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I’m Buzzkill Aldrin this preseason, huh?  Just call me Killjoy McAvoy!  Don’t hate the player, hate the game, or in this case, watch as I hate players that play the game.  First, I call Miguel Sano overrated, and now the other supremely hyped 2nd year guy, Kyle Schwarber.  I may as well just say Carlos Correa has gout and call it a day.  You know, not a lot of ‘perts would call Sano and Schwarber overrated, so if nothing else I’m getting an A in Balls.  Potentially, an F in Smarts.  But maybe I’ll get a C in Being Aware of My Lack of Smarts, which gives me a C overall and passes me through to the next grade.  I’m not getting placed in any AP classes next year though.  I’m hanging out the window with my grade A Balls and letting everyone know that I have a problem where everyone else has none.  At first, I was shocked that so many people were on board with Sano and Schwarber, but, once I saw everyone was on board, it was only natural that every everyone was on board.  I mean, what is fantasy prognosticating without repeating back to you exactly what everyone else is saying, right?  This is one of ESPN’s rare qualities.  Everyone says Kyle Schwarber is good?  Great, he’s good; now, let’s move on so we can get out of here by lunch.  Member that time they did a video of their rankings summit?  Ten minutes of Cockcroft rolling his eyes, five minutes of Karabell getting his makeup touched up, fifteen minutes of Berry hitting on Karabell, thinking he was a girl.  Good times!  I understand the urge to be positive on Schwarber.  He hits the ball a long way.  He is exciting.  But, alas…. Anyway, what makes Kyle Schwarber overrated for 2016 fantasy baseball?

Here’s what I said in the top 20 catchers for 2016 fantasy baseball, “In Triple-A, he had a 34.3% strikeout percentage, then came up to the majors and had a 28.2% rate.  Normally, guys don’t hit above .250 with that kind of rate and neutral luck, and he hit .246 last year.  His plate discipline isn’t off the charts bad, but his contact rate is awful.  He doesn’t hit a ton of pitches he swings at.  If he qualified last year, he would’ve been the 4th worst player for contact rate.  From June through September/October, here’s his batting averages:  .364, .302, .221, .208.  Shorthand of what was being said on pitching mounds in June, “We can’t get this guy out.”  Shorthand in September, “Just throw him some offspeed crap in the zone.”  He could make adjustments this year, but I wouldn’t go near him to find out.”  And that’s me quoting me!  Further (oh, snap, Grey’s going further!), what do you think Joe Maddon is going to do with Jorge Soler, Javier Baez, Matt Szczur, Arismendy Alcantara, and Kris Negron?  Just let them all sit on the bench?  Negron, please!  Most of Schwarber’s replacements last year weren’t good and Maddon still sat Schwarber against lefties.  I felt Schwarber was overrated prior to Fowler re-signing with the Cubs, but now there’s no way I’d go anywhere near Schwarber.  As I said in my update on the top 60 outfielders, Soler is the odd man out, and could be traded, but A) If Soler is traded, it should help Soler, but Schwarber will still be in a platoon.  B) Schwarber will be platooned no matter what.  C) There’s no C.  D) Read A and B again!  Suddenly, a manager that does nothing but platoon everyone is not going to platoon the one player in his lineup that most calls for a platoon?  Maddon might play Bryant in the outfield once a week and sit Schwarber.  Maddon might sit Schwarber and start Baez or Szczur just because he wants to play a Z for ten points.  Schwarber won’t catch more than a handful of games all year, if that many.  Unless Antonio Alfonseca is reading this, a handful is five!  Anyone that has watched Maddon for an Urban Dictionary minute knows he likes to mix it up more than Kid Capri.  Schwarber will be lucky to get 500 ABs.  If Schwarber struggles due to Ks and Soler is hitting?  Schwarber is quickly going to be the odd man out.  Maddon is the headmaster at the School of Hard Knocks, and if you’re not hitting hard knocks, you’re getting schooled.  Schwarber could absolutely bomb out…or he could hit bombs out.  He does have that huge power; I’m not denying that, but for his current price, I’m not going anywhere near him in drafts.

   
  1. Baseball Fan 2000 says:
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    Hey as long as you pass who cares about AP credits!

    Schwarber was only in AAA for 17 games, 67 PA. In 2015 he spent a good chunk of the year in AA (58 Games, 243 PA), and posted a 20.2 K% (albeit with a strong 17.3 BB%) that makes his 28.2% K% in the majors in a similar sample size more reasonable.

    Does this make him more palatable to you, or not enough to justify the price?

    Thanks,

    A huge fan

  2. Bombo Rivera says:
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    I know that Austin Jackson has yet to find a home, but we need ONE MORE person to join us for what looks like the inaugural RCL draft of the 2016 season. RCL #19 is drafting this Sunday at 10:30 AM EST, so sign up to help us kick this thing off!

    Link: http://games.espn.go.com/flb/tools/join?leagueId=20383&inviteKey=7cf50
    Password: rocky

  3. ferris says:
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    8 dynasty keepers

    Assuming equivalent value, how many hitters versus how many SPs?

    I’m leaning 7 to 1, with Puig over King Felix for the last spot.

