohawking around.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @ERad: He’s currently going in the early 2nd round

      • ERad says:
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        @Grey: Damn, don’t really mock anymore cause of all the keepers – but that’s pretty crazy.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Totally

  17. jhan23 says:
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    Question for basically anyone with a good thought: We have issues in our league during our Auction draft that guys arent doing their own research and specifically targeting guys that certain managers start bidding on. Since Yahoo does not have the option to hide the bidder I am wondering if anyone has any other options for this? ex. any other programs that could run the draft and then enter the results manually into yahoo site

    • Five-On-One says:
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      @jhan23: Let the unprepared bid however they want. If they start ‘mirroring’ other managers, those other managers can bid on a few players they don’t want.

      • jhan23 says:
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        @Five-On-One: Everyone knows certain names obviously. This really comes into play when we are into the late rounds and guys who did their research start bidding for their sleepers and prospects. Or a guy like Polanco this year who Grey has at a high value but I should be able to get at almost half of his value.

        • Caitlyn Jenners Penis says:
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          @jhan23: @Five-On-One: auctions are free market. if the competition still has dollars to spend I don’t really see the issue? Why is it unfair that someone penciled in their “sleeper” at $1 and had to pay more? Sounds like the person that was unprepared was the guy throwing his sleeper out there too early, not the guy bidding him up…

          • SwaggerJackers says:
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            @Caitlyn Jenners Penis: I tend to agree with Penis on this one.

            If you’re worried another manager is onto your sleepers, nominate someone late in the draft that’s getting sleeper hype who you don’t actually want.

            Alternatively, you could bid $4 out the gate for a late round sleeper you do want. You’ll get your guy because they will have to pony up $5 to snipe you. If they do pay $5, they probably blew most of their remaining budget.

            The fact that you’re aware of what the manager is trying to do gives you the advantage again.

    • Cram It says:
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      @jhan23: Fake them out then. Bid up guys you don’t want. They’ll have to run out of money some time.

      • jhan23 says:
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        @Cram It: Honestly I tend to never nominate a guy I actually want. As 1 way around this ( but I think that is a pretty common strategy). I just think it would be great if they didnt even know who was bidding or how much $$$ they had left.

        • Cram It says:
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          @jhan23: It is a common strategy. I prefer knowing who’s drafting and their money left. You know who the more competitive teams are in your league, and this adds to the strategy…knowing their needs, bidding them out, etc.

          • Whatever says:
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            @Cram It: You have to be careful in later rounds of auction draft that you dont get stuck with someone. Nominating guys you dont want works up to a point.

            • Cram It says:
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              @Whatever: I guess. I’m only nominating guys for $1. I’m not going to nominate a guy for a buck that I don’t want when everyone’s $1 at that point. But even if I somehow end up with a guy I don’t want for $1, it’s only $1. Those guys are getting dropped most of the time anyway.

    • The Great Knoche says:
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      @jhan23: I never nominate guys I want in an auction until we are getting close to the end with $1 players or other Jabronies are out of money. Fixes Your problem.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jhan23: You don’t want people to bid on players you want?

      • jhan23 says:
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        @Grey: Of course I don’t… Ha. thats not my issue at all. Maybe I am having a harder time explaining than I thought. What I want is guys bidding because they truly feel they know what they are worth. Not just bidding on them because myself or a few other managers that take the time to do the research are bidding on them.

        • Cram It says:
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          @jhan23: It’s no different than managers bidding to exactly what the “Avg Cost” is listed as. Who says they did or didn’t do research or do or don’t know what their “true” value is?

          So basically your complaint should be to be in a more competitive league with smarter managers instead of revamping the whole auction system!

          • jhan23 says:
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            @Cram It: I agree with the more competitive league statement fully, my situation though is that we have a solid group that we do all the fantasy sports with and Baseball to about half of them is just to fill in the season between Hockey and Football. Unfortuneately for me, I am the only one that prefers Baseball over the others and get a bit frustrated when this is how people prepare for the draft.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          How are you going to examine someone’s brain to see if they really want a player?

          • jhan23 says:
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            @Grey: I don’t need to examine their brain when they openly admit to why they bid on players, I agree with everyones thoughts that this just needs to be put into the strategy of my own draft though.
            Thanks as always Grey
            although you just mocked my whining..lol
            I probably deserved it.
            Commish of this league and have been asked by a few guys if there is anything we could do to deter this happening

            • Cram It says:
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              @jhan23: Dude, get more serious managers in there. What do you expect when you have people who don’t care about it as much?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Tell your leaguemates to stop hiring psychics to read your mind

    • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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      @jhan23: i don’t see the “issue” here.

