So it happened…. What????? The 2016 MLB Draft stoopid! I mean I am Ralph Lifshitz Prospector Esquire, and what else would I be talking about on a Sunday? Everyone else deals with the right now, but I, I deal with the future, the dreams of dynasty owners everywhere. So let’s get into the most difficult thing to predict, project, or understand. No, not Donald Trump’s campaign!!!! Are you even paying attention?!? The MLB Draft wake up!!! If you need proof as to why the MLB Draft is unpredictable, then click here and see how badly I missed on like 90% of my picks. Seriously after months of study and careful and thoughtful attention, I hit on 5 picks..FIVE out of 34! It’s cool I own it, I wear my mistakes like the rings of a pimp. So, let’s get into the steals, the stupid, the possible, and my general thoughts on the first few rounds of the draft.

 

  • First and foremost who’s the genius at the MLB network that thought Harold Reynolds was a necessity on the broadcast. I don’t have enough space or time to commit, to re-hashing all of the stupidity that spewed from his mouth.
  • Last thing on the broadcast. Why do they have clowns like Kevin Millar reading scouting reports from a teleprompter?
  • I have to say the general reaction to the selection of Jason Groome in Boston was not what I expected. People are unbelievably pessimistic. Let’s be clear this is a case of a few things affecting a players draft position. 1. The inherent risk with high school pitchers, particularly those that are the victim of a weird ruling by your state’s governing body. 2. This was an unpredictable and whacky draft. I never in a million years thought Kyle Lewis would be there at 11 for the Mariners. The Padres love affair with Cal Quantrill, the selection of Ian Anderson at 3, and the fall of A.J. Puk quite frankly pushed Groome down on boards. No one predicted this top 15 on any mock done more than 24 hours prior to the draft. 3. Signability: the ability for teams to sign players and still keep enough in their bonus pools to sign all of their picks. My guess is there were quite a few teams that had no intention of having anything to do with a prep pitcher looking for top 5 money. He was ranked as one of the top talents in the draft for a reason, and the makeup concerns that have been discussed, but never specifically pinpointed could be a while host of things. Hey, at least he didn’t fail a PED test weeks before the draft…..
  • Speaking of which if anyone else picks Delvin Perez, I’d think it was a stupid pick. But it’s the Cardinals and they constantly paint lemons gold. Only no one knows they’re lemons until they leave the organization. One has to be worried about whether any of the upside, and “developing” power was real.
  • The Mariners pick of Kyle Lewis is the definition of stepping in shizz. I still maintain that he’s the best fantasy player in the draft, and at the moment I would select him first in any dynasty first year player draft. BTW in first year player drafts it’s bats over arms, and power over tools.
  • I love the thought of Braxton Garrett pitching in that psychedelic canyon by the sea known as Marlins Park. He’s one of the safer prep arms in recent memory. A polished lefthander with excellent control, and rumor is he contributes to the ever-elusive fantasy categories of “leadership” and “intangibles”. His potential setup in Miami might be enough to rank him as my top pitcher in the draft. It’s certainly between him, Groome, Pint, and Anderson. I’ll have a close eye on those three over the next year to see how they perform during their first crack at proball.
  • Ian Anderson is by far the biggest shocker IMO. Up until early last week no one saw him in the top let alone the top 3. The highest I had seen him prior was pick 12 to the Red Sox.
  • The highest ceiling of any player in the first round might be Riley Pint, unfortunately he’s headed to Colorado. I guess the Rockies are just going to draft pitchers until they can find a few that know magic.
  • Kind of love Nick Senzel, got to like the success in the ACC, and the fact that he’ll stick at third. Cincy’s a great place to hit. Touch to rate players on home parks when they’re so far away, and likely could be traded at some point.
  • The power/speed combo for Corey Ray is very real. The speed (44 steals) is the stronger of the two, but 15 homers is nothing to sneeze at. He’s also got a great approach at the plate. Just because there was no absolute first pick doesn’t mean this draft wasn’t talented. There’s a lot of arms and outfielders that tickle my fancy.
  • Is everyone finally hip to A.J. Puk‘s overratedness. Is that even a word? Never mind. A.J. Puk he’s overrated. It bothers me that he’s so inconsistent at the college level. Doesn’t really inspire confidence.
  • Can’t sleep on Zack Collins from Miami he’s an excellent hitter with power and patience. He homered in Miami’s Super Regional game against Boston College yesterday. There’s no chance he sticks behind the plate long term, so just have the expectation that you’re getting a first baseman.
  • Will Benson seems to fit right in with the Indians top hitting prospects of late. He’s a power and speed guy who’s a bit raw.
  • Kyle Lewis signed immediately for the exact draft slot price. This kid can’t wait to play and I can’t wait to own him. There’s going to be quite a few teams in the future kicking themselves for passing on Lewis. Mark my words!!!!!!
  • I wouldn’t be shocked to see Alex Kirilloff end up the top prep bat in the draft. He’s got power for days.
  • Holy tumbles for Dakota Hudson and Bryan Reynolds. Both are talented College players, and while I’m not completely shocked by Reynolds drop into the second round I didn’t see him dropping that far. I know there’s swing and miss concerns, but his numbers were great this year, and they’ve improved each year at Vandy.
  • The Tribe might have gotten the steal of the second round in Nolan Jones. If they can sign the kid, they could leave with two of the top pep talents in the draft.
  • Hudson Sanchez is far and away the biggest reach of the draft. He’s a prep player that was ranked as a late second round talent by everyone…..accept the Padres. They had a lot of picks in the first round, maybe they were looking to save some dough. Or they’re just the Padres.