    • MJC says:
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      @ferris:
      No way puig sucks. Felix all day over him

  4. jay says:
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    Grey,

    I know you hate taking starters early, but I can’t help but notice how much Kershaw is worth in 12 team 5×5 roto leagues when converting his projections to dollar amounts. I have mocked a few times taking Kershaw at around 4 or 5 and coming back I usually get a choice of Abreu/EE and then Marte/Springer. Based on getting some combo of these players in rounds 2/3, is it worth going over to the dark side and taking a starter in round 1?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @jay: I have dollar amounts in my rankings and he’s not worth more

  5. Trial Baby says:
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    Damn Grey, you’re killin’ me! Your first three Schmohawks are some of my best keepers. I’ve got them all at a significant discount though. Each $10 or under Auction League. I do agree re: Fowler. The Sole timeshare with Fatty Schwarber is going to impact him more than people know. IF the Cubs keep Soler around…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Trial Baby: As long as you’re not paying the going rate

    • ScreechOwl says:
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      @Trial Baby:

      I think that’s the huge difference between leagues.

      I’m thrilled to have Sano, but the only price I paid for him was a 21st round draft pick a couple of years ago, and he’s now a terrific OF3 or UTIL guy on my team and will be for years (I hope). I don’t know if I’d take him with a 4th round pick just for 2016.

      Beware, by the way. Soler is one of my backup outfielders, so I’m getting my Schwarber voodoo doll ready for the season.

  6. FredWord

    Fredsteroni Pie says:
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    Geez Grey. You’re putting me between a rock and a soft place. I have both Sano and Schwarber in a keeper league and have been going back and forth on who to keep. I get to keep 3 guys from last season.

    So far I have decided to keep Altuve 7th round, Thor last round.

    Sano or Schwarber would cost me a 2nd to last round pick.

    Odor would be a 21st round pick.
    Donaldson would be 9th overall pick. (Not much value)
    Hosmer 8th round.

    Help a brother out por favor.

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @Fredsteroni Pie: Id keep Donaldson, hes worth the pick.

      • Robert says:
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        @JeF WiTh 1 F: At that pick though the best he can do is return the actual value of the pick, not much chance of him being better than 8th, but a good chance at being worse. Wouldn’t you go with the higher upside guy later?

    • farcus says:
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      @Fredsteroni Pie: no question you go with sano or schwarber. personally I believe in sano more than schwarber, but either one is great value as a second to last rounder…

      I agree with grey that they’re overrated right now, and I’d steer clear of them where they’re going in drafts, but just because they’re overrated as top 30-40 picks doesn’t mean their completely without value. give me a first round pick and sano over Donaldson and a penultimate rounder any day.

      • ChefBoyRG54 says:
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        @farcus: yep

  7. Murray says:
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    I have the option of keeping Schwarber for the cost of an 11th round pick. The other option I’m considering is Sano, who would also only cost me an 11th-round pick. Do you feel like that’s good value for either guy? Seems like it is, but I like to ask questions. Also, if you had the choice, would you go Schwarber or Sano in this situation? I’m leaning Schwarbs because I can play him at C.

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @Murray: Sano…no time share

      • Murray says:
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        @Grey: You guys are awesome. Gracias.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  8. Dodger Rabbit says:
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    Speaking of Schmohawks, ESPN’s Eric Karabell (a.k.a. Office Spaces’ Michael Bolton) recently said that Billy Hamilton will lose the CF job to Jose Peraza this year. Keith Law chatted yesterday that he thinks Billy has just enough OBP to keep his playing time, but should be batting 8th or 9th.

    Seems like they’re both saying what you were saying last year (he can’t hit), though Billy performed better than his Razz projections. What your thoughts are going into this year regarding a potential loss of playing time to the Reds’ newest burner (Peraza).

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dodger Rabbit: Peraza will go to 2nd when they finally get BP to go to a contender

  9. scott steelers says:
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    Would you trade Sano 11th rd (can keep for 8 more years) keeper for Rizzo 4th rd (last season he can be kept) and a 3rd rd pick?

  10. Schlitz says:
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    Not that I disagree, but I’m trying to reconcile your takes on Sano and Schwarber with Bryant’s high ranking when kb has some of the same red flags (30%k and .378 babip) as those schmos.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Schlitz: Talked about this yesterday in the comments

  11. Mike says:
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    When are we getting those keeper ranking Grey????

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mike: Question for Ralph or JFOH

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Mike: I’m told Sunday or Monday

  12. DozierTheDozierian says:
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    I knew you fielded this topic a bit yesterday, but how much shine is off Soler with the playing time reduction? In my H2H (10-team) I can keep him at 14th round value but with 3 of my 5 OF slots already filled, the platoon has me thinking Carrasco in the 7th is a better choice. I may actually be able to get Soler back later in the draft now. Thoughts? Keep up the great work!

  13. LT says:
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    Grey,
    I’ve been a fan for a long time. I have had great success using your rankings each year at my drafts and have always felt good about waiting on pitching. I’ve mock drafted many many times yet and talked with guys in the league and come back to this problem every time. In the 4th round I’m seeing pitching available that’s great and offensively seeing such a drop off. Each time I’m drafting a combo of rizzo, matte, springer or best player, Abreu, springer. Then I’m seeing Degrom or Jose Fernandez or at best Jason Heyward/shmowhawks. Is it the play when everyone passes on pitching?

    • Rufus T. Firefly says:
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      @LT: Seeing the same thing. Tough call.

    • Fungazi says:
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      @LT: Seems like using his rankings you would take Greg Polanco there.

      • LT says:
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        @Fungazi: he’s getting taken like late 7th rd on the earlier side. Not 4th, rankings don’t mean reach like that.

        • Fungazi says:
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          @LT: Ok, you said you were using his rankings, not yours..

