Fresh off the recent rankings update, Top 100 Prospects for 2021 Fantasy Baseball Volume 2, I figured today was the perfect time for a Wednesday whip-around before we dive back into deconstructing the list this weekend. 

Below the fold, you’ll find a smattering of things I noticed on the field Tuesday night combined with season-long stats and thoughts on what it all means going forward. 

 

AAA

Tampa Bay SS Wander Franco — 4-for-5, 2B, 3 RBI. Ho hum. Just a 20-year-old slashing .299/.361/.536 with 4 HR and 3 SB across 23 games.

Tampa Bay RHP Luis Patino — 1.1 IP. 6 baserunners, 4 ER, 1 K. Okay. Just a rehab stint. Nothing to freak out about. I think. 

Atlanta RHP Jaseel De La Cruz — 5 IP, 6 baserunners, 1 ER, 6 Ks. Season line at 0.87 WHIP, 3.12 ERA in 17.1 IP with 21 Ks. Could be coming up soon to help a depleted pitching staff. 

Washington 3B Carter Kieboom — 1-for-3, HR, 4 RBI, BB. Nice to see some signs or life: 4-game hitting streak. Just one hit each night. Still batting .214. But hey he’s showing a pulse and that’s an uptick. 

New York (AL) OF Estevan Florial — 0-for-4, slashing .203/.300/.506 with 6 HR. Like Kieboom, should’ve been dropped a long time ago in almost every league. 

Seattle C Cal Raleigh — 3-for-5. Nothing loud last night, but Raleigh’s up to .375/.426/.693. Mildly funny to see all the clamor for Kelenic, see him get rushed right up the moment he’s healthy and hitting a little, only to then see Seattle drag its feet on Raleigh. Different situations, I suppose, and Tom Murphy is coming around, but this would appear to be something of a double standard from afar. 

Kansas CIty OF Kyle Isbel — 1-for-5, 2 R, 3 K. Not to be a party pooper, but I think this is probably who Isbel settles in as. Not a .200 hitter at AAA specifically but closer to the 247/.337/.326 line he’s got now than whatever KC thought he could do when he broke spring with the club. 

 

AA

Houston RHP Hunter Brown — 3 IP, 8 baserunners, 3 ER, 3 K, 5 BB. One of many training site hype hosts struggling to get it going in the real games. Sort of theme this year: word-of-mouth about low-stakes reps did not turn out to be super predictive information. Season-long WHIP at 2.53. ERA at 9.28 across four starts, all of them ugly. An easy drop for me. 

Miami OF JJ Bleday — 2-for-3, BB. Another alt-side hype parade, Bleday is slashing .159/.302/.273 after this nice night. Cool. Cool cool cool. Can’t cut him, but I have seen him traded for some obscene things the past few months, so maybe you can try that if you have him anywhere. It’s only been 25 games at the highest level of competition he’s faced, but it’s pretty clear all that preseason talk about him getting a quick promotion to Miami was just sound and fury. Dude is not ready, and I’m fighting confirmation bias that wants to write him off because I’ve never liked him and feel like I might’ve been right. 

Baltimore 3B Patrick Dorrian — 2-for-4, BB. Nothing flashy in this line, but Dorrian is among the more intriguing minor leaguers to me this season, slashing .260/.426/.630 with 7 HR and 3 SB. I’m hoping we see him with the big club in September. He’s 24 and was initially drafted way back in 2014 (12th round by Atlanta), but he’s been awesome all year hitting behind Adley Rutschman. Nice target in deep OBP leagues. I added him in a 20-teamer a week ago. 

Baltimore OF Johnny Rizer — 3-for-5, SB in his first game at the level. 7th round pick in 2019 is slashing .313/.389/.547 with 3 HR and 3 SB on the season including his 15 games at High A. This front office is so impressive. I love the one-month call-ups for hot hitters. 

New York (AL) RHP Janson Junk — 4 IP, 4 baserunners, 0 ER, 5 Ks, SV. Might make the list on cool name alone, but he’s here because in 19 innings this year, he’s allowed one run. Tidy 0.95 WHIP and 0.47 ERA. Not so bad. 

I know I’ve said this before, but I’ve never seen AA look so meek. The statlines on some of these lineups read like a road map: everyone’s on the Interstate. This game here between Tampa and Milwaukee features 11 starters hitting around .200 or worse: https://www.milb.com/gameday/shuckers-vs-biscuits/2021/06/01/644693#game_state=final,game_tab=box,game=644693

The poor stats themselves are not incredibly rare, but it does feel rare to see early June AA boxes with very few capital G guys represented. 

