Tommy John surgery, Dr. Freeze, Adam Wainwright.  Words you just don’t want to hear.  Okay, not Dr. Freeze as much unless you only get your news from Razzball, which I’m fine with but you may walk around calling people schmohawks and telling your girlfriend her meatloaf was kinda yawnstipating.  Rudy totally called this one! (Just a fraction too early, like 12 months.)  Obviously, this is terrible news for Wainwright owners (and kinda Wainwright himself).  If you are drafting right now, assume Wainwright will miss lots of time, if not the whole season.  I plan on moving Wainwright to the end of the top 80 starters.  I wouldn’t draft Wainwright in any league.  I also don’t believe in this, “Ooh, I’ll draft Wainwright for a dollar and sit him on my bench for a year in keepers.”  You’re using a bench spot that is critical to winning this year, which everyone should be trying to do.  Anyway, here’s some more fantasy baseball news:

Cliff Lee – Strained ab muscle.  He is like an apple.  The only thing that leaves a bad taste in your mouth is his core.  Word on the streets is he’ll be fine.  Going too high in drafts for me to take him anyway, so there’s that.

Corey Hart – Said on Monday that he played 2010 without contacts.  You’d think the Brewers could spring for some prescription sunglasses for night games.

Neftali Feliz – The Rangers are stretching him out to see if he can move into the rotation.  If it happens, he would immediately be in the top 40 starters, right behind Marcum in the tier, “I kinda love these guys.”  I’m not completely convinced it is going to happen as Ron Washington has said he likes Feliz getting the final three outs.  Also, it could be one of those shituations where Feliz looks great in the rotation and Mark Lowe is the closer for three days, gets rocked and Feliz is the closer again.  The good thing about this is if you draft Feliz, he’ll have value wherever he ends up.

Vicente Padilla – His forearm didn’t say it was a forearm before it grabbed his nerve and now his nerve has a case of entrapment.  Or something.  Grey no doctor.  Padilla does need elbow surgery, but he shouldn’t have been drafted in any leagues in the first place.  BTW, Padilla before the elbow painPadilla after the elbow pain.

Matt Kemp – Reports say he dropped 15 pounds in the offseason.  I thought Rihanna weighed at least a couple more pounds than that.

Brian Roberts – Going for X-rays on his neck.  Blech.  Do me a favor and don’t draft him.  He’s like Mr. Glass brittle.

Alfredo Simon – There’s no plan right now to exonerate Simon in manslaughter charges.  It’s Oriole profiling.  This pattern goes all the way back to Ben McDonald when he was accused of using his right hand to fondle three men’s testicles at the same time at a Sandals resort.

Francisco Liriano – Threw a bullpen session on Tuesday after complaining of some shoulder tightness last week.  I’m staying cautiously optimistic about Liriano, thinking that if you drafted him last week right after the shoulder tightness news came out you might’ve got yourself a bit of a discount.

Nick Punto – Out 8-12 weeks with a sports hernia.  Calling his hernia a ‘sports’ hernia is both a literal and figurative stretch.

  1. Buddo Chezuski says:

    Grey, someone asked a similar question yesterday but my shituation is a little different…..In a 6×6 (OPS) keeper in which I already have 2B and 3B covered with Cano and Longo, would it be crazy to draft 2 big bopper 1B (Howard and Fielder possibly) when I draft at #10 and #11 overall? I’d put the 2nd guy at CI. Feel like having OPS as a cat really favors POWER. Thoughts?

    great stuff today btw.

  2. JustMatt says:

    Second poster! My best yet. I’d like to thank Adam Wainwright. His cartilage, my family….

  3. Eddy says:

    Ha!! This entire article brought out the lawls in me.

    Nicely done, Grey.

  4. Jay says:

    Grey, what about drafting Wainwright for $1 and keeping him one of three DL slots all year and having him for $4 in 2012? That’s a no brainer to me. Probably could go a lot higher (though it’s hard to bank on pitchers performing well until 18 months after TJ).

  5. JustMatt says:

    Rudy! Rudy! Rudy!

    Can’t wait for this year’s shaky pitcher article – could another Cardinal hurler be reprising his role on the list? No wonder they’re not just handing out 10-year deals in St. Louis.

