During the draft season I anointed David Fletcher as potentially the biggest draft day bargain given his points league projections and average draft position. Preseason I had him ranked 58th overall, which put him in the 5th round. His ADP, however, had him being drafted in the 17th round. He is currently the 58th ranked hitter. I had the 58 right, but that included pitchers. I haven’t calculated year-to-date position-adjusted rankings to see how many pitchers are ahead of him, but a rough estimate puts him at about 80th overall. I never suggested drafting Fletcher anywhere near the 5th round. I believe I recommended targeting rounds 14/15. I own him in every league I am in and he is paying dividends in each of those leagues. Based on these rest of season rankings I have Fletcher as the 37th ranked hitter. That means he’s going to get better, and eventually having Mike Trout back in the lineup will certainly help his cause.
One thing I’d like to mention is that it is very possible that some players might be missing from my list. If a player hasn’t had at least 150 or so plate appearances my formula will not include them in the calculations. If anyone else is missing (or is lower than expected), it could be because said player has missed time due to injury. Let me know in the comments if you’ve uncovered any missing hitters and I will see if I can figure out where they might belong.
2021 Rest of Season Fantasy Points Chart
The following chart shows the rest of season (ROS), current and projected final point totals for the top 150 hitters based on ROS points. As you can see, and perhaps guessed, I have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the hitter who will score the most fantasy points moving forward. His teammate, Cavan Biggio, brings up the rear at 150 slapping Blue Jay bookends to this list. I think I’ve already pointed this out in a recent post, but I did pick Biggio as my 2021 bust. I’m feeling pretty good about that selection considering his 5th round ADP. Can you believe he was only going about 8 picks after Guerrero? We must. We must. We must point out this bust!
Rank | Name | ROS | Current | Final |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 281.94 | 360 | 641.94 |
2 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 275.89 | 302 | 577.89 |
3 | Juan Soto | 247.25 | 252 | 499.25 |
4 | Jose Ramirez | 233.39 | 280 | 513.39 |
5 | Freddie Freeman | 225.37 | 291 | 516.37 |
6 | Marcus Semien | 224.47 | 282 | 506.47 |
7 | Max Muncy | 224.31 | 278 | 502.31 |
8 | Trea Turner | 223.75 | 285 | 508.75 |
9 | Jose Altuve | 223.56 | 278 | 501.56 |
10 | Bryce Harper | 219.83 | 207 | 426.83 |
11 | Whit Merrifield | 218.23 | 278 | 496.23 |
12 | Mookie Betts | 217.81 | 271 | 488.81 |
13 | Bo Bichette | 209.64 | 260 | 469.64 |