 

High A 

Baltimore 1B JD Mundy — 1-for-4, HR in his debut at the level. Fast becoming must-see TV for me, slashing .320/.452/.600 thanks to very quiet approach and deceptively quick hands that generate easy opposite field power. 

Baltimore SS Jordan Westburg — 1-for-3, 2B, 3 RBI, 2 BB. Also his debut at the level, now slashing .365/.490/.595. Rebuild is coming along nicely. 

Oakland SS Max Schuemann — 2-for-4, 2B, SB. Having a loud season, milking the throw-over limit for 15 steals in 16 chances while adding 3 HR and slashing .295/.429/.538. 20th round pick in 2018 making Oakland look good. 

Seattle 3B Austin Shenton — 4-for-5, HR, 3 R, 3 RBI. Big night for the Everett AquaSox, who scored 16 runs at Hillsboro. 

Seattle 2B Kaden Polcovich — 3-for-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI. Seattle has a knack for stacking solid college bats who make for tough at bats. 

New York (NL) 3B Brett Baty — 3-for-4, HR, 2B, BB. First bomb of the year, now slashing .343/.451/.478. Considered among the best pure hitters in the 2019 draft class. Proving the scouts right. 

Pittsburgh RHP Quinn Priester — 4 IP, 9 baserunners, 5 ER, 3 Ks. Ouch. WHIP at 1.48 through 21 innings. Maybe he’ll click and start living up to the off-season helium, but I wouldn’t hold my breath. People needed something to preach about from the scant alt-site information they could get, and they wrote about Priester. Then others saw that and wrote about Priester. Certainly a quality prospect but easily more of a sell than a buy for me. 

 

Low A 

RHP Xzavion Curry — 5.1 IP, 3 baserunners, 0 R, 6 Ks. Just 5’11” but his heater really eats atop the zone. Was a two-way player early in his college career at Georgia Tech and looks like he could still handle shortstop. Eager to see what Cleveland can do with him. Season line at 38 Ks in 25.1 IP innings with a 1.07 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP. Good enough. 

OF Alexfri Planez — 2-for-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI. A dreadful campaign finally hit a bright spot last night, but Planez is still slugging just .366. 

SS Angel Martinez — 2-for-5, HR, CS. Best infield prospect in the system, slashing .295/.427/.557 with 3 HR and 5 SB as a switch-hitting 19-year-old in full-season ball. Don’t wait too late to add him in your dynasty league if he’s available. 

Houston RHP Jaime Melendez — 2.1 IP, 1 baserunners, 5 Ks. Lively 5’8” righty who’s thoroughly carving so far: 31Ks in 15 IP with a 0.60 ERA. 

Chicago (AL) SS Jose Rodriguez — 2-for-6, 2B, 2 RBI. Big fan of this guy. Recently turned 20 and playing well in a very weak lineup. 2 HR. 8 SB. .282/.333/.476.

Texas SS Thomas Saggesse — 3-for-4, HR, SB. A 5th round pick out of high school in 2020, Saggesse played DH in this one as young Acuña covered shortstop. Gonna put a flag up here and keep track. Anyone who warranted a 5th round pick last year is extra interesting to me. Last kick at the can for those orgs so to speak. Seems like everyone in the room would have to kinda like the guy. 

Washington 2B Viandel Peña — 3-for-3, 2 BB. Not a great year for Peña so far, but as a 20-year-old batting lead off in full-season ball, he gets kind of a pass for May. Not much for bats in this system, so Peña could be a mainstay on their top ten lists for a long time. 

Baltimore SS Gunnar Henderson — 2-for-4, HR, 4 RBI. Can’t do much better than Henderson has this year, slashing .321/.392/.655 with 7 HR and 7 2B in 21 games with 4 SB and a 23/11 K/BB rate. Looking like he’ll be a consensus top 25 prospect soon.

Cincinnati LHP Evan Kravetz — 5 IP, 4 baserunners, 0 R, 6 Ks. A 5th round pick in 2019, Kravetz could be a high fidelity prospect by this time next year. He’s 6’8” 240 lbs with good extension and decent control, a combination that’s finding little resistance in Low A: 21 IP, 1.29 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 10 BBs, 32 Ks. 

Kansas City OF Darryl Collins — 3-for-5, HR, BB. Slashing .329/.427/.447 with 2 HR and 4 SB as a 19-year-old against a lot of college graduates. Good time to snap him up if he’s available in deepish dynasty leagues. 

Kansas City SS Maikel Garcia — 3-for-5, 3B. Interesting guy to track in my opinion. Listed at 6’ 145 lbs, Garcia doesn’t have a HR yet but has hit 7 doubles and 2 triples while walking 16 times and striking out 14. If he can add strength and maintain the approach and hit tool, we’ll have a sleeper on our hands here. 