Follow me on Twitter @Ralphlifshitzbb

 
  1. Withh the Cardinals taking Perez obviously won’t sit well with the baseball purist. But does it lesson your concerns about him if the drug that was in his system isn’t for building strength and likey had nothing to do with his increased power. That seems to be what I’m hearing from the Cards front office

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dnut Eastwood: Not really, failed PED tests for a teenager are a bad look. I’d have to hear it in more detail from someone who knows more about this than me.

      • @Ralph Lifshitz: My bad Ralph. I misunderstood what Mozielock said. He implied he was on the strength boosting PEDs. Now I did read somewhere that he only started this spring. Did he do it before his increased power who knows. But some had him as a top five talent before the failed test. Hopefully he figures this shit out. Trying to defend the indefensible that said Being he has talent,only 17 yrs of age and from the poorest part of his city hopefully he can get his shit together… Bad investigative journalism on my part Ralph Shlitzer

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Dnut Eastwood: My experience is he’s probably done a few cycles over the last year. It’s rampant in the youth ranks still. I’m more worried that he didn’t have good enough agents/handlers to get the undetectable stuff. Joking….joking…

          • @Ralph Lifshitz: poverty is a bitch even for talented people. It reminds me a little of the way the skinny Basketball kid who gets drafted into the NBA but won’t play for 3 or 4 years Jermaine O’Neal. I don’t know if he was from poverty but you see it a lot where kids jump to the NBA before they are ready. A little out of context. But maybe he isn’t that good and just wants paid. 17 yr old dumbasses good day bud

            • @Dnut Eastwood: they always say everyone knows to get off the track when the train is coming… is he that naive or that arrogant

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Dnut Eastwood: Well he’s still going to get his dough.

  2. J-FOH says:
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    I traded matt weiters for kyle lewis and every day since has been a better day. Seattle scares me with how they have dropped the ball in developing position players. Hoping he gets the Adam Jones ship off to greener pastures.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @J-FOH: Yeah or they just didn’t have any talented position players. It’s not like a ton of their former farm talent has done anything elsewhere. Just Adam Jones. I kind of look at it as, you’re bad at developing talent until you’re not anymore.

