Before we get into Shane Baz, feel free to comment with any rookies I haven’t covered yet, that you think might be relevant for 2022. I’m a redraft guy, first and foremost, so I won’t be covering guys who won’t be up until next year. Shizz happens, see my Sixto Sanchez fantasy from last offseason, but ideally we’re looking for redraft 2022 rookies. Okay, what I and others have said previously about Shane Baz, “The Rays decided to add some intrigue into the final two weeks of the season, calling up, Shane Baz who can touch 100 MPH. That’s miles per hour not the number of Moulin Rouges per hour you can watch when they’re on fast forward. That’s six. In Prospect Itch’s latest top 100 fantasy baseball prospects, he had Shane Baz coming in at 37th overall. As Prospector Geoff said a few years ago, “Baz is a fire-balling Texan with a varied stable of offerings. His fastball is a plus pitch featuring a velocity range between 91-98, with two plane movement. It’s a pitch he really has feel for, which is why the variance is so great with the pitch’s velocity. Baz’s pitchability and feel are truly impressive for a prep player. His ability to take something off, and reshape his pitches gives him two distinctive plus offerings in his high 80’s cutter and low-mid 80’s slider. He also features an average curveball, and a work in progress change that shows encouraging run. Baz’s talent is in good hands in the Pirates organization.” And I am laughing very loudly at that last part. Yes, the Pirates traded him to the Rays. Why? Because the Pirates know no (stutterer!) limits to their tanking.” And that’s me quoting me, Itch and Geoff! So, what can we expect from Shane Baz for 2022 fantasy baseball?

I present you:  Shane Baz off the bat, literally:

Kinda sexy. Honestly, I’m kinda interested in why the Pirates let him go. The “funny not-haha” answer is they’re cheap and anticipated him not being able to be retained, but that’s not that funny or realistic. The Pirates could’ve kept him cheap enough for a while. I don’t say this to poke at the Pirates. Like we could say, “The Pirates are dumb, that’s why they sent him away in one of the worst trades ever,” but giving them the benefit of the doubt, maybe there was something they saw that scared them on Shane Baz, because I can’t see anything to worry about, which makes me highly suspect. His command isn’t elite-elite, but it’s not far off. His “stuff,” as guys say who fill their lip with the non-wacky-backy, is sexy as all get-out. He got touched up in the postseason, but who cares? Well, besides Rays fans. That was one random game of two and a third innings.

I’m only touching on the elite redraft rookies, so I ticked off Joe Ryan, Hunter Greene and Baz so far, and I’m trying to do them in order, but I’m not sure if Baz is the Luhrmann; he might be the high man. By the way, something the Rays clearly do and understand, when prospects are ready, they’re ready. They promote guys. Sure, they don’t retain guys once they cost money, but it’s so dumb to keep a guy in the minors who can help you now. Just develop more guys for the future. Any hoo! That was a side track, but I bring it up to state Baz is now a major leaguer, so you can draft him in all leagues.

He only saw 92 total innings across three levels last year, but his MLB numbers are indicative of what he did: 12.2 K/9, 2 BB/9, 2.86 xFIP and 0.68 WHIP (!!!). So, 92 IP worries me a little. Can he throw 150 IP? That seems like a reach and, even if it’s closer to 133 IP like Trevor Rogers, Baz might start to tail off when he reaches the final 30 or so innings. So, 110 IP of Bazball, and twenty innings to mock them for not shutting him down. If the good stuff was Bazball, what do we call the stuff we mock? Hmm…oh, I know, Razzball! For 2022, I’ll give Shane Baz projections of 10-8/3.64/1.14/163 in 130 IP, and, forget 2022 rookie outlook, I might’ve just wrote my first 2022 fantasy baseball sleeper.

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Baller McCheese
Baller McCheese
7 months ago

Shane Baz was the #8 ranked SP by $/game on the RazzBall Player Rater. Basing my calculation off that, I fully expect the Baz-Manian Devil(TM) to bring his Baz-mania to the entire nation.

Geronimo Pena
Geronimo Pena
7 months ago

Think Jeremy Pena will be relevant? Shortstop too deep?

Roll Tribe
Roll Tribe
7 months ago

Grey!
Need your expertise please. Wanna get a 2nd opinion…
10 Team, $300, 3 Keeper
$1: $4: $7: $10:
K. Ruiz. J. Winker F. Reyes. T. Mahle
T. France. J. Walsh C. Bassitt
C. Mullins S. Alcantara
S. Baz M. Olson
A. Manoah
S. McClanahan
J.Ryan

Roll Tribe
Roll Tribe
Reply to  Roll Tribe
7 months ago

Sorry for the jumble…
All $1: K. Ruiz, T. France, C. Mullins, S. Baz, A. Manoah, S. McClanahan, J. Ryan
Also considering for $4: J. Winker, J. Walsh

alex chamberlain
7 months ago

don’t tell anyone but i have baz > mcclanahan on a per-inning basis, and tbh maybe full season, but innings volume concerns me

to answer your not funny-haha question, i think PIT simply didn’t know how to fix baz’s mechanics to get his control under, uh, control. then TBR was like, only throw from the stretch. and… voila. i mean, just a master class in organizational putridity over there in pittsburgh

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
7 months ago

Hey! Does anyone recall the website where you can look at a player’s hits if made in another park? Asking for Matt Olson haha….

Jolt In Flow
Jolt In Flow
7 months ago

Grey! I hope EWB didn’t burn the house down while you and DT were away.

Auction question. The usual $130 budget, total 12 team – 14 offence, 9 pitchers.

What’s the highest you’d be willing to pay? Roughly (I don’t want competitors of yours using this to their advantage against you).

