Before we get into Shane Baz, feel free to comment with any rookies I haven’t covered yet, that you think might be relevant for 2022. I’m a redraft guy, first and foremost, so I won’t be covering guys who won’t be up until next year. Shizz happens, see my Sixto Sanchez fantasy from last offseason, but ideally we’re looking for redraft 2022 rookies. Okay, what I and others have said previously about Shane Baz, “The Rays decided to add some intrigue into the final two weeks of the season, calling up, Shane Baz who can touch 100 MPH. That’s miles per hour not the number of Moulin Rouges per hour you can watch when they’re on fast forward. That’s six. In Prospect Itch’s latest top 100 fantasy baseball prospects, he had Shane Baz coming in at 37th overall. As Prospector Geoff said a few years ago, “Baz is a fire-balling Texan with a varied stable of offerings. His fastball is a plus pitch featuring a velocity range between 91-98, with two plane movement. It’s a pitch he really has feel for, which is why the variance is so great with the pitch’s velocity. Baz’s pitchability and feel are truly impressive for a prep player. His ability to take something off, and reshape his pitches gives him two distinctive plus offerings in his high 80’s cutter and low-mid 80’s slider. He also features an average curveball, and a work in progress change that shows encouraging run. Baz’s talent is in good hands in the Pirates organization.” And I am laughing very loudly at that last part. Yes, the Pirates traded him to the Rays. Why? Because the Pirates know no (stutterer!) limits to their tanking.” And that’s me quoting me, Itch and Geoff! So, what can we expect from Shane Baz for 2022 fantasy baseball?

I present you:  Shane Baz off the bat, literally:

Kinda sexy. Honestly, I’m kinda interested in why the Pirates let him go. The “funny not-haha” answer is they’re cheap and anticipated him not being able to be retained, but that’s not that funny or realistic. The Pirates could’ve kept him cheap enough for a while. I don’t say this to poke at the Pirates. Like we could say, “The Pirates are dumb, that’s why they sent him away in one of the worst trades ever,” but giving them the benefit of the doubt, maybe there was something they saw that scared them on Shane Baz, because I can’t see anything to worry about, which makes me highly suspect. His command isn’t elite-elite, but it’s not far off. His “stuff,” as guys say who fill their lip with the non-wacky-backy, is sexy as all get-out. He got touched up in the postseason, but who cares? Well, besides Rays fans. That was one random game of two and a third innings.

I’m only touching on the elite redraft rookies, so I ticked off Joe Ryan, Hunter Greene and Baz so far, and I’m trying to do them in order, but I’m not sure if Baz is the Luhrmann; he might be the high man. By the way, something the Rays clearly do and understand, when prospects are ready, they’re ready. They promote guys. Sure, they don’t retain guys once they cost money, but it’s so dumb to keep a guy in the minors who can help you now. Just develop more guys for the future. Any hoo! That was a side track, but I bring it up to state Baz is now a major leaguer, so you can draft him in all leagues.

He only saw 92 total innings across three levels last year, but his MLB numbers are indicative of what he did: 12.2 K/9, 2 BB/9, 2.86 xFIP and 0.68 WHIP (!!!). So, 92 IP worries me a little. Can he throw 150 IP? That seems like a reach and, even if it’s closer to 133 IP like Trevor Rogers, Baz might start to tail off when he reaches the final 30 or so innings. So, 110 IP of Bazball, and twenty innings to mock them for not shutting him down. If the good stuff was Bazball, what do we call the stuff we mock? Hmm…oh, I know, Razzball! For 2022, I’ll give Shane Baz projections of 10-8/3.64/1.14/163 in 130 IP, and, forget 2022 rookie outlook, I might’ve just wrote my first 2022 fantasy baseball sleeper.

  1. TarmanGotHim says:
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    Hey Grey!

    Hope all is well. I can understand but at the same time is it insane that the A’s are willing to trade Matt Olson? I can’t believe it. Do you think it’ll happen? If so who do you think could get him and would the situation be better?

    Thanks !!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Think it will happen bc the A’s are cheap and they want to get something for him — do I think it should happen? No, the A’s should keep him

  2. chicitysox23 says:
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    What does your Grayson Rodriguez Fantasy look like. pause….. I mean, how do you think Grayson Rodriguez will do next year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Grayson Rodriguez has already been written, and it’s coming in next few days

  3. VinWins

    VinWins says:
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    MVP Finalists

    NL
    Bryce Harper, Juan Soto, and Fernando Tatis Jr.