14 | Ozzie Albies | 208.54 | 276 | 484.54 |
15 | Kyle Tucker | 205.24 | 241 | 446.24 |
16 | Shohei Ohtani | 203.53 | 310 | 513.53 |
17 | Yordan Alvarez | 200.33 | 207 | 407.33 |
18 | Jesse Winker | 199.19 | 261 | 460.19 |
19 | Matt Olson | 198.84 | 300 | 498.84 |
20 | J.D. Martinez | 198.81 | 266 | 464.81 |
21 | Xander Bogaerts | 197.27 | 262 | 459.27 |
22 | Rafael Devers | 194.83 | 263 | 457.83 |
23 | Nick Castellanos | 194.70 | 271 | 465.70 |
24 | Nolan Arenado | 194.41 | 249 | 443.41 |
25 | Starling Marte | 193.89 | 175 | 368.89 |
26 | Manny Machado | 193.69 | 276 | 469.69 |
27 | Mark Canha | 193.13 | 209 | 402.13 |
28 | Carlos Santana | 193.12 | 242 | 435.12 |
29 | Yuli Gurriel | 192.97 | 261 | 453.97 |
30 | Nelson Cruz | 191.12 | 239 | 430.12 |
31 | Carlos Correa | 190.92 | 253 | 443.92 |
32 | Michael Brantley | 190.59 | 204 | 394.59 |
33 | Alex Bregman | 187.69 | 159 | 346.69 |
34 | Teoscar Hernandez | 186.01 | 172 | 358.01 |
35 | Mike Trout | 184.45 | 111 | 295.45 |
36 | Josh Donaldson | 184.38 | 176 | 360.38 |
37 | David Fletcher | 183.23 | 210 | 393.23 |
38 | Buster Posey | 180.63 | 162 | 342.63 |
39 | Brandon Crawford | 180.56 | 241 | 421.56 |
40 | Francisco Lindor | 179.62 | 200 | 379.62 |
41 | Trevor Story | 179.47 | 199 | 378.47 |
42 | Tim Anderson | 179.15 | 192 | 371.15 |
43 | Kris Bryant | 179.14 | 203 | 382.14 |
44 | Adam Frazier | 178.56 | 248 | 426.56 |
45 | Jose Abreu | 176.45 | 219 | 395.45 |
46 | Austin Meadows | 176.16 | 234 | 410.16 |
47 | Anthony Rizzo | 175.44 | 188 | 363.44 |
48 | Mike Yastrzemski | 175.06 | 193 | 368.06 |
49 | Bryan Reynolds | 174.78 | 255 | 429.78 |
50 | Corey Seager | 174.62 | 96 | 270.62 |
51 | Pete Alonso | 174.38 | 193 | 367.38 |
52 | Jake Cronenworth | 173.52 | 273 | 446.52 |
53 | Alex Verdugo | 173.49 | 226 | 399.49 |
54 | Rhys Hoskins | 173.39 | 214 | 387.39 |
55 | DJ LeMahieu | 172.83 | 198 | 370.83 |
56 | Justin Turner | 172.75 | 238 | 410.75 |
57 | Aaron Judge | 172.46 | 221 | 393.46 |
58 | Cedric Mullins | 172.28 | 270 | 442.28 |
59 | Christian Yelich | 172.06 | 140 | 312.06 |
60 | Max Kepler | 171.56 | 150 | 321.56 |
61 | Franmil Reyes | 171.52 | 135 | 306.52 |
62 | Jean Segura | 171.17 | 156 | 327.17 |
63 | Jared Walsh | 169.71 | 230 | 399.71 |
64 | Mitch Haniger | 169.00 | 240 | 409.00 |
65 | Ramon Laureano | 168.89 | 163 | 331.89 |
66 | Trent Grisham | 168.41 | 173 | 341.41 |
67 | Trey Mancini | 168.04 | 212 | 380.04 |
68 | Paul Goldschmidt | 166.60 | 229 | 395.60 |
69 | Adolis Garcia | 165.47 | 198 | 363.47 |
70 | Jesus Aguilar | 164.56 | 222 | 386.56 |
71 | J.T. Realmuto | 162.80 | 154 | 316.80 |
72 | Eddie Rosario | 162.43 | 174 | 336.43 |
73 | Andrew McCutchen | 161.69 | 215 | 376.69 |
74 | Jorge Polanco | 161.17 | 213 | 374.17 |
75 | Ketel Marte | 160.98 | 114 | 274.98 |
76 | Tommy Edman | 160.58 | 208 | 368.58 |