  18. John Holden says:
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    Hey Grey, I need to keep 7 keepers in my 5×5 league. I have Harper, Abreu, Kluber, boegarts, K. Seager. I need to choose 2 more between Odor, Carrasco, Heyward, Brantley, Chapman and Gallo.Thanks

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @John Holden: Id get rid of Seager and keep Odor, Carrasco and Heyward

  19. Brittoning on my Yelich says:
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    In a 12 team up to 10 keeper 6×6 (OBP, Save Holds are apart of the scoring) league. Positional outfield positions are in play.

    I am keeping my full 10. Nine of of my keepers are the following: Goldie, Correa, Bautista, Cano, Heyward, Pollock, Price, Harvey, Grey.

    Im torn between Yelich and Britton for that final spot. Left field feels unbelievable shallow and finding top tier closer types is just as difficult. If I let either of them walk, I doubt I’ll be able to redraft them.

    Thoughts?

    • Cram It says:
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      @Brittoning on my Yelich: I’d keep both and lose Grey…assuming you mean Sonny Gray.

      • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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        @Cram It: Agree with Cram

        • Brittoning on my Yelich says:
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          @JeF WiTh 1 F:

          I am not as down on Gray as everyone else.

          Why is everyone down on him?

          • Cram It says:
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            @Brittoning on my Yelich: It’s not so much that, as it is that you have two Aces already. If LF and RP are that shallow, then they’d be harder to replace than a 3rd starter.

          • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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            @Brittoning on my Yelich: Hes good for ratios (ERA,WHIP) but is like a 7.5 K per 9 guy. ..on a bad team so wins wont come easy..Hes a solid starter but doesn’t wow you in any stat.Its not that hes bad just easily replaceable and i just like the other potential keepers better

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Brittoning on my Yelich: Gray’s FIP and swstr% are not in the elite realm. He had a crazy low babip last year. That babip was partially fueled by his home park and groundball percentage. He’s too risky to repeat the numbers from last year. I would love to hear ghost town steves evaluation of sonny. He’s our resident A’s scout.

      • GhostTownSteve says:
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        @J-FOH:

        Couple of things on Sonny Gray.

        First I truly believe he will almost always outpitch his FIP. He is the best fielding pitcher I’ve ever seen. Including Greg Maddox. He’s an uber athlete and an uber competitor.

        I also think he has the potential to strike out more guys than he has the last couple of years. He’s pitching to contact and he changed his pitch mix away from his curveball which is a real swing and miss pitch to using more sliders and a cutter like slider. He’s definitely shown the ability to get a K when he needs it though, another reason why I think he can outpitch his FIP…something he’s done every year of his career.

        I think you’re going to get 3.00/1.10/170 with a solid shot to win 14+ every year and he’s as close to a lock to go 200 as I think I can point to.

  20. NatsFan says:
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    Great stuff as always, Grey.

    NFBC Slllloooooowwwww draft. 10 rounds in the books.

    Pick 7:

    Rizzo
    Marte
    Frazier
    Salazar
    Polonco
    M. Franco
    Ty. Ross
    Rodon
    Tolleson
    Deshields

    Want to grab Starlin in round 11 but draft has been funky with SP’s and Closers and I will need to grab Closer #2. Likely Storen or Cishek (ugh).

    Thoughts thus far?

    • Cram It says:
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      @NatsFan: Go Mets!

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @NatsFan: LGM!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @NatsFan: Don’t overpay for closers, you only need 2 total

  21. Jon says:
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    I have to set my final keepers by Monday. If Desmond hasn’t signed by then, better to go with another option like Eaton or Smyly? Rest of my team (18 keepers, no cost) with current non-keepers in parentheses:

    C (Martin)
    1B Goldy
    2B Odor
    3B Arenado
    SS Bogaerts
    MI Desmond
    CI Donaldson
    OF Stanton
    OF Betts
    OF Jones
    OF Pederson
    DH Hosmer
    Bench (Eaton)
    Bench (Avi Garcia)
    Bench

    SP Harvey
    SP Cole
    SP Carrasco
    SP Liriano
    SP Iglesias
    SP McCullers
    SP (Smyly)
    SP (Gausman)
    SP (Velasquez)
    SP (Wheeler)

    RP Davis

    Do the rest of my keeper choices make sense?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jon: I’d go with Eaton, others make sense

      • Jon says:
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        @Grey: Eaton either way, or only if Desmond is still up in the air?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Eaton

          • Jon says:
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            @Grey: Thanks!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              No problem

    • Whatever says:
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      @Jon: I have the same problem. If I have to drop Desmond i have to give back 8 bucks.

