We have another week’s worth of draft data to work with and only about one week left of the Razzball Commenter League draft season.  All public drafts wrap up on Wednesday, March 27th, so if you’ve been waiting to join a league, wait no more! We managed to fill all but one league this past week and that one had a manager bail about an hour before the draft, so it drafted with 11.  That’s a darn shame, don’t be that guy that bails right before the draft, so not cool. We have drafts all weekend long that need filling though, starting Friday and going through to Sunday. There is even a $20 league with spots to fill, so go get that money!  The sign-up sheet is linked at the end of this article, but first, let’s dive into our RCL ADP and see what Razzball Commenters are drafting so far.

DRAFT TRENDS

This week we’re going to look at Razzball’s favorite SAGNOF specialists and where you can draft some late steals and saves.  For steals, we’ll take a look at every player that Grey has projected for more than 20 SBs. For Saves, I’ll just grab as many closers and potential closers as I can think of.  If I miss a name, feel free to open up the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure.  I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts.  You can also just copy out the data to you own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy. Enjoy and deity of choice speed.

WE DON’T NEED NO STINKIN’ NFBC ADP

We’ve got RCL ADP!  Here’s a list from our 34 league sample of some players whose ADPs I was curious about and some general notes.

Player ADP HI LO DIFF
Mookie Betts 1.94 1 2 1
Jose Ramirez 4 3 8 5
Christian Yelich 6.44 3 12 9
Trea Turner 7.11 3 11 8
Ronald Acuna Jr. 7.94 3 12 9
Jose Altuve 17.72 6 22 16
Adalberto Mondesi 32.83 22 46 24
Whit Merrifield 34.89 26 45 19
Starling Marte 37.17 27 46 19
Jean Segura 57.17 46 75 29
Lorenzo Cain 65.22 45 87 42
Jose Peraza 87.89 51 127 76
Victor Robles 88.33 51 125 74
Jonathan Villar 90.89 43 122 79
Dee Gordon 115.5 96 150 54
Mallex Smith 126.28 102 150 48
Ender Inciarte 129.5 97 159 62
Tim Anderson 132.67 98 161 63
Amed Rosario 174.22 132 205 73
Ramon Laureano 179.61 141 210 69
Garrett Hampson 189.5 155 230 75
Billy Hamilton 199.28 142 257 115
Cedric Mullins 252.22 167 300 133
Delino DeShields 295.72 269 300 31
Jarrod Dyson N/A N/A N/A N/A

Within the top 100, we’re not really talking SAGNOF, these guys are the cream of the crop.

Mallex Smith and Ender Inciarte have been big targets of mine so far this year if I reach the middle rounds and have a need for speed.

Cedric Mullins has gone anywhere from 167 to undrafted in some leagues, that’s a 133 pick swing.

Like Mullins, no one seems to know what to do with Billy Hamilton.  Remember back when he was a 6th round pick and single handedly winning you SBs?

In order to avoid a 100 player list, I just nabbed Grey’s top 30 for projected saves:

Player ADP HI LO DIFF
Edwin Diaz 55.78 43 66 23
Blake Treinen 74.61 52 93 41
Aroldis Chapman 86.28 54 103 49
Kenley Jansen 87.39 67 100 33
Craig Kimbrel 92.33 74 113 39
Roberto Osuna 98.72 77 117 40
Brad Hand 103.06 86 117 31
Felipe Vazquez 105.78 88 128 40
Jose Leclerc 122.61 89 144 55
Sean Doolittle 126.06 102 141 39
Raisel Iglesias 127.11 110 138 28
Kirby Yates 132.06 109 152 43
Wade Davis 133 98 155 57
Corey Knebel 135.72 97 162 65
Ken Giles 152.56 122 176 54
Jose Alvarado 163.44 116 212 96
David Robertson 167.83 121 241 120
Cody Allen 168.39 127 219 92
Will Smith 183.94 129 218 89
Arodys Vizcaino 186.5 149 214 65
Archie Bradley 201.17 150 235 85
Andrew Miller 212.28 173 291 118
Mychal Givens 213.06 136 258 122
Shane Greene 247.44 206 300 94
Hunter Strickland 265.56 206 300 94
Kelvin Herrera 271.67 185 300 115
Brad Boxberger 272.33 213 300 87
Blake Parker 279.83 228 300 72
Ryan Brasier 291.17 249 300 51
Sergio Romo 295.44 266 300 34

I’ve been taking the plunge on that Kimbrel discount more often than I probably should.  He has to sign eventually, right?

