I rarely see the owner of the house next door. He inherited the house, renovated it, and is now renting it out. So, it was surprising when I saw him in the front yard one day. I went out and asked him what was going on and the response was that he was looking for a new gardener because the present, or shall we say former, crew was not doing the job they were being paid to do. Skimping on the raking, the cutting, and not coming when they were supposed to. I believe he was hiring them to come every two weeks. Anyways, as a gardener, I guess you could always play off the work that you did by saying, “I raked the leaves. The wind must’ve started blowing more leaves back right away” or “I cut the grass. It must’ve grown much faster this month.” The gardener’s, the dog ate my homework, excuse I guess. Well, Brett Gardner (69.8% owned – decrease of 9.7%) has not been raking lately as well. Is he playing us or is this the case of the baseballs? For full disclosure, I had Gardner as my sleeper coming into the season, so there may or may not be some bias in this evaluation. Before you throw internet tomatoes at my internet head, Gardner went 21/23 last season and was super cheap in drafts. Anyways, currently, he’s batting .198, has hit 1 home run, and stolen 2 bases in 150 plate appearances. Digging into the numbers, Gardner is hitting more ground balls, fewer fly balls, but has an elevated infield fly ball rate. The strikeout rate is up, but so is the walk rate. Other than that, everything else looks the same. In fact, the plate discipline numbers have been better. The swinging strike rate and O-Swing% are lower than the last few years. The BABIP is .256. The only other time it’s been below .300 is way back in 2008. The ISO is at .050. The last time it was under .1 was back in 2012. Now, Gardner is 34 years old, so there’s the chance that Father Time is flexing. With that said, I just don’t think this is the end. I expect some positive regression to the ISO and BABIP numbers. The Yankees are still batting him lead off against both righties and lefites and he’s only sat 3 games so far this season. Will he go 20/20 like last season? Probably not, but 15/15 with a ton of runs scored? I can dig that. You may not think that is sexy, but there were only 25 players in all of baseball to go at least 15/15 last season. TREASURE (This blurb will self-destruct if Gleyber Torres becomes the Yankess leadoff hitter)

Jeff Samardzija (41.9% owned – decrease of 8.9%) has been vomit-inducing gross. 7.63 K/9, 6.62 BB/9, and a 6.04 xFIP. Digging into the numbers won’t be too beneficial here. We have to remember that Samardzija suffered a pectoral strain earlier in the season and is just rounding into form. In essence, it has been Spring Training for him recently. The most encouraging sign has been the return of the velocity on his pitches. At around 88 mph when he first returned, the radar gun was clocking him at 96 mph during his last start. The control is still an issue, though, but that should start to return soon. Samardzija ended as a top 35 pitcher for fantasy last season. If he’s available on the wire, the risk/reward parameters don’t get much better. TREASURE

Matt Adams (63.7% owned – increase of 62.2%) was the most added player in ESPN leagues. .308 average with a .436 ISO!!! Daayyaaamm. Now, that number will obviously come down. Teams will start pitching him differently and there will be an adjustment period. The 10 home runs are very impressive, but what’s really caught my attention are the plate discipline numbers. 14.9% walk rate, 32.3% O-Swing%, and 58.5% F-Strike%. He’s waiting for his pitch and crushing it when it comes, as evidenced by the 40.4% hard contact rate. Batting third or fourth in a potent Nationals lineup definitely helps. Here are some things to consider, though. Adam Eaton will probably return at some point and Adams still does not hit lefties well. In addition, he’s 29 years old and has had hot streaks like this before so….don’t fall for the bananna in the tailpipe again. TRASH

   
  1. Zeus says:
    (link)

    Whatup Son. Agreed on Gardner and on another English surname which is a job, Caleb Smith might be one as well.

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Zeus: I haven’t dug deep into Smith, but you may be right on him. He’s been really good

  2. thekingadrock says:
    (link)

    Thanks for the Samardzija tip – he’s on my waiver wire- i’m buying

  3. Don'tBeAHader says:
    (link)

    Trash or Treasure: J.Lowrie, Matt Carpenter, Dexter Fowler, M. Ozuna?

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Don’tBeAHader: Lowrie – Trash. He is a fine player, but has streaks like this every year. Expect average and power to come down.

      Carpenter – I wrote him up recently.

      Fowler – Trash. I’ve never been a big Fowler guy. He should improve, but the contact numbers are down and swinging strike rate is up. Plus, he’s been moved down the batting order.

      Ozuna – Treasure. I feel like he’s still pressing. Lower walk rate and higher swing rate at the first pitch. Why I feel confident in Ozuna is due to the elevated line drive rate and hard contact rate is an absurd 48%. Once he settles in, I like his chances to start mashing

  4. Teddy Heater says:
    (link)

    And that’s why I call Samardzija Puke Soup!

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Teddy Heater: Ha! For sure. No soup for you!!!!

