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In nineteen-aught-eight, William Howard Taft defeated William Jennings Bryant for the presidency; the 4th Olympics took place in London under the glower of crooked teeth; Cy Young pitched his 2nd no-hitter with nary an undershirt; Henry Ford called a Jewish toddler a “baby of suspicious origin;” Orville Wright laid out his plans for flight which included “a crappy bag of peanuts to all passengers and getting hit in the head by elbows as other passengers walk down the aisle,” and Leon Trotsky ate a bean and cheese burrito, getting explosive, uncontrollable diarrhea which resulted in excessive swearing and fist clenching, hence the term “the trots.”  1908 was also famous as being the last year Michael Taylor wasn’t a fantasy baseball sleeper.  We’ve come a long way since then.  The remarkable thing about this bit of trivia is it would lead one to believe Michael Taylor was a sleeper as early as 1909, yet he’s still only 26 years old.  There’s something to be said for aging well, and being bad at math.  Yes, we’ve come to the end of our fantasy baseball rookie posts and we’re onto our fantasy baseball sleepers.  You’re very welcome.  So, what can we expect from Michael Taylor for 2018 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?

In only 399 at-bats last year, that’s only 118 games, he had 19 homers and 17 steals.  I’m sorry, but this guy is a sleeper?  Maybe you’re sleeping on him, because his back looks like a somewhat comfortable Ikea sofa, but why are you sleeping on him figuratively?  Porque, señor y cinco señoritas?  Is it because he can’t hit for average?  Is that the reason?  You know I’m entrapping you, right?  He hit .271 last year!  What bad average?  Sure, his BABIP was high (.363), and he might hit only .250, but how many times do I have to say you want guys that give power and speed?  His HR/FB% was a little high for him (20%), so maybe that drops down to 17%.  If that happens, but he gets an extra 150 ABs, he’s still going to hit 20 HRs.  Yawn, snooze, bleh?  Okay, but he also stole 50 bags one year in the minors, and he’s fast.  As Leon Trotsky might’ve said, “Taylor’s got the good trots.  Unlike me, who has the bad trots.  Explosively.”  If Taylor plays an extra thirty games to put him around 150 games played, he’s easily stealing another five bases.  20/22/.250 sounds like whatever, but that’s an easy top 40 outfielder.  Taylor, however, is being drafted back with the nobodies in the top 80 outfielder world.  Adam Eaton will likely hit leadoff, which means Taylor might be relegated to the bottom of the order.  That hurts his value, but has Eaton ever stayed healthy?  I’ve heard anecdotes about it, but have we seen it?  Taylor could easily go H.A.M. and move up the order if Eaton goes down again.  I’m going to assume Eaton will stay healthy, but that sounds silly even as I write it.  Oh, and Taylor will be the magical 27 years old in 2018.  He’d be the first person ever to have a career year at 27?  Rhetorical!   For 2018, I’ll give Michael Taylor the projections of 62/20/70/.253/22 in 503 ABs with a chance for much more, especially on the runs and RBIs front.

   
  1. Jose says:
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    I have Michael A. Taylor as my CF in both my Scoresheet teams because of his defense, which is elite (was 2.18 and I hope it will jump 2.20 in 2018). If he can hit .250 to .275 with 20+ HRs and SBs , I will be happy. He is going to hit seventh for me ahead of Lucroy, who will have a better OBP in front of the pitcher, to turn the lineup over. The pitcher can them either lay down a sacrifice bunt or make the last out.
    Here is the better of the two teams:
    1-Murphy -2B
    2-Goldy – 1B
    3-Harper – LF
    4- Arenado – 3B
    5- Ozuna – RF
    6- Cozart – SS
    7- Taylor – CF
    8- Lucroy – C
    9- Strasburg – SP

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jose: Nice! Sounds solid, Jose! Or there’s a way, Jose.

  2. Tweak says:
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    I think some regression is reasonable here, given that Taylor had a .363 BABIP this past season. I’d guess his numbers will even out to last year’s, but played out over the extra games. Not sure how his 32% K-rate is going to play next season. Hopefully, he’ll improve in what should be a peak year. Your projections are solid, as usual.

    Separately, do we have a sense for how his new non-Dusty manager feels about steals?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Tweak: Dave Martinez? Served under Maddon, so he’s essentially nuts and a disciple of The Sciosciapath.

  3. DBo says:
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    Dynasty league, Nelson Cruz + Jimmy Nelson (IR spot) or Cueto? When will Cruz fall off and/or can Cueto rebound?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @DBo: Cruz side

  4. captainpyper says:
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    Hola December Grey!!!!!

  5. knucks says:
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    T-H.A.M.