Thanks as always Grey.

Jolt

Smitty
7 months ago

Baz is filthy period. Has the stuff to dominate and probably will. But the thing in the back of my mind is the team he pitches for. Torn as to weather or not their usage of the kid will hinder or help his production. Will he be looked at as an opener, or a tag to the opener, traditional starter? Overall, should be a solid contributor and on the fast track. Good stuff Grey

Smitty
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

true they do seem to get quality IP out of their never ending piching depth, thanks brother

The Original Whatever
The Original Whatever
7 months ago

Are we excited for Seiya Suzuki?

The Original Whatever
The Original Whatever
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

So supposedly the Carp will be posting him after the Nippon Baseball Championship ends. It got delayed due to the Olympics. Then teams have 30 days to negotiate with him. I have the first pick in my minor league draft and I am keeping my fingers crossed.

UkraineGameToYou
UkraineGameToYou
7 months ago

Need a shoutout about Shane Baz’s dad and how yolked he is! Would rather face a 97 MPH Baz fastball than his dad in a back alley

NUX
NUX
7 months ago

Jose Barrero, Nick Pratto, Reid Detmers, Roansy Contreras, Diego Castillo (PIT), Jose Siri, Jarren Duran

Does the fact that Jorge Mateo have 220 ABs mean he doesn’t qualify for these posts? I feel like he will be a great sneaky speed option for 2022.

Smitty
Reply to  NUX
7 months ago

Barrero is a guy I am very high on. Hope the Reds give him a shot and with only Farmer in his way could see it happening. Nice looking player

Chingon43
Chingon43
7 months ago

Grey,
next years draft in our league will be fun. expecially int he first round (we all keep 10 guys in this 12 team keeper leaguer) some of the FA include – Gausman, Severino, Kershaw, Baz, Castillo, Trevor Rogers, and Gallen. I have the #1 pick. Out of all those SP’s who would you draft and in what order?
IMO lots of question marks on Gausman – 1 year wonder? where does he sign? Kershaw, do for TJ. Severino, hasnt pitched enough in 2 years. Castillo, which castillo will show up in 2022?
Any who, youre the man. I’d love to hear from you.

thanks!

Sport
Sport
7 months ago

Been waiting for this one and you did not disappoint! I enjoyed the read and info. Really excited to target Baz next spring. You thinking 9th/10th round in 12 team drafts?

The first 22 sleeper! Does that mean Thursday is the first position sleeper? Or will there be sometime until you start dropping them?

Other rookies…..
Vidal Brujan. Will the Rays use him on a regular basis when he does come back to be relevant?
Tristan Casas. Probably too late in the summer for a call up for consideration?
George Kirby and Nick Lodolo. Lot of good buzz on these guys this past summer and ETA’s are early 22. I’m guessing they fall in the category of ‘rookie pitchers scare you’?

Thanks for the fantasy sweet nectar!

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

Ah, more rookie write ups to come then. I thought maybe you were done. I can’t wait to see the others.

Franmil Reyes still a target after your sleeper post from last year? Looks like in early ADP’s he is around 118. You think he’s way ahead of that?

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

I have documented three ‘expert’ early mocks. Reyes has not been drafted in the top 120 in any of them. Fantrax early ADP’s have him 118. Think he repeats about the same numbers?

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

I might move Civale for Reyes then in a 14 team dynasty then. We bat 5 OF and mine currently is Charlie Blackmon, Castellanos, Starling Marte, Kyle Schwarber, and Andrew Vaughn. I knew I was getting a little long in the tooth and was able to get Vaughn for cheap.

Reyes seems like a good upgrade over Reyes!

Sport
Sport
Reply to  Sport
7 months ago

Reyes good upgrade over Blackmon.

VinWins
VinWins
7 months ago

MVP Finalists

NL
Bryce Harper, Juan Soto, and Fernando Tatis Jr.

AL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr, Shohei Ohtani, and Marcus Semien

Nobody being rewarded for leading a team to the playoffs.

Cy Young Finalists

NL
Burnes, Scherzer, Wheeler

AL
Cole, Lynn, Ray

ROY Finalists

NL
Carlson, India, Trevor Rogers

AL
Arozarena, Franco, Garcia (one of the Luis)

Sport
Sport
Reply to  VinWins
7 months ago

AL, in my opinion, is Ohtani all the way. Arguing about who should be finalists and 2nd/3rd in voting is a moot point, but I was really disappointed to not see Salvy as a finalist. He was able to pull those numbers off with absolutely zero protection behind him. Like I said, I’m disappointed in him being 4th in the voting vs 3rd, but after not getting the gold glove for catchers, it feels like Salvy isn’t getting any respect.

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Sport
7 months ago

Yeah, I’d like Vlad to win it, but crazy to give it to anyone but Ohtani.

bigbear
bigbear
Reply to  VinWins
7 months ago

No Mountcastle. I need to go double check stats.

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

Yeah, be great if Shildt won; think it will be Kapler, though.

Cards did win 5 gold gloves. Seeing some amazing plays was definitely the highlight of the first 140 games.

VinWins
VinWins
Reply to  Grey
7 months ago

Nah, just philosophical differences. Or maybe psychological differences.

chicitysox23
chicitysox23
7 months ago

What does your Grayson Rodriguez Fantasy look like. pause….. I mean, how do you think Grayson Rodriguez will do next year.

TarmanGotHim
TarmanGotHim
7 months ago

Hey Grey!

Hope all is well. I can understand but at the same time is it insane that the A’s are willing to trade Matt Olson? I can’t believe it. Do you think it’ll happen? If so who do you think could get him and would the situation be better?

Thanks !!