          • knucks says:
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            @Fungazi: I’m with LT here. I have polonco on the radar and in the queue. but why take him in the 4th if he is always there in the 6th and 7th?

            • knucks says:
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              @knucks: of course, my real draft isn’t with a bunch of goofballs like these mocks are, so I can see what you are saying Fungazi. but I think what LT is pointing at is about reading the room and not reaching when you don’t have to.

              • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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                @knucks: polanco’s ADP is 104th and before anybody starts in on “well some sites have him much lower/higher than others” here’s his spots in NFBC, yahoo, espn, RTS (90/90/102/126), so that’s 9th round in a 12 teamer. and even if we go ONLY go with the 90 as safer number that’s 8th, so reaching for him in the 6th is virtually guaranteed to get you him, and could gamble on the 7th or later. heyward much earlier at 69th.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @LT: Sure, if you want to take a SP

      • knucks says:
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        @Grey: might be a slight reach and not everyone’s choice but I’m taking Thor there if available at the end of the 4th. Sometimes g. cole is there too. degrom/jo-fer is usually gone in a lot of the mocks i’ve been in. Grabbing carrasco/salazar alot in the 6th round too.

  14. Rubik's Pube says:
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    Still trying to fill an RCL drafting at 7:30 E.T. tomorrow. Everyone that signs up will be entered into a raffle to get a hand job from Tehol. Ok, just kidding. I wouldn’t put anyone through that. But really, come on gents/5 ladies, help me get this filled . I appreciate the help and thanks for all the great articles Grey. Outstanding work.

    Link: http://games.espn.go.com/flb/mobile/web/join?leagueId=12586&inviteKey=6786e
    Password: Fun Bags

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Rubik’s Pube: Good luck, might want to try other forums too

  15. STEVE B says:
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    finally some reason.I have been thinking all year these people are nuts for taking schwarber so early.Even the xm radio guys. 2nd round he’s been going in mocks.Insane

  16. CMUTimmah says:
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    Grey doesn’t want to pay for a catcher. I don’t want to pay for a catcher. Especially one that has already started to receive the platoon treatment.

    Better to take the risk late in the draft on ay’day catchers then chase waterfalls with Lisa Left Eye.

  17. Cram It says:
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    Do I have this order correct for keepers?
    Salazar
    Matz
    Stroman

    Happy Friday!

    • JeF WiTh 1 F says:
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      @Cram It: Yes sir LGM!!!

  18. Clint says:
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    Maybe it’s because I believe in your take on him so much, Grey, but I’m starting to really feel like Soler’s not getting a fair shake w/the Cubs. Have they really given him a solid shot to show he can start & be effective? It feels like he’s either been injured or platooned early on way too much to prove anything while Schwarber’s just been given it based on rep alone.

    • Fungazi says:
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      @Clint: Yeah, what up with that? Last year Soler was everyone’s little darling and going to take on ROY, then he has one up and down season partly stopped by injury and he’s just a bench bat?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Clint: Yeah, Soler’s going to get traded and go off or be the best 4th outfielder in the league

    • True and Correct says:
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      @Clint: I agree. Epstein hates hispanics. Soler’s getting cheated. Is Fowler such an improvement ? Already traded for Zobrist and Hayward. Guess their playing for the World Series.
      Epstein’s a dick, he’ll keep Soler just in case. Really kills my last draft.

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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      @Clint: soler’s super playoff showing i would’ve thought would’ve made him TOO expensive, if anything. everybody remember how crazy early wong went last year?

  19. jazzdaddy says:
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    there is a growing list of overhyped schmocubs that will destroy teams this year.

    • knucks says:
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      @jazzdaddy: I know we are prob thinking of a lot of the same guys. but curious to see if you could list some on your mind (besides Schwarber) just to see where your head is at.

  20. Jose says:
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    Thank you for getting us though the Winter, Grey! I guess the Soler balloon has lost it’s air…Sad day…sad, sad day…but hey, maybe Schwarber bombs out and we can have Soler off of waivers by mid April! Here’s to dreaming!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Jose: Yeah, stupid Fowler

      • Jose says:
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        @Grey:
        In a press conference yesterday, Epstein did emphasize they were done making trades. Take that for what it’s worth with Soler.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Yeah, now they’re just signing more OFs, they got Victorino today

  21. I think one of the biggest problems for Schwarbernator is his defense. Because I remember watching him in the playoffs and hoping every Met hit the ball to him when he played OF. He was AWFUL. Like Duda in the outfield awful.

    So unless this kid that grew up playing catcher (i assume) all of a sudden learns how to play OF at a professional level he is gonna find a lot of time on the pine.

    • Warren says:
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      @The discarded head of ted williams: yep, even if he plays a lot of games, I see him getting subbed in the 7th inning a lot for defense. He’ll have the same number of at bats as most catchers do by the end of the season. Rich man’s Gattis, IMO.

    • Cram It says:
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      @The discarded head of ted williams: Oh man, that was the worst outfield defense I’ve ever seen. Ever. True, I don’t know how they could run him out there everyday if the plan is for him to be an outfielder.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        @Cram It: Especially for a manager that cares about defense and matchups, Schwarber might get only 400 ABs

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            David Ross and Miguel Montero have catcher on lock, if they didn’t have both of them, maybe they’d let him try it… They should’ve never went out and got Montero

  22. Dave F says:
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    Grey,

    I’ve got 5 no brainer keepers – Goldy, Altuve, Machado, Arenado, Edwin. I have one additional spot. I can choose from the following guys that you think are overrated this year – Adam Jones, Felix, Schwarber, Sano.