      • regan says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: LOL. Very true observation. You have to draft the talent first befor you can develop it!.As a long suffering Ms fan i’m optimistic for the future for the first time in a long while.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: miller Franklin peterson jackson all come to mind with seattle. Maybe I’m nit picking but when was the last great seattle bat to come from the farm…seager? And if him what else?

      • Clint says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:
        I was wondering about this very point in dynasty drafts: do you let how certain organizations succeed or fail in developing prospects influence your ranks for them in dynasty drafts? Examples such as the Rays/Indians with pitchers being traditionally good versus teams like the Mariners not so much w/bats or Orioles w/pitchers comes to mind.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Clint: Yeah I think to a certain extent it does. I’m more willing to take a chance on a player from a good organization with a history of development. Top talent trumps all, I.e Mike Trout from an Angels organization that is a pile of crap at player development.

    • Kenneth says:
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      @J-FOH: Seattle is under new management with a new farm director and several new coaches in the farm system. Totally different feel is immediately apparent with DJ Peterson returning to AA after an inexplicable promotion to Tacoma late last year. Tyler O’Neill is crushing AA. Last year they would have bumped him up already or even called him up to the show. Zunino has been on the farm all year after a hot start. Several pitchers at least have made strides this year. I’d give these new draftees a clean slate.

      • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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        @Kenneth: this might not have anything to do with prospect guys at SEA, but they made what was probably even worse than the shelby trade with that trumbo for clevinger one. if that trade happened in pretty much ANY fantasy league with vetoing it would’ve been. collusion going on there.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Kenneth: Excellent points

  3. Nick says:
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    Ralph !

    Dynasty draft
    i pick #1-13-25-29
    should i focus on Lewis 1st?
    then : Garrett or Groome if still on board, if not? Kiriloff, Lowe?
    at 25 and 29 should be a lot of picks to choose from: Burdi, Gowdy, Hudson, Reynolds?

    isn’t Dakota a girl’s name?!! ;)

    Nick

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Nick: I like the plan you laid out. I like Hudson more than Burdi, but if you’re a Burdi guy than go with it. I think you have a good handle on the ranges.

      Totally a girls name.

  4. MattTruss

    MattTruss says:
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    Nice break down Ralph…so, you’re saying the Braves didn’t have a great draft huh? So hard to predict, as you mention.

    Read your comments the other day about the draft slot set-up, couldn’t agree more. Way to hamstring bad teams into making “safe” picks. Meanwhile, teams that are winning now can afford to take a shot on upside with a guy that might not sign. Silly.

    The Braves maybe used it to their advantage to grab Wentz at 40 though? Another guy that might have fallen due to the money he wanted. Any thoughts on him?

    It sure worked out in Boston’s favor though. I haven’t heard much negative talk on the Groome pick personally. My buddy whose a huge Sawx fan and I have been talking about it. My take is, it’s a perfect fit. Obviously hard to project a 17 year old kid. But, I can see mid 90s FB already and a knee-buckling curve, that looks legit. Seems like he fell over concerns with if he’d sign and whatever “immaturity” teams noted. He’s flippin 17. We were all immature at 17. All I wanted to do was see boobs and drive around with loud music playing at 17 for crying out loud. Anyway, the Sawx biggest need was minor league pitching depth, so goodie for them. They have money and who cares if you lose a 3rd rounder or whatever because you spent the money on Groome, who fills your biggest need. Perfect fit. With any luck, him growing up a life long Sawx fan will maybe entice him to give a little “favorite team” discount. Hopefully it works out for them, that’d be cool.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @MattTruss: I don’t dislike the Braves draft I just wanted them to go bat at 3. Wentz was a steal at 40. Easily a mid first round talent. So in no way do I think it’s a bad draft, O just didn’t love them taking the biggest riser, a prep arm at 3. Particularly when there were three prep arms I liked better.

      Yeah the bonus pool system makes no sense, and it’s the root of much of my frustration regarding the Boston Media’s reaction to Groome. The mid-day show of the CBS affiliate came out the gate on Friday acting like the Sox drafted Greg Hardy or something. The issue I heard was when he was 15-16 and it was normal kid stuff. If it’s what I heard it’s not anything to be too concerned about. I heard he likes to party. Who doesn’t?

