If there’s one thing Carlos Martinez loves more than baseball, it’s porn. He and I have that in common (go ahead and Google “Carlos Martinez porn” if you want to find the related article(s), but I cannot be held responsible for the entirety of the search results), and that’s why I respect him. Thusly, I’m excited that not only do we finally get him back, it’s as a Week 10 double dipper. Sadly it’s in the place of where we expected Alex Reyes to be (wasn’t that fun while it lasted?), but we’ve gotta find our silver linings somewhere. Following an insane Week 9 where we had more Texas two steppers than any week prior, we’re back to relative normalcy here in Week 10. Tiers 1-2 are pretty slim as usual, but you feel really good about every option. Tier 3 has some fellas that might just be on your waiver wire if you’re in a shallower league, and I’d feel comfortable using every one of them. Tier 4 is surprisingly usable as well thanks to some good matchups all around. I’m not totally sure Danny Duffy deserves Tier 4 instead of Tier 5, but his matchups aren’t the worst and I’d rather throw him out than anything residing in Tier 5. Let’s dive in!

 

Tier 1
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Luis Severino @DET 21st 20.7 NYM 6th 20.3
Corey Kluber MIL 8th 24.2 @DET 21st 20.7
James Paxton (L) @HOU 5th 21.3 @TB 12th 24.1
Carlos Martinez MIA 29th 23.9 @CIN 24th 21.4

 

  • Carlos Martinez (STL) – C-Mart is working his way back from a lengthy stay on the disabled list thanks to a lat injury. In what appears to have been his final tune-up, he tossed four innings for the Double-A Cardinals and hit 99 on the gun. While that indicates to me that he’s healthy, I’m not sure how much stamina he’ll have in that first start against the Marlins. The good news is that it’s be Marlins, so if he can just go five innings he’ll have a good shot at a win with some solid ratios. He also gets the Reds in his second start, making the relative risk of a pitcher fresh off the disabled list worth it.

 

Tier 2
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) DET 8th 17.5 CHW 25th 27
Kyle Hendricks PHI 19th 26.6 PIT 13th 19.2
Dallas Keuchel (L) SEA 7th 19.8 @TEX 14th 25.5

 

  • Kyle Hendricks (CHC) – How do you end up in Tier 2 as a starter when you’re only striking out 6.92 batters per nine innings? Bribery. Also, consistency. And a 3.19 ERA/1.06 WHIP over 67.2 innings doesn’t hurt either. The ever stoic control artist has seven quality starts in 11 tries, and could add a pair of quality starts to his total this week against the Phillies and Pirates at home. You might cringe at the 4.41 FIP, but he’s been abnormally homer prone this season and I see no reason why that won’t regress back to his normal rates. That would land him closer to his 3.82 FIP moving forward, which isn’t a #2 fantasy SP but makes him very worth rolling out for two start weeks.

 

Tier 3
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Dylan Bundy @NYM 6th 20.3 @TOR 17th 24.7
Sean Manaea (L) @TEX 14th 25.5 KC 11th 21.2
Ross Stripling @PIT 13th 19.2 ATL 11th 20.6
Fernando Romero CHW 10th 24 LAA 5th 20
Joe Musgrove LAD 18th 22.1 @CHC 3rd 20.2

 

  • Ross Stripling (LAD) – It’s hard to believe what Stripling has continued to do since he returned to starting. He’s been hotter than a Texas bathroom stall on hot chili night, with a 1.24 ERA/0.97 WHIP  over 29 IP, 12.4 K/9, 1.2 BB/9, and a microscopic 17.4% hard contact rate. He’s been inducing more pop-ups than Stormy Daniels in a hotel room, with a 19.5% IFFB% that would rank fourth in MLB if he had enough starting innings to qualify. Pop-ups are a sneaky way to keep your BABIP low, and everything Stripling has been doing has been working so far. I’m certainly not sold that he’s an ace all of the sudden, but you’ve gotta roll him out for a two start week while he’s hot even in spite of what could be a tough Braves matchup.