77 | Chris Taylor | 159.69 | 218 | 377.69 |
78 | Raimel Tapia | 159.38 | 228 | 387.38 |
79 | Yoan Moncada | 158.56 | 160 | 318.56 |
80 | Josh Bell | 158.49 | 159 | 317.49 |
81 | Miguel Rojas | 158.21 | 156 | 314.21 |
82 | Randal Grichuk | 157.11 | 186 | 343.11 |
83 | Anthony Rendon | 157.06 | 133 | 290.06 |
84 | Joey Gallo | 157.01 | 226 | 383.01 |
85 | Yasmani Grandal | 156.97 | 149 | 305.97 |
86 | Will Smith | 155.65 | 163 | 318.65 |
87 | Javier Baez | 155.59 | 159 | 314.59 |
88 | Tyler O’Neill | 155.42 | 157 | 312.42 |
89 | Byron Buxton | 155.38 | 110 | 265.38 |
90 | Yermin Mercedes | 154.36 | 135 | 289.36 |
91 | Kolten Wong | 152.65 | 146 | 298.65 |
92 | Eduardo Escobar | 151.89 | 205 | 356.89 |
93 | Kyle Schwarber | 151.88 | 195 | 346.88 |
94 | Manuel Margot | 151.84 | 173 | 324.84 |
95 | Joey Wendle | 150.84 | 166 | 316.84 |
96 | Robbie Grossman | 150.84 | 212 | 362.84 |
97 | Charlie Blackmon | 150.81 | 184 | 334.81 |
98 | Nick Madrigal | 150.64 | 129 | 279.64 |
99 | Randy Arozarena | 150.33 | 181 | 331.33 |
100 | Austin Riley | 150.10 | 183 | 333.10 |
101 | Salvador Perez | 149.87 | 192 | 341.87 |
102 | Andrew Benintendi | 149.35 | 152 | 301.35 |
103 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 148.15 | 186 | 334.15 |
104 | Giancarlo Stanton | 147.35 | 150 | 297.35 |
105 | C.J. Cron | 145.74 | 164 | 309.74 |
106 | Luis Arraez | 143.69 | 147 | 290.69 |
107 | Justin Upton | 143.67 | 141 | 284.67 |
108 | Cesar Hernandez | 142.78 | 178 | 320.78 |
109 | Ryan McMahon | 142.20 | 188 | 330.20 |
110 | A.J. Pollock | 142.11 | 150 | 292.11 |
111 | Joey Votto | 141.82 | 139 | 280.82 |
112 | Eric Hosmer | 140.39 | 171 | 311.39 |
113 | Tommy Pham | 139.91 | 212 | 351.91 |
114 | Avisail Garcia | 139.80 | 185 | 324.80 |
115 | Hunter Renfroe | 139.55 | 180 | 319.55 |
116 | Austin Hays | 139.19 | 134 | 273.19 |
117 | Yandy Diaz | 138.44 | 161 | 299.44 |
118 | Brandon Lowe | 138.08 | 176 | 314.08 |
119 | Jonathan Schoop | 137.15 | 204 | 341.15 |
120 | Dansby Swanson | 137.08 | 174 | 311.08 |
121 | Kyle Seager | 136.72 | 164 | 300.72 |
122 | Ty France | 136.53 | 184 | 320.53 |
123 | Joc Pederson | 136.50 | 146 | 282.50 |
124 | Freddy Galvis | 136.18 | 128 | 264.18 |
125 | Jeff McNeil | 135.48 | 90 | 225.48 |
126 | Jose Iglesias | 134.04 | 140 | 274.04 |
127 | Nick Solak | 133.80 | 142 | 275.80 |
128 | Enrique Hernandez | 133.46 | 160 | 293.46 |
129 | Omar Narvaez | 133.05 | 150 | 283.05 |
130 | Adam Duvall | 132.93 | 169 | 301.93 |
131 | Evan Longoria | 132.59 | 126 | 258.59 |
132 | Gleyber Torres | 132.23 | 119 | 251.23 |
133 | David Peralta | 131.94 | 171 | 302.94 |
134 | Yadier Molina | 130.60 | 138 | 268.60 |
135 | Willie Calhoun | 130.13 | 113 | 243.13 |
136 | Gio Urshela | 129.80 | 135 | 264.80 |
137 | J.P. Crawford | 128.68 | 182 | 310.68 |
