Organizational Talent Rankings via Baseball America
2014 (19) | 2013 (28) | 2012 (21) | 2011 (24) | 2010 (29)

2014 Affiliate Records
MLB: [88-74] NL West
AAA: [68-76] Pacific Coast League – Fresno (2015: Sacramento)
AA: [79-63] Eastern League – Richmond
A+: [73-67] California League – San Jose
A: [62-76] South Atlantic League – Augusta
A(ss): [38-38] Northwest League – Salem-Keiser

Graduated Prospects
Joe Panik, 2B

The Gist
The Giants won their third World Series title in five years thanks in part to an impressive performance from home-grown lefty Madison Bumgarner. Both Bumgarner and graduated prospect Joe Panik were first round picks for the organization. It’s mostly pitchers in the top ten here, but the Giants have been good at developing young arms to this point. Pitching in AT&T Park also helps their fantasy value if in fact they do make it to the major leagues. Two or three of the pitchers listed could see time in the majors in 2015. While the system is light on bats with potential fantasy impact, three position players did still find their way onto this list – led by the potential successor to Buster Posey behind the plate. San Francisco will have a new Triple-A affiliate in 2015 (Sacramento).

Top Ten Fantasy Prospects

1. Keury Mella, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
4 4 3.45 18 18 0 86.0 85 41 33 1 2.0 8.7 .256

Mella signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2011 and might have the most potential in the Giants’ system. Not only does he have two plus pitches in his fastball (a sinker) and curveball, but he has good command of his arsenal. He’s still developing his changeup. Mella pitched most of the year in the South Atlantic League as a 20-year-old and posted a 1.8 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 66 innings there. The catch is that he injured his rotator cuff and missed time. He did come back from it in August and pitched well in the Northwest League for six starts. Dynasty league players should consider adding Mella if he is still available. Playing up the injury may land him at a discount.

2. Kyle Crick, RHP | Age: 22 | ETA: 2015

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
6 7 3.79 23 22 0 90.1 78 42 38 7 6.1 11.1 .234

You could make a case for Crick to be number one in this system, but the lack of control scares me off. Crick is a first round draft pick from 2011 and has a plus plus fastball and a plus slider. That’s been good enough to rack up the strikeouts to this point in his career with 10+ K/9 in each of his first four minor league seasons. The blemish is the walk rate. It hasn’t dipped below 5.0 BB/9 in any one season and his walk rate in Double-A this year was the highest mark since his debut. Crick is only 22, and obviously there is still time to get that control under…well…control. But dynasty owners may have a future reliever on their hands if he can’t.

3. Tyler Beede, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
0 1 2.93 6 6 0 15.1 16 6 5 0 4.1 10.6 .271

The Giants selected Beede in the first round of the 2014 draft (14th overall). He jumps straight to the top of this farm system thanks to three solid offerings – fastball, curveball, and changeup. Beede’s fastball sits in the low to mid 90s and he is built like an innings eater. Like Crick, he has some red flags with his control. Scouting reports suggest that his delivery is inconsistent, and that would explain his inability to find the strike zone at times. If the Giants can help him iron out those kinks he should reach his potential as a #3 starter.

4. Andrew Susac, C | Age: 24 | ETA: 2015

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
253 34 57 9 0 10 32 13.4% 19.8% 0 0 .268 .379 .451

There aren’t many bats with fantasy upside in this system, but Susac is arguably the best of them. He has above average power that could yield anywhere from 15-20 homers at the major league level and he is a good enough catcher to stick behind the plate. Susac has also shown a knack for getting on base – posting OBPs of .350 or higher at every stop in his minor league career. He will be 25 years old this March and has already spent time in the majors, hitting .273/.326/.466 with three home runs in 88 big league at bats in 2014. Susac should start 2015 with the Giants as a backup to Buster Posey.

5. Christian Arroyo, MI | Age: 19 | ETA: 2017

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
392 49 105 17 3 6 62 5.6% 13.5% 7 3 .291 .330 .404

A first-round pick in 2013, Arroyo has played both shortstop and second base so far in his career. He suffered a thumb injury this season but still managed to log 125 plate appearances in the Sally. While his time there didn’t go so well (.203/.226/.271), he was one of the youngest players in the league. He performed much better in the Northwest League once he got healthy and hit .333/.378/.469 in 58 games there. Arroyo is the kind of offense-first middle infielder we like in fantasy. According to scouting reports, he makes good contact with an above average hit tool and fringe-average power that is more gap to gap at the moment. Arroyo will turn just 20 years old this May and there is still some physical projection left, meaning more power may come later. He’ll get another shot at the South Atlantic League in 2015.