      • Jon says:
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        @Whatever: Yeah, kind of tough without know where he’ll land. I’d love it if he signed in Colorado!

  22. HR to the Izzo says:
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    Grey,
    10 team keeper league, 3 keepers per team, keep in round drafted and they move up rounds each year. I am keeping Harper in the 10th round and Rizzo in the 6th round, but have a ton of good options for the 3rd keeper. Which one of the following provides the best value based on rankings and round I can keep them in?
    J. Upton 2nd round
    T. Frazier 3rd round
    T. Ross 5th round
    C. Carrasco 7th round
    C. Archer 17th round
    E. Hosmer 18th round
    D. Keuchel 19th round

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @HR to the Izzo: Archer’s probably the best value, but I’d still keep Upton, i.e. the best bat.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @HR to the Izzo: I’d go Frazier or Upton, value doesn’t matter in a 10 team, 3 keeper league

  23. zombie says:
    (link)

    Stunk like a potential career year. Thanks for the back up. Definitely not worth his draft slot. Also quite astute that he’s no Putski who was dominant for years; AND was said to eat an onion like you and I eat an apple. Cust kayin’.

  24. Right in the pujols says:
    (link)

    Who would you rather keep – Chris davis in the 5th round or Archer in the 7th? I also have correa, machado, arenado.

  25. Honus says:
    (link)

    Need to choose between the two as final keepers. Bogearts at$8 or Franco at$4. Needs not an issue at this point. Thanks

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
      (link)

      @Honus: Franco

      • Mets fan says:
        (link)

        @JeF WiTh 1 F: is that based more on dollar amt or stat value

        • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
          (link)

          @Mets fan: Both

  26. Running Frog says:
    (link)

    Greetings from North North Korea, Grey! It got above freezing last week for the first time since November. Definitely baseball time again.

    I’ve now drafted 4 ESPN free leagues (what can I say, I am a sucker for live drafts against schmohawks). In them I am yet to draft Brandon Belt, which is kind of bumming me out since I was all on board the Belt love train. But boy have I drafted some Polanco. Not only have I drafted Polanco in every single draft, he has been my UTIL in two of them. Yes, that’s right. Drafting against schmohawks gets you Polanco as your 6th OF.

    I freaked out during my latest 10-teamer draft because I lost internet in the first round. Finally got back online and saw I was the proud owner of Kershaw. :( But I still wound up with Miggy, and an outfield of Betts, Springer, Upton, Braun, and Polanco. With Salazar, Ross, Liriano, Matz, and Darvish rounding out the rotation, Franco, Bogaerts, Lawrie, and Castro filling out the infield, and the usual assortment of closers, it feels like a curbstomping.

    Grey, are there any position battles in spring training you are particularly watching for fantasy upside? Anyone that might represent big upside if they happen to get a starting job, that sort of thing?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @Running Frog: Have you seen Dennis Rodman around town? Now you have to watch Trevor Story

  27. pbmax says:
    (link)

    Keeper Question H2H, CI, MI, 5 OF, 1UTIL: Keep 6; Already have Goldy, Kershaw, Arenado, Abreu as locks.

    Pick 2: Upton, Adam Jones, Odor, Heyward, Joc, Chris Archer.

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
      (link)

      @pbmax: Id go Upton and Archer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @pbmax: Upton, Heyward

      • pbmax says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks guys!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  28. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    As you know, I like Pollock a little more than you. I would consider him as a pairing with a power bat at the turn at the end of the first round, but I see where you’re coming from on feeling like he’s overly inflated in the market. But just for the hell of it…from last year

    K rate: Pollock 13.2%, Marte 19.4%
    BB rate: Pollock 7.9%, Marte 4.3%
    Steal success rate: Pollock 85%, Marte 75%
    FB%: Pollock 29%, Marte 22.7%
    Hard hit%: Pollock 33.8%, Marte 28.7%
    Home park: Zona v Pitt
    BABIP: Pollock .338, Marte .333

    I know how you do your rankings where if you don’t like a guy as much as everybody else you drop him way down as it doesn’t matter because you won’t be drafting him anyway, but they these two seem a lot closer than 12 vs 31.

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: Too bad none of those are fantasy categories. Then again, I’m not as high on Marte. I think they’re both in the 30’s. Lorenzo Cainish.

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Cram It:

        Yeah but those things are indicators of potential for fantasy categories, obviously. I think the argument for Marte is that there’s room for growth and that the numbers are a better reflection of his true talent level whereas Pollock basically peaked and will take a step back.