    I have other guys that you like to choose from – Pineda, McCullers, Wade Davis, Giles, Watson (although I’d be hard pressed to keep a reliever).

    Even with the first group being overrated, would you still keep one of them over players in the second tier that you like? If so, which one?

    • Cram It says:
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      @Dave F: Sano, for the upshot hat turns into a stud, even if it’s not this year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Dave F: Agree with Cram

  23. Warren says:
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    Ok, so Schwarber was a competitor for being my final keeper, but I am off that bandwagon now. Deciding between these two:

    $32 Bautista
    $20 Arrieta

    What do you think?

    Love Razzball, love Grey, and happy Friday.

    • Warren says:
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      @Warren: OBP league, btw.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Warren: Thanks, you too! Arrieta

  24. Caesar says:
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    14-team roto with 3 keepers. Goldy, Arenado, and…Corey Seager or Noah Syndergaard?

  25. Basement Artie says:
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    Speaking of balls, thanks for the tips! Speaking of tips, I know guys are drooling in my league over Schwarber and Sano. I’m avoiding. Thanks Grey!

  26. Matt says:
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    I have 3 stud keepers, but can only protect 2 of them (I will lose the 3rd in an expansion draft).

    14 team 5×5 with OBP rather than BA. The following are my 3 studs:

    – Mike Trout, 12th round keeper
    – Kris Bryant, 15th round keeper
    – Anthony Rizzo, 17th round keeper.

    Who do I leave unprotected? Leaning towards Bryant, but damn, I hate to lose any of these guys.

    Thoughts?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Matt: Bryant

  27. peacecoast says:
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    Grey,

    I am reading your book. Love it. I’m the guy emailed you a couple days ago about it.

    in a S+H league this year, already have Familia. would you bother “reaching” for betances/miller/capps in the teen rounds or just wait till the end to pick up any of carson smith, O’day, strop, watson, pomeranz or Knebel?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Oh, hey, peacecoast, you crazy stalker! I wouldn’t reach for a reliever, I’d just grab some guys towards the end

  28. Mike says:
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    I have Scwharber and Sano in a keeper league for 18th and 17th rounds, so the price is right and I’d be a fool not to keep these guys.

    I know a lot of this is “it depends on what the market is” but considering I’m not paying the outrageous cost of drafting them, is it worth just holding on and letting them get me some power numbers, or do I aggressively shop before the first games are played?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, they’re worth that price

  29. Prettay, Prettay, Pretaaay... Prettay good says:
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    I hate myself that I love the Schmohawk posts more than the Sleeper posts, but I do. Probably because so far these all have been other team’s keepers. I’m a bad person. Great work!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

  30. Kirk says:
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    Is Razzball doing any NFBC slow draft leagues this year?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I think they’re being announced on Monday

  31. Fungazi says:
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    Victorino to the Cubs. They have more OF than the A’s have catchers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Ha, totally

  32. knucks says:
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    Grey, I had a lot to say yesterday and had posted this there later in the day. Was wondering if you had given this stuff a listen yet? Big Boi/killer mike?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZAID0lFtybM

    They had me at ‘rick flairin’ haha

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      WOOOO! Listening now…

      • knucks says:
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        @Grey: yea its pretty good stuff. put out a couple songs a few months back. read into it. the beats and backing stuff is a indie-ish band called “phantogram” and big boi heard their songs on a pop up ad and they started working together. also the album art aint’ too shabby either!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Put it on repeat…Loving it

          • knucks says:
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            @Grey: not sure if you use spotify but they have an EP out now. other great songs too, “fell in the sun”+ “goldmine junkie”. they are prob on the recs on the side bar in yo-tube as well. you have prob gotten into run the jewels as well. such good stuff. they put an album out of remixes of run the jewels 2 that is called “Meow the Jewels”. Decent.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Let me see if I can get it w/out Spotify

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I found it

              • knucks says:
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                @Grey: yea if you haven’t done any run the jewels, the remixes aren’t a good place to start. ‘Close your eyes’ is good but ‘oh my darling don’t cry’ is awesome. I gotta turn that one off when my girl comes in the room. usually a solid indication of a great rap song. but if you are already into their stuff, the remixes are solid. love the cat theme hah

                • knucks says:
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                  @knucks: but if you were talking about finding the big grams stuff, its all on youtube. i like most of it. love the risks that both parties are taking. doesn’t always land, like when the girl is tryinta rap. but i think they created a few gems there, which is way worth it.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    I downloaded it, listening to Born to Shine on repeat

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Big Grams all day, playa (Spanish beach)

                  • knucks says:
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                    @Grey: hah that’s awesome. you into this kinda stuff mostly for the lyrics/rhymes or you get into stuff due to the beats often? just curious. have so many recommends to fire your way throughout the season.

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I think with rap the beats have to be good fire and foremost… Lyrics can be whatever, but when they’re good, it’s all the better

                    • knucks says:
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                      @knucks: got one more for today…. and then i’ll stop blowing up your baseball site about tunes. a bit of a reach that may take you out of your comfort zone a bit. not entirely sure. give it a shot if when you give big grams a break and want to shake your azz off a bit. good for getting some work done or cleaning the house. no rap at all, just good a good beat. i think ted will dig it.