San Diego OF Robert Hassell III — 2-for-4, HR, 2B. Just a continuously impressive start to Bob Hassell’s pro career. Real problem for opposing arms. 

Los Angeles (NL) C Diego Cartaya — 2-for-3, HR, 2B, BB. Now at .450/.522/1.050 with 3 HR in just 5 games. Not long for this level. 

San Francisco OF Luis Matos — 1-for-3, HR, BB. The climb continues. 

Thanks for reading!

I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter.

38 Comments
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Mike
Mike
1 year ago

Hey man!

Great post as usual.

I was wondering if you use any tool to get info for when anybody gets a call up? I used to love @ProspectBot on Twitter, but it’s inactive for this year.

Any advice would be great, cheers!

Wenger
Wenger
1 year ago

Hi Itch, great stuff as usual

About Westburg, he wasnt at your top 100 update, how do you rank him overall right now? him or Korry Howell?

About Catchers… I got Campusano and William Contreras, But G Moreno is out there available…how do you rank those 3 guys?

Thanks!

NUX
NUX
1 year ago

Itch!

I missed the Top 100 post the other day, thanks so much for digging in and hooking us up with that, such a helpful resource.

I have a few young arms on the bump today that own in dynasty (but not starting today bc of an innings cap). Just curious on some of your thoughts with these guys. How would you rank them for future value?

Vlad Gutierrez, Bubic, Duplantier

NUX
NUX
Reply to  NUX
1 year ago

Also, I just saw all that stuff from the link about to Reddit from the guy named “President of the Matt Olson Fan Club”, what a goofball.

How dare you change your list ever!!!!

These types don’t even honestly deserve a response when attacking someone who did the actual work to put out a list like that. But you did a great job of explaining yourself in a rational and reasonable way. If this guy was smart, he would put in offers for Pratto in his league. Or add him if his league isn’t deep enough.

I can personally attest to the fact that your lists, ranks, advice helped me turn a last place team into a contender within a year. In a league that is very deep and with very good dynasty players.

You got a great head on your shoulders, so I know that you’ll be smart and brush these types and their unhelpful feedback off. But I figured it can’t hurt to hear it from another fantasy owner that you’ve helped over the last few years (there are plenty of us) that this guy is a useless chump that brings nothing helpful to the conversation, except to help make you look smarter in a few years than you already do. I wonder what he thought about your aggressive early ranks of Luis Matos, Hedbert Perez, Gilberto Jimenez, etc (I could go on and on) who now pop up on everyone’s lists these days????

c
c
1 year ago

Where’s the Nick Pratto love? Dude’s destroying AA right now after demolishing Spring Training. The dead year last year has done wonders for him. I’m buying shares everywhere. Reminds me of how Votto blew up in 2004 in Dayton. Pratto is a big older, but the league is more advanced.

c
c
Reply to  The Itch
1 year ago

Doh. Didn’t see that. Nice love! Now, if only my league mates are off drunk somewhere.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
1 year ago

Hey Itch,

Two questions here. Did you change your mind on Gunnar Henderson? I can’t remember. I was thinking I had mentioned Henderson to you back in February and got a “meh” type reaction but maybe that’s wrong. Were you high on Henderson all along? If not, what changed? I still have him on my minor league roster, was wondering why all the love.

Also, do you have any thoughts on Jake Burger? I think Mercedes time is running out. He’s been horrible basically since the start of May. It’s that his April was so fantastic, that the numbers hide a poor May. Anyway, seems to be some talk Burger might get a September call-up. You like Burger? I’d like to know your opinion because you’ve been pretty good with your analysis from what I can tell.

Thanks boss!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  The Itch
1 year ago

I didn’t know his minor league numbers from before or definitely don’t remember them being like that. Yeah, they weren’t real good. I did read some stuff on Henderson that impressed me and made me draft him. He looks good right now.

You really believe he could be a top 25 prospect this time next year? That’s quite a leap for anyone to go from unrated to top 25. Hope you’re right!

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  The Itch
1 year ago

Hey Itch,

I found the post. It was your final part of the top 100 prospects rankings (76-100) on February 28th.

Basically, I listed my prospects draft and you said you liked Hedbert Perez and Bryce Ball. You were so-so on Kjerstad and not real high on Clase. You never mentioned Henderson, which I guess led me to think you were either “meh” on him or you didn’t like him at all.

Heck, I used my third round pick on him lol, so maybe it was a reach. I just remember reading that he had really grown into the position since the pandemic season. I think he spent last summer at the alternate training site with the better prospects in their organization.

