We have another week’s worth of draft data (eight more leagues) to work with and about two weeks left of the Razzball Commenters League draft season.  We have plenty of spots to fill, including a league drafting THURSDAY NIGHT @10 PM ET, click the link to join and draft tonight!  We have a couple of money leagues with spots to fill this weekend as well.  Go get that money (some of which might be mine if we need more managers come draft time)! The sign-up sheet is linked at the end of this article, just scroll down and you’ll see all the open leagues.  While you’re here, we can dive into our RCL ADP and see what Razzball Commenters are drafting so far; handy info for these upcoming drafts.


This week we’re going to look at Razzball’s favorite SAGNOF specialists and where you can draft some late steals and saves.  For steals, we’ll take a look at every player that Grey has projected for more than 20 SBs.  For Saves, I’ll just grab as many closers and potential closers as I can think of.  If I miss a name, feel free to open up the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure.  I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts.  You can also just copy out the data to your own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy.  Enjoy and deity of choice speed.


We’ve got RCL ADP!  Here’s a list from our 15 league sample of some players whose ADPs I was curious about and some general notes.

Cedric Mullins 35 40.2 28 58
Julio Rodriguez 33 4.27 1 6
Jake McCarthy 33 101.53 62 128
Esteury Ruiz 32 222.4 131 300
CJ Abrams 31 196.47 132 281
Trea Turner 30 3.87 1 7
Ronald Acuna Jr. 30 3.07 1 6
Randy Arozarena 30 36.33 26 45
Corbin Carroll 27 50.53 41 64
Adalberto Mondesi 27 240 157 297
Tommy Edman 26 74.2 52 89
Myles Straw 26 N/A N/A N/A
Michael Harris II 25 30.47 25 42
Bobby Witt Jr. 24 17.27 11 23
Adolis Garcia 24 50.8 40 59
Vaughn Grissom 24 133.27 78 165
Nico Hoerner 24 177.47 125 209
Andres Gimenez 23 78.2 59 97
Thairo Estrada 23 192.53 161 224
Dylan Moore 23 295.07 226 300
Jose Ramirez 22 3.67 1 5
Marcus Semien 22 26.67 21 32
Ke’Bryan Hayes 22 177.33 111 206
Jorge Mateo 21 297.53 263 300
Jon Berti 21 277.8 229 300
Kyle Tucker 20 7.93 6 9
Starling Marte 20 89.13 54 104
Amed Rosario 20 146.93 101 169

I am VERY curious about what 2023 holds for us in terms of steals.  Limited pickoffs, pitch clock, bigger first base…we could have a dozen players going full Ricky Henderson.  This list has grown significantly, last season Grey only had 19 players projected for more than 20 steals.

Jake McCarthy is my favorite target of this bunch.  I’m on record saying I think he could lead the NL in steals and I’ve been trying to nab him wherever I can.  I would love some Corbin Carroll action as well, but I haven’t been able to land him yet as his price soars.

Vaughn Grissom is a later-round target I’ve been landing many places as well, but Myles Straw and Adalberto Mondesi could provide those who wait…too long with some needed late speed.

For saves, I grabbed everyone that Grey has projected for more than 10 saves:

Kenley Jansen 39 134.07 113 168
Edwin Diaz 37 51.87 37 71
Emmanuel Clase 37 56 44 66
Ryan Pressly 35 93.2 65 122
Jordan Romano 35 95 72 126
Raisel Iglesias 34 97.13 64 127
Josh Hader 31 71.93 49 94
Daniel Bard 31 177.93 122 236
Felix Bautista 30 126.07 98 158
Ryan Helsley 30 101.67 77 128
Clay Holmes 30 130.2 96 157
Camilo Doval 30 132.27 102 163
Devin Williams 26 82.07 67 100
Kendall Graveman 25 218.07 173 283
Alex Lange 24 224.53 193 258
David Bednar 22 159.67 120 221
Scott Barlow 20 188.2 126 234
Paul Sewald 18 200.6 171 232
Carlos Estevez 18 274.2 224 300
Alexis Diaz 17 164.93 110 209
Jose Leclerc 15 213.8 157 254
Kyle Finnegan 15 250.27 201 300
Trevor May 15 279.27 221 300
Evan Phillips 14 229.07 197 280
Brandon Hughes 14 286.07 257 300
Seranthony Dominguez 12 251.53 196 300
Kevin Ginkel 12 299.53 293 300
Jhoan Duran 12 173.2 115 210
Matt Barnes 12 N/A N/A N/A
Pete Fairbanks 10 187 110 233
Jason Adam 10 251.87 215 300

I feel like I say this every year, but the closer market just seems volatile as all heck this year.  There’s the top 13 (and even then I only REALLY trust about 8) or so that it seems like you can count on for saves and then, it’s just a mess.  Now that free agency is up and running, these projections are going to be fluid.  It only takes one veteran signing to ruin a closer dream.  My suggestion?  Grab a good closer early and then spam the bottom of the barrel and hope you hit on a few.


