Noah Syndergaard seemed poised to help the Mets this year, after breezing through Double-A with a 11+ K/9 and a 3.00 ER in 54 IP in 2013.  “Matt Harvey on line one, wants Noah to take the call.  Sure, he can hold, he only has the Ghost of Ralph Kiner on the other line.  No, he can’t hold!”  Of course, the Mets can’t have anything nice.  It’s what happens when a club makes a deal with the devil in 1986 for a championship and a Cadillac filled with cocaine.  “I said to take the compact Pontiac Sunbird filled with coke and 15 years of bad karma, instead of the Cadillac and 30 years of bad karma.”  That’s Keith Hernandez explaining his side of things.  In June, Syndergaard was sidelined with a sprained shoulder.  Egads!  But it was his non-throwing shoulder.  Egadless!  The Mets are in the same pickle as every other organization that has a Triple-A affiliate in the PCL.  If they send them to Triple-A, they’re gonna get knocked around.  No, I have no idea why they would have a league that shatters pitchers’ confidence.  But, there they are.  And there was Syndergaard’s confidence being splattered on the wall like a scene from Game of Thrones.  Don’t throw a strike, it’s the white walkers!  In Triple-A, he threw 133 IP, and had a 9.8 K/9, 2.9 BB/9 and a 4.60 ERA.  Lowercase yay.  It’s Midnight in the Syndergaarden of Good and Evil and Kevin Spacey is unconvincingly playing a heterosexual.  Snoozegaard, you suck, moving on!  Or does he?  Damn, you reversal question!  Anyway, what can we expect of Noah Syndergaard for 2015 fantasy baseball?

I expect good things.  I’m ignoring the PCL numbers.  I’m pretty much convinced it’s easier to pitch in Metco vs. the NL East, than it is to pitch in the PCL.  Want an example?  Look at Jacob deGrom’s Triple-A numbers vs. his major league ones.  (Please don’t tell me about how DeGrom learned a change from Johan; I know.  The PCL is still tough and deGrom had better peripherals in Metco.)  I believe in my heart of hearts (which is a tiny heart I have inside my other heart that’s labeled Giancarlo) that Syndergaard wasn’t even bad last year.  He had a 145/43 K/BB and a 3.70 FIP.  It’s not his fault that pitching in Vegas means that everyone who gets three cherries at Binion’s gets to throw a pitch in a Syndergaard uni with it counted on his line.  Since Syndergaard can’t throw safely 200 IP next year (prolly around 160), he won’t be up immediately in April, so he’s still a bit of a stretch to draft for mixed leaguers in redraft leagues.  Right now, the Mets have a starting five: Matt Harvey, Bartolo Colon, Jon Niese, Zack Wheeler and DeGrom. Harvey has risk attached to him, Fartolo can’t be counted on and Niese seems to get hurt all the time (maybe it’s that odd five-foot shadow that extends from his nose).  I’m guessing Colon and Niese will be good for about 240 IP combined, which leaves about 160 IP unaccounted for (if you need 400 IP from both of them).  Figure Dillon Gee gets some starts, maybe prospect Steven Matz gets some starts and perhaps Rafael Montero.  That leaves about 100 IP for Syndergaard and around a mid-June/early-July call-up.  For 2015, I’ll give him the projections of 6-4/3.61/1.29/89 in 100 IP.  Solid numbers for an NL-Only league, and definitely someone I’ll be all-in on once he finally gets his chance.  Though, this is the Mets and their Cadillac of coke karma that can’t ever be ruled out.

 
  1. Swfcdan says:
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    Im slow, this was meant for the Rusney post but answer anyway please:

    Looking at their list of OFs going into next year im kinda worried about Betts who I have in a keeper. Think theres any chance he’s platooned or sent to AAA to start the year? Shouldnt be but theres gotta be one odd man out unless they make a deal or Hawaians hamstrings shatter, probably most likely its Rusney. Just keeping the hype machine in check yo (so I can grab him in my other keeper draft).

    In a prospect draft would Rusney be in your top 3 picks now? Have first overall in one, im kinda tempted for the potential immediate production.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Swfcdan: No idea who’s available, could be top 3

      • Swfcdan says:
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        @Grey: Well would you take him over Rodon or Schwarber?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I would if I were trying to win in 2015

  2. JeF With 1 F says:
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    I dont think Noah ever throws a pitch for the Mets…feels to me like hes getting traded.

    • Swfcdan says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: Need your fact of the day man, place ain’t the same without it. Or at least tell us all what site you get them from.

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Swfcdan: snapple facts

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: I don’t think that would be a smart move by the Mets, which might reenforce it happening…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: I think they hold Noah and move Wheeler. He’s major league ready, they aren’t ready to compete til 2016 at the earliest, the emergence of deGrom, they still have Gee who is a perfect 5th starter, I think Montero is gone but even if they don’t move him there is another reason to move wheeler.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Montero is likely the one that’s gone… Niese and Colon aren’t safe to go a full season, and Gee looked lost last year, so he might be a spot starter… Noah should get in, just unlikely from April…

  3. royce! says:
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    Egadless! Ha!

    Hope your Colombia trip went well. An odd choice, but I might just think that because I’m obsessed with going somewhere cold due to southern California abandoning the idea of winter…heading to SF tomorrow to celebrate our 10th anniversary, and I’m hoping that it’ll be in the 50s. Maybe a drizzle!