6. Clayton Blackburn, RHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2015

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
5 7 3.31 20 20 0 98.0 98 42 36 1 1.8 8.6 .266

Blackburn has three average pitches in his fastball, curveball and changeup. Yet he keeps chugging along and posting solid numbers in the minors. In four seasons, he has posted an ERA under 3.00 with a 9.2 K/9 and a 1.7 BB/9. Still just 21 years old, he pitched most of the 2014 season in Double-A before a rib injury cost him a month of the season. One of the highlights of his season was allowing only one home run in his 98 innings pitched. Blackburn might not have the high ceilings of the arms ahead of him, but he may just be the safest bet of the bunch. He’ll likely start 2015 back in AA and could see the majors later this year.

7. Ty Blach, LHP | Age: 24 | ETA: 2015

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
8 8 3.13 25 25 0 141.0 142 53 49 8 2.5 5.8 .261

Blach is more of a command/control lefty than a strikeout artist, so his fantasy value is limited. However, his age and polish make him one of the closest arms to the majors in this system. Blach has moved through the ranks quickly thanks to that polish. His 141 innings at Double-A Richmond came just two years after being drafted in the 5th round in 2012. He’ll likely start the season in Triple-A and, like Crick and Blackburn, could see time in the majors this year. Most Giants pitchers are worth a look in fantasy thanks to the pitcher-friendly home park. If the lack of strikeouts isn’t a concern then Blach makes a nice pickup.

8. Luis Ysla, LHP | Age: 22 | ETA: 2017

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
6 7 2.45 24 23 0 121.1 104 42 33 8 3.3 8.5 .229

Ysla’s arsenal features a plus fastball with an average slider and a developing changeup. He was signed in 2011 out of Venezuela and has spent two seasons in the minors. 2014 was his first taste of full-season pro ball but he could see time in Double-A as soon as 2015. He’s pretty similar to Mejia (#9) even though he is older, which is why I clumped them together in the rankings. If the changeup comes along you could see Ysla moving up on prospect lists. If it doesn’t he could end up as a reliever.

9. Adalberto Mejia, LHP | Age: 21 | ETA: 2017

W L ERA G GS SV IP H R ER HR BB/9 K/9 AVG
7 9 4.67 22 21 0 108.0 119 62 56 9 2.6 6.8 .283

Mejia will start the 2015 season serving a 50-game suspension for a stimulant commonly used for weight loss. He has a fastball that sits in the low 90s and an average slider and changeup. The suspension will cost him some time, but Mejia spent the entire year in Double-A as a 21-year-old so it shouldn’t be a major setback. It would be nice to see better strikeout numbers for fantasy, and that could come in time as he develops his secondary pitches. While he doesn’t have the ceiling of frontline starter, Mejia would be somebody to check in on in deeper dynasty formats now that his stock is down.

10. Mac Williamson, OF | Age: 24 | ETA: 2016

PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB% K% SB CS AVG OBP SLG
100 16 27 7 0 3 11 13.0% 14.0% 6 1 .318 .420 .506

Williamson has plus power that could translate to 20+ home runs in the majors if everything breaks right. He missed most of 2014 thanks to Tommy John surgery though, so it’s hard to rank him too highly. Already 24, Williamson loses a big chunk of development time with this injury. It could present a buy-low opportunity in dynasty leagues, but I’m cautious since he hasn’t had any time at Double-A yet and his big power numbers came in the hitter-friendly California League last year. He is most likely a fit in right field thanks to his big frame and plus arm. Once healthy he should move quickly as long as he shows he can handle more advanced pitching.

Giants Previews: 2014 | 2013

NL T10 Prospects Index

  1. Russ says:
    (link)

    Gary Brown, from top prospect to unranked lol. What’s he looking like for next year? They give him a shot with that hole in left or is he gonna end up off the 40 man roster (thought I read he was out of options)?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      yup. That’s just kind of how it goes with these things. My guess is he’ll start in Triple-A.

      As far as I know he is not out of options and he is on the 40-man roster.

      • Russ says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Ah ok, I’m probably remembering wrong or I’m thinking of an author who published things incorrectly. Is what it is! Thanks for the answer, happy new year!

  2. Rick says:
    (link)

    I realize these aren’t Giants prospects, but….any chance that we see Carlos Correa playing in Houston by July 1st in 2015? What is the ETA on Addison Russell? Are they comparable prospects, or is there one guy you like more than the other?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I think both are 2016 ETAs. Russell is a little further along since he has already played some at Double-A, but I don’t think either will see MLB time before September 2015.

