If you got into football a little early (shame on you) and stopped paying attention to baseball, you probably missed out on what Salvador Perez did. He got 158 plate appearances for the Royals down the stretch and hit .331/.361/.473 with three HRs.

Of course that is a slightly limited sample, he had a .362 BABIP and won’t be 22 until May – all red flags.

So, why do I, Albert Lang, like him? Well, he had tremendous success in the minors last season: .290/.331/.437 across AA and AAA. He is also a contact machine that doesn’t strike out a ton, which is fine if you hit the ball well (hello, BABIP). Perez had a 29.2% line drive and 41.5% ground ball rate last year. He hit few fly balls and even fewer (7.9%) left the park. He also wasn’t blown away at the plate: 8% swinging strike rate.

Even if the BABIP comes back to hover around .300, he should bat .290. In addition, he should smack 8 – 12 HRs, score 50 runs and knock in 60. You know what Yadier Molina will do? He’ll bat .280 with 10-15 HRs, 50 runs and 65 RBIs. Molina is safer, but where’s the fun/value in that, you ninny?

According to Mock Draft Central, Molina is the 179th player and 10th catcher off the board. Perez is the 347th player and 26th catcher off the board. According to Fleaflicker, he’s ranked 352nd overall.  All and all, I’d much rather have Perez at that price.

Mostly, I’m just trying to be a company man and reinforce the reasoning behind Grey’s ranking of Perez over Molina.

 
  1. Albert Lang

    Albert says:
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    An additional question: Perez v Wilson Ramos in a dynasty league…your thoughts?

  2. MH says:
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    ….Did you just call me a “ninny”? I haven’t been called a “ninny” since the Beatles all had the exact same hair, and I wasn’t even alive when the Beatles had the exact same hair!

  3. TheNewGuy says:
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    In a dynasty both C’s seem like similar guys to me, solid averages and developing pop.

    10 team keeper, got Morse and can keep him for 1 yr ($6) or 2 yrs ($9). Which do you likey? Any risk he might fall back down to earth, or is he legit.

    Also is an OBP league and I know he ain’t up there to walk, but wanna be sure his AVG keeps his OBP above the mean .340 mark.

  4. The Truth says:
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    Great write up, he was a sleeper on my board for sure.

    @thenewguy …. “which do you likey?” … really? Likey? are you 10?

  5. Alex says:
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    So what you’re saying is…good, sneaky lower tier catcher who will cost me very little and compare favorably to the back end of the top 10/12?

    If so, I like the words you speak.

  6. Blue says:
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    Lucroy or Perez? I have Jesus Montero but i’m waiting for him to get his eligibility.
    (5×5 OBP H2H 16 team ESPN league)

  7. A2K says:
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    The Persistence of Perez

  8. TheNewGuy says:
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    Thanks man for answering my question earlier. And yes The Truth I do like the word likey :)

    Seeing as not many are taking advantage of your free advice atm, I’ve got one more keeper question for you Al. Same sorta question only with Gio Gonzalez this time, can keep him for 1yr ($8) or 2yrs ($11). Now I love Gio and his K potential, and do wanna keep him long term, the only thing is his walks keeping his WHIP high. Do you think he can cut the walks down to a reasonable level over time (like Moore, Kershaw etc, maybe not to same extent) did last year, and is there any stats that us fantasy players might be able to use to determine future improvements in control?

    Or am I overemphasizing the walks for a young pitcher, and they should go down as he matures.

    How many years would you go with?

  9. EliManningAids says:
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    I’d like to hear your thoughts (and others) on when folks become so overrated they are underrated. For instance, I wouldn’t touch Melky, Francouer, Hellickson, Dee Gordon, Fister, etc etc with a ten foot pole based on last year. The thing is, neither would my leaguemates since we are all pretty sophisticated ‘ballers (I don’t add fantasy before that, bc that would be geigh).

    I’m pretty sharp on the bouncebacks and breakouts, but tend to miss on these folks who we all know won’t repeat, but should still be owned at some point because even at 80% of their value from their previous year they need to be drafted.

    • @EliManningAids, I think the rule of thumb is to look at your 80% projections or so and see where similar players go in drafts, and that’s when you snipe them.

      Melky wont have the power he did last year, but could he go 10-20? absolutely and probably score a good bit of runs.

      It’s hard to trust the steals with Francoeur, but his manager sure seems to like to run him, so those could be there.

      Hellickson is due for a big regression, but most people factor that into their rankings (I know both Grey and I do), so see where folks you trust rank that kind of player.

      Gordon is just a lottery chip for late in drafts, could get 5 steals and bat .220, could bat .260 with 50 steals, no real way of knowing.

      Fister better pray that Miggy isnt playing third….

      Does that help?

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