How is everyone hanging in there?  Hopefully you are doing well, maintaining proper social distancing, washing well and catching up on all those shows you’ve been meaning to binge.  I’ll admit, I’m at a bit of a loss without baseball on the horizon, but what else is a fantasy baseballer to do but draft? You know, we prepare for weeks leading up to draft day and I’ve found drafting to be a bit therapeutic in this time of turmoil.  Many of my bigger money leagues have moved their drafts to a later date to be determined, but I’ve been enjoying drafting RCLs aplenty. We went ahead and moved a couple handfuls of RCLs all through the month of April. Now, you all will be able to draft to your heart’s content while under quarantine.  Go ahead and pop down below and take a gander at the spreadsheet to pick a league to join. We’ll also be looking at how this delay in the start of the season has affected some player’s ADPs.

DRAFT TRENDS

This week we’re going to look at how the COVID-19 delay has changed ADPs in the last week and a half or so.  I used Thursday, March 12th as the cutoff for when the world went upside down. That allows us to look at 23 leagues pre-delay and 22 post-delay.  Pretty much even if you ask me. As always, if you’re curious about any ADPs, you can consult the RCL ADP SPREADSHEET that I maintain for all of your viewing pleasure.  I’ve seen plenty of anonymous animals with that spreadsheet open and I’d consider it a great resource during your RCL drafts.  You can also just copy out the data to your own Excel sheet and use it in your own War Room if that tickles your fancy. Enjoy and deity of choice speed.

BIGGEST FALLERS

PLAYER PRE-COVID ADP POST-COVID ADP DIFF
Sale, Chris 177.83 221.09 -43.26
Mancini, Trey 157.04 178 -20.96
Arraez, Luis 232.04 251.5 -19.46
Giles, Ken 116.74 135.95 -19.21
Pagan, Emilio 261.48 279.45 -17.97
Polanco, Gregory 272.57 289.86 -17.29
Aquino, Aristides 206.65 222.82 -16.17
Hudson, Dakota 248 264.09 -16.09
Murphy, Daniel 257.61 272.23 -14.62
Gardner, Brett 282.3 295.73 -13.43
Manaea, Sean 180.78 194.18 -13.4
Robert, Luis 73.13 85.86 -12.73
Seager, Kyle 274.61 286.82 -12.21
Quintana, Jose 277.7 289.68 -11.98
Hendricks, Kyle 132.83 144.77 -11.94
Hernandez, Cesar 282.57 294.36 -11.79
Ray, Robbie 130.52 142.27 -11.75
Gray, Jon 233.83 245.45 -11.62
Puk, A.J. 223.48 234.91 -11.43
Verlander, Justin 28.3 39.41 -11.11

Chris Sale being the biggest faller in this list comes as no surprise as his Tommy John surgery was announced in the middle of this mess, making him entirely undraftable.  Trey Mancini’s non-baseball surgery was also announced right around this time, dropping him a bit as well. Luis Arraez’s drop is a big of a mystery to me, unless I’m unaware of some news, I’m not really sure what could have caused his drop.  Maybe folks just stopped punting average until the end of drafts. Honestly, I’d chalk most of the rest of this list up to simple drafting variance. The exception of course, being Justin Verlander who announced his groin surgery. Given the expected time frame of his recovery, this has led to a major buying opportunity.  I was able to nab Verlander at 77 overall in the FCL draft where savvy RCLers discount pitching appropriately. In RCL 59 Verlander went at pick 100. Anywhere in the 60+ range is pretty sweet risk/reward if you ask me.

BIGGEST RISERS

PLAYER PRE-COVID ADP POST-COVID ADP DIFF
Judge, Aaron 113.7 75 38.7
McCutchen, Andrew 256.52 229.95 26.57
Carlson, Dylan 250.91 225.05 25.86
Verdugo, Alex 254.7 230.23 24.47
Lugo, Seth 274.35 253.14 21.21
Happ, Ian 268.35 247.68 20.67
Pearson, Nate 277.09 258.23 18.86
Pederson, Joc 263.87 245.27 18.6
Stanton, Giancarlo 96.91 78.59 18.32
Jimenez, Joe 232.7 214.82 17.88
Nunez, Renato 285.52 269.27 16.25
Matz, Steven 295.52 279.36 16.16
Kingery, Scott 177.78 163.14 14.64
Puig, Yasiel 211.74 197.36 14.38
Lowe, Brandon 193.26 179.45 13.81
Wood, Alex 270.39 256.64 13.75
Givens, Mychal 277.74 264 13.74
Gore, MacKenzie 287.96 275.32 12.64
Gregorius, Didi 187.52 175.05 12.47
Riley, Austin 253.96 241.86 12.1

Aaron Judge and Andrew McCutchen are perfect examples of the impact of the season delay.  Two injured stars, who were not going to start the regular season on time who now likely will.  This boosts their ADP tremendously and if you can sneak Judge at a discount, it’s a great time to pounce.  The same can be said for Giancarlo. Alex Verdugo is another injured player who has a much higher likelihood of starting the season healthy now.

I think I might be to blame for driving up the ADPs of terrible closers and would-be closers as I’ve drafted three times since the 12th and always spend picks 200+ just racking up SAGNOF delights.

MacKenzie Gore is an interesting riser.  Maybe a lot of Padres fans have drafted recently?  My guess is people expect with the possible shortened season the Pads will call him up quicker than they would have during a full season.  Makes sense. A similar thought process might be there for Austin Riley as Grey elluded to the other day.  No way the Braves bench the kid for Camargo at this point.

TO JOIN A LEAGUE

Click the LINK in the ‘League Link’ column (see below grid) for the time you want and YOU’RE IN.  Damn, that’s too easy. Oh, I guess I should also mention make sure you’re joining a league for free or for money, depending on your preference.  If you want a league for money, then 1) Click the link. 2) Pay the money. That’s it! No pesky third requirement! Again, Fantrax and Razzball take no money.  You can join as many free or paid leagues as you like. To quit a league, go to OTHER –> All Options –> Quit League (located at the bottom). Now go join some leagues!

Want to be my Twitter pal?  That’s kinda creepy, but you can follow me here: @MattTruss

 
  1. Rick Brown says:
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    Hey Matt,
    I have Miguel Andujar as my UT in a couple of RCL’s.Playing time is definitely going to be a problem moving forward isn’t it?
    RICK

    • Jolt In Flow says:
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      Rick, you think injuries won’t pop up again? The more things change, the more they stay the same. IMO, Yanks will be littered with injuries again. Especially with the potential for fewer days off between games.

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      I think they will find a way to get him in there, the talent is there and like Jolt said, injuries will likely happen.

      • Rick Brown says:
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        I drafted him in the 17th and 18th rounds so I think if he has 300 at bats that’ll be great value.
        Thanks guys.
        RICK

  2. Laura Holt

    Laura Holt says:
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    Thanks Matt… think I will use this info. to reference ADP instead of the NFBC info. for my next post! BTW, how on earth are you going to find time to manage all of your leagues if the season ever starts??!

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      Awesome! Glad you can find a use for it. Yea….that’s a very good question, haha. Banking on continuing my “social distancing” by never leaving the computer once baseball starts!

  3. Bamabterry says:
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    Figures, Polanco must have gotten Covid is the only thing that could explain the hate this year.

  4. Snacks Zillion says:
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    Thank you, this was great!

    • MattTruss

      MattTruss says:
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      I’m on it!

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