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This isn’t about Pete Crow-Armstrong and his hair. A pic of that:

That is reason to not draft him, I’ll grant you that, but, no, it’s not why we’re here. It’s also reasonable to wonder if that hand on his back is the Thing from Addams Family with its nails done. It’s not, as far as I know. Not to be confused with Itt’s nails. Cousin Itt didn’t have hands. Itt had hair. Speaking of which, PCA’s hair is awful. I don’t consider myself a boomer. If you want to do things with your hair, by all means, go for it. What PCA did there? Hideous. I’m not even joking. Blue hair is like blue food. It shouldn’t exist unless it’s natural. Blueberries? Good. Blue raspberry? What godforsaken thing have you done to the wonderful raspberry? Blue hair on old people? Good. Blue hair dyed? That shizz ain’t cute. So, what can we expect from Pete Crow-Armstrong for 2026 fantasy baseball and what makes him overrated?

I had a debate with BDon on our first outfielders podcast (Yes, we had two outfielder pods — four hours of outfielders talk!). The debate was about a point I made in my top 20 outfielders rankings. I said that I felt better about James Wood than PCA for this year because Wood struggled with Ks, a new problem that can correct itself, and PCA struggled with garbage contact. Garbage contact is harder to fix, I argued. Look at the two side by side, Wood is first:

Garbage contact is harder to fix because if a guy doesn’t swing hard and hits weak-wristed doinks, he’s going to continue to do that. That’s his game. He’s not going to suddenly wake up and hit the ball hard. But can a guy wake up and strike out less when he has a good eye (look at Wood’s walks)? Yes, I’d argue that makes more sense. BDon didn’t agree, but who’s got the bully pulpit now? Natch!

It also doesn’t help Pete Crow-Armstrong’s chase rate is hideously awful. His Chase rate in 2024 was 41.4%, and it got worse in 2025; it was 41.7. That’s what you call hideous. To go back to the weak contact, how hard is it to piece this together: Guy swings at ball in dirt outside the zone, where is that ball going if he makes contact? A dribbler to 2nd. Chase rate isn’t the worst thing a hitter can do, but it’s close. Here’s the worst last year:

Can a hitter succeed like that? Well, there’s some okay names on that list, so sure, but none of those names are going anywhere near as high as PCA in drafts. If PCA were being drafted around 120 overall? Oh, I’d be interested. At 30 overall where he is going? Woof, dawg. He’s going in front of James Wood in some leagues! That’s crazy. He’s in front of Machado, Ketel, Cristopher Sanchez, well, some apples and oranges, but you get the picture. PCA has helium and it’s making me talk funny.

Look at his fellow Chase Rate chasers, and then scan to the left to EV. PCA is worse than Sal Perez, Michael Harris II and Yainer. I’m not saying those guys are better than him for fantasy, because PCA does have speed, but those guys are better hitters. PCA has a real chance to have a 12/16/.216 type season. Where did I get those stats from? Well, he went 6/8/.216 in the 2nd half last year, so I did a “just double his numbers.” That was with only a 25.6 K%. Again, I don’t think of that as a positive here. He’s not swinging and missing, he’s swinging and doinking that shizz to the 2nd baseman. At least with a guy like Michael Harris II, as you see above, he swings and misses or hits the ball hard. I’d prefer that!

Also, maybe you don’t know, but Pete Crow-Armstrong is a lefty. No fear of a platoon though, right? Say I am correct, so I can zap you in the head with this bug zapper! Say I am correct! Right?! Bzzt, wrongo! He hit .188 vs. lefties! I’d suggest he shouldn’t be facing them. So, Matt Shaw learns how to play outfield or Chas McCormick gets hot, and PCA is suddenly in a platoon. You’re paying top 30 overall for a guy who might be platooning by June, and can’t make good contact when he is hitting? That’s legit bizzonkers. Stamp this guy schmohawk and let someone else draft him. Please.

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rolliefingers
rolliefingers
1 month ago

All good points. Among the PCA owners, you have to hope that a 23 yr old hitter can continue to improve/develop. Given the speed, is there more upside in stolen bases? It seems like he could have a 20/50 season similar to De La Cruz.

In a points league, keep forever, who would you rather keep: PCA, Woo, Cristopher Sanchez, or Perdomo?

maliciousphenoms
maliciousphenoms
1 month ago

Just started watching Mr In-between
I like it so far

Stl Squat Cobblers
1 month ago

Make a pick yo!

Stl Squat Cobblers
Reply to  Stl Squat Cobblers
1 month ago

sorry that was aggressive!

