The tinkering is finished for tonight.

At this point in my highway hypnosis of staring at a spreadsheet for two weeks, I’m just hoping to park the car safely.

I’d love to discuss the work with you all, so drop a thought in the comments if that appeals to you.

The only real guide I’d offer to reading these rankings is the top group is fluid. The big two of Julio Rodriguez and Bobby Witt Jr. have built their own little neighborhood. Both should have played in the majors this year. Julio is flat out embarrassing AA pitchers. I maintain my stance that Jerry Dipoto chose foolishly when he decided to push Jarred Kelenic and slam the breaks on Rodriguez, a choice he apparently made sometime back in February and never once revisited throughout the season.

After the top two, there’s not much distance between CJ Abrams at #3 and Adley Rutschman at #8, a group that’s built in part by the injuries to Abrams and Carroll and the tanking of Baltimore, Chicago and Detroit. Can make a pretty strong case that all the healthy players in the elite eight earned a shot at major league pitching this year, but that’s baseball these days. Let’s get romantic about the rest of the list!

Rank Player Position Age 4/1/21 Team ETA
1 Julio Rodriguez OF 20 SEA 2022
2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS 20 KC 2022
3 CJ Abrams SS 20 SD 2022
4 Spencer Torkelson 1B 21 DET 2022
5 Corbin Carroll OF 20 ARI 2023
6 Riley Greene OF 20 DET 2022
7 Brennen Davis OF 21 CHC 2022
8 Adley Rutschman C 23 BAL 2022
9 Vidal Brujan 2B 23 TB 2021
10 Luis Matos OF 19 SF 2022
11 Marco Luciano SS 19 SF 2023
12 Noelvi Marte SS 19 SEA 2022
13 Jose Miranda 3B 23 MIN 2022
14 Triston Casas 3B 21 BOS 2022
15 Francisco Alvarez C 19 NYM 2023
16 Gabriel Moreno C 21 TOR 2022
17 Grayson Rodriguez RHP 21 BAL 2022
18 Hedbert Perez OF 19 MIL 2024
19 Josh Jung 3B 23 TEX 2022
20 Orelvis Martinez 3B 19 TOR 2023
21 Hunter Greene RHP 21 CIN 2022
22 Nick Pratto 1B 22 KC 2022
23 Jordan Walker 3B 18 STL 2024
24 Nick Gonzales 2B 21 PIT 2022
25 Jarren Duran OF 24 BOS 2021
26 Miguel Vargas 3B 21 LAD 2022
27 Zac Veen OF 19 COL 2025
28 Jasson Dominguez OF 18 NYY 2025
29 Eddys Leonard SS 20 LAD 2024
30 Jose Barrero SS 23 CIN 2020
31 Anthony Volpe SS 20 NYY 2023
32 Robert Hassell III OF 19 SD 2024
33 Dustin Harris 3B 21 TEX 2022
34 Nick Yorke 2B 18 BOS 2023
35 Henry Davis C 21 PIT 2023
36 Everson Pereira OF 19 NYY 2023
37 Shane Baz RHP 21 TB 2022
38 Joe Ryan RHP 24 MIN 2021
39 Reid Detmers LHP 21 LAA 2022
40 George Kirby RHP 23 SEA 2022
41 Pedro Leon SS/OF 22 HOU 2022
42 Keibert Ruiz C 22 WAS 2020
43 Oneil Cruz SS 22 PIT 2021
44 Greg Jones SS 23 TB 2023
45 Oswald Peraza SS 20 NYY 2022
46 Kahlil Watson SS 17 MIA 2025
47 MJ Melendez OF,C 22 KC 2022
48 Diego Cartaya C 19 LAD 2025
49 Mark Vientos SS 21 NYM 2023
50 Brett Baty 3B 21 NYM 2022
51 Brayan Rocchio SS 20 CLE 2022
52 Cade Cavalli RHP 22 WSH 2022
53 Nolan Gorman 3B 21 STL 2022
54 Nick Lodolo LHP 23 CIN 2021
55 Gunnar Henderson SS 19 BAL 2023
56 Liover Peguero SS 20 PIT 2022
57 Tyler Soderstrom C/OF 19 OAK 2023
58 Jack Leiter RHP 20 TEX 2022
59 Heriberto Hernandez OF 21 TB 2022
60 Marcelo Mayer SS 18 BOS 2025
61 Eury Perez RHP 18 MIA 2023
62 Brady House 3B 17 WAS 2024
63 Jairo Pomares OF 20 SF 2023
64 MacKenzie Gore LHP 22 SD 2022
65 Ronny Mauricio SS 20 NYM 2023
66 Max Meyer RHP 22 MIA 2022
67 Edward Cabrera RHP 22 MIA 2021
68 Andy Pages OF 20 LAD 2023
69 Bryan De La Cruz OF 24 MIA 2021
70 Royce Lewis SS 21 MIN 2022
71 George Valera OF 20 CLE 2023
72 Sal Frelick OF 20 MIL 2023
73 Jake Meyers OF 24 HOU 2021
74 Reggie Preciado SS 17 CHC 2024
75 Colton Cowser OF 20 BAL 2023
76 Jose Ramos OF 20 LAD 2023
77 Matthew Fraizer OF 22 PIT 2023
78 Aeverson Arteaga SS 18 SF 2024
79 Kevin Alcantara OF 18 CHC 2023
80 Jose Rodriguez SS 19 CHW 2023
81 Roansy Contreras RHP 21 PIT 2022
82 Kristian Robinson OF 20 ARI 2024
83 Diego Castillo 2B 23 PIT 2022
84 Joey Wiemer OF 22 MIL 2023
85 Wilman Diaz SS 17 LAD 2025
86 Jake Eder LHP 22 MIA 2022
87 Jonathan Aranda 2B 22 TB 2022
88 Cody Morris RHP 24 CLE 2022
89 Peyton Battenfield RHP 23 CLE 2023
90 Luis Campusano C 22 SD 2020
91 Michael Harris II OF 20 ATL 2023
92 Alek Thomas OF 20 ARI 2022
93 Kyren Paris SS 19 LAA 2023
94 Bubba Thompson OF 22 TEX 2022
95 Garrett Mitchell OF 22 MIL 2023
96 Gilberto Jimenez OF 20 BOS 2023
97 Landon Knack RHP 23 LAD 2022
98 Jayden Murray RHP 23 TB 2022
99 Josh Lowe OF 23 TB 2021
100 Asa Lacy LHP 21 KC 2022