We only have two weeks of data, but even with 15 leagues, there’s enough to take a look at some recent trends.

PLAYER ADP (2/28-3/6) ADP (3/7-3/13) DIFF
Zach Eflin 243.43 279.88 -36.45
Bryce Harper 154.29 181.38 -27.09
Andrew Painter 273 300 -27
DJ LeMahieu 219.57 245.88 -26.3
Spencer Torkelson 261.57 286.75 -25.18
Jesse Winker 207.14 232.25 -25.11
James Paxton 276.29 300 -23.71
Harrison Bader 192.29 215.63 -23.34
Joc Pederson 239 262.13 -23.13
Austin Meadows 245.86 268.38 -22.52
Jake McCarthy 89.71 111.88 -22.16


PLAYER ADP (2/28-3/6) ADP (3/7-3/13) DIFF
Jordan Walker 176.57 125.25 51.32
Miguel Vargas 233 202.63 30.38
Nico Hoerner 193.14 163.75 29.39
Trey Mancini 285.86 257.63 28.23
Garrett Mitchell 284.71 258.5 26.21
Joe Ryan 155.43 131.63 23.8
Kyle Finnegan 262.71 239.38 23.34
Adam Duvall 257.29 234.75 22.54
Edward Olivares 288.29 266.75 21.54
Andrew Heaney 231 209.75 21.25
Chris Sale 159.14 138.25 20.89

Jordan Walker is getting the most helium in his ADP.  This could be due to Grey’s recent adoption…of Jordan Walker as his father.

It’s interesting that Harper’s price has fallen despite decent news on his recovery.  Eflin and McCarthy’s change is also interesting considering where I’ve taken them in my own leagues.  I’ll gladly buy that dip.


Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN.  Damn, that’s too easy.  Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference.  If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money.  That’s it!  No pesky third requirement!  Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money.  You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like.  To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom).  Now go join some leagues!

Want to be Matt’s Twitter pal?  That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow him here: @MattTruss

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11 days ago

1 spot open in $20 RCL 37 drafting tonight.

Reply to  VinWins
11 days ago

It has been filled.

12 days ago

Truss – I got an email from Fantrax re: making Ohtani 2 separate players. Will this option take effect for RCL leagues this year?

Reply to  MattTruss
12 days ago

Let’s make him 4 players!

Life of Brian
Life of Brian
15 days ago

Thanks for providing the RCL ADP data so far. This is my first year in an RCL league (or using Fantrax for that matter), and I was getting frustrated trying to figure out the best ADP data to use.

Uncle Razzkai
Uncle Razzkai
16 days ago

Asked this to Grey a week or so ago and was told to ask you instead: do you and/or Vin know whether we’ve had an overall RCL champion come from an early draft league (as in drafted ~first week)? I imagine injuries may make it difficult … but there is also some chance you could land some prospects very cheaply (as you point out in this article).

Thanks for the write-up (and organizing the RCLs)!

Last edited 16 days ago by razzkai
Reply to  MattTruss
16 days ago

Gee, I had forgotten all about that.

Reply to  VinWins
16 days ago

And, it was the 24th round.

Uncle Razzkai
Uncle Razzkai
Reply to  MattTruss
16 days ago

No need to add to your long task list! Wake’s performance would probably answer my question had he drafted JulRod in 23rd/24th … Was curious and thought you or Vin might know of an example off the top of your head. Thanks!

Last edited 16 days ago by razzkai
16 days ago

Love the data from the RCLs. Keep it coming. One suggestion on the biggest risers and fallers… Since a difference of 20 spots after pick 200 is pretty meaningless, maybe focus more on the top 200, even if the pick difference is 10-15. That might be more meaningful.

m dubs
m dubs
Reply to  Five-on-One
14 days ago

Agree with this aaaand the above post – love the idea, but don’t want to make more work for you. I love seeing how our draft compares to other RCL drafts.
I drafted Eflin in the 15th round and will look every bit of the genius I am as a Razzball reader BUT it is ten rounds earlier than anyone else, so my pick alone lowers his early ADP by dozens of picks. He’d have more helium, but as you can tell by the squeaky voice this is typed in, I inhaled all his helium.
If people are waiting three more picks to get their hands on my beloved Yordan because of his YorHands, well that probably means more to people around the turn than me cleverly drafting Eflin a full one hundred spots earlier than ADP…… unless he’s one of your guys, darn it I see both sides. I’ll see myself out. Thanks for the spreadsheet.

16 days ago

The silly season is just about to begin. Will Walker and Carroll go in the third round by the end of draft season? Who will get hurt next?

Great roundup, Truss