      They are both elite prospects and it’s really splitting hairs, but I would lean Correa ever so slightly if I had to choose. In my Top 50 first draft I have Correa/Russell listed as #3/#4.

  3. Swfcdan says:
    (link)

    Pitching, pitching, pitching. Thats how they draft em and thats how they win.

    I owned Crick for a year on my farm, looked like a good pickup at first but then his control became uncontrollable. Has he lost that ace potential now, what range would he rank for you in prospects overall right now?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      yup, pretty much. good park for it and they seem to be good at developing them.

      Crick might still be in the back half of the Top 100, but I don’t have any Giants guys in my fantasy T50 at the moment. Like you said it’s all about controlling that great stuff he has.

      • Swfcdan says:
        (link)

        @Mike: I thought he was a Matt Cain clone in the making, even looks kinda similar. Then I saw his walk numbers…ouch. The Giants really need a good coach to work with him, they should be able to get him to harness his stuff better. And if he does ill pick him up again!

        Oh and happy new year nearly forgot! Loved your last prospect post before this one too, keep it up.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          thanks! you too!

  4. JeF With 1 F says:
    (link)

    Happy New Year Mike

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Thanks Jef! You too!

  5. MattTruss

    MattTruss223 says:
    (link)

    Had the chance to see Blackburn in late August against the Seadogs in Portland. That game was quite a pitching duel between Kieth Couch and him. Blackburn CRUISED though, against a pretty stacked Seadogs team. He went 8 IP, striking out 11 and walking no one. He only gave up 3 hits but the Squirrels lost in the bottom of the 10th. The Ks were flowing in that game as Couch struck out 7 himself. Nice 1-0 walkoff game, fun to watch. Anyway, Blackburn looked really comfortable, throwing nice and easy, freezing guys. I was impressed and could see why he’d be the safest of the pitching prospects.

    Keep up the good work, and have a happy new year Mike.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Thanks! You too!

      Great stuff with that first-hand look

  6. Sky

    Sky says:
    (link)

    I don’t know much about Blackburn but that statline translating to major league pitching after the necessary reductions makes me think he might give you some Matt Cain type years. Definitely intriguing for 2015 since control guys usually transition quicker than your flamethrowing Cricks of the world. Daps, Mike.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      What does daps mean?

      Yup, Blackburn is interesting. Go by reports and he has average stuff. Go by stats and he looks like a studmuffin. We’ll get a chance to see how it all plays out in the majors in the next year or two most likely.

      Happy New Year Sky!

      • Sky

        Sky says:
        (link)

        Mike…did you just ask me what something is…WHILE ON THE INTERNET: http://lmgtfy.com/?q=daps

        Yeah, he’s only 21 so there’s room for improvement. Don’t know if that improvement will include velocity. Right now, I’d guess he’s a solid 3 or 4 unless his pitches just all have some wicked movement.

        Happy New Years back and go Ducks!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          haha…you are my Google, my Bing, my everything

          daps right back at ya

          Go Ducks!

          • Sky

            Sky says:
            (link)

            Haha, it’s good to be loved! Keep on writing gooder than others and talk to you in 2015

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              thanks! you too!

  7. Grey

    Grey says:
    (link)

    Happy New Year, Mike!

    May your feet never leave the ground as you keep reaching for the stars! —

    Casey Kasem

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      haha…thanks! You too!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
        (link)

        Did you haha me then remove it? I’ve been haha redacted!

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          haha, yeah I did. The comment in my email said “May your feet never reach the ground” so I thought it was a joke, then I read it on the site and it said “leave the ground” so I thought maybe it wasn’t. Then my head started to hurt and Marlon Byrd got traded to the Reds.

          • Mike

            Mike says:
            (link)

            haha reinstated

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Ha… Well, at least your Phils lost one more anchor tied to their neck…

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              true story…Lively is a decent get for Byrd. Not sure what the Reds are trying to do.

              …my wife is laughing hysterically at me over the Casey Kasem comment. He is effing with me in the afterlife!

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I’m impressed the Phils got anything and other teams didn’t just let Byrd lie on the rotting Phils corpse… Speaking of which, it’s being reported the Phils are poking around Harang…Oy…

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
                  (link)

                  Ugh…

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
                    (link)

                    With Byrd gone, there’s now room for Grady Sizemore and Jeff Francoeur… Now they just need a DeLorean for a team bus…

                    • Mike

                      Mike says:
                      (link)

                      ha! for real

  8. Smokey

    Smokey says:
    (link)

    Good stuff Mike!