Osuna through to Leclerc is about where I’d start hitting my closer if I haven’t scooped up Kimbrel yet.

David Robertson is such a wildcard in Philly, but could be a huge value if he wins the job and you drafted him after pick 200.

I like Cody Allen as a late target, he has little to no competition in LA, which I always enjoy in my closer.

Parker, Brasier and Romo are all just lotto tickets at this point.  I think Parker, Barnes and Steckenrider win those jobs personally.

RECENT TRENDS

Here we have a little chart showing some of the changes in ADP from early in the season to this past week.  The bigger the DIFF number the higher the player is currently being drafted and vice versa.

PLAYER ADP (3/1-3/11) ADP (3/12-3/18) DIFF
Matt Strahm 279.33 230.07 49.27
Chris Paddack 271.44 234.07 37.38
Ryan McMahon 297.06 268.13 28.92
Touki Toussaint 279.11 255.67 23.44
Andrelton Simmons 244.33 222.8 21.53
Brian Anderson 282.28 261.13 21.14
Marco Gonzales 247.33 227.13 20.2
Kyle Seager 268.06 286.2 -18.14
Salvador Perez 278.5 300 -21.5
Tyler Skaggs 229.67 253.87 -24.2
Cedric Mullins 252.22 279.33 -27.11
Pedro Strop 228.89 256.47 -27.58
Alex Reyes 197.33 227.93 -30.6
Luis Severino 47.44 88.2 -40.76

Strahm and Paddack have been screaming up draft boards recently.  Everyone loves a good Hodgepadre, but these two might be even more!

Ryan McMahon aka the Hampson killer is moving up boards with the news he’s on the strong side of the platoon at 2B in Coors.

Touki has to be Folty insurance right now.  Please be OK Folty!

The Severino news is discouraging, he’s officially on my “Do not draft” list.

I’m not 100% sure why Reyes is falling, maybe the news he could be in the bullpen?

Seager and Salvador Perez make sense though, gotta hate those early injuries.

Now, go join a league and contribute to that wonderful ADP data:

Speaking of RCL drafts, we still need a couple good managers to jump in our Original Recipe RCL.  That league is the longest running RCL we have. Go ahead and shoot me an email: [email protected] if you’re interested.  Also, head to the spreadsheet and sign up for any number of leagues you wish!

TO JOIN A LEAGUE

Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN.  Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference.  If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money. That’s it! No pesky third requirement! Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money.  You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like. To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom). Now go join some leagues!

Want to be Matt’s Twitter pal?  That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow him here: @MattTruss

  1. Cram It says:
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    My gawd, our draft is at 10 PM? That might actually keep me sober since I’ll have to get up the next day.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

      • Cram It says:
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        *shakes fist*

  2. Rick Brown says:
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    Hey Matt,
    We’re having a problem drafting in RCL#35.Anything you can do?
    RICK

  3. D Fresh says:
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    Stats are starting on 3/20?

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      Yup! All stats will be retro-active for drafts that go off later

      • D Fresh says:
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        Ahh cool! Thanks!

  4. J.D. says:
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    I think these Razzball ADPs are incredibly helpful for preparing for RCL drafts and even other leagues, where you want to play the same way. It’s hard to adjust ADP data from other sites based on the format / style of daily RCL play. Thanks for the work compiling them!

    Apologies if this has been discussed, but it looks like drafts that take place after the Japan games still accumulate those stats– as if you’d drafted and started them beforehand, right? I just wanted to double-check.

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      Awesome, glad you find them so useful, I know I do! It’s my pleasure.

      They will, so you can draft any cheap HRs late and sneak in some extra counting stats if you wish.

  5. Terry Bennett says:
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    Apologies if this has been covered before….I am a new subscriber and a Brit living in the UK so need to understand some of the timings for the drafts. Approximately how long do the drafts take and how long do you get to make your picks?
    Thanks

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      No worries, drafts take about 2 hours usually, you have 1 min 30 sec to make a pick.

      • Terry Bennett says:
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        Thanks Matt – I bit the bullet anyway and signed up for tomorrow!

Comments are closed.