smile

Get ready for all the feels. Back in the preseason someone, either JB or an emailer, asked Grey on the Razzball Podcast (did you know we had one? Subscribe!) who could be the next Corey Kluber in fantasy baseball, a pitcher that had a high K%, a good minor league trajectory, and displayed something that would trigger a breakout? In 2014 Kluber ascended into Cy Young status, and won many a fantasy league for owners everywhere (this guy included – love you Corey!). It’s the type of question posed every offseason, because finding the diamond in the rough is part of what it takes to really excel in fantasy baseball. The season is so long, there is such a huge accumulation of stats, and there are so many players. If only you can find that special one.

Driving in the car listening to the podcast that day in March, a name immediately popped into my head. An answer. No, the answer! And I got all smiley thinkin’ about it: Drew Smyly! So far in 2016 he’s just had that affect on people…bringing smyly faces everywhere he goes. For me, it’s been nothing but that since late March because I own him nearly every league and he’s making look like quite the smarty pants.

While he may not win the Cy Young in 2016, thanks in part to the anemic Rays offense (can a brotha get some run support?), he may win some of you fantasy leagues if he keeps this up. And nothing in his peripherals says that he can’t. Not much has changed for Smyly this season compared to years past, except he may be throwing a four-seamer more and walking batters at a slightly slower clip. Nothing’s changed other that the giant elephant in the room when it comes to Smyly: injuries. He’s only topped 100 IP in a season once (that’s not good), and compiled just 66 in 2015 before a shoulder injury derailed his stellar season. He’s a great target in your leagues, but since he’ll cost a pretty penny due to his 10.66 K/9,  2.70 ERA and 0.78 WHIP use his injury history as leverage to lower the price. But hey, none of that matters or puts a damper on the incredible value Smyly brings this week as a Two-Start Pitcher! Here’s where he, and the others, rank for Week 6.

Pitchers are listed in order by rank. 

Gettin’ Giddy‘ (The Best) – Well, would ya look at that, he’s right next to his best friend (in my mind)! There are plenty of aces in this group, and you’ll need em to excel in Week 6 as the dropoff from this group to the rest is massive compared to weeks past. Both Kluber and Smyly, mentioned above, settle firmly into the middle of this group. And no, I’m not worried about DeGrom at Coors. Tap the Rockies, Jacob!

Player Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Stephen Strasburg (WSH) DET, MIA 2.36/1.78 10.07/1.93
Jose Fernandez (MIA) MIL, @WSH 4.28/2.65 12.56/4.28
Jon Lester (CHC) SD, PIT 1.58/3.14 8.55/2.03
Corey Kluber (CLE) @HOU, MIN 3.35/2.58 8.79/1.47
Drew Smyly (TB) @SEA, OAK 2.72/3.02 10.66/1.82
Jacob DeGrom (NYM) @LAD, @COL 1.02/2.06 7.13/2.04
Masahiro Tanaka (NYY) KC, CWS 2.87/2.78 8.04/1.72
Kenta Maeda (LAD) NYM, STL 1.41/2.79 7.88/1.69

Got Me Tickled‘ (The Replicas) – A good friend of mine said I laugh like Amy Poehler. I’ll take that, as she probably has the best laugh around. Does that mean I have the best around? No, I won’t venture to say that. It’s more of a replica of the best, which is what you’ll find in the following five: not quite the best of the week, but have the potential to look like the aces above with their final lines.

Player Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Aaron Sanchez (TOR) @SF, @TEX 2.82/3.33 7.98/2.82
Felix Hernandez (SEA) TB, LAA 2.21/4.10 7.12/4.42
Kevin Gausman (BAL) @MIN, DET 2.45/3.52 8.18/2.45
Steven Matz (NYM) @LAD, @COL 2.83/2.37 9.42/2.20
Adam Conley (MIA) MIL, @WSH 3.67/3.77 9.33/4.00

A Good Chuckle‘ (The Standards) – Sometimes you just need a good one. Ya know, the kind that can make your day. The laugh that doesn’t bend you over and make you have to wet yourself, but solid enough to turn that frown upside down. It’s a necessary element in the good day equation. You’re starting these guys below, but they’re just the standard with a lot of potential to grow.