    Re: the PCL- someone from the Padres once told me that they try to promote their better pitchers from AA so as to avoid AAA ruining them; I bet they’re not the only ones doing this, which probably inflates hitters’ numbers even more.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! It was 95 degrees and 95% humidity… So, you would’ve hated it… I didn’t loved it either, but not because of that… It was Shadesville, which I guess I could’ve expected, but it didn’t quite click in my brain beforehand… Congrats on the anniversary! Give your best to you wife (or the best you got!)…

      PCL — The Dodgers do that too… From what I could tell, the Mets didn’t make a habit of this…

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: Years a go I my dad said the best arms and talent are in AA.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Because the hitters aren’t good?

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: he read thats where they like to protect the talent.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I guess if we’re talking just the minors…. Obviously the best talent is in the majors…

      • royce! says:
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        @Grey: Yeah, that doesn’t sound like my cup of tea, but it does sound like a steaming hot cup of tea, so, weird, huh? A family friend is in the diplomatic corps. They alternate between cush and sketchy assignments, and Columbia (along with Iraq) was one of the latter. I’m tempted to think that its reputation is just American overraction and drug war propaganda, but I don’t even have a passport, so wtf do I know.

        Re: anniversary- I don’t even care for Star Trek, but the first thing I thought when I read your comment was “I’m givin’ her all she’s got, Captain!” Anyhoo…we’re gonna eat at a fancy place tomorrow and then hit up my favorite Korean spicy chicken wing place in Oakland on Saturday. Everything in moderation!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That sounds awesome… What fancy place?

          As someone who has just returned from Colombia, it’s sketchy, and I have a pretty high tolerance for these things… There was at least one moment each day where I felt like I could get killed… One of my friends was shook down by the cops too, and needed to pay them off to be let go… Also, no one speaks English to the point where cab drivers didn’t know our hotel name, and it was one of three luxury hotels (they should’ve known)….

          • royce! says:
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            @Grey: We’re going to Saison, which only sounds like a totally generic mall “bistro”… Colombia sounds exciting! Now you should go on a cruise and tell everyone about how your usual travels are much more exciting…you’ve earned it!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Saison looks awesome, wish I was going… Grey’s gonna crash!

              I’m gonna go to Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan next… Bucket list, baby!

              • royce! says:
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                @Grey: You’d certainly save yourself the time required to write the rest of your bucket list if you went there…so efficient!

                Saison better be good…and feel free to crash. We’ve run out of things to talk about after 10 years of marriage and I’m sure we could fill at least an hour and a half evaluating sleeper picks and praising your mustache

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Your wife did love Brad Miller!

                  • Montezuma's Revenge... right now says:
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                    @Grey: jesus, making me feel safe over near ferguson here Grey-o. good thing you made it back.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ha, oh yeah…

    • Birdmann says:
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      @royce!: raining here now (Bay Area)

      • royce! says:
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        @Birdmann: Fabulous!

  4. JeF With 1 F says:
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    Been hearing today the Mets are after Brad Miller lol

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      You’ll be hearing later on that preseason 2014 Grey is advising them!

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Grey: Ha Ha

  5. Scott says:
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    5×5 dynasty league

    I have Jose Fernandez and was offered Matt Harvey for him.

    Do I take it? Is it a pure toss-up which one you’d prefer?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d want Harvey

  6. Big Al says:
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    Speaking about the Met’s pitching staff. Rumors have it there moving the fences in again, since it didn’t produce much more offense. Hitting is so anemic a league wide mandate is necessary to bring in all fences in every ball park. I’m thinking minimum down the lines 300 ft. Left and right center 340, and dead center 375. I want more 12 to 10 games. Pitching is so deep anyway. If you want to attract really good hitters you need hitters ballparks. Make it even for everyone. What dimensions would you use. Anybody out there have idea’s like this ? They won’t give us steroids back sooooooo ????

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      The Mets did bring in their fences again, but it’s not a big enough difference to change much… Padres need to bring in their fences 150 feet…

  7. J-FOH says:
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    Logic was on Jimmy Fallon last night performing “I’m Gone” with the Roots

    • nick the dick says:
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      @J-FOH: *sigh*

      • J-FOH says:
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        @nick the dick: it’s OK, I still love you but we can agree to disagree. I like Kendrick too.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Don’t hate the Logic…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      *going to Youtube to watch*

  8. Tehol Beddict says:
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    Grey is God

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      The Lord Savior

  9. Ender's Game says:
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    Yeah, it’s tough evaluating pitchers who last played in the PCL. I tend to lean heavily on what scouts say, since their numbers don’t reveal much, unless they completely implode, or unless they’re awesome, neither of which was true of Syndergaard. I think he’ll be good eventually, though I’m not so sure the Mets give him much opportunity in 2015, since they have so many arms.

    On another note… in a deep keeper, which side of this trade offer to you like:
    Team A: Hyun-jin Ryu
    Team B: Neil Walker & Matt Garza

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Walker side

  10. birrrdy! says:
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    So genius. Thanks, Grey.

  11. J-FOH says:
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    Hey lil Magnum PI, did you catch the boobs to distract you

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Always catching boobs! Also, I think I caught something in Colombia… I might’ve spoke too soon on the dysentery front…

      • Mordacious Levator says:
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        @Grey: hope it’s just a common cold from down there, but foreign versions of those get on top of you too. You’ll know it if it’s dysentery, it’s like food poisoning, only worse, and not short term (until you fix it)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’m clogged now, so I think I’m okay

  12. Jeff P says:
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    Syndergaard or Archie Bradley for 2015 and long term?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ll have a Bradley post soon…

      • Jeff P says:
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        @Grey: I had both warming my bench in a keeper league last year. I definitely don’t have spots to keep both, who would you keep if Bradley cost 2 rounds higher?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Noah

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