        • Whatever says:
          (link)

          @GhostTownSteve: I am keeping Pollock in my keepers for 12 bucks. I dont think even Grey would turn down a 12 dollar Pollock. But I am also pairing him with Bautista for 23.

        • Cram It says:
          (link)

          @GhostTownSteve: In a one year comp, could be, but yeah the argument is Pollock peaking vs Marte ascending.

          • GhostTownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Cram It:

            I was actually pretty surprised at how close the two are across some of the metrics.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: I’m more concerned with how Pollock does vs. his previous years and how that will inform this year than how he does vs. Marte

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Just providing a comp…Magoo style…as a benchmark for the Pollock analysis.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          *shakes fist* Magoo!!!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Hey, when’s your NFBC draft?

          • GhostTownSteve says:
            (link)

            @Grey:

            March 26th. Geeked!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Sweet!

  29. Whatever says:
    (link)

    So at what auction value would you consider drafting Pollock?

    • Whatever says:
      (link)

      @Whatever: Assuming 10-12 team mixed.

  30. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    My two favorite comments of the spring.

    Joey Votto:
    “I did a lot of walking and a lot of sleeping (in the offseason),” Votto said. “The Cincinnati fan base can be excited about the future of my performance, I’m going to be well-rested and practiced walking a lot.”

    Steven Vogt, asked if he was in the best shape of his life:

    “Of course not…I’m 31 years old.”

      • J-FOH says:
        (link)

        @Grey: after a trip to the gym I can say I’m in the best shape of my 40’s.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Are you trying to get a happy birthday?

          • J-FOH says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I was hoping for a happy ending

            • The Great Knoche says:
              (link)

              @J-FOH: That’s the “I Chi Bang Massage Parlor” Not the Gym.

    • Fungazi says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: Cliff Lee’s agent: “Cliff is considering retirement”

    • I got $100 for groceries, $1400 for liquor, and $6,000 for you to bail a couple of shit puppets out of jail says:
      (link)

      @GhostTownSteve: first time one of these guys actually told the full truth.

  31. Matt says:
    (link)

    12 team dynasty league trade advice @grey

    Yasiel puig and Johnny peralta for Troy tulo and tanaka
    My team is:

    Perez
    Morales
    Castro
    Arenado
    Peralta
    Puig
    Cutch
    Polanco
    Alex Gordon
    Belt

    Carlos Rodon
    Teheran
    Raisel Iglesias
    Drew smyly
    James shields
    Archie Bradley
    Lucas Giolito
    Jose Berrios
    Shawn Tolleson

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Tanaka side, neither side really

      • Matt says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks swag

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

        • SwaggerJackers says:
          (link)

          @Matt: You’re welcome?

  32. Cabby says:
    (link)

    12 team keeper league
    Rbi, OBP, Total bases, SB, R
    Whip, Era, K, qs plus wins, holds plus saves

    10 keepers
    Kris bryant
    Arenado
    Jose Abreu
    Altuve
    Tulo
    Bautista
    Starling Marte
    Brantley
    Kluber
    King felix

    Should I trade kris Bryant for Harper. Bryant is OF eligible for this year and gives me a nice option at third if Arenado gets hurt or I decide to trade Arenado. I expect bryant to be close to harper this year if I slotted him in the outfield. I value a top infielder more than an OF but I don’t think Bryant will ever reach harpers level.
    Thoughts? I could also hold onto bryant and try to get correa?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d want Harper

    • GhostTownSteve says:
      (link)

      @Cabby:

      Harper fo’ shizz

  33. the swinging says:
    (link)

    On an unrelated note, David wright needs to be crossed off draft boards. This was a tweet i just saw…

    Wright met with Collins today and “planned to make the plan”. First he needs to get in baseball shape. Only started running 10 days ago

    Wright has a spinal disease. Supposedly it’s not even suitable for him to ride on a bus. Imagine 6 months of place rides and playing baseball. He’s not worthy of being drafted even at the end of drafts.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thank God no one with millions of dollars has rode on a bus in 55 years

      • the swinging says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Good thing . I heard he needs a Medevac just to get to the bathroom.

        I’d bet a ton he plays under 100 games.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          HA

          • the swinging says:
            (link)

            @Grey Daily news article from 45 mins ago. This guy is so washed up. I’m here to let everyone know… don’t take this guy under any circumstance.