    AL
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Shohei Ohtani, and Marcus Semien

    Nobody being rewarded for leading a team to the playoffs.

    Cy Young Finalists

    NL
    Burnes, Scherzer, Wheeler

    AL
    Cole, Lynn, Ray

    ROY Finalists

    NL
    Carlson, India, Trevor Rogers

    AL
    Arozarena, Franco, Garcia (one of the Luis)

    • Sport says:
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      AL, in my opinion, is Ohtani all the way. Arguing about who should be finalists and 2nd/3rd in voting is a moot point, but I was really disappointed to not see Salvy as a finalist. He was able to pull those numbers off with absolutely zero protection behind him. Like I said, I’m disappointed in him being 4th in the voting vs 3rd, but after not getting the gold glove for catchers, it feels like Salvy isn’t getting any respect.

      • VinWins

        VinWins says:
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        Yeah, I’d like Vlad to win it, but crazy to give it to anyone but Ohtani.

    • bigbear says:
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      No Mountcastle. I need to go double check stats.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      How about MIke Shildt being nominated for manager of the year and being fired?

      I’d go Tatis, Shohei, Burnes, Ray, Rogers, Randy…I think Tatis is only question mark

      • VinWins

        VinWins says:
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        Yeah, be great if Shildt won; think it will be Kapler, though.

        Cards did win 5 gold gloves. Seeing some amazing plays was definitely the highlight of the first 140 games.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, their defense is great…they ever say why Shildt was fired? The real reason?

          • VinWins

            VinWins says:
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            Nah, just philosophical differences. Or maybe psychological differences.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha gotcha

  4. Sport says:
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    Been waiting for this one and you did not disappoint! I enjoyed the read and info. Really excited to target Baz next spring. You thinking 9th/10th round in 12 team drafts?

    The first 22 sleeper! Does that mean Thursday is the first position sleeper? Or will there be sometime until you start dropping them?

    Other rookies…..
    Vidal Brujan. Will the Rays use him on a regular basis when he does come back to be relevant?
    Tristan Casas. Probably too late in the summer for a call up for consideration?
    George Kirby and Nick Lodolo. Lot of good buzz on these guys this past summer and ETA’s are early 22. I’m guessing they fall in the category of ‘rookie pitchers scare you’?

    Thanks for the fantasy sweet nectar!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, Baz looks like he’s gonna be a good one…Around 120-140 in a 12 teamer sounds about right

      Brujan, and Casas are already written up, just not posted yet…I doubt I do many more pitchers than the ones I alreadsy have written, so I don’t know on them, will consult with Itch

      • Sport says:
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        Ah, more rookie write ups to come then. I thought maybe you were done. I can’t wait to see the others.

        Franmil Reyes still a target after your sleeper post from last year? Looks like in early ADP’s he is around 118. You think he’s way ahead of that?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I love Franmil…I think people know his goodness by now, no?

          • Sport says:
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            I have documented three ‘expert’ early mocks. Reyes has not been drafted in the top 120 in any of them. Fantrax early ADP’s have him 118. Think he repeats about the same numbers?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              That’s crazy, yeah, Franmil is a top 80 pick

              • Sport says:
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                I might move Civale for Reyes then in a 14 team dynasty then. We bat 5 OF and mine currently is Charlie Blackmon, Castellanos, Starling Marte, Kyle Schwarber, and Andrew Vaughn. I knew I was getting a little long in the tooth and was able to get Vaughn for cheap.

                Reyes seems like a good upgrade over Reyes!

                • Sport says:
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                  Reyes good upgrade over Blackmon.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Oh, yeah, Blackmon… I like Reyes so that’s good

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  “Reyes seems like a good upgrade over Reyes”?