      I actually called into the show and ripped the host for manufacturing a controversy about Groome. Why focus on some rumors when you could focus on informing people as to the the ins and outs of the draft and the bonus pool system. Maybe the fact that he offers potentially the best two pitch mix of any player in the draft. His curve is bananas good. A lot of scouts say it’s the best hook in the draft.

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
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        First time, long time! Good for you man! I like it a lot honestly. If he doesn’t sign, then whatever, the Sawx can grab someone else next year, not the end of the world for them to miss on a year like it would be for say…the Phillies or someone like that. Risk/reward and I like the upside.

        Thanks for the Braves breakdown. Agree on the bat, that’s Atlanta’s style though, they always go arms. One could in a round-a-bout way say they went bat first last year after they trade-raped Arizona for Swanson.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @MattTruss: Yeah I think the Vandy back off had a lot to do with the 0% chance he doesn’t go pro. Yeah I just couldn’t deal with the amount of bad info these guys were discussing. I told them to stick to bitching about Buchholz. It’s sort of a theme with the draft though. Why did MLB network need to have all the clowns on. You have the experts available to you use them!

          Did you hear Harold Reynolds 20 year old comment about Kyle Lewis? He said and I quote “The most impressive thing is he’s 20, most guys are 21 at that age!” Or this gem he said in the Moniak interview, “We know it’s exciting that you’re the first pick, but how excited are you to go in the first round?”

          You can’t make this stuff up.

          • MattTruss

            MattTruss says:
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            Holy hell, that’s effing awful!

          • What's a Drexl? says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: wow, moniak should’ve just torn his ass up on that one, would’ve been awesome.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @MattTruss: I’m 40 and all I want to do is see boobs and drive around playing my music loud

      • MattTruss

        MattTruss says:
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        Word, shizz don’t change

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @J-FOH: yeah I support you on this FOH!

  5. Chud says:
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    Great stuff as always.

    No mention of the new Mickey in Philly? Thoughts on the young OF?

    2nd ? Who has most long term keeper upside?: Tommy Joseph, Danny Duffy, Jon Gray?

    Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Chud:Couple reasons I held off on getting into Moniak too
      much, first he’s the top pick you can read in depth articles on him everywhere, and second I’m not crazy about Moniak truthfully. My thought is it’s a pick that had a lot to do with signability concerns. He was a top 5 talent for sure and brings a sure fire centerfield profile to the table. He’ll be a plus defender with good offensive tools across the board, the power isn’t really there but if it develops he’ll hit his ceiling.

      Easily Gray.

      • Chud says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: thanks! As a Phillies fan n a fan of your posts I figured I’d get your opinion.

        10 team full keeper trade: I give Arrieta n get Cespedes. I can replace Arrieta with Gray from ww.

        Enjoy the awesome weather.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chud: How stacked is your pitching and how much do you need power? If you have another ace level guy go for it. Otherwise I’d hold, Arrieta is such a differenc maker across the board, particularly with wins and ratios.!

          • Chud says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: starting lineup:
            McCann
            Rizzo
            Arenado
            Abreu
            Cano
            Altuve
            Xander
            Trout
            Mookie
            AJones
            Piscotty
            Franco

            Arrieta
            Lester
            Salazar
            Quintana
            Sonnie
            Matz
            Hammel
            Nelson
            Gausman
            ERodriquez
            Iwakuma

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @Chud: I think I’d hold

  6. Yescheese says:
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    Good work Ralph, agreed on all fronts. But don’t sleep on Matt Thiass!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Yescheese: At 12:30 last night I figured I’d save some material. Thaiss is like Zack Collins squared. Maybe a better catcher though.