138 | Dylan Carlson | 128.24 | 157 | 285.24 |
139 | Maikel Franco | 128.11 | 139 | 267.11 |
140 | Gary Sanchez | 127.57 | 139 | 266.57 |
141 | Josh Harrison | 127.13 | 158 | 285.13 |
142 | Yan Gomes | 126.51 | 122 | 248.51 |
143 | Alex Kirilloff | 126.41 | 116 | 242.41 |
144 | Nate Lowe | 126.07 | 170 | 296.07 |
145 | Wil Myers | 125.97 | 156 | 281.97 |
146 | Sean Murphy | 125.84 | 144 | 269.84 |
147 | Corey Dickerson | 125.83 | 92 | 217.83 |
148 | Willson Contreras | 125.30 | 146 | 271.30 |
149 | Michael Conforto | 124.09 | 76 | 200.09 |
150 | Cavan Biggio | 123.40 | 96 | 219.40 |
2021 Points Leagues Rankings Chart
This next chart shows the top 150 players’ rankings. Rankings are based on fantasy points. The chart includes current, ROS, and projected final rankings. These values are determined by sorting my spreadsheet by the current, ROS, and projected final fantasy point columns above. I have also included a “Change” column which indicates a player’s change in rank from current to projected final ranks. Positive numbers represent a move up the rankings. I’m guessing that was self-explanatory, but I thought I’d mention it anyway. This chart is sorted by ROS rank.
Rank | Name | Current | ROS | Final | Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
2 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
3 | Juan Soto | 26 | 3 | 10 | 16 |
4 | Jose Ramirez | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
5 | Freddie Freeman | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
6 | Marcus Semien | 7 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
7 | Max Muncy | 9 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
8 | Trea Turner | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
9 | Jose Altuve | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
10 | Bryce Harper | 54 | 10 | 31 | 23 |
11 | Whit Merrifield | 9 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
12 | Mookie Betts | 15 | 12 | 13 | 2 |
13 | Bo Bichette | 23 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
14 | Ozzie Albies | 12 | 14 | 14 | -2 |
15 | Kyle Tucker | 30 | 15 | 24 | 6 |
16 | Shohei Ohtani | 2 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
17 | Yordan Alvarez | 54 | 17 | 37 | 17 |
18 | Jesse Winker | 21 | 18 | 19 | 2 |
19 | Matt Olson | 4 | 19 | 11 | -7 |
20 | J.D. Martinez | 18 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
21 | Xander Bogaerts | 20 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
22 | Rafael Devers | 19 | 22 | 21 | -2 |
23 | Nick Castellanos | 15 | 23 | 17 | -2 |
24 | Nolan Arenado | 27 | 24 | 26 | 1 |
25 | Starling Marte | 85 | 25 | 59 | 26 |
26 | Manny Machado | 12 | 26 | 15 | -3 |
27 | Mark Canha | 52 | 27 | 38 | 14 |
28 | Carlos Santana | 29 | 28 | 28 | 1 |
29 | Yuli Gurriel | 21 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