    From the end game of things the Giants have two stellar relief options for a team that likes to build it’s pen from within. Ray Black and Derek Law are 2 guys to watch,

    Have a great New years and may your balls be plentiful.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Thanks Smokey! You too!

      good info and love the new avatar

      • Smokey

        Smokey says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Michael Jack > Smokey with chain

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          haha…can’t disagree

  9. Kenneth says:
    (link)

    In defense of Crick, he has missed time due to injury. Like any pitcher, he needs reps to develop his command.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      For sure

  10. Alan says:
    (link)

    Hola Mike

    I am going for it in 5×5 dynasty.

    Have carrasco, fister, Roark, iwakuma, cliff lee, Burnett, Kennedy, Lynn and Quintana.

    Also have qualls, familia, Jairo Diaz, Doolittle, mujica and koji.

    Is it worth it to trade Quintana for benoit since I need a good closer, just worry he is 12 years younger.

    Thanks man

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I’d hold Quintana. Even in deeper dynasty leagues closers have a way of surfacing and you can get your hands on one without trading away a nice piece. If you are looking to trade for one, I’d aim higher than Benoit.

      • Alan says:
        (link)

        @Mike: Thanks Mike. What if I got pierce johnson and benoit?

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          Anytime. I don’t think Johnson makes up the difference between Quintana and Benoit. A hitting prospect might be a better return.

  11. Sherm says:
    (link)

    Thanks, Mike. My son and I saw Crick in Richmond. Definitely a LaLoosh type. Went from dominant to wild pretty quickly.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      LaLoosh! Good stuff Sherm.

  12. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    with NYY do these look to be about right spots?
    mateo 3rd
    lindgren 8th
    torrens 9th
    andujar 10th.
    these 4 are available. also do any of carr/montgomery/foley crack the top 10?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Lindgren and Torrens probably won’t be in the fantasy top 10. Mateo and Andujar will with Mateo likely top 5 and Andujar bottom 5.

      Of the other three I think DeCarr is most interesting, but I’m not sure if he’ll crack it.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Mike: that leaves 2 spots i’m not sure about the players with this list being BA’s top 10
        1. severino
        2.judge
        3.mateo
        4.bird
        5.sanchez
        6.clarkin
        7.refsnyder
        8.lindgren
        9. torrens
        10.andujar
        so if we lost 2 i’m wondering what names cover those spots. possibly some of m.williams/murphy/jagielo.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          Jagielo and German (acquired from Miami)

          • goodfold2 says:
            (link)

            @Mike: interesting as Germen isn’t owned (pretty odd since he did get some leverage on different side of town last year)

            • goodfold2 says:
              (link)

              @goodfold2: jagielo was my last year 1st rounder, and he was part of my segura/quintana trade.

              • goodfold2 says:
                (link)

                @goodfold2: oops, you meant domingo german didn’t you? he’s owned and fantrax still has him as MIA player.

                • Mike

                  Mike says:
                  (link)

                  Yup, Domingo. He ranked 10 on the MIA list. Could be higher on the Yankee list, but probably still in that 6-10 range with bats ahead of him.

                  • goodfold2 says:
                    (link)

                    @Mike: so who takes 10th on MIA list then?

                    • Mike

                      Mike says:
                      (link)

                      oof…I don’t even go back and look actually since multiple trades happen while making the lists (Heaney for example got moved too)

                      Kolek takes #1 spot. I’d say Realmuto. I originally omitted him because he looks like more of a defense-first catcher. But now I’d imagine he’d have to make the cut there.

  13. Danny almonte says:
    (link)

    Mike…What’s the current projection for Dylan Bundy? Eta and production guesses? Thanks

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      I think he’ll log most of his innings in the minors. I tend to agree with the conservative approach Grey took when he wrote him up earlier this fall…

      https://razzball.com/dylan-bundy-2015-fantasy-outlook/

      Starting the 2016 season in the rotation would be my guess, but 2015 is kind of a wild card. He only threw a little over 40 innings in 2014 so I’m not expecting much.

  14. Dave says:
    (link)

    Mike, what do you think of a trade of Adrian Beltre for Carlos Santana and Kenley in dynasty?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Beltre is the best player in the deal, but you are getting younger and Kenley is a top closer option. I think it’s pretty fair and just depends on what your team needs. It never hurts to get seven years younger, especially when Beltre and Santana could produce similar power numbers even if the averages are way different.