                      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=57Jyy8eRwkI

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Meh, I can’t do straight beats, I’m not a raver

                    • knucks says:
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                      @knucks: haha a raver Does Not run through it

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I don’t roll with glowsticks, knucks

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I should put my cackle on pop up ads

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Great song, good looks

  33. Homerj24 says:
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    2 Catcher Auction League. $260 cap (23 total players). How much would you spend on Schwarber?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d go to about $15, and wouldn’t get him

  34. GhostTownSteve says:
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    Agree with this one too. No interest this year.

    I also thought of a negative on Pollock. If he ends up hitting 2nd in front of Goldy, does that affect the amount of running he does?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yes, it will be less steals, I mentioned that in the Pollock post (I think)… We’re agreeing left and right this week…We won’t be agreeing next week, sadly

      • GhostTownSteve says:
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        @Grey:

        K…I’ll make sure to show up next week and be a dick. I mean a duck has to quack right?

        You mentioned Pollock moving to clean up as affecting his steals.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Ah, was it cleanup I mentioned? Okay, I had forgot… I do think Pollock hit mostly 2nd last year and stole, so 2 hole doesn’t hold the same trepidation for me with his speed

          • GhostTownSteve says:
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            @Grey:

            I shoulda check my facts:

            226 PAs batting 1st: 12 for 17 in SB
            328 PAs batting 2nd: 24 for 26

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Yeah

  35. Go Jaysss says:
    (link)

    Doing a 8 team h2h draft
    – ( R,Hr,Rbi,Stl,Obp,XBH )
    – ( QS,W,K,ERA,WHIP,SV )
    14 hitters, 10 pitchers, 3 bench. 5 pickups per week.
    Optimal draft strategy???
    Wondering if I go with 2-3 aces & stream rest of the way or just build a quality staff in the mid-late rounds ?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You need to draft an ace or two…QS leagues are different ballgame

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: drafting in a league with QS for the first time myself. when you say an ace or two here… are we talking about being behind the curve if we end up with a guy like cole/noah/carrasco as an ace. you had pointed me towards the rankings rudy takes care of the other day as far as QS leagues and I’ve used that to shuffle my rankings up a bit. but just curious where you would say the “ace” tier drops off. Is it after degrom? After MadBum? After Salazar? In my 12 teamer that uses mostly standard categories, but QS instead of W’s. I still feel pretty happy with a staff that has noah/carrasco (or K-zar) as my 1/2. Or do I need to target a guy in the 3rd round? Thanks for your help.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d want two SPs in the top 25 SPs

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Prolly one in the top 10 SPs if I could swing it

          • knucks says:
            (link)

            @Grey: perfect, thanks man.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No, thank you, knucks

  36. TobiasFunkeAnalRapist says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey, first comment this year but am looking forward to many more articles. 12 tm h2h snake draft, keepers are arrieta, trout, goldy, springer, arenado with maikel and severino in my minors (will pull them up). Who would you be aiming for if you were me in the draft? It looks like some good pitchers will be out there as well as polanco and odor. So basically would you go for polanco, odor or a guy like salazar? Thanks bud and keep up the good work.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Hey man! Polanco

  37. ScreechOwl says:
    (link)

    You’ve kept baseball going all through the long, warm-and-comfortable-because-this-is-SoCal-where-you-can-wear-shorts-in-January winter. Thanks! We all need something to do while we’re waiting on A.J. Preller to do… something. Preferably something involving Soler or Baez going to the Padres.

    Speaking of which!

    I’m not happy about Fowler going to the Cubs. Now I have two Cubs who don’t have full-time jobs: Soler and Baez. I have to drop one before the season starts. I’m probably still dropping Baez, but I thought I’d ask if you agree there.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Soler to the Rockies and Parra back to the bench where he belongs!

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Not that it was Preller’s call at that point, but how about that Rizzo/Cashner swap a few years back. Prob one reason they realized they needed a new GM! Not going so well after Preller’s hiring either…

        Also, from the guy about to freeze his nuts off walking to where my car is in Bethlehem, PA… where is sweet baby jesus when we need him?

        • knucks says:
          (link)

          @knucks: Or a plane ticket to the west coast. That would help as well. Oh and Grey don’t think that Bethlehem shout out a days back went unnoticed.

          • knucks says:
            (link)

            @knucks: wow… upon further review. *weeks* back. I think it was the Grichuck sleeper post. Do I spend too much time on your site while at work? Be honest.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
            (link)

            Stay warm, knucks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          That trade was goofy at the time too… Just want the Padres needed, to trade away hitting

  38. Wilson says:
    (link)

    Hi Grey, nice writing. Thank you.

    In a keeper league, if I can choose, Arenedo or Correa?
    Arenedo’s power is very attractive, and power SS is very special. Thanks.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Correa

      • Wilson says:
        (link)

        @Grey: thanks.

        what if power OF Stanton vs power SS Correa in keeper league? who is better?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Correa

  39. sliimbo says:
    (link)

    Negron, please!

    hilarious

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Thanks!

  40. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    A few million years from now the sun will burn out and lose its gravitational pull. The Earth will turn into a giant snowball and be hurled through space. When that happens, it won’t matter if I got this guy out.