            Managing David Wright’s back is front and center for Mets

            PORT ST. LUCIE — David Wright is not going to put a number on how many games he will play this season. The Mets captain will not even estimate how much work he will do this spring as he balances resting his back and getting ready for the season.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah, I’m not drafting him

  34. Slippa smooth says:
    (link)

    I have Rizzo and Bryant in a 12 team dynasty @grey

    I was offered heyward and aj reed for sano

    Not sure if three Cubs are a smart attack plan but what do you think about that?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sano side

      • Slippa smooth says:
        (link)

        @Grey: you the king

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          King Kunta!

  35. peacecoast says:
    (link)

    greygoose,

    fowler to the O’s

    thoughts? on the podcast you said his projections stay the same but that’s a nice park!

    what’s his new line?

    p.s. is grey albright your real name?

    • knucks says:
      (link)

      @peacecoast: I think that he mentioned a few years ago that his given birth name was actually “Matthew Berry”. Or was that just a nightmare I had?

    • Fungazi says:
      (link)

      @peacecoast: Fowler also puts a damper on Schoop climbing to the top of the lineup I suspect.

  36. knucks says:
    (link)

    I know that through the years you prob get this question a bunch, but what exactly will QS instead of W’s do to your rankings? It seems like this is the choice of many keeper leagues. I would think that SP obviously becomes more valuable overall (with the top tier gaining the largest value from the change) but I am not sure how much more value to place on arms.

    My league-mates are voting to make this change to our standard (not for much longer i guess) 5×5 12 team roto league, which is not a keeper league by the way. Would this push kershaw closer or possibly into the 1st round? I still can’t see myself taking him there so I guess that is silly to bring up, but what kind of changes does that make to your overall draft strategy with SPs? I find myself waiting and grabbing guys like Thor, Carrasco, K-Zar in the 4th and 5th rounds alot in Yahoo mocks. Then taking a 3rd pitcher around pick 100ish… ending up with an absolutely dominate amount of bats, along with a champ-caliber rotation. Those mocks are somewhat useless in a lot of ways, but I like to get a feel for strategy purposes. Would you make any kind of major changes to your strategy when this change in my league does get made?

    Appreciate the help! And these daily articles get me through my work day, so thanks for helping me through Feb/March Grey.

    And by the way, was listening to last year’s end of the year podcast last night for some reason (gotta boost them numbers anyway we can). I wonder if JB would pass on Son of Donals, his “2015 bust” if we were to re-draft hahah, so funny.

    • knucks says:
      (link)

      @knucks: Dammit. Donald* Type such an obnoxiously large post and make a dumb ass error in the last sentence! Bring it on grammer po-po!

  37. Moscowitz says:
    (link)

    A or B?

    A: Eaton, Fires (or McHugh)
    B: Jones, Severino

    Thanks

    • knucks says:
      (link)

      @Moscowitz: based of greys overall rankings you have….

      A. #124, 233 (or 236)
      B. #66 , 169

      My guess would prob be choice B.

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @knucks: I guess I could see eaton over jones if you were in a need of Runs/SBs over HR and RBI but I would think you could get that shizz alot cheaper

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      B

  38. Ante GALIC says:
    (link)

    Grey!

    What’s up? It’s your favorite Canucklehead.

    Nice article, sorry I was away in the War Room having fun with the Excel file. Pure bliss.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha, hey you!

  39. Fever Dog says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    10-team , h2h, 5×5, keeping three (one Under 25).

    My keepers are Rizzo, Arenado, and Correa. I’m trying to deal Kershaw. Right now, I have an offer of Kershaw + my 14th round pick for a 3rd round pick.

    Here’s how my picks would go:

    1st Round:
    10th out of 10

    2nd Round:
    1st out of 10

    3rd Round:
    4th out of 10
    10th out of 10

    And then I wouldn’t have a 14th round pick (obviously).

    Am I getting a good return, or should I try to push that 14th back a bit?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Works for me

  40. Okteds says:
    (link)

    I think I missed the boat yesterday, but I’ll try running it on this thread…

    I’ve got a hypothetical trade scenario I’d like to run past the group here:

    20 team H2H Dynasty….A new owner in our league is breaking up his team….I’m stacked with prospects and wanna swoop in on Carlos Correa, and perhaps other pieces including Jose Abreu or AJ Pollack, or pitchers Richards, Bauer, Corbin, Quintana, and Jungman.

    I’ve got a stacked list of prospects/young guys to trade from:
    Sano, Severino, Mazara, Urias, Brinson, Williams, B. Zimmer, Robles, Snell, the good Cody Reed, Profar, Phillips, Bell, Story, Hanson, K. Marte, Vogelbach, Tim Anderson, Nottingham, Honeywell, Fisher, Bradley…Also the #3 upcoming pick which looks like it will be Swansby or Benintendi…

    What combination from my list would be a fair trade for Carlos Correa + other pieces . And I guess the flip side to that, which of my guys should I cut loose, and who should I keep for the long haul….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Maybe Mazara, Urias and Profar? Depends how much they covet Correa…Why not ask them what they want?