  15. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    ok, bids are in for restricted players. some twit gave hamels 18 mil for 5 years, and WAS MATCHED! hanram got 19.95 million. ellsbury/greinke got 21. a-gon for over 20. anyhoo my e.santana went to 8.77 for 1 year, and werth went 12 for 2. if i keep both i would only have 10.384 million left for 11 players including
    CI #2
    Util (i assume this spot will be somebody that i will have to pay a little for)
    around 3-4 bench hitters (most to all of them would only cost .4 mil, from waivers, or my own prospects, so that’s good)
    SP #6 (if i keep Ervin a have a pretty good 1st 5)
    RP X 4.
    I’m definitely keeping werth since i need OPS/homers. If I don’t keep Ervin i would have to find 2 more SP and have 19.154 left for 12 players (1.596 per). So i did gain by restricting Erv, rather than franchising.

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: oh yeah, if i don’t match erv i get a compensatory 3rd rounder.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Nice! I think it makes sense to match the offer for Ervin. That’s probably worth more to your team than a third round pick at this point.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Mike: ok, so that means that even if i have each and all BN hitters (3-4) be waiver level or prospects (so 1.2 mil total cost for those), that leaves
        1 SP (could be waiver level)
        4-5 RP (gonna have to go really cheap on these)
        2nd CI starter
        util hitter
        leaving around 9.2 for these remaining 8 players.
        Now, this could be possibly done, as long as i seriously find value on market for those 2 starting hitters and RP’s.

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          I’d spend the money on hitters go cheap on RP

          • goodfold2 says:
            (link)

            @Mike: probably likely to end up with my own old juan legares back, he’ll probably be quite cheap (hopefully under 1 mil)

            • Mike

              Mike says:
              (link)

              That’ll work

  16. Alan says:
    (link)

    AS a philly guy, have you heard any updates on Cliff Lee?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Nothing other than what is already out there. Started a throwing program and on track for a normal spring training.

  17. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    draft is starting tonight likely, not for me of course.
    with that extra hole at MIA (i know you moved realmuto up into top 10, but there’s another spot with german and heaney gone)
    which of these make it, if any?
    soto OF
    j.garcia RP
    b.anderson C
    mader LP

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Soto

  18. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    draft just started, with all the supplementals i won’t go till 59th overall. rodon went first. last AL team question time. TOR it is. Do these sound about right as far as spots?
    hoffman RP (3rd)
    pentecost C (6th)
    urena MI (8th)
    reid-foley (10th)
    also from last year’s scott post dejong RP (8th last year)
    or maybe any of
    wells LP
    morgan C
    thomas OF

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      those make sense. Take a look at Tirado. Might not be top ten but he’s somebody you can probably get late with some upside.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Mike: nope, i missed him last year, and was targeting him for sure, from Scott’s list, i think he was 7th or 6th on that last year one. i missed him by ONE DAMN PICK! too. he went in either 3rd or 4th round last year. Ok, so Dejong misses top 10

        • Mike

          Mike says:
          (link)

          Bummer. Yeah off the top of my head probably not.

  19. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    ok, 10 teams left, and i know your CLE will very likely be in before my first pick. it’ll get hairly with the majority of NL central and NL west, as most of those won’t have BA lists out when my picking starts. i’ll go off both last year’s scott lists and this year’s higher draft picks. Last one that’ll be easy seems to be NYM. so do these sound about right with them
    conforto OF (7th)
    m.molina RP (9th)
    , and do any of these crawl in?
    ramos MI
    e.garcia CI
    prevost RP
    2. i’m also guessing there aren’t any internationals here i’m unaware of?

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      That sounds about right. No big internationals, no.

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        Sorry, dug around a little and they did sign Kenny Hernandez. Not a top ten guy but he was their international signing.

        • goodfold2 says:
          (link)

          @Mike: thanks. i see he’s a CI.

          • Mike

            Mike says:
            (link)

            no problem

  20. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    on to SD. one guy is still available from last year’s Scott list
    Sampson RP (was 10th last year, appears falling relief pitcher though)
    also these recently drafted guys
    turner MI
    gettys OF
    lemond RP
    torres OF
    bousfield OF
    and some depth chart finds
    needy RP
    j.rondon MI
    trying to find how many of these are in, and roughly what spot.

    • Mike

      Mike says:
      (link)

      Turner, Rondon, Gettys for sure. Turner likely top 5 and Rondon/Gettys in middle group

      • Mike

        Mike says:
        (link)

        Turner plays for Washington now in that PTBNL trade so nevermind him, but he would be top five.

        • goodfold2 says:
          (link)

          @Mike: and it’s likely t.turner took souza’s 4th place spot over at WAS.

          • Mike

            Mike says:
            (link)

            Sounds about right. That’s an odd trade since it won’t actually be finished until June.

Comments are closed.