  7. KillerB says:
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    Dynasty league with Tulo and Sano out and trying to fill in for missing production but also looking to hold guys with longer term value. Who do you like in each category:

    1 SP: Smyly, Eikoff, Gray, Davies
    1 MI: Travis, Ketel, Cozart, Espinosa, Semien
    2 CI: Shaw, Reed, Adams, Moss, Lee, Alvarez, Pearce

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @KillerB: 1SP: Gray 1 mi: Travis 2CI: Reed and Shaw

  8. thorbs says:
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    Nice writeup as always!

    I’m a Toronto boy, so I have to ask: Any opinions on TJ Zeuch? I’m not really excited that the Jays are snapping up college players with lower ceilings and higher floors.

    Unrelated note…been offered Tanaka/Calhoun for Reed/Happ in a 12-team 10×10 dynasty league, and I’d pick up Mancini/Clark or Voth to fill out my minor leaguers. My hitting is great, my SPs are underachieving. Worth the immediate upgrade? I’m leery of Happ cracking the lineup in Chicago in the next couple years, but equally worried about Tanaka being healthy..

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @thorbs: Yeah Zeuch screams washout to me, and I agree the Blue Jays need to chase higher ceiling arms.

      I’d hold I think, particularly if you need pitching maybe moving Tanaka isn’t the best idea.

      Happ is a second baseman and by the time he’s ready (a year or so) Zobrist will be ancient.

      • thorbs says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: I’m absolutely getting shades of Deck McGuire (don’t know if he’s even in the league anymore). Then Alford goes out and gets stretchered off the field in a collision (I’m hoping it isn’t like Dahl’s).

        And sorry, I wasn’t clear…I’d be GETTING Tanaka/Calhoun, giving up Reed/Happ…I have Kluber/Greinke, but also SPs like Keuchel, Liriano, Felix, Nelson who aren’t good right now, and am trotting out CC, Guerra, Andriese regularly. I also had Swihart just go down (2C league), so I think I can get Yadi out of him as well for peanuts.

        I see Happ as having a Zobrist ceiling, Reed could be good Liriano, and don’t know what to make of Tanaka’s long-term prospects, though I see Calhoun’s BB% and I think he might be sneaky-good value over the next few years and mitigate the risk of Tanaka a bit.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @thorbs: yes I very much like the Tanaka and Calhoun side. Make the trade 100%

  9. sandwichyes says:
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    Would you do Trea Turner for Benintendi in a 14 team dynasty league?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @sandwichyes: Yeah I’d want Turner right now.

  10. We're Out Of Room says:
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    Whats going on Ralph. Curious as to your take on the Braves draft approach? I’m a die-hard Braves guy, have been since the awful 80’s lol. I was surprised they passed on Lewis, and then even more surprised they went P all 3 times in the 1st but I do like the arms they acquired. And I know that they are suppose to be big players in the international draft this year, but those guys aren’t contributing until probably 2020, so do you like their approach, or do you think they’ll regret this bat-less rebuild?

    Lastly, although this is a draft thread, I need some prospect insight, if you’d be so kind. I ended up adding Anderson to fill my need at SS, fingers crossed he can handle MLB pitching, he definitely has the wheels and the inside track to the everyday gig now. But I’m curious as to whether I should be looking to stash Bregman instead, perhaps at the cost of Anderson or say Leoyns Martin. Same question applies to stashing AJ Reed. Essentially I’m wondering who you’d cut to stash Bregman and Reed and if you feel like Bregman is the better SS over Anderson. MY league info and current roster is as follows (appreciate your time in advance):

    ESPN 12 team HTH 5×5 with OBP and QS daily moves and 4 keepers per season

    C Posey
    1B Cabrera
    2B Daniel Murphy
    3B Seager
    SS A. Russell
    OF Stanton
    OF Springer
    OF Polanco
    UTIL OF Burns
    UTIL OFL.Martin
    Bench SS T.Anderson
    DL Sano
    DL Pollock

    SP Salazar
    SP Gausman
    RP Kimbrel
    RP Melancon
    P T. Walker
    P Odorizzi
    P C.Rodon
    P Pomeranz
    Bench SP Corbin
    Bench SP Kennedy
    Bench Shoemaker
    Bench RP McGee

  11. We're Out Of Room says:
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    * Sidenote: Corbin has already been dropped for Paxton

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @We’re Out Of Room:Yeah as I said to Truss-a-Truss up top Indont dislike the Braves draft, Wentz was a steal, but I’d have gone Lewis at 3. They love to build through pitching and have some good ones. I just figured with potential long term options like Freeman, Albies, Swanson, and Riley in the infield, they might try and pair Lewis with Mallex and Acuna long term. I will say this, you can never have too much pitching….sooooo.