Thanks for reading!

I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter.

44 Comments
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Question
Question
9 months ago

I stashed a bunch of guys in the last couple weeks: Josh Lowe, MJ Melendez, Andres Munoz, Simeon Woods Richardson, Oswald Peraza, plus I have Andres Gimenez, Alejandro Kirk, Leody Tavares, and Huascar Ynoa. Who are likely to be my trade candidates next March? Who should I hang onto?

goodfold2
goodfold2
9 months ago

everson periera, that’s quite a move up (pretty sure nothing till now 36), can’t remember you talking about him much.

goodfold2
goodfold2
Reply to  goodfold2
9 months ago

also what’s up with the m.harris and gilberto falls?

goodfold2
goodfold2
Reply to  The Itch
9 months ago

was lately able to drop harris and x.edwards (hasn’t seen top 100 in a while, harris falling fast lately here) for eddys L and e.periera just now. 13 teamer 50 max rosters active, a league that got moved to fantrax from yahoo and i upped the rosters to 50 and since some previous owners ignored prospects stash slots i had a slow draft that is all the way up to round 15 (many are filled by now, but many weren’t earlier), it’s gotten VERY slow moving since probably july, but lots of missed picks (me too, had no picks since round 11, just used up 12-13 on these 2). kept gilberto though (OF’ers not owned above list are scarce, far more SS’s but i also have already a lot of those too)

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
9 months ago

I know you have always been lower on Jordan groshas than most everyone else. But hes not even ranked in the top 100.. How come so low on him now? He’s not even top 100?

goodfold2
goodfold2
Reply to  Harley Earl
9 months ago

hasn’t had him in all the last few top 100’s

NUX
NUX
9 months ago

Hey man!
Long time, no chitty chat. Hope all is well.
Thx for the list, as always.

I just posed this same question to G on today’s article…

Can I score a Jose Suarez take? Just grabbed him in a deeper dynasty for free. Idea being, I’m just gonna ride out the rest of Sept and see how his next few starts go. He’ll still be Minors eligible for my league if he doesn’t hit 200 Career IPs (he has 166 at the moment). So could be a decent trade candidate over the winter.

Thoughts?

scoboticus
scoboticus
9 months ago

Thanks Itch!
Who has more reliable power? Bobby Dalbec or Triston Casas?