  6. NewBVick says:

    Ha, apple core. Someone get this man an Ab Slider STAT!

  7. Smokey

    Smokey says:

    Another “inverted W” guy bites the dust.

  8. wilsoniam says:

    grey, can you rank these unranked SP (for a super deeeeeep league)



  9. GopherDay says:

    No Minor League Run Review, the ace of my pitching staff needs TJ surgery, and I’m hungry. Today is not my day…

  10. Wake Up says:

    Just a guess…Rudy likes J Johnson and has T Hanson as an injury risk.

  11. Derek in Utah says:

    Was thinking about punting Catcher in my 16 mngr H2H Dynasty, but now I’m thinking I like me some Wieters.

    What do you say, Grey?

    Oh…and the Wainwright tragedy? That’s why you don’t draft SP’ers early on.

  12. NVChris says:

    Prescription sunglasses for night games (for Corey Hart)?

    GOOD, good stuff!

  13. Buddo Chezuski says:


    The first few rounds cannot be kept and the league is 3-4 years old so guys who have been high draft picks for that time frame have not been keepers and get recycled back into the player pool each year

  14. OaktownSteve

    OaktownSteve says:

    @Grey: Re: Kemp…like you, I think he’s going to be a monster this year. Would prefer he not start hitting the “best shape of my life” radar. It’s best shape of my life/x lbs of muscle/x% body fat season. Daric Barton is RIPPED according SF paper.

  15. Cain Fan says:

    I heard Pablo Sandoval lost 45 lbs of Goo. Another guy I would have liked to stay under the radar a bit longer.

  16. Van Hammersly says:

    Blech! I am taking over an already pretty crappy team (10th place last yr.) in a 12-team, H2H keeper league. Without Wainwright (who I will certainly not keep now), here are 9 of my 10 permitted keepers:

    S. Drew
    Am. Ramirez
    Cliff Lee
    Jer. Weaver

    Who should be my 10th keeper? Vernon Wells, Posada, Swisher, Red State Jeter, Hughes, Nolasco, Peavy?

    I know I could just go by Grey’s rankings, but I have the feeling he would say to weigh hitters more favorably than pitchers in this shituation. Thanks for the help!

  17. JustMatt says:

    Speaking of the offseason weight loss reports they say ARod went from 12% to 9% bodyfat – isn’t 12% a little high for a world class athlete? Might be time to lay off the popcorn…

  18. Steve says:

    And the opening day starter for the Twins is…

    … Carl Pavano.

  19. DominicanRepublican says:

    Hi Grey! Concerning the “What It Takes to Win” series, it looks like for mixed league the league averages for runs were as follows:

    10-team league: 1120
    12-team league: 998
    14-team league: 1067
    16-team league: 1040

    The obvious outlier here is the 12-team league numbers, and this trend is consistent throughout just about every other category for High, Low, and Average scores. Is this some sort of massive sample size-related error or was the data from the two articles (the first on the 12er leagues and the second on 10er/14er/16er) pulled from different populations? I’m having a hard time deciding which set to look at because you should obviously expect better numbers in a 12er than a 16er.

    Thanks again!

  20. DominicanRepublican says:

    P.S. I heard you had a draft today. How’d it go?

  21. Frank Rizzo says:

    Look forward to Rudy creating the 2011 version. So pairing Tommy Hanson and Scherzer could be extra risky business this year then? I’m guessing that is the case since they were both on the 2010 list and escaped injury. According to Rudy they’re a couple of ticking timebombs.

  22. Derek in Utah says:

    Grey, are you in any $$ leagues? If so, how many?

  23. Nuke LaLoosh says:


    I just submitted my keepers LAST NIGHT (12-team, 25-man roster, 7×6 MLB roto scoring, with OBP, SLG, and holds, up to 8 straight keepers, snake draft, I get the 6th or 7th pick each round) and the keepers were:








    What the hell am I going to do now?

  24. Howie Met Your Mother says:


    If you were in a Ladies League (Yahoo Standard 10 team w/3 OFs & no CIF/MIF slots), what round do you imagine you’d be waiting til until you draft your first pitcher?

  25. JustMatt says:

    @Jay: Maybe ARod needs to lose the 15 pounds that Kemp lost this offseason. I will not and cannot say the same for Jeter – Minka yes please!