      All in all I have an issue with one pick, Anderson at 3.

      You have a solid amount of speed, keep Anderson and dump Burns for Bregman or Reed. I assume Bregman moves to third in the bigs. I like him more than Reed, doesn’t have the same contact issues.

      • We're Out Of Room says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks for the info, it’s greatly appreciated. I was kinda surprised by the Braves draft, I understand their thinking, but felt like you did in regards to Lewis.

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @We’re Out Of Room: Yeah really just that one pick was my issue. I felt he was the one player in this draft that had the middle of order potential they need. They have everything else, in theory, coming up through the system.

  12. Giving up Odor for Kluber its’ kind of a push for me because my team lacks power in an ops driven league and I do have Kershaw and Bumgardner on the front end. back end of my rotation I have Carlos Martinez who is looking better and I picked up Danny Duffy and have Michael Flulmer Jimmy Nelson , Alex Wood Archie Bradley and James Paxton

    That would leave me with Schoop, Lindor, and Steve Pearce holding down the middle Would you still chase Kluber or hold off

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dnut Eastwood: I think I’d hold off, you have a lot of pitching? What’s the format? Is it pitching slanted?

  13. chris says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    14 team league h2h roto.

    This is my staff:

    Carasco-Matz-I’m starting for sure, I also have Dyson-Krod and Street for closers.

    This is the rest of my staff

    Eickhoff vs Ari and @ Tor
    Gio Vs cubs and @ SD
    [email protected] cubs
    Corbin vs LAD
    Menghden vs Tex
    Ray @ Philly
    Rodon at Cleveland

    I’m facing 10 total starts and 1 closer.

    Would you go all 3 closers to secure saves? Or two and an extra starter? If two closers please pick four. If 3 closers please pick 3 starters. Does that make sense?

    This is the staff I’m facing-Archer-Chatwood-Kazmir-Leake-Niese-Odorizzi-Wainwright-Weaver and his closer is Jeanmar Gomez
    Thanks,

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @chris: Eickhoff, Rodon, Ray, Gio V’s. Sam Dyson and Street.

      • Chris says:
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        awesome thanks! Would you drop Alex Reyes for Bauer or Godley? Reyes coming up anytime soon?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @Chris: I’d hold Reyes, I think he’ll find his way up within the month.

  14. LightBlack says:
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    I think Matt Manning has a really good chance to land up being the best prep arm in this draft

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @LightBlack: Yeah I’m higher on others, but with the prep guys it’s all a guessing game. Very possible though.

  15. Nitro says:
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    At this point, who is the better NA stash?
    T Turner or Bregman?

  16. Clint says:
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    What are your thoughts on Will Craig? I’ve already heard some mention if you want AJ Reed-like power upside, he’s the pretty much the only guy to target in this draft. From what I can see, the future in power, especially at 1B, seems pretty bleak so I’m wondering if I shouldn’t bump him up a few notches in my rankings.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Clint: Yeah he gets a bump, don’t sleep on Lewis, Senzel, and Kirilloff though, all of those guys have power. Yes the corner spots are lacking power of late.

  17. Zach

    Zach says:
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    Especially with you having all of the GM’s and Directors of Player Personnelles on speed-dial I’m VERY disappointed that you only nailed 5 picks.

    Oh, and nice artile by the way. I’m ready to see what Kyle Lewis brings

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Zach: Ha! Seriously!