  5. Chingon43 says:
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    Grey,
    next years draft in our league will be fun. expecially int he first round (we all keep 10 guys in this 12 team keeper leaguer) some of the FA include – Gausman, Severino, Kershaw, Baz, Castillo, Trevor Rogers, and Gallen. I have the #1 pick. Out of all those SP’s who would you draft and in what order?
    IMO lots of question marks on Gausman – 1 year wonder? where does he sign? Kershaw, do for TJ. Severino, hasnt pitched enough in 2 years. Castillo, which castillo will show up in 2022?
    Any who, youre the man. I’d love to hear from you.

    thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Gausman, Rogers,, Castillo, Severino, Baz — prolly would let someone go for Severino unless he fell

      Worried about Kershaw in general

  6. NUX says:
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    Jose Barrero, Nick Pratto, Reid Detmers, Roansy Contreras, Diego Castillo (PIT), Jose Siri, Jarren Duran

    Does the fact that Jorge Mateo have 220 ABs mean he doesn’t qualify for these posts? I feel like he will be a great sneaky speed option for 2022.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Detmers and Roansy are already written…Mateo had too many at-bats…

      Duran is out due to his 2021…Barrero and Pratto are interesting, is Barrero a rookie still? Maybe I’ll do both of those

    • Barrero is a guy I am very high on. Hope the Reds give him a shot and with only Farmer in his way could see it happening. Nice looking player

  7. UkraineGameToYou says:
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    Need a shoutout about Shane Baz’s dad and how yolked he is! Would rather face a 97 MPH Baz fastball than his dad in a back alley

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, he is so yolked!

  8. The Original Whatever says:
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    Are we excited for Seiya Suzuki?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, I am, he didn’t sign yet did he?

      • The Original Whatever says:
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        So supposedly the Carp will be posting him after the Nippon Baseball Championship ends. It got delayed due to the Olympics. Then teams have 30 days to negotiate with him. I have the first pick in my minor league draft and I am keeping my fingers crossed.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, nice…Yeah, I’d go after him with a first pick

  9. Baz is filthy period. Has the stuff to dominate and probably will. But the thing in the back of my mind is the team he pitches for. Torn as to weather or not their usage of the kid will hinder or help his production. Will he be looked at as an opener, or a tag to the opener, traditional starter? Overall, should be a solid contributor and on the fast track. Good stuff Grey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! They used McClanahan without any problems, and others (Yarbrough, Patino, Rasmussen, etc)…I think it’s fine, they’ll let Baz start, and even if he comes in for innings 2-6, it’s fine for Wins and IP

      • Smitty says:
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        true they do seem to get quality IP out of their never ending piching depth, thanks brother

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, of course!

  10. Jolt In Flow says:
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    Grey! I hope EWB didn’t burn the house down while you and DT were away.

    Auction question. The usual $130 budget, total 12 team – 14 offence, 9 pitchers.

    What’s the highest you’d be willing to pay? Roughly (I don’t want competitors of yours using this to their advantage against you).

    Thanks as always Grey.

    Jolt

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, don’t think so at least…usual budget is $260 not $130…usually don’t spend more than $30 so I guess $15?

  11. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey! Does anyone recall the website where you can look at a player’s hits if made in another park? Asking for Matt Olson haha….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Can the Yanks put Matt Olson at 2nd base please?

  12. don’t tell anyone but i have baz > mcclanahan on a per-inning basis, and tbh maybe full season, but innings volume concerns me

    to answer your not funny-haha question, i think PIT simply didn’t know how to fix baz’s mechanics to get his control under, uh, control. then TBR was like, only throw from the stretch. and… voila. i mean, just a master class in organizational putridity over there in pittsburgh

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Re: baz > mcclanahan *laughs evilly for like ten minutes then a jack nicholson GIF nod of yes*

      Re: Pirates: interesting, that makes them very inept which I guess checks out but is even sadder than I expected

  13. Roll Tribe says:
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    Grey!
    Need your expertise please. Wanna get a 2nd opinion…
    10 Team, $300, 3 Keeper
    $1: $4: $7: $10:
    K. Ruiz. J. Winker F. Reyes. T. Mahle
    T. France. J. Walsh C. Bassitt
    C. Mullins S. Alcantara
    S. Baz M. Olson
    A. Manoah
    S. McClanahan
    J.Ryan

    • Roll Tribe says:
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      Sorry for the jumble…
      All $1: K. Ruiz, T. France, C. Mullins, S. Baz, A. Manoah, S. McClanahan, J. Ryan
      Also considering for $4: J. Winker, J. Walsh

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Mullins, Sandy, Olson…can’t go wrong with quite a few others

  14. Geronimo Pena says:
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    Think Jeremy Pena will be relevant? Shortstop too deep?

  15. Baller McCheese says:
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    Shane Baz was the #8 ranked SP by $/game on the RazzBall Player Rater. Basing my calculation off that, I fully expect the Baz-Manian Devil(TM) to bring his Baz-mania to the entire nation.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, nice!

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