Will (the other one)
Will (the other one)
1 month ago

Raise your hand if you had Feb 26th for Royce Lewis’s first injury of the season. Pulled a muscle in his side while running the bases during pregame. Dude makes Buxton look durable.

Will (the other one)
Will (the other one)
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Last draft season I swore off Buxton who of course went on to have a career year. This year I’m swearing off Royce Lewis and Lou Bob so prepare for big years from those two injury prone players.

Dom Cobb
Dom Cobb
Reply to  Will (the other one)
1 month ago

Royce and Stanton “I can’t open a bag of chips” oof

The Judge
The Judge
1 month ago

Kind of agree on PCA but I have him at $13 in a team roto auction. It would be PCA or Bednar or Goodman at $10. PCA right? And prayer. Thanks.

No Sleep Til…
No Sleep Til…
1 month ago

Bit of apples/oranges with the SP, but if you could have only one, which would you prefer in a 10 team, H2H Categories league:
– Imai
– Okamoto
– Murakami

…or any other FYPD eligible option. I have the first pick (Kade? Holliday?).

Thanks!

Midwest Coast Redemption
Midwest Coast Redemption
1 month ago

Hey Grey,

Who do you prefer in a 20 team h2h dynasty?

Grant Taylor or Ian Seymour

Big fan of your work and I always appreciate what you do, amigo.

Gracias

Javier in Schmocago

Midwest Coast Redemption
Midwest Coast Redemption
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Thank you!!

David
David
1 month ago

I agree with you on PCA…..12 team 5×5 with OBP replacing AVG. 26 rounds and can keep 3. Which 3 would you suggest? Olson 2nd rd; Acuna 3rd rd; Wood 3rd rd; Skubal 5th rd, Kurtz 15th rd or R. Anthony 24th…….Thank you.

David
David
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Thanks

Philthebluntman
Philthebluntman
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Go Anthony. Can’t pass up the value of the 24 th round.

ellis
ellis
1 month ago

VERY excited for new season!!!

Which should I keep in a 10 team AL only league, 260 budget on draft day, thank you

Joc for 6
Moncada for 6
Nolan Jones for 2
Ober for 11
or none of the above

Ace of Spades
Ace of Spades
1 month ago

Grey

Did you get the chance to see the spring training debut of Ryan Weathers?
Your thoughts ?
I mean, I know it was the Nats and not even most of their starters, but still looked right as rain.
IF he stays healthy, ( I know he is the Royce Lewis of pitchers so big if ) do you think he can stay in the rotation when Rodon and Cole return ?
Another big IF question is, with the Yankee rotation in a few months being Cole/Fried/Rodon/Schitler/ Warren/ Weathers and Gil…IF ( big IF ) they all are pitching to their capabilities and Warren takes the next step and Gil rebounds to his rookie of the year form, do you see the possibility of the Yankees going to a 6 man rotation? Or are you thinking that no matter what Weathers returns to the pen?
I traded a $3 Mitch Keller about a month ago for a $10 Weathers in my 14 team auction keeper league and would like some validation that it wasn’t a dumb trade.
Last nights performance, was a first step in that validation. Your blessing would be the remaining steps .

As always thanks in advance.

P.S. Will you guys be doing the 15 team auction draft ( NFBC ) again this year?
I have had no success in participating the last 2 seasons , but am willing to donate to the cause yet again. It is fun competing with the best of the best.

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Ace of Spades
1 month ago

Dude is trying to throw too hard….cant stay healthy throwing 96 you think he will throwing 99?

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Can I get in there??

Midwest Coast Redemption
Midwest Coast Redemption
1 month ago

Happy New Year, Grey!
Is that still allowed?

I own plenty of PCA shares, buuuut…

In a 20 team h2h dynasty…

Ian Seymour or Grant Taylor?

Thanks amigo!

slimjim13
slimjim13
1 month ago

Mr. Gray which side of this trade

Woo $10 or Arozarena $15 in a $300 salary cap

MarmosDad
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Sorry. I felt the need to add this to make my lunchtime better. I blame the chaos at school.

IMG_7615
Dirt McGirt
Dirt McGirt
1 month ago

As a Cub fans PCA reminds me a bunch of Javy. I hope unlike Javy he learns to use his baseball IQ instead of resist it.

It will be disappointing if PCA puts the Cubs in position to platoon him.

Last edited 1 month ago by Dirt McGirt
Lech
Lech
1 month ago

Would you take Soto over Witt in 12 team OBP league?