 

Tier 4
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Kyle Freeland (L) @CIN 13th 21.7 ARI 10th 25.3
Zack Godley @SF 14th 24.9 @COL 26th 23.7
CC Sabathia (L) @DET 4th 22.9 @NYM 30th 26.9
Julio Teheran @SD 28th 26.3 @LAD 18th 22.1
Danny Duffy (L) @LAA 21st 19.9 @OAK 27th 24.4
Jose Urena @STL 20th 23.2 SD 28th 26.3
Nathan Eovaldi @WSH 7th 20.1 SEA 16th 20
Jake Odorizzi CHW 10th 24 LAA 5th 20

 

  • Jose Urena (MIA) – What is that you say? Jose Urena is not good? The Miami Marlins are not good? If none of these things are good why would I expect good results? Well, first: shut up. Second, he is not that bad. His 1.17 WHIP is actually pretty decent, and his ERA indicators all have him under a 4.00 ERA despite his actual 4.41 mark. He also happens to get two starts this week against bottom-third offenses in St. Louis and San Diego, and that is where most of the rich creamy fantasy nougat comes from here. Matt Carpenter is finally heating up, and that makes the Cardinals matchup scarier than it used to be. That said, getting the Friars at home with their massive strikeout rate is glorious. It’s a little bit of a slop play, I’ll grant you that, but in a deeper league I’d roll with it.

 

Tier 5
Player Opp #1 Rank vs L/R Opp K% Opp #2 Rank vs L/R Opp K%
Clayton Richard (L) ATL 1st 17.3 MIA 28th 21.1
Brad Keller @LAA 5th 20 @OAK 15th 23.2
Marco Estrada NYY 2nd 23.3 BAL 27th 25.1
Mike Fiers NYY 2nd 23.3 CLE 4th 22.8
Lucas Giolito @MIN 22nd 22.1 @BOS 1st 18.3
David Hess @NYM 6th 20.3 @TOR 17th 24.7
Sal Romano COL 26th 23.7 STL 20th 23.2
Zach Eflin @CHC 3rd 20.2 MIL 8th 24.2
Matt Moore (L) OAK 27th 24.4 HOU 5th 21.3

 

  • Clayton Richard (SD) – Ok, so if you thought Jose Urena was a slop play, I present to you: Clayton Richard. But guess what? Ol’ Clay Dick has actually been really good! Over his last 36.1 innings (5 GS) he has a 3.22 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 7.2 K/9, and 1.2 BB/9. However, there isn’t much in his pitch deployment to indicate that he’s really changed anything that warrants these numbers. Hence, his place down here in the mucky muck of Tier 5. The Atlanta start is particularly scary as they simply crush lefties. If he can get through that start without a total blowup, the Marlins matchup later in the week lines up as a very positive one.

 

All starters are projected for two starts as of Friday evening.

 

 

You can find Dokken on Twitter @NathanDokken

   
  1. iifish Horton Heat says:
    (link)

    Mr. D, Too bad about Reyes – at least I can stop salivating, again. What do you think about post-hype, soon to be post-injuries(hopefuly he doesn’t pull a Reyes) Carlos Rodon?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
      (link)

      @iifish Horton Heat: We are on the same page! I just wrote up Rodon for today’s Top 100 Starters. You can check out my thoughts there, but I’ll give you a hint: I’m bullish.

  2. hotmilk8 says:
    (link)

    who is tabbed for the Angels Mon Tues starters? Trop and Heaney?? Also German just got bumped to Monday dh

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
      (link)

      @hotmilk8: Correct, Trop and Heaney. I have no idea if Tropeano will get a second start, but since I kept him off the list you can guess that I’m not optimistic as they try to keep the six man rotation rolling. German would be a Tier 5 guy for me.

  3. iifish Horton Heat says:
    (link)

    Another question for you Sir D – thoughts on SS turned pitcher Dennis Santana? Also, what about Joe Ely?

    • Dokken

      Dokken says:
      (link)

      @iifish Horton Heat: I’m a little cool on Santana in the short term due to some control issues and I also don’t know exactly what the Dodgers are gonna do with him. Think he can be pretty good in the long run though since he’s shown us the ability to adjust quickly. Never listened to Ely before! He seems a bit too country for me, although I do like some old school country.

Comments are closed.