Player Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Carlos Rodon (CWS) @TEX, @NYY 4.36/4.01 9.00/3.82
Sonny Gray (OAK) @BOS, @TB 4.84/4.54 8.15/4.08
Hector Santiago (LAA) STL, @SEA 3.58/4.47 7.65/3.11
Tyler Chatwood (COL) ARI, NYM 2.15/3.39 6.45/1.91
Michael Fulmer (DET) @WSH, @BAL 3.60/2.07 7.20/1.80

The Pretentious‘ (The Knockoffs) – Should you laugh with it? Should you be turned off by it? Both? You’ll find a good matchup below, but coupled with one you’d rather not mess with.

Player Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Trevor Bauer (CLE) @HOU, MIN 5.28/4.18 10.57/4.11
Jose Berrios (MIN) BAL, @CLE 6.75/5.65 12.54/6.75
Matthew Wisler (ATL) PHI, @KC 3.24/4.34 6.21/2.43
Kris Medlen (KC) @NYY, ATL 6.85/4.90 7.25/6.85
Robbie Ray (ARI) @COL, SF 4.97/5.00 9.59/5.33
Colby Lewis (TEX) CWS, TOR 3.32/5.53 6.39/2.61
Chase Anderson (MIL) @MIA, SD 5.55/5.94 7.03/3.70
Chris Young (KC) @NYY, ATL 5.76/5.73 8.80/3.34
Adam Morgan (PHI) @ATL, CIN 6.00/3.51 9.00/3.00
Zach Davies (MIL) @MIA, SD 6.98/4.93 6.05/4.66

Sad Panda (The Trash) – I don’t care the name, the perception, the percentage owned. I’m staying away. Because if not, they’ll make me a….you get it.

Player Opponents ERA/FIP K9/BB9
Mike Fiers (HOU) CLE, @BOS 5.35/4.97 6.95/1.07
Scott Kazmir (LAD) NYM, STL 5.68/5.09 8.52/2.27
Rubby De La Rosa (ARI) @COL, SF 4.60/4.09 9.82/3.07
Wily Peralta (MIL) @MIA, SD 7.50/5.54 5.40/3.90
Daniel Straily (CIN) PIT, @PHI 3.56/5.18 7.71/4.41
Clay Buchholz (BOS) OAK, HOU 5.71/4.97 6.49/3.89
Mike Leake (STL) @LAA, @LAD 6.03/5.11 5.77/2.63
Anibal Sanchez (DET) @WSH, @BAL 5.87/5.09 9.68/5.58
Jonathon Niese (PIT) @CIN, @CHC 5.94/5.74 6.75/3.78
Michael Foltynewicz (ATL) PHI, @KC 9.82/13.16 9.82/4.91
Cesar Vargas (SD) @CHC, @MIL 1.10/4.23 6.61/4.96
Jake Peavy (SF) TOR, @ARI 9.00/4.96 7.76/2.48
Colin Rea (SD) @CHC, @MIL 4.61/4.64 7.24/4.28
Henry Owens (BOS) OAK, HOU 4.82/6.92 6.75/6.75
Matt Cain (SF) TOR, @ARI 7.00/4.66 7.00/3.00

All players listed are projected for two starts, and this list is subject to changes after the article is posted.

So, there you have it! Hopefully you can find some sunshine in your life and get all the smiley feels like me! Drop a comment below, and good luck with Week 6! Check back next weekend for Week 7!

38 Comments
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John Gray
6 years ago

COREY K SUCKS!