      • Okteds says:
        (link)

        @Grey: So far, I’ve offered Zimmer, Williams, Marte, Story, and Hanson for Correa and Bauer with no response yet….just hoping to get some consensus as to what’s fair….

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d ask him who he wants

  41. Fish says:
    (link)

    Grey I have a keeper conundrum that requires your great expertise. H2H 10 team (R, H, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, SLG & IP, SV, K, ERA, WHIP, QS) and I need to keep 3 of the following with the associated loss in pick:

    Jose Fernandez (14th round)
    Arrieta (5th)
    Syndergaard (18th)
    Javier Baez (15th)
    Gregory Polanco (17)
    Chris Davis (4th)
    Kinsler (7th)

    At this point, I know Fernandez is a must keep, but I’m lost about the other two.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Noah, Polanco

  42. CoreyII says:
    (link)

    Lost KDavis as my last keeper in an NL Only, 2 C, 10 team league. Who would you pick as a new keeper… $4 DEspinosa, $4 Solarte, or $4 Hundley?

    Other keepers are Rizzo, Rendon, Kang and, Wacha.

    Thanks!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hundley, terrible choices

      • CoreyII says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Thanks! Not many other options for any value over their likely auction price… thought the cheap guys were my best bets… rather have $9 Jake Lamb, $24 Kemp, $10 Cashner, $21 Rondon?

        Highest cost non kept players last year – Kershaw and Goldy – both went for $30couple.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yes, Lamb

          • CoreyII says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Cool! Thanks for the double reply!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  43. H-to-the-Rizzo says:
    (link)

    H2H Keeper league 5×5, OBP league.

    Considering a keeper trade… need some opinions after the schmohawk post.

    Would you rather have Rizzo in the 4th rd or Pollock in the 11th?

    Thanks guys!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Rizzo

      • H-to-the-Rizzo says:
        (link)

        @Grey: That’s what I thought. Thank you Mr. Grey.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  44. OldMilwaukeePounders says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    I asked you your opinion on my keeper situation last week, but I’ve had some recent developments via trade and would value your opinion greatly. 12 team, H2H, 5 keepers.

    I was set to go with Rizzo, Edwin, Upton, Betts, Sano. However, I was able to swing a deal for George Springer. So now my keeper pool is Rizzo, Edwin, Upton, Betts, Springer, Sano, Cespedes, Blackmon, Polanco.

    It should be a no-brainer to go with Rizzo, Edwin, Upton, Betts, Springer, right? Which of the remaining group (Sano, Cespedes, Blackmon, Polanco) would you keep around for emergency freak spring training injury purposes? I am trying to dangle the non-keepers for draft pick upgrades.

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yes, no brainers… Sano

      • OldMilwaukeePounders says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks, homie!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  45. herschel says:
    (link)

    @Grey: weekly roto. which combo do you like better? arrieta and a 9th round pick or g. cole and a 4th rounder?

    thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cole prolly, but I don’t know what a 4th rounder is

      • herschel says:
        (link)

        @Grey: 12 team league and i have the 12th pick (37th overall). we are allowed 2 keepers per team taken in the 4th round or later, so taking keepers into account, it is around cole/j-fer in your top 100. i am keeping arenado and debating between arrieta in the 4th of xander in the 9th. the leaves me two options:

        A) keep arenado and arrieta and grab xander in the 3rd (losing a 4th round pick but gaining a 9th rounder)

        or

        B) keep arenado and xander and grab someone from the cole tier in the 3rd and hope one of braun/cespedes/heyward fall to grab in the 4th (losing a 9th rounder here)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          A

          • herschel says:
            (link)

            @Grey: gracias.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              De nada

  46. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Sounds like AJP is this year’s Brantley.

    Trying to save some salary in my keeper league without giving up too much.

    Would you trade your $25 Abreu and $20 Blackmon for a $30 Rizzo and $4 Cain sugar?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I would

  47. noah says:
    (link)

    Be honest: you looked at his PECOTA prediction, wrote a column justifying its projections, then altered them slightly so it would be a bit less obvious. Yes?