      • Theodore W Heater says:
        (link)

        @Son: YASSSS!!! HA HA!

  5. Chucky says:
    (link)

    Is the King droppable for the likes of Pivetta? VV? Mahle? I still think the King has something left in the tank. Am I the only one?

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Chucky: I’d much rather have Pivetta over Felix. Probably VV and Mahle as well. I have no faith in Felix. Can’t even call him the K word. I cannot join you on this island, but will airdrop a volleyball and a marker for you

  6. Chris says:
    (link)

    Thanks Son!!!

    This a fair trade?

    Carrasco and Reynaldo for Rizzo and Haniger

    I would get Rizzo and Hniger and this would be my staff:

    Kluber-Weaver-Quintana-Trevor williams-Clevinger-Hellickson-Reyes (DL)-Hand-Iglesias-Diaz

    Thanks!!

    • Chisoxx22 says:
      (link)

      @Chris:
      Check the new trade analyzer, do all my trades with that.

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        I will thanks!

        • Son

          Son says:
          (link)

          @Chris: Yeah, Rudy’s Trade Evaluator is the best!

  7. Mike says:
    (link)

    I’m shopping a combo of nola and Andrew Miller. What kind of return should I get? Sale, Kluber or lower, like carlos Martinez, Morton?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’m shopping for a comb too! Sorry, read that wrong

      • Mike says:
        (link)

        @Grey: is the comb for your glorious stache?

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Mike: I think Sale would be too expensive. Ha! The universe is dope. Anyways, I would want a top 5 guy for sure. With that said, plug it into the trade evaluator: https://razzball.com/trade_analyzer_mlb/. I think one of the problems with trading Nola is that the perception of him probably isn’t commensurate with his ability.

  8. Skillz says:
    (link)

    Need some Razzball love… Herrerra is raking on Waivers… Soler and Belt have been raking on my team… which two you rollin with?

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Skillz: I’d look at the pitching matchups and ballparks each is playing at.

  9. Michael says:
    (link)

    Is Rich Hill trash or treasure? He was just dropped in my 12 team H2H pts league

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Michael: I’d only be interested in a 2-start week with favorable matchups

  10. Dean Chennault says:
    (link)

    It looks like Matt Adams will get more playing time now that Eaton had arthroscopic ankle surgery today.

    All else fails, he’s been a solid schmotato in my 12-team points league.

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Dean Chennault: That definitely helps his cause for more playing time. Ride him while he’s hot

  11. Edward Clinton says:
    (link)

    I punched in the 2 players in a trade and it says, “it’s close but team B is slightly ahead” is that stating the team that ends up with team B’s player is ahead of is ahead because of what team A is offering?

  12. Shark says:
    (link)

    Usually, I think the whole “best shape of his life” thing is so useless. Ironically, I had Matt Adams in the same “Trash” bin you did until Grey happened to mention in one of his nightly blurbs that Adams looked like a totally different person. I looked, and I said holy crap, and bid aggressively for Adams the same week, unfortunately after Adams clubbed some more homers. This is no longer Fat Matt Adams, he’s always hit well given the at bats, and unless he’s a clumsy oaf can totally play left field or first base.

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Shark: For sure. He does look really good. The Eaton surgery helps him and the fact that he’s been competent against LHP all portend for the good times to continue. With that said, I have skepticism, but am open to the possibility that it is real. I just need to see it for a longer stretch and cannot completely disregard past history.

  13. Shark says:
    (link)

    …in my new quest to justify a Matt Adams Fan Club (joke, joke), I was looking at his FG page, and did you know Jeff Sullivan (great writer, analyst) wrote a piece last year highlighting the fact that Adams’ defensive metrics are better than Hosmer the Gold Glover’s?! LOLLLLL Yes, admittedly “many” claim defensive metrics need more refinement, but Adams was better than Hosmer by ALOT LOLLLLL!!!!!!!

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Shark: Just read it. That is crazy. Super-utility Matt Adams!!!! Hey Hey Hey!!!!

      • Terry Dilport says:
        (link)

        @Son: Compare Adam’s last 500 PA to Goldy’s. Slim Adams is raking better.

        • Son

          Son says:
          (link)

          @Terry Dilport: Wow. I did not know how close they were. Good stuff.

  14. gc tacos says:
    (link)

    Arenado and Nola for JD, Snell, Matt Adams, and Senzel

    Which side. This is a Dynasty H2H league.

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @gc tacos: Arenado/Nola side for me

  15. Dr Obvious says:
    (link)

    Two recent drops & they cleared waivers in my 12 team league – who should I take and plug in my utility OF spot to replace Michael Taylor – Billy Hamilton or Brett Gardner?

    • Son

      Son says:
      (link)

      @Dr Obvious: Gardner Dr. Obvious

      • Dr Obvious says:
        (link)

        Thank you!!!

Comments are closed.