  18. Wheezy says:
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    What did you think about the Astros draft? Not knowing much about any players in the draft, and after reading about Forrest Whitley, it sounds as if they may have a steal at 17. Ronnie Dawson in the second looks to add another solid bat to their outfield prospect depth as well.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Wheezy: Whitley was a good grab snipped the Yanks

  19. Dal says:
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    Hi Ralph,
    In a 12-team, 10×9, H2H dynasty league, would you give Sano/Benintendi to receive Rizzo?

    Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Dal: yes

  20. Tehol Beddict says:
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    Mariners run the fucking world.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Tehol Beddict: Seriouslytheyre the best….

  21. Kenneth says:
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    Thoughts on Buddy Reed? Considered a first rounder, ended up going 48 overall to the Padres.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Kenneth: Like him, it was good grab in the second round and someone to follow this summer

  22. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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    reynolds, even as I approach a room with his voice barking out of it it just hurts, knowing i’ll be dealing with it at least long enough to hit a mute, or at worst having to hear it longer. not that the voice is the problem, it’s the garbage that comes with the meaning of the words.

  23. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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    in a book i read about a year or 2 ago (i believe by those guys that put out baseball by the numbers, in fact it may have been that VERY book), one chapter did the math and showed that since COL makes any kind of hitter decent (things that never would’ve been line drives elsewhere turn into them there, fly balls carry really far, breaking balls from pitchers dont’ fall yadda yadda), and good hitters great even if they aren’t really great (cargo’s career splits come to mind, dickerson this year) a team that plays their’s real edge would come from way above average pitching, pretty much all the time. too early this year, but chatwood/gray are MUCH better than any SP since ubaldo years ago that i can think of for COL guys (and chatwood wasn’t even a name coming up unless i missed something)

  24. The JoGarza says:
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    Hi Ralph,

    16-tm dynasty with QS. 12-man MiLB farms, 28 MLB rosters.

    My SP is: deGrom, Salazar, Hamels, Liriano, Conley, Karns with Taillon and McCarthy in the wings.

    Liriano has been an absolute disaster. My co-manager wants to sell him for someone like Dan Vogelbach straight up. My only concern is that Cubs absolutely MUST trade him for him to get playing time, and it’s a bit scary relying on that, especially when we’re a playoff contention team. The only scenario I see is that Cubs have been scouting Yankees RP, NYY needs a 1B this season.

    Is this a trade you’d make? This is my first year in a dynasty league, so I’m still learning how to value MLB players when compared to MiLB players. I do feel like my SP can take the hit, but I also think Liriano can just as easily turn it around and then we’re down a productive starter.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The JoGarza: No hold Liriano and wait to sell

  25. PK says:
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    @Ralph Lifshitz: Thanks for the quality draft coverage, I always love the inside scoop my league-mates might not catch.

    I was hoping you could advise me on a fantasy trade related to this draft.

    Would you trade #3+Jeff Hoffman for #6+#7 in my dynasty league Rule IV draft? The draftable universe is those players selected and signed in this year’s MLB Draft.

    I have a lot of pitching in minors (Giolito, Snell, Honeywell, Martes, Zimmer, Hader, Holmes, Lopez, Allard).

    My relevant draft board/tierings are below. I’d be guaranteed two of the following at #6+#7. Say I end up with my least favorite remaining combo in Moniak+Senzel; is that better than 1 of (Lewis, Ray, Craig) and Hoffman?

    1) Kyle Lewis, SEA OF
    2) Corey Ray, MIL OF
    3) Will Craig, PIT 1B

    4) Zack Collins, CHW C
    5) Jason Groome, BOS LHP

    6) Nick Senzel, CIN 3B

    7) Mickey Moniak, PHI OF
    8) A.J. Puk, OAK LHP

    Personally, I think my board will look different than the league’s and it’s possible all of my top-5 are there at #3; it’s also possible that any or all of Senzel+Moniak+Puk+Pint are chosen in the top 5 and several of my guys drop to me at #6+#7.

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