The Harrow
The Harrow
6 years ago

here’s some weirdness
1. why is ray a tier above rubby when they have same matchups, and rubby at least looked good recently?
2. how is fiers a tier below davies/c.young/c.anderson (esp anderson) who’ve been way more terrible than fiers (fiers with one very bad recent start)?
3. i get it on vargas and rea (more so on rea), they’ve gotten quite lucky, but esp in the case of vargas i’d much rather have them than davies/c.young/anderson. sort of the same thing on straily, he’s gotten lucky, but done well.

Ken
Ken
6 years ago

Is Conley still a 2? My app says he pitches the 10th with off day wouldn’t he be a 2 next week? Thanks

ECTO
ECTO
6 years ago

Why do you like Fulmer? @WAS & @BAL, I don’t see it…

Tillman & Colon on my roster…

Would you drop either (or both) for Fulmer and/or Manaea?

The Harrow
The Harrow
Reply to  ECTO
6 years ago

@ECTO: not me.

ECTO
ECTO
Reply to  [email protected]
6 years ago

@[email protected]:

I waived Colon, his only start this week is against Kershaw on the road, yikes.

I added Clay Buchholz. Bold strategy Cotton, let’s see how it plays out for him.

Red Sox fan, I believe in the pumpkin-pie haircutted freak.

#stopwalkingharper
#stopwalkingharper
6 years ago

Doesn’t Wisler have two starts? (PH-KC) Where would you put him?

Matt
Matt
6 years ago

Barrios for 2 starts or Velesquez for 1 against the Braves?

Adam
Adam
6 years ago

Sanchez , Conley , hammel , moore
Please rank
Thx!

Papa C
Papa C
6 years ago

Owens is in the minors, right?

Lucky Dog
6 years ago

Might have once again been just a smidge too early to buy that funeral jacket to wear for Beltre.

Also, that Cano guy can maybe hit a little bit – having them both has been pretty nice this week. Cano is en fuego right now.

Thanks god, since Au Shiz is stuck in 2nd gear.

Lucky Dog
Reply to  Lucky Dog
6 years ago

@Lucky Dog: oops – posted this to the wrong topic. That’s how I roll. lol

Derrick
Derrick
6 years ago

Who is the first catcher up in your opinion? W.Contreras, Tom Murphy, A.Knapp, M.Zunino, G.Sanchez, R.McGuire, Hedges, Alfaro, Pentecost, Tyler Stevenson??? Or do I just ride Curt Cassili?

It’s a 10 team mixed roto (2 catchers). Also why wouldn’t they at least give Urias a few shots at starting with Wood being placed in the pen with his middle relief experience.

Also do you believe Jose Reyes will get playing time when he returns??

Trea Turner, Baez, Kang or JP Crawford rest of season

Nicholas Pieroni
Nicholas Pieroni
6 years ago

with how giddy you are with Ross. Would you trade him for Liriano and Berrios? H2H pts league.

Jurickson BROfar
Jurickson BROfar
6 years ago

What do you think of Urias to the bullpen?

jason bourne
jason bourne
6 years ago

Nice post. How giddy are you about Mat Latos (if he was throwin’ two games)?

WillisReid
WillisReid
6 years ago

Nice draw for Smyly this week. Love Matz but just don’t have the courage to start him in Coors.

Love these. And thanks for rolling them out Saturday so I can get the drop on the rest of the league.

Josh Freeman
Josh Freeman
6 years ago

Lil’ Ross and Alex Wood have 2. Thoughts?

Mike in Busan
Mike in Busan
6 years ago

Is Tyson’s kid brother not tossing two this week?

Mike in Busan
Mike in Busan
Reply to  Mike in Busan
6 years ago

@Mike in Busan: I ask purely out of self-interest, mind you. Enjoy your posts, Mr. Mampersand.

Bobby
Bobby
6 years ago

Hey man great post, but are you sure maeda has two starts? He’s currently slated to go Wednesday making him not a two start pitcher for week 6

Bobby
Bobby
Reply to  [email protected]
6 years ago

@[email protected]:

With him on wed this week looks like he has two starts next week though