    Its what’s for breakfast.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @knucks: I wanna eat that shizz all day

  6. JoeG414 says:
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    Early SP Question

    Draft Paxton or Duffy ? 6×6 mixed

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Pax

  7. jb says:
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    Grey – does Mike Montgomery get a chance to start this year full time for the Cubbies? If so, wouldn’t that make him a worthy sleeper candidate?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I hope so, homey… I think they add one more starter, and Montgomery gets a chance to start, but they might add two more and Montgomery is bumped again…

  8. Jack Deth says:
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    “especially on the runs” oh yeah, we’ll call him Hey Mr. Trotter

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

  9. Member Berries says:
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    you see that video of Tommy Pham on that treadmill going 21mph? pretty impressive but not as impressive as pulling out that mirror from his back pocket after stealing a bag

    Thoughts on Stanton being moved for Panik and two prospects? I dont like them disrespecting your novio like that
    As much as I’d like to see him in Dodger blue, I would hate to see him make the Giants relevant again, and this seems like a step in that direction

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Damn, 21 MPH? Link please

      Marlins move him for Panik then Jeter should have to sell back to Loria

      Stanton won’t make the Giants relevant, he’ll do about as much as he did in Miami. I love the guy like a stripper loves a banana, but he’s only helping so much.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Grey: And he’s going to an awful park for right handed power. This trade is so bad, the prospects they’re getting are C+ level talents. One of them is Young Beedah aka Tyler Beede aka The awful Boston Strong song we pooped on during the podcast a couple of years back. The other is Chris Shaw who is just a power hitting corner guy.

        This guy almost hit 60 homers and is being moved for pennies on the dollar. I get that it’s a ton of money, but come on!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Wait, is it official?

          • Ralph Lifshitz

            Ralph Lifshitz says:
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            @Grey: No, not official but it’s been the only thing talked about. Seems like a matter of time, but then again it’s not done yet.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Man, I hope not… Giancarlo deserves better. My boo!

              • Ralph Lifshitz

                Ralph Fantasy Cyborg says:
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                @Grey: Giancarlo to Colorado for Dahl, Story, and Parra. Then the Rockies sign Zack Cozart.

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I literally just fainted. Thanks, Ralph!

  10. Member Berries says:
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    it’s on his twitter
    you’ll have to scroll down to Nov 9

    https://twitter.com/tphamlv?lang=en

    not sure where i first saw this video but it said mph on there

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Awesome!

  11. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Almost time to welcome Ohtani to The Shohei! (are we all out of puns yet?)

    I forget, are your sleeper posts in order of excitement too like your rookie posts?

    Very intrigued by Taylor, but a little worried about the combo of Eaton and Robles pushing him out of a starting gig.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, I didn’t order my sleeper posts, Taylor’s just one of 20… I’m excited about all of them tho….

      re: Shohei — Our puns have not yet started, sho’ hei!

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: Shohei the money!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Otani boy, the teams, the teams they are calling!

  12. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Also, in a keep forever league as your final keeper . . . $5 Eddie Rosario or $11 Devers (+$3 annually). Is it close?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Devers, it’s close for 2018

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Grey: Thanks – that’s where I was landing too. In a keep forever, it really seems to sway to Devers on the chance that he break out with an Arenado-lite type of deal (.285 30 dongs or so and some SBs). Rosario feels like he’ll be draftable at under $10 despite the great season.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, Devers is too much upside to pass on

  13. DonnieB says:
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    Do you like Sano this year even after surgery? Take him over Yelich or Pham?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I do like Sano…Have to see in the rankings where they all land, prolly over those other two tho

      • DonnieB says:
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        Thanks. I pick next

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          You’re drafting already?

          • DonnieB says:
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            NFBC Draft Championship

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Eff, that’s early… No trades have even happened yet…

  14. DonnieB says:
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    You wanna partner up for a draft—-maybe in Vegas?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I wanna make some money, duckets, cashola!

      • DonnieB says:
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        Whatever that means! That’s all we will do is make money.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’m making it rain right now with no rain, papa!

  15. Matt says:
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    Meat lovers or supreme?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Is Meat Lovers an overpriced sneaker and t-shirt store too?

  16. A2K says:
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    Michael Taylor or Ozzie Albies in a dyson air blade?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Albies

  17. Anodyne says:
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    Hey Grey, great post on Taylor. In keeper leagues do you like him better than Gregory Polanco?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks! Meh, I’d lean Polanco still…

      • Anodyne says:
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        @Grey: Cool, thanks. Where would you rank Ryan McMahon relative to those two (again, in keepers)?

  18. zach says:
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    Austin Hays or Taylor for 2018?

    Thanks!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Taylor

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