So, I wasn’t really right and I wasn’t really wrong. You didn’t say anything about Henderson lol

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
Reply to  The Itch
1 year ago

Itch!!!!!!!!

Whao!!!!!!!! Now that’s not what I was expecting to hear!! Holy smokes!!! Now I’m fired up for some Gunnar!!! Hahaa!!

One of the reasons I like your stuff is because you’re willing to rank a prospect based on feel, eye appeal, potential and personal opinion rather than waiting around on everyone else to rank him. Keith Law does the very same thing. You both tend to do things on your own rather than let others dictate your rankings. That’s why I respect your stuff. When you started talking Gunnar, you got my attention quick. Man, I’m glad I’ve got him now.

Now, if I could just talk you into ranking Juio Rodriguez #1 we’d be the best of friends!!!

Lower the Jolly Roger
Lower the Jolly Roger
1 year ago

Itch .. 12 team Dynasty .. was just offered Rizzo & Gilbert for Vaughn.. Gilbert would goto my minors (10) in place of Valera… good deal? Try for more? Hold? Or swap out Valera for either Detmers/Roansy/Peguero …. Thank you as always!

Lower the Jolly Roger
Lower the Jolly Roger
Reply to  Lower the Jolly Roger
1 year ago

Greg Jones is available too .. all close in your rankings …. for context my Farm is Vidal, Manoah, Pratto, Larnach, Downs, Heliot, Wilman Diaz, Gilberto Jimenez, Gunnar, Valera… thank you again for the write ups.. I love em all

Steamin Beamen
Steamin Beamen
1 year ago

Hey Itch,

When do you think we see Josh Jung in the majors?

Thanks for all the prospect news, love it!

K.R.
K.R.
1 year ago

I am in the wrong message group but this one was handy so I’ll ask. Has Gangstra Tony the Turtle La Russa put a hit out on Yermin Mercedes if he dares to hit the ball let alone a 3-0 homer? Is it time to cut Yermin loose? H2h points 10 team league. I keep on hoping he has been given a longer rope but it’s a ball hit out in right field as another out. I’m getting more points from the upset stomach guy on the bench in a pinch hit bottom of the 8th or 9th than Yermin,

Jimmy
Jimmy
1 year ago

Should I drop Bart for Raleigh….18 team 5×5 dynasty? Thanks for the great info!

JB
JB
1 year ago

Dynasty Lg: we hold 10 minor slots:

F Alvarez, A Rutschman, S Beer, L Garcia, K Hiura, Y Diaz, T Houck, A Manoah.

These are the 8 I carry right now….. we have a 14 day window to call up once they are up. Hoping Hiura is sent back down and Manoah will be on my MLB roster.

I know what I have with the 2 catchers…. looking to keep one long term and flip one in a deal.

Garcia, Beer, Yiaz, Houck……. From these 4…. anything to hold on to? What are you thoughts on each?

Thanks Itch

Philip
Philip
1 year ago

Another question, Itch. What kind of player could Pratto be? You have him ranked aggressively considering he fell out of the woodwork. Is he looking like an Andrew Vaughn / Alex Kirilloff type of hitter, or something lesser, or something amorphous at this point? Thanks!

Philip
Philip
1 year ago

Piggybacking on Roansy Contreras, I see you have him in the 70 range. Does this kid have a chance to be special? Is he looking remotely untouchable at this point?

I’ve collected a few more prospects than actual major league players in my 20-team dynasty league, and I need to make some moves at some point. Thinking about packaging three or four guys for a solid MLB player. Some names include: Contreras, Gilbert, D. Jefferies, Davidson, SWR, Skubal, J. Sanchez, N. Gonzalez, L. Peguero.

Would you do something like J. Sanchez, Gilbert, and Contreras for a SP like Fried, Alcantara, or Pablo Lopez? Is that an overpay?

Would you consider including Nick Gonzalez, or keep him no matter what?

I have to do something eventually. Can’t keep them all. I could, however, just watch all year and keep the best of them, letting the others fall back to the wire.

Thanks, Itch!

toolshed
toolshed
1 year ago

Witt is starting to hit bombs again. I thought he may have been called up this year based on how well he did in spring, but started slow in his minor leagur assignment so I figured he was more a 2022 guy. Dozier has struggled and mondesi tweaked his hammy, do you think witt is up sooner now?

Drew
Drew
1 year ago

Roansy Contreras has been dealing–chance we see him promoted to the show this year?

Al Lydon
Al Lydon
1 year ago

How much rope do they give Kelenic batting . 115 current 0-28 streak. This guy is a 5 tool player and seems like he’ll be a major leaguer in the future, but he is having so much trouble with breaking pitches.