    -Bill Lee

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA, love that

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Dude was funny

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          An American treasure

  41. Himom says:
    (link)

    Hey grey. In a 14 tm keeper a guy wants Miggy, Lucroy, and DeShields for Scherzer and Pujols. I need pitching but I don’t know about that much. My staff would be Carrasco Scherzer Matz and Giolito then. My top 5 offense is Harper Trout Donaldson Miggy and Xander so I have some offense to spare.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Sounds decent for you

      • bazzrall says:
        (link)

        @Grey: do you like Braun replacing Pujols in that situation better or worse

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Worse

  42. Dan says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    In a Auction Keeper/Dynasty (we do prospect draft and can keep them for $1 for first year of MLB service time) – you can keep $120 of a $300 budget every year. I am in a dilemma. Do I keep Harper for $40 or with his $40 I can add these 4: DeGrom, Familia, Odorizzi and Yelich.

    Here is a list of my keepers w/ and without Harper.

    With Without
    A. Russell Russell
    J. Donaldson Donaldson
    M. Machado Machado
    M. Sano Sano
    B. Harper Yelich
    X. Bogaerts Bogaerts
    G. Bird (DL) Bird
    S. Matz DeGrom
    C. Rodon Matz
    L. McCullers Rodon
    K. Giles McCullers
    J. Ross Odorizzi
    K. Gausman Ross
    Giles
    Familia

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Keep Harper

  43. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
    (link)

    Maybe with so many OFs to play with now, Maddon will stop messing with Rondon and the closer role!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      We can only hope, but I doubt it

  44. David says:
    (link)

    14 team, standard 5×5 roto , 2 catcher league with three keepers. Which are the three best values? Miggy, 1st round, C. Davis 2nd round, Pederson 11th round, Kluber 12th round, Schoop 15th round, Schwarber 15th round. Thank you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Schwarber, Kluber

  45. Papa C says:
    (link)

    15 team 5×5 auction 10-keeper league where players can be kept 3 years or extended for a $5 increase in salary per year extended.

    (If not mentioned, player is in 2nd contract year)

    TOP SEVEN:
    P Carrasco $3 (last year of contract/plan to extend $8 thru ’17)
    P Salazar $10
    P c. Martinez $4
    2B Dozier $6 (last year of extension)
    SS Correa $15
    P Darvish $4
    C d’Arnaud $5 (last year of contract/no plan to extend)

    WHICH THREE BELOW TO KEEP?
    OF Reddick $3
    OF Burns $1
    DH Morales $1
    SS K. Marte $3
    P Papelbon $9 (last year of contract/no plan to extend)
    P Corbin $6

    Thanks for any and all help! Luv U, Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Marte, morales, Burns

  46. True and Correct says:
    (link)

    I definitely think that the Cubs need to add a few more outfielders so that they can play each on off days. Team is perfect for a crazy mgr. like Maddon. Guess they’ll have specialists for everything. Cubs 4-1 to win World Series. I’ll take the Mets and Houston.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Haha, yup

    • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
      (link)

      @True and Correct: sucker bet to assume any team will win a WS 20% of the time.

  47. Baseball Fan 2000 says:
    (link)

    In head to head points leagues with fairly standard scoring but no limits on games started, would it make sense to have all your bench players be high-upside starters and then play them all when they start week-in week-out?

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Starters, yes

      • Baseball Fan 2000 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  48. Kevin says:
    (link)

    Is there a way to get the top 500 printer friendly?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Why can’t you print it out as is?

    • gangreen says:
      (link)

      @Grey: @Kevin: no haha.no way but unless your in a 18 team leage you wont need a top 500. 12 team leages a top 200 is fine. But have some deeper picks on a list somewere just in case.

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
        (link)

        @gangreen: top 200 would be enough if each team only had 16 players in a 12 team league. i’d go 300 if you have a normal sized 12 team league.

  49. GhostTownSteve says:
    (link)

    I’m not sure I’m behind the no facial hair policy….but I could definitely get behind a no douchy long beard policy.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Wow, surprised coming from an A’s fan

      • GhostTownSteve says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Millenial assclowns

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’m a forever assclown

  50. Kevin says:
    (link)

    Its 70 pages

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @knucks: Not sure if that is what you were already talking about being 70 pages… but I think you might be able to format that in a way that makes it less. front and back, prob 35ish pages?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      No way, what’s that, 25 point font?

      • knucks says:
        (link)

        @Grey: haha no idea, maybe it will fit better if we use wingdings? have you checked yet Kev?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Wingdings is always the answer!

          • knucks says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I tried to write “big grams is the answer” in wingdings and copy and paste it, but it didn’t work… I should probably do some actual work at some point today, no?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Comments are a no Wingdings zone

  51. sliimbo says:
    (link)

    whats up buddy

    my dyno league opens at 8 tonight, would you drop tomas, wong or archie b for any of these guys

    Lawrie, Park, Schoop, Deshields, Trumbo or K Davis

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Archie for Lawrie

  52. Old School Brother says:
    (link)

    Drew Stubbs to the Rangers. top 500 outfielder?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nah, he’s a platoon player barely

  53. birrrdy! says:
    (link)

    Schwarber reminds me of Adam Dunn for some reason. Fast swing, lots of Ks, homers that travel a mile, terrible average but lots of walks. He’s an all or nothing kind of guy and I see 30+ HRs and a .220 average in his future.

