Just two weeks or so into the regular season and it is time to start jostling those rankings. We have some big moves in the early going with some big names. While it certainly is early and not the time to overreact to small sample sizes, there are a few guys that are moving up due to delivering on early promise such as Seiya Suzuki. However, the biggest surprise in our rankings this week might be a year-over-year first rounder that seems to be trending in the wrong direction. Will fortune favor the bold or will you and I regret moving on from Mookie Betts. In this week’s article, we run down the Top 100 Hitters for the rest of the 2022 fantasy baseball season and see who is moving up, who is moving down, and where we need to keep a watchful eye over the coming weeks.
Rising
- Jesus Sanchez – The powerful 24-year-old has hit the ground running or more accurately swinging in the early going. For a bat that shows 30+ homer power and what appears to be a solid everyday job in the middle of the Marlins lineup, there are big things coming this season. Strong hard hit rates were expected, but an early reduction in strikeouts will be the key to carrying success.
- Francisco Lindor – After a strong spring, Lindor has carried his momentum right into the regular season. In the first few weeks, we are seeing the speed and power combo that we have been waiting for in this Mets uniform. Maybe there is another 30/20 season in the bat and a big return for those with faith this preseason.
- Seiya Suzuki – Everybody has written much of what needs to be said about Suzuki in the early going. With a litany of statistics showing in the top 10% of the league ranging from power to patience to speed he is going to be plenty of fun to watch. There will certainly be ups and downs, but he should keep moving up if the early going is anything to believe.
Falling
- Mookie Betts – Maybe it is time to look at the writing on the wall and realize that Mookie is not the Mookie we once knew. Five years of declining exit velocities nicely matched by another five of rising strikeout rates are just the beginning. There will be warnings about overreacting to another slow start. However, the spoils often reward the bold. If you are getting $0.90 on the dollar, I would take it right now.
- Joey Votto – Is father time catching up to Mr. Red? Well, time will certainly tell, but a 40% strikeout rate is doing plenty of damage as it is. Maybe he is lost and will figure things out, but a slight drop in the rankings is on tap while we find out.
- Robbie Grossman – Grossman has started the year ice cold. He has an intriguing mix of power and speed with a decent penalty in the batting average category. However, if you are not hitting enough to get on base then little else matters when you lose your job. He still has time, but there is risk here.
Watching
- Jesse Winker – Winker is certainly in watch mode for Seattle, but it is not time to overreact. A BABIP well under .200 will bring anybody down in a small sample size. Pair some bad luck with a league leading walk rate and strong strikeout improvements, there is still plenty to like. The results will come.
- Byron Buxton – Listen, there is no question about the talent here. That is why Buxton signed a $100 million deal with the Twins. However, the health concerns just keep lingering. The recent knee injury did not keep him out long this time around, but we are simply holding our breath until the next IL visit.
- Gavin Lux – Sitting outside of the Top 100 now, Lux is hitting. Maybe it is time that he delivers on his prospect promise. Walking more than he strikes out and a scary good Statcast profile, this might just be his time. Hopefully, he gets a chance to move up the lineup to drive some of those counting stats we want to see. However, with the early signs, I would buy a few speculative shares if there is an opportunity.
Are you more optimistic on Swanson than you were pre season despite his performance YTD or just others fading?
Swanson was more of an ancillary impact from others fading. I am relative stable in Swanson. Not too high or low at this point.
You’ve all convinced me to not question Julio’s performance to date.
He is still available in one of my leagues, and I’d love to pick him up. My drop would be Jesus Sanchez (he’s been great; but you have Julio rated higher). No other drop is possible — Jesus or Julio?
That is tough. Rankings look at full year and Jesus is the kind of guy you want to ride a hot streak. Forced to make a choice I am grabbing Julio. However, with Jesus being hot I would debate threading the needle and waiting to drop him when he cools…tempting fate a bit.
I just put in my claim. Can’t believe he’ll remain once he has a breakout game. Thanks.
Love these rankings! For once I got no questions about rankings. Absolutely great work. One concern, is Ketel Marte. Is there anything under the hood to be concerned about?
There is more power in that bat which keeps bringing me back for more. But I just don’t know that we will ever see it. If you expect .290-20-5 then I would not be concerned. If you expect more, then maybe be careful.
I agree. I’m riding it out! He’s my ride or die this season. Was hoping for better start, but a lot of guys are off off to slow starts. I am more hopeful for a .300-25-10 season. Appreciate it as usual!
In a 6×6 OBP 2b+3b Qstarts net wins
I get Seiya Suzuki for Manoah. Manoah is not eligible as a keeper in ‘23. If Suzuki is top 44 then he can be a keeper
Who wins this trade is a vacuum?
Tough one with only 3 weeks of Seiya. I take your side because you have the keeper potential!
You really dnt have Spencer Torkelson on this list at all….wow. But of course there’s Witt and Julio…smh.
Yea sir. Those Mariners are struggling a bit, but ROS I believe they have more upside with speed in the profile than Tork. Bright future for all and I would not be surprised if he rises at some point as his underlying profile is pretty strong.
Tork though has beyond more upside than many of the hitters you listed(most of the bottom 50)….from Walsh to Renfroe…..to Hunter freaking Dozier. He has a .350-360 OBP with .250 BAIP and can take a walk and not striking out a ton…..I just think Tork is already easily a top 100 hitter…especially over alot of these hitters…Seth Beer over Tork lol? Cmon man.
I like this presentation very much. Hope you continue using a comparison to “opening day”. Two guys I don’t understand.
1) Julio Rodriguez. I’ve been disappointed; but +4 implies a favorable start.
2) Jared Walsh. His platooning vs all lefties is big disappointment. Why only a small decrease.
Also would like seeing guys who dropped off the Top 100.
Thanks.
Yo Morgan Ensberg (Sorry, still can’t let it go)…
Julio has done nothing but considering how terrible he has been treated by the umpiring In the early going, I am giving him a pass. I have actually been impressed with how he has handled that adversity. His sprints speeds and hard hit rates are still strong as well. Not a right answer here but I am not yet concerned.
Walsh is in the Maddon mess and I don’t k is what to do with him. So waiting to see more on him at this point.
Love the idea on hitting a few guys that drop out each time around!
I just dumped Walsh yesterday; I don’t like daily checking if a guy is starting. So hope Madden continues mis-treating him.
Very happy with your Julio response. I invested a lot in Seattle OF — already dropped Kelenic (he must have been top 100) and would hate to also need yo drop Julio.
I shouldn’t bad mouth Walsh. If Eloy is IL-bound (likely), he is the only viable waiver guy as a replacement.
Why can’t we have nice things…
6-8 weeks on Eloy, oof!!!
Base loaded walk last night too; great discipline
Julio has hit in 7 of last 10. And the other night when he had 4 Ks over 5 ABs, the one ball he hit had Exit Vel. 110mph. And yeah, read an article elsewhere that 8 of his Ks looking had strike three outside the zone. I’m not a Mariners fan but can’t wait to see what this guy does.
Agree. I have watched some of those calls and they have been brutal.