  48. Eric Bateman says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    Quick question from someone that may be overvaluing Pollock. I’m in a 12 teamy league, its HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS. I currently have to decide on 4 keepers and each are assigned a round value for where they were drafted last (or that value is cut in half if you traded for them, i.e if player was selected in 12th rd but I traded for him his keeper value is a 6th rd pick this yr)

    I won the league last year, and it’s a snake draft, so my options are as follows:
    Stanton(2nd)
    Betts(3rd)due to a trade
    G.Cole(6th)
    Pollock(6th)due to a trade
    Springer(21st)
    Sano(23rd)
    Kluber(26th)

    Which 4 would you select based on Rd value and my draft order? I was leaning, Stanton, Pollock, Springer and Sano, but I’m wondering if I’m still overvaluing Pollock in that scenario and/or if I should retain Betts or an arm like Kluber(since his pick value is so low). Any feedback would be greatly appreciated.

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Eric Bateman: I’d hate to see your example of a long question.

      Stanton, Betts, Springer, Kluber.

      • Eric Bateman says:
        (link)

        @Cram It: ha, it started out short, but then I figured I needed to include specifics.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Stanton, Pollock, Springer and Sano

      • Eric Bateman says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks Grey, seems like I was already on the right track, but your insight is greatly appreciated!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

          • Eric Bateman says:
            (link)

            @Grey: After listening to the podcast with you and JB, I’m surprised you didn’t suggest Betts in the 3rd over Pollock in the 6th. Too high for Betts, or just better value for Pollock in the 6th? And as fate would have it Sano is todays Schmohawk, but as a 23rd round pick, I suppose I shouldn’t be too concerned there. This process is always difficult for me with only 4 keepers…sigh.

  49. Gray–I know this site is no place for amateurs or fantasy hacks, but for all that is good and decent in this world, can you please add the team name with the players name at the start of your articles.

    I’m in an AL-only league and live in an AL town, and don’t acknowledge the existence of the NL. So when I see posts about AJ Pollock, or some obscure NL prospect, I have to open a new web page and do a search on the players name to figure out who the hell he plays for before deciding if I care.

    I’m really too lazy to do this, so I’m hoping you can save my limited brain capacity and make my fantasy reading dreams come true this season.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Ha

    • The Harrow says:
      (link)

      @Stephen Jensen (SEA): wow, for all the badgering cram does this guy got a pass?!

  50. Jb says:
    (link)

    12 team 4×4 roto can keep up to 12 players(most teams have 6-8). 260 budget. I have 30$ scherzer and 24$ Grienke. I can keep or throw them back. Only other keepers are 23$ springer and7$ Salazar and 7$ Stroman. Should I keep one none or both??

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Can keep Scherzer

      • jb says:
        (link)

        do you like stroman in a no strikeout league

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Relative to who?

  51. Bocephus says:
    (link)

    So, my conundrum this year: my last keeper is between Rd 13 Pollock and Rd 18 Cole.
    H2H 10 team – already keeping Goldy, Harper, and Correa.

    Pollock was so good for me last year, but do I keep him over Cole?

    Thanks, Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, over Cole

  52. peacecoast says:
    (link)

    Grey

    Wu Tang is for the Children

    say it with me son

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Wu Tang is for everyone

  53. Anthony says:
    (link)

    Tough spot here, gotta keep 7 of the following players with their keeper cost in a standard scoring $260 budget auction roto league;
    – Arenado $12
    – Pollock 3
    – Blackmon 6
    – Arrieta 28
    – Salazar 11
    – Carrasco 17
    – C. Davis 13
    – Scherzer 38
    – M. Franco 1
    – Duda 1
    – Brantley 4

    I’m leaning towards keeping the first 7, anyone have any recommendations?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Franco over Carrasco

    • Cram It says:
      (link)

      @Anthony: I wouldn’t argue that too much. I could see Franco over Scherzer. $38 is a lot.

  54. Owen Simring says:
    (link)

    Any goldendoodles at the dog show, Grey? They are the cutest mofos this side of Weehawken. But I can imagine the dog show elitists not granting entry to an unpure dog or whatever.

    On a related note, why do you use HR/FB% and average HR distance as reasons for regression when it comes to Pollock but not Marte? I was excited to hear your answer on the podcast, but your reasoning relied heavily on that yelping hyena laugh. Not that I don’t enjoy it, I was just really looking forward to words.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I love me some goldendoodles and poodladoors, but they weren’t there… Marte’s FBs can go up, Pollock’s will go down, Marte’s HR/FB can stay the same which will mean more HRs, Pollock’s will go down which will mean less

      • Owen Simring says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Marte and Pollock both had a HR/FB% 3-4% higher than career norm. Marte and Pollock both had a FB% 2.5-3.5% below career norm. I don’t mean to be obtuse (gets thrown in solitary for another 2 months), but I just don’t see any difference with regards to regression. Also are you not worried about Marte’s profile compared to Pollock. 28.7v33.8 hard hit% and 21.3v14.9 soft%.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Marte hits the ball much further on average, if he gets a 29% FB rate as he did in 2014 he’s going to be huge, I don’t think the same as Pollock as this post says…We can agree to disagree

  55. Mel says:
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    Considering a blockbuster trade. Please rank these 3 pairs of keepers (we get to keep them for as many years as we want). Goldy/JFern vs. Bryant/Arrieta vs. Machado/Correa

    Thanks!