    Maybe then you will call him mini-mini-donkey.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Prolly will eventually hit for a better average, but feels Dunn-like with his defense, though Dunn might take offense to that

  54. S.H says:
    (link)

    Love you wisdom Grey, or as my mother would say waste of time and useless knowledge. In my 12 team head to head dynasty league, would you deal darnaud or yan gomes and Snell for Archer.Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA! My mom would say the same! I’d want Archer

      • S.H says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Thanks a lot Grey, Now the owner has come back , and sent me three offers. darnaud and snell for archer, conforto and snell for archer, or Mazara and Snell for Archer.What one would be best in your opinion. I have Gomes that could replace Travis, Mazara has the potential , but new OFs come along every year.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          D’Arnaud one

  55. Hugh says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    Great post, real eye opening

    I have a keeper question where I can choose one of the following pairs of keepers (the rounds I can keep them in are in parentheses):

    Danny Salazar (10th)/Yu Darvish (20th)
    Gregory Polanco (9th)/Danny Salazar (15th)
    Starling Marte (3rd)/ Gregory Polanco (10th)

    Keepers are due tonight and I have the first overall pick in the draft. Thanks in advance for the help!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      How many teams? Prolly Polanco, Marte

      • Hugh says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Ten Team H2H Roto
        Standard 5×5 except QS instead of W’s

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Polanco/Marte

  56. Q says:
    (link)

    Hey buddy.

    Hoping for some keeper help. 12 team 6×6 H2H . Standard Roto Lineups with CI, MI, 5 OF, etc

    R/HR/RBI/OBP/SLG/SB-CS on offense QS/K/OBA/ERA/SV +HLD & K/BB on pitching.

    Pick 3 of these (unless there aren’t 3 you’d keep, I don’t have to)

    Arrieta in 4th

    Carrasco in 8th

    Bogaerts in 9th

    Hosmer in 12th

    Cain Sugar in 15th

    L Severino in 17th.

    Also can keep Sano OR Lindor in Rd 16. If I keep Sano in 16, Lindor is round 10. If Lindor, Sano is round 4.

    Thanks dude

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Cain, Bogaerts, Carrasco

  57. The Great Knoche says:
    (link)

    Seems to me this should heat up the Cubs/Rays trade talks. I would think even after acquiring Dickerson and the smaller log jam the Rays have they should still make a run at Soler. Chance to get an impact bat at a reduced price now I would think should be appealing… Maybe just Cobb or Moore.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d love to see Soler go to Colorado

      • The Great Knoche says:
        (link)

        @Grey: I’d love to see every hitter go to Colorado.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha… Well, yeah, but the Rockies need to get younger, and Jon Gray isn’t going to do anything ever in Coors

          • The Great Knoche says:
            (link)

            @Grey: Very True. However Ive got the Rockies in JBs REL so I need to find a way to always start 5 NL SPs though. Gray seems like my only hope on the roster.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Nice team! Own all hitters and draft other pitchers

              • The Great Knoche says:
                (link)

                @Grey: Exactly.

          • True and Correct says:
            (link)

            @Grey: I can only pray for this. Problem is, do the Cubs need a starter. You know they need more outfielders. haha

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Haha

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
        (link)

        @Grey: wow, that would be the biggest
        “good lord god why was my draft so damn early F you comish (and myself for agreeing to do it that early) ”
        to
        “good lord i got y’all SOB’s now since our draft was so F’ing early! HAHAHAHA!”

        reversal in history if so. like hoffman + castro or j.gray + castro for soler + c.edwards or something like that.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Haha

  58. True and Correct says:
    (link)

    With Almonte going to Roid prison, does Venable get the strong side of a platoon ?
    Also, how much does Suarez move up since he was announced to be the starting 3d baseman, who happens to have s.s. covered as well ?
    13 home runs in less than 100 games = 20 over a full season. Not bad for a s.s., right ?

  59. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    in news:
    “Free agent Austin Jackson recently turned down a one-year deal in the neighborhood of $5-6 million from the Angels, according to Alden Gonzalez of MLB.com.
    The Angels made their offer but Jackson and his agent, Scott Boras, were seeking more money, prompting the Angels to walk away. It’s good to stick to your guns, but in the process the Angels seem destined to start the season with Daniel Nava and/or Craig Gentry manning left field. As for Jackson, he remains among a group of free agent outfielders (Alex Rios, Will Venable, Shane Victorino) still looking for jobs as camps are opening.”

    that MF’ing idiot boras just cost a-jax a job, and more importantly I’M STILL PAYING HIM 6.4 MIL in the my 30 man league with 100 mil budgets. SOB! maybe he goes into TEX though, that would be fine.

    also, ROSSCUP DOWN!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Indians still need someone else

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: so thank god for the CLE canned food’s cousin being roided up. could need this over here.

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @goodfold2: canned fruit that is.

  60. jaysfan says:
    (link)

    Grey, thanks for the write-up! Keeper question, NL points league:

    Can keep two of the following:
    Puig in 16th
    C. Martinez in 17th
    Soler in 18th
    Urias in 20th

    Thanks for the help!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Soler, C-Mart

  61. nick the dick says:
    (link)

    What’s the good word G? Crunch time, roast tomorrow night!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      You need to either win the roast or take a flamethrower to that mo-fer, you feel me?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I wanna see your very handsome father cry

      • nick the dick says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Haha I bring the heat, all day err day…word is that without me and my brother helping my pops, he is simply not funny. Might be a tough go for him, but his looks should soften the blow a bit. Can’t have it all.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Your very handsome father doesn’t need to be funny, he’s got his looks, that’s why he’s not funny… Hurts all handsome people… He just needs to sing and sit on top of a piano… Crush him!