Kevin Jones
Kevin Jones
1 month ago

12 Team Points League. I can keep 3 offensive players and 3 pitchers. Which would you keep?

Corbin Carroll (costs 1st round pick)
Gunnar Henderson (costs 2nd round pick)
Cal Raleigh (costs 16th round pick)
James Wood (costs 12th round pick)

Garrett Crochet (costs 15th round pick)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (costs 13th round pick)
George Kirby (costs 6th round pick)
Kyle Bradish (costs 15th round pick)

Thanks

Kevin

Last edited 1 month ago by Kevin Jones
Casey
Casey
1 month ago

Was in a position earlier this month to keep either PCA or Wood. Choice was easy and I’m stoked your article confirmed my decision. Let the schmohawk behind me draft PCA and love with his second half over a full year.

Herman Munster Meme Guy
Herman Munster Meme Guy
1 month ago

So if I have this correct, as I dig deep into that ball brain of yours (I know, why, right) I should read your poetry in position rankings but look at your Grey top 500 for most current?

Thanks – greatly appreciated your work.

Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
1 month ago

Giancarlo: “I can’t open a bottle. I can’t open a bag of chips. That doesn’t matter. I want a full season.”

Is that not the worst spring training quote of all time in terms of outlook?

The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Lol. DoritosBall on the inner half just got added to the Pitch-com.

Captain Obviuos
Captain Obviuos
Reply to  Duda Want to Build a Snowman?
1 month ago

Are you talking about last season when he had tennis elbow in both arms?

galica1234
galica1234
1 month ago

Grey!!

a) Subscribed best investment since the Hoover administration.

b) I’m commish in this league. Draft March 8. Deadline for keepers March 6. Keep 10 (including 1 minor, MUST KEEP one). Roto, 12-team, keep 10, standard 5×5, fantrax.

Hunter Goodman
Nick Kurtz
Gabriel Arias
Junior Caminero
Jacob Wilson
Colson Montgomery
Jo Adell
Zach Cole Jr.
Noelvi Marte
Parker Meadows
Shohei Ohtani
Hunter Barco
Shane Bieber
Chase Burns
Connelly Early
Nolan McLean
Jacob Misiorowski
Jonah Tong
Bryan Woo
Trey Yesavage
Carter Jensen
Sal Stewart
Matt Shaw
Ha-seong Kim
Kevin McGonigle
Brooks Baldwin
Moises Ballesteros
Emmet Sheehan
Roman Anthony
Travis Bazzana
Sebastian Walcott
Leodalis De Vries

Cheers,
Ante

galica1234
galica1234
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Grey!!

Thanks, appreciate you much.

Cheers,
Ante

Premature Adjudication
Premature Adjudication
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Maybe McGonigal as your minor leaguer.

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  galica1234
1 month ago

Thought you gave up Fantasy baseball….where are the jokes at??

IntendedSteb
IntendedSteb
1 month ago

Binged on season 1 of Mr Inbetween. So good. I had no idea Aussies made such quality shows. Thanks for recommending.

bill furlong
Reply to  IntendedSteb
1 month ago

Ray Shoesmith is diabolical, but I kind like him anyway. There are quite a few Aussie and Kiwi tv shows worth your time.

Premature Adjudication
Premature Adjudication
Reply to  bill furlong
1 month ago

“ I’m pretty big on respect. I mean if you respect me I respect you.” Bloody old school and I love it.

bill furlong
Reply to  Premature Adjudication
1 month ago

“I don’t answer questions.”

IMG_3008
OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
1 month ago

My least favorite player in baseball. Already on my list of all time least favorites.

The Kid became a real fantasy baseball this year. Great parenting…question mark???
He learned Roster Resource and Statcast lollypop page. He’s learned how to find guys splits. He has CBS player updates bookmarked on his phone. I can’t get him to read Razzball because no 14 year olds read apparently. But when he doesn’t like my opinion on a player he asks, “what does Albright think?” He’s been going back and watching games from last year on MLB app to scout. He has 5×5 roto stats for the top 300 at least player memorized. He can tell you the AAV of every single player auctioned at NFBC within a dollar or two.

So he did his auction last night and he wants to know how you think he did. NFBC 15:

Fermin $1
FraAlverez $10
Contreras (Willson) $11
Sal Stew $7
Otto Lopez $7
Adames $14
Machado $23
Soto $44
Bellinger $19
Doyle $11
Justin Crawford $5
Delauter $2
Winn $2
Herrera $8
Kirby $20
McClean $16
Framber $19
Eovaldi $12
Leiter $3
Cameron $2
J. Lopez $1
Estevez $14
Sir Anthony $9

Beavers, Rengifo, Bazzana, Oviedo, Abel, Verlander

Smitty
Reply to  OaktownSteve
1 month ago

exceptional!