    • Cram It says:
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      @Mel: M/C by a good amount…then G/F, B/A

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Goldy…Machado…Bryant…

  56. Cram It says:
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    Yay, I finally got into a keeper league. Only downside is it’s via taking over someone else’s shit team…and there’s only 9 offensive slots…and it’s a stupid points league. But I digress!

    Do you think Piscotty has long term worthiness as, say, a top 12 1B or top 35 OF? Probably not right?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I like Piscotty… Definitely top 35 OF, easy… Could be top 25…

      • Cram It says:
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        @Grey: Cool. Thank you.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No prob, Cram

  57. Bwyce Hawpo says:
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    Off topic trade advice…

    My $31 Springer for $16 Polanco & $6 McCullers. Amounts are pre-draft keeper costs.

    Which side?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Polanco side, but it’s fair

      • Bwyce Hawpo says:
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        @Grey: Awesome, thanks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  58. Go Jaysss says:
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    With Mookie Betts also projected to lead off, does he hold the same concerns as Pollock relating to power numbers?? Or is it a different scenario in Boston (Stacked lineup, Fenway,… ) ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Leading off and hitting homers isn’t the problem… Lack of fly balls and homers/fly balls were the problem… I like Betts as my ranking of him shows

  59. JB2 says:
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    Helpful stuff Grey, you put ESPN to shame. I’m in a 12-team H2H, projecting 6 keepers.

    My obvious keeps are Nolan, Starling, Jose Fernandez, and Gerrit Cole. Gotta keep 2 of C. Seager, Schwarbs , Salazar, Maikel Franco, Carlos Gomez, and Lindor.

    Seager seems obvious, but I think I could get something nice for him and hang on to Lindor. Is Schwarbs worth the keep? Am I crazy to want to keep Maikel and Nolan? Or I could keep Salazar Slytherin and lock down pitching.

    I wouldn’t trust any other Fantasy Master Lotharios with such life-altering questions.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Seager, Schwarber, but you have a ton of nice keepers if you can upgrade with a trade

  60. jaysfan says:
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    Keeper question:

    Carlos Rodon or Byron Buxton?

    Same rounds, could keep for several more seasons. Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Rodon

  61. alps88 says:
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    In a 12 team keeper league. 5X5 Auction draft
    Is there anyone you would throw back and not keep
    thanks for the help!
    Piscotty $6
    DJ LeMahieu $6
    Burns $6
    Lindor $6
    Maikel Franco $6
    Aaron Nola $6
    Carlos Rodon $6
    Sean Doolittle $16
    Hector Rondon $16

  62. Slimcompoop says:
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    How goes it friend? It’s been a while, and I’m coaching HS playoff hoops at this point so not a lot of time, but starting to turn an eye towards our draft in two weeks.

    I’m in a 10-Team, H2H, 6×6 scoring (OBS and SLG%) keeper league. I need to make a decision between keeping J.D. Martinez and Pollock. No need to mention pitching keepers, but I can keep 4 hitters and my other three are Arenado, Stanton, and McCutchen. I got trading possibilities with whomever I don’t keep out of “Just Dong” and Pollock. From your rankings and this post, I can gather that you like J.D. more than Pollock, but given who I’m already keeping and our league rules, would you maintain the same opinion?

    xoxo

  63. Jiggy Nits says:
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    i traded pollock away in an NL only keeper two years ago and ive been salty since. thanks for this bit

    keeper trade question.
    NL only ROTO
    which side do you like franco 1$ + bumgarner 27 OR yelich 16 + rizzo 36

    thanks in advance

  64. Bammers says:
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    Trade question for you in a 12 team standard scoring H2H dynasty league.

    1 – Miggy Cabrera

    2 – Felix Hernandez and Lucas Giolito

    Which side do you take?

  65. MB says:
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    Hello Grey, in a 15 team roto dynasty league, is Kershaw enough in return for Cutch and Pineda?

    Thanks

    • Jiggy Nits says:
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      @MB: cutch is right above kershaw in greys top 20. add in pineda i say you ask for more…

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