  26. Matt B says:

    Hey Grey, looking forward to another great season.

    Keeper Question: 12 team 5×5 weekly h2h (OBP instead of AVG); Start 9 bats, 4SP, 2RP

    Which 5 to keep?
    SS H Ramirez
    3B R Zimmerman
    SP F Hernandez
    – Questions
    OF N Cruz
    1B A Dunn (1B is deep but I hate letting him go in OBP)
    2B D Uggla
    SP C Kershaw

    I also might be able to move a few of these to obtain a pick or upgrade

  27. papasmurf says:

    Yahoo projects Soto will bat 8th. Could that be true? That seems insane to me given Soto’s plate selectivity.

  28. Wade8813 says:

    Everyone’s mentioned the Wainwright injury, but you’re the only one I’ve seen mention those other injuries. Are you going to turn into my go-to-guy for injury news? Thanks for the updates!

  29. Mr. T's Schmohawk says:

    I’m in a 12 team 6×6 7 keeper league where no one keeps many pitchers. My luck with hitters the last 4 years has led me to have only pitchers for keepers. The best players for the first 2 round are pitchers. Should I keep 4 SP or sub par hitters.

    H. Bell

    Bossman JR
    A. Soriano

    I might have to keep and draft pitching than grab all cheap speed and hope to win 5 pitching categories steals and runs.

  30. KCC26 says:

    ok another wainwright keeper replacement question. my league keeps 3. i was going to keep wainwright in the 6th round in addition to pujols and youkilis. do i replace him with Choo (7th round, 10th pick) or Marcum (round 17, pick 10)?

    this is in a league where many top pitchers are kept and so the best pitchers tend to come off the board much earlier than their ADP. I had been planning on keeping wainwright and then just drafting a ton of pitching between rounds 10 and 15. thoughts?

  31. Rob says:

    Rough day…I was gonna have wainwright as one of my keepers going into 2011, but now I need to adjust. My three best options are:

    Brandon Phillips(Would cost me a 3rd Round Pick)
    Cole Hamels(6th Round Pick)
    Daniel Hudson(since I picked him up as a FA would cost me a 13th round pick)

    My other keepers are Howard(1st Round Pick from 2010), Longoria(2nd from 2009), Adrian Gonzo(5th from 2009), and Jacoby(7th from 2009)

    I’m leanin Hudson though I dont like keeping pitchers but I could get Phillips with a third round pick anyways. Deciding between Hamels and Hudson then. Any advice??

  32. papasmurf says:

    How’s Broxton looking so far? Any after effects from Torre arm abuse in July?

  33. Gregg Norton says:

    In a league that counts BB and K as a category, does Carlos Santana appeal at all to you in the 8th round, or still hold off?

  34. T-BZA says:

    Alex Gordon…off the radar completely? Or look to roster him in a 14 teamer and hope for a random 20/10?

    Thanks in advance.

  35. Giant JJ says:

    I anyone else had problems printing out the tiers? I’m only able to print out the infield tiers.

  36. Nomar Mr. Nice Guy says:

    Hey Grey how do you feel about including GIDP and Holds into a 12 person fantasy keeper league to make it a 6×6?
    I’m personally against Grounded Into Double Plays as a category, it just seems like a crapshoot stat that would overvalue speed players and leadoff hitters.
    If our manager is set on it though, would you change draft strategy (in the first few rounds) to avoid players who GIDP more frequently, or just punt that stat?

    Thanks Grey, and as always, your mustache looks great.

  37. Sabakafest says:

    12 team 6×5 (ops). I’m keeping Crawford, AGonz, Andrus, and Bruce. Best available in the draft will be ‘do you know who I am ‘ Cabrera and David Metco Wright. Which do you take?

  38. captain yesterday says:


  39. Giant JJ says:

    Thanks VinWins.

  40. Bill Lumbergh says:

    @Grey et al: Should I accept this trade offer in my 12 team roto keeper league (9×9 with holds and fielding categories)? Offer is my A-Gon, Beltre, & Marmol for his Howard & Wright. Thanks!

  41. LMack says:

    I agree. Grey’s/Rudy’s posts about their drafted teams are some of my favorite.

  42. GopherDay says:

    Ditto on your team posts. Some of my favorites.

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