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

he went a little heavy on pitching. i think the two closers probably good enough to keep him in the middle of the pack and the sp’s are super solid.

We had the average as slightly plus but you never know. Doyle is a key player for him. If he gets something close to ’24 Doyle plus a DeLauter solid season, looks like a competetive team to me.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

he wanted to go pitching forward. he does watch a ton of baseball and he spotted some good hitters for us last year so his thinking was pitching first. nfbc it is harder to find pitching help in season. he was on grisham, stowers and marsee early last year and we ended up with all of them. he figures he can tighten up the offense in faab. so fun to have a kid who’s into the game.

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  OaktownSteve
1 month ago

also beavers could be sneaky help out of the chute and a herrera transition to catcher perks things up as well. good job by the kid.

Paralysis analysis
Paralysis analysis
1 month ago

Hi Grey,
who would you keep in a roto league with both avg and obp. Both players cost the same:
Naylor
CJ Abrams

Thanks!

MattTruss
Admin
1 month ago

RCL drafting Saturday night, 10ET / 7PT needs seven more managers: JOIN HERE

Come play with your favorite writers and commenters for FREE

Captain Obviuos
Captain Obviuos
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Where are you?

MarmosDad
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Legit choked on a carrot at lunch reading this.

bobbyt0805
bobbyt0805
1 month ago

Is being a schmohawk a recommendation for fantasy, or a diss? I think i have gotten this wrong having JUST looked up the definition of schmohawk. And it aint complimentary

Captain Obviuos
Captain Obviuos
Reply to  bobbyt0805
1 month ago

Did you read it?

bobbyt0805
bobbyt0805
Reply to  Captain Obviuos
1 month ago

The definition was “a derogatory Jewish term of affection.”

bobbyt0805
bobbyt0805
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Thank you for clarifying your use of the term.

Mookie
Mookie
1 month ago

all very true. But when you have him for $1…

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
1 month ago

These SPs are free agents in my league..you like any of these, and if so can you rank them
Grant Taylor
Joey Cantillo
Stephen Kolwk
Jacob Latz

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
1 month ago

I like Cantillo the best. Taylor and Latz each have a little super deep league appeal, probably Latz for this year, Taylor long term. Kolek least of the 4

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  OaktownSteve
1 month ago

thank you Oaktown!

Joed1414
Joed1414
Reply to  OaktownSteve
1 month ago

Me too hoping he doesn’t throw to many Hawaiian hangers…..

El Famous Burrito
El Famous Burrito
1 month ago

Dude’s head looks like the balls you can buy at Walgreens.

Last edited 1 month ago by el famous burrito
bobsnyder4210
bobsnyder4210
1 month ago

You just made all the fantasy baseball playing Zoomers grab their phones and rush to burn you on social media…and they typed so fast they all now have hamate injuries. Fine job.

maliciousphenoms
maliciousphenoms
1 month ago

Hey Grey,

Im unable to log into the site from my computer. No problems here on my phone.

I have tried chrome and firefox

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  maliciousphenoms
1 month ago

im ok. I fixed it

Manormachine
Manormachine
1 month ago

PCA’s defense should keep him in the lineup through slumps. That’s the main reason he was in so many sleeper posts last year. But that statcast page is terrifying. I wouldn’t pay for top 50.

Last edited 1 month ago by Manormachine
foxman
foxman
1 month ago

His glove might eliminate a platoon scenario, but he might find himself in bottom third of the batting order vs lefties.
His splits are also very strong home vs away, not sure why so dramatic difference?
All I know as a James Wood owner is that both guys completely disappeared in August. I mean it was as if Ray Shoesmith paid them a visit, that level of disappearance. Do you think it’s two young guys first taste at a full MLB season (wore down/fatigue), pitchers figuring them out (took them 4 months ?) or something else? It was a dramatic fall for both guys post all star break.

fivepoundbass
fivepoundbass
1 month ago

Hey Grey, good stuff. According to the robots, Wood had a much higher max exit velocity last year, which tracks with what you’re saying on having more in the tank than PCA. I will say that if Wood makes a concerted effort to make more contact, his average quality will likely suffer some.

Or, he could just start opening his eyes when he swings. Who knows?

Snacks
Snacks
1 month ago

Sagnof !

Dom Cobb
Dom Cobb
1 month ago

FWIW, Bregman is working with him. I think PCA’s ADP is comparable to when Jarren Duran’s ADP was in the 20’s last year. Maybe next year, (if there is a next year), PCA will be more appropriately priced in the 75-80 ADP range.