30 | Nelson Cruz | 33 | 30 | 29 | 4 |
31 | Carlos Correa | 25 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
32 | Michael Brantley | 57 | 32 | 43 | 14 |
33 | Alex Bregman | 107 | 33 | 71 | 36 |
34 | Teoscar Hernandez | 90 | 34 | 67 | 23 |
35 | Mike Trout | 181 | 35 | 116 | 65 |
36 | Josh Donaldson | 83 | 36 | 66 | 17 |
37 | David Fletcher | 51 | 37 | 45 | 6 |
38 | Buster Posey | 102 | 38 | 73 | 29 |
39 | Brandon Crawford | 30 | 39 | 33 | -3 |
40 | Francisco Lindor | 60 | 40 | 52 | 8 |
41 | Trevor Story | 61 | 41 | 53 | 8 |
42 | Tim Anderson | 67 | 42 | 57 | 10 |
43 | Kris Bryant | 59 | 43 | 50 | 9 |
44 | Adam Frazier | 28 | 44 | 32 | -4 |
45 | Jose Abreu | 43 | 45 | 42 | 1 |
46 | Austin Meadows | 35 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
47 | Anthony Rizzo | 69 | 47 | 64 | 5 |
48 | Mike Yastrzemski | 65 | 48 | 61 | 4 |
49 | Bryan Reynolds | 24 | 49 | 30 | -6 |
50 | Corey Seager | 200 | 50 | 142 | 58 |
51 | Pete Alonso | 65 | 51 | 62 | 3 |
52 | Jake Cronenworth | 14 | 52 | 23 | -9 |
53 | Alex Verdugo | 39 | 53 | 40 | -1 |
54 | Rhys Hoskins | 46 | 54 | 46 | 0 |
55 | DJ LeMahieu | 62 | 55 | 58 | 4 |
56 | Justin Turner | 34 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
57 | Aaron Judge | 42 | 57 | 44 | -2 |
58 | Cedric Mullins | 17 | 58 | 27 | -10 |
59 | Christian Yelich | 139 | 59 | 100 | 39 |
60 | Max Kepler | 122 | 60 | 87 | 35 |
61 | Franmil Reyes | 146 | 61 | 105 | 41 |
62 | Jean Segura | 115 | 62 | 84 | 31 |
63 | Jared Walsh | 36 | 63 | 39 | -3 |
64 | Mitch Haniger | 32 | 64 | 36 | -4 |
65 | Ramon Laureano | 100 | 65 | 81 | 19 |
66 | Trent Grisham | 88 | 66 | 75 | 13 |
67 | Trey Mancini | 48 | 67 | 51 | -3 |
68 | Paul Goldschmidt | 37 | 68 | 41 | -4 |
69 | Adolis Garcia | 62 | 69 | 63 | -1 |
70 | Jesus Aguilar | 41 | 70 | 48 | -7 |
71 | J.T. Realmuto | 119 | 71 | 95 | 24 |
72 | Eddie Rosario | 86 | 72 | 77 | 9 |
73 | Andrew McCutchen | 45 | 73 | 55 | -10 |
74 | Jorge Polanco | 47 | 74 | 56 | -9 |
75 | Ketel Marte | 177 | 75 | 137 | 40 |
76 | Tommy Edman | 53 | 76 | 60 | -7 |
77 | Chris Taylor | 44 | 77 | 54 | -10 |
78 | Raimel Tapia | 38 | 78 | 47 | -9 |
79 | Yoan Moncada | 104 | 79 | 92 | 12 |
80 | Josh Bell | 107 | 80 | 93 | 14 |
81 | Miguel Rojas | 115 | 81 | 97 | 18 |
82 | Randal Grichuk | 71 | 82 | 72 | -1 |
83 | Anthony Rendon | 152 | 83 | 121 | 31 |
84 | Joey Gallo | 39 | 84 | 49 | -10 |
85 | Yasmani Grandal | 126 | 85 | 106 | 20 |
86 | Will Smith | 100 | 86 | 91 | 9 |
87 | Javier Baez | 107 | 87 | 96 | 11 |
88 | Tyler O’Neill | 112 | 88 | 99 | 13 |
89 | Byron Buxton | 182 | 89 | 147 | 35 |
90 | Yermin Mercedes | 146 | 90 | 122 | 24 |
91 | Kolten Wong | 131 | 91 | 112 | 19 |
92 | Eduardo Escobar | 56 | 92 | 68 | -12 |
93 | Kyle Schwarber | 64 | 93 | 70 | -6 |
94 | Manuel Margot | 88 | 94 | 85 | 3 |