NCPhilly
NCPhilly
9 months ago

I’m in a keeper league where I can keep 3 minor leaguers. I think it is three, might be 2. I have C.J. Abrams, Luis Matos, Marco Luciano, and Noelvi Marte, so it will be an interesting decision time this offseason.

Scratch
Scratch
Reply to  NCPhilly
9 months ago

If your league values speed then you need to keep Abrams. If it was me I’d keep Luciano for his plus plus power, and Abrams for his plus plus speed. I think that all four will hit.

American Troutfisher
American Troutfisher
9 months ago

Jhonkensy Noel? Vinnie Pasquantino? Whereabouts would you say?

American Troutfisher
American Troutfisher
Reply to  The Itch
9 months ago

Thanks for the thoughtful reply!

junior56
junior56
9 months ago

Great List Itch!

Where would you slot Bobby Miller? Would he be in the top 150?

Also I need an OF for the playoffs Was offered Teoscar for Kelenic and Miranda. Would you pull the
trigger on that deal?

Jose
Jose
9 months ago

Austin Martin?

Kcc26
Kcc26
9 months ago

General strategy question. Playing Ottoneu—this year was the league’s first year. I had a few tough injuries and made the early decision to sell and get some cheap young guys. I acquired guys like: $3 Mullins, $3 Bryan Reynolds, $11 teoscar Hernandez, $16 sandy alcantara, $2 houck, $1 cj Abrams and more.

Also have hoarded every available top prospect (Carroll, Mitchell, hassell, Volpe, alek Thomas, orelvis, nick gonzalez, joe Ryan, Yorke, mayer, Francisco alvarez, matos, Moreno) in addition to already owning wander, brujan and Brennan Davis pre-sale. So— where do I go from here? How many prospects can I reasonably hold going into next year with a 40 man roster? My guess is: try to identify when my competitive window will re-open and make moves to win then (2023 perhaps)?

I know that was a lot! Thanks

Kcc26
Kcc26
Reply to  The Itch
9 months ago

Thanks! Looking forward to the offseason!

dude
dude
9 months ago

In my keeper league I have been in rebuild mode and am middleof pack this year with a good shot to compete next year. Who do you see being up early and contributing the most from my young guys?

Leon, Duran, Tork, Miranda, J. Lowe

Philip
Philip
9 months ago

Love the list, Itch. I’ll be using this until next March.

Another Volpe question. He had one of the best seasons in all of minor league baseball this year, demonstrating strong skills in all facets of the game.

He’s six months older than Noelvi Marte, and Marco Luciano and outperformed them both, and not by a little bit.

Why are they so much higher on the list? Historical opinions? Is Volpe maxing out his tools while the international guys are just tapping into theirs?

Also, will Pedro Leon become a better fantasy player than Jose Barrero?

Thanks, homey!

dude
dude
9 months ago

Josh Lowe – Power/Speed profile, with high BB rate and K rate in 20’s. On the surface looks like top level production, but the lower ranking has me wondering if there are some holes in his game?

Steve
Steve
9 months ago

A few questions

Why so low on 2021 high school draftees?

Volpe at 31 seems low

Luciano has been AWFUL at high A. Surprised he hasn’t fallen further. How concerned are you with him?

Thanks!

Steve
Steve
Reply to  The Itch
9 months ago

Sorry, marcelo Mayer and Jordan Lawler were the high schoolers. Not even sure you had Lawler on your list. MLB.com has Mayer in its top 10.

Player X
Player X
9 months ago

Great job with the posts. One of the best parts of Sunday mornings. What do you envision a peak Noelvi Marte season being, something like Starling Marte with a little more power and less speed?

Jones
Jones
9 months ago

I have to drop one of Joe Gray Jr. or Wiemer. the latter is performing better but Gray has the steals. obviously you ranked one and not the other, do you think it’s close though or not so much? thx

Ray
Ray
9 months ago

Great job with the rankings, Itch.
Love the rankings for Vargas and Pages.
Quite amazing the number of Dodgers on this list. Not complaining as I am a Dodgers fan. Just proves that the Dodgers player dev is 2nd to none.
Is Bryan de la Cruz the OF on Miami?

Ray

toolshed
toolshed
9 months ago

I’ve seen Hassell with a lot of helium on some rankings. I am more comfortable with your ranking. Is it simply because of the power? Wilman diaz has tumbled from where you had him before. I haven’t heard much about him. I do know the LAD system is rich and he is in a good spot to develop. Is his slide more due to proximity or was it performance related / do you have other concerns? I remember hearing that he was highly sought after as a guy to get this year. Thanks