95 | Joey Wendle | 97 | 95 | 94 | 3 |
96 | Robbie Grossman | 48 | 96 | 65 | -17 |
97 | Charlie Blackmon | 74 | 97 | 78 | -4 |
98 | Nick Madrigal | 159 | 98 | 132 | 27 |
99 | Randy Arozarena | 79 | 99 | 82 | -3 |
100 | Austin Riley | 77 | 100 | 80 | -3 |
101 | Salvador Perez | 67 | 101 | 74 | -7 |
102 | Andrew Benintendi | 120 | 102 | 109 | 11 |
103 | Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 71 | 103 | 79 | -8 |
104 | Giancarlo Stanton | 122 | 104 | 113 | 9 |
105 | C.J. Cron | 98 | 105 | 104 | -6 |
106 | Luis Arraez | 129 | 106 | 120 | 9 |
107 | Justin Upton | 137 | 107 | 125 | 12 |
108 | Cesar Hernandez | 82 | 108 | 88 | -6 |
109 | Ryan McMahon | 69 | 109 | 83 | -14 |
110 | A.J. Pollock | 122 | 110 | 119 | 3 |
111 | Joey Votto | 141 | 111 | 130 | 11 |
112 | Eric Hosmer | 91 | 112 | 101 | -10 |
113 | Tommy Pham | 48 | 113 | 69 | -21 |
114 | Avisail Garcia | 73 | 114 | 86 | -13 |
115 | Hunter Renfroe | 81 | 115 | 90 | -9 |
116 | Austin Hays | 150 | 116 | 140 | 10 |
117 | Yandy Diaz | 103 | 117 | 111 | -8 |
118 | Brandon Lowe | 83 | 118 | 98 | -15 |
119 | Jonathan Schoop | 57 | 119 | 76 | -19 |
120 | Dansby Swanson | 86 | 120 | 102 | -16 |
121 | Kyle Seager | 98 | 121 | 110 | -12 |
122 | Ty France | 74 | 122 | 89 | -15 |
123 | Joc Pederson | 131 | 123 | 128 | 3 |
124 | Freddy Galvis | 162 | 124 | 150 | 12 |
125 | Jeff McNeil | 210 | 125 | 182 | 28 |
126 | Jose Iglesias | 139 | 126 | 138 | 1 |
127 | Nick Solak | 136 | 127 | 136 | 0 |
128 | Enrique Hernandez | 104 | 128 | 118 | -14 |
129 | Omar Narvaez | 122 | 129 | 127 | -5 |
130 | Adam Duvall | 96 | 130 | 108 | -12 |
131 | Evan Longoria | 165 | 131 | 155 | 10 |
132 | Gleyber Torres | 173 | 132 | 157 | 16 |
133 | David Peralta | 91 | 133 | 107 | -16 |
134 | Yadier Molina | 144 | 134 | 144 | 0 |
135 | Willie Calhoun | 179 | 135 | 169 | 10 |
136 | Gio Urshela | 146 | 136 | 149 | -3 |
137 | J.P. Crawford | 78 | 137 | 103 | -25 |
138 | Dylan Carlson | 112 | 138 | 123 | -11 |
139 | Maikel Franco | 141 | 139 | 145 | -4 |
140 | Gary Sanchez | 141 | 140 | 146 | -5 |
141 | Josh Harrison | 111 | 141 | 124 | -13 |
142 | Yan Gomes | 170 | 142 | 161 | 9 |
143 | Alex Kirilloff | 175 | 143 | 170 | 5 |
144 | Nate Lowe | 95 | 144 | 115 | -20 |
145 | Wil Myers | 115 | 145 | 129 | -14 |
146 | Sean Murphy | 135 | 146 | 143 | -8 |
147 | Corey Dickerson | 207 | 147 | 191 | 16 |
148 | Willson Contreras | 131 | 148 | 141 | -10 |
149 | Michael Conforto | 231 | 149 | 207 | 24 |
150 | Cavan Biggio | 200 | 150 | 188 | 12 |
Keep in mind that players that missed time due to injury in the first half are going to see a bigger jump in rank change due to the fact that they will have more plate appearances which equate to more points which results in a higher points-based ranking.
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