  62. Ryan741 says:
    (link)

    Grey, couple of trade questions for you: 1) would you trade Scherzer for Fernandez (I can also keeper Fernandez as a 10th rounder) 2) would you to Arenado for Corey Seager and the second pick of 2nd round? I can also keeper as a 12th rounder. This is for a points league

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      1) Sure 2) Maybe, is Arenado not a keeper?

      • Ryan741 says:
        (link)

        @Grey Arenado is a 3rd round keeper this year. The deal would be for Seager, his 2nd and 4ths for Arenado and my 5th and 7ths

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d want Arenado

  63. gangreen says:
    (link)

    Pick five keepers with a 260$ draft budget.

    Trout 62$ arrietta 6$ Boagarts 9$ corey seager 5$ schwarber 5$.

    Should I sign arrietta to 3 yrs for 20$, or 4 yrs 25$. Hey or keep trout and dint sign arrietta just keep him for the six. I feel like theres no way I can sign trout a cintract would be an extra 9$ and plus five every year after. Its only my third year in this keeper/ auction leage, with two utilities. Its a standard points leage.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      3 years

      • gangreen says:
        (link)

        @Grey: your greyyyt! Would you drop trout for the othe five guys I forgot to add noah syndaguard to that list for 9$.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, lose Trout for all of them

          • gangreen says:
            (link)

            @Grey: @gangreen: nobody draft nelson cruz he will dissapoint I know this I get these feelings about players every year and im always correct . I say this confidently stay away

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ha, I hear ya

          • gangreen says:
            (link)

            @Grey: ok my leage is actually hvf.

        • gangreen says:
          (link)

          @gangreen: what I mean is are those guys grey I mean great for those prices and I should just pay what ever to get trout back. I have no idea how much he can go for and if if its 71$ I could have kept him for 2 yrs for that price. If you say keep trout for one year for 62 $ill doit if you say drop him I will if you say sign him to 3 yrs 76$ iwill doit. Because I can and I dont want these vultures especially the guy who owns mookie for 5$ to get there claws on me trout.

  64. SheriffMcRawDawg says:
    (link)

    Grey I drafted a team for you. 2 week long couchmanagers slow draft just finished. 12 team RCL set up. no way I’m getting this team in real life but a girl can dream. turner is my insurance for reyes (could’ve gone with aybar, alexei, anderson, but decided on turner for playing time/upside combo)

    C Derek Norris C-SD (23)
    1B Edwin Encarnacion DH/1B-TOR (2)
    2B Rougned Odor 2B-TEX (6)
    3B Todd Frazier 3B-CHW (3)
    SS Xander Bogaerts SS-BOS (5)
    CI Lucas Duda 1B-NYM (13)
    MI Jose Reyes SS-COL (17)
    OF Mike Trout OF-LAA (1)
    OF Jacoby Ellsbury OF-NYY (8)
    OF Jorge Soler OF-CHC (9)
    OF Delino DeShields OF-TEX (11)
    OF Marcell Ozuna OF-MIA (18)
    UT Wil Myers 1B/OF-SD (16)
    P Stephen Strasburg SP-WSH (4)
    P Danny Salazar SP-CLE (7)
    P Steven Matz SP-NYM (10)
    P David Robertson RP-CHW (12)
    P Taijuan Walker SP-SEA (14)
    P Raisel Iglesias SP-CIN (15)
    P Eduardo Rodriguez SP-BOS (19)
    P David Hernandez RP-PHI (20)
    P Steve Cishek RP-SEA (21)
    Bench Kevin Gausman SP-BAL (22)
    Bench Michael Fiers SP-HOU (23)
    Bench Trea Turner SS/2B-WSH (24)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, don’t love Reyes, Soler took a big hit yesterday, Ellsbury may not last 120 games, but I love the pitching…

      • SheriffMcRawDawg says:
        (link)

        @Grey: yeah I drafted soler like a week ago haha. That sucks tho I was gunning for him this year. Thought Reyes in the 17th was worth a gamble.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Yeah, no a terrible gamble that late

  65. Baseball Fan 2000 says:
    (link)

    Grey what do you think of this team I drafted. I thought it was pretty decent but ESPN said I would place 10th. 5 x 5 Roto, Traditional positions (C, 1B, 2B, SS, 2B/SS, 3B, 1B/3B, 5 OF, Util, 9 P, 3 bench, 1 DL)

    C D’Arnaud
    1B Rizzo
    2B Castro
    3B Machado
    SS Semien
    2B/SS Schoop
    1B/3B Hosmer
    OF Betts
    OF Marte
    OF Upton
    OF Puig
    OF Polanco
    Util Wil Myers
    P Jose Fernandez
    P Aroldis Chapman
    P Britton
    P Pineda
    P Tanaka
    P Raise the Church
    P Matz
    P Yordano Ventura
    P Lance McCullers
    Bench:
    Taijuan not-a-Walker
    Rodon
    Buxton

    Thanks for your input as always!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      ESPN preseason team rankings are nonsense, the team looks solid, I love the hitting, your pitching looks a little wonky, I don’t like Tanaka but you have plenty of guys I do like

      • Baseball Fan 2000 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Awesome thanks Grey!

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          No problem

  66. matt says:
    (link)

    275 $ salary 5×5 standard roto league..last keeper between Nola, K. Marte or A J Ramos all at a same salary…only pitcher I have is Matz…which one do I keep

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Marte

  67. ferris says:
    (link)

    8 dynasty keepers

    What’s your ideal breakdown hitters/pitchers given roughly equivalent 2016 value?

    6/2
    7/1
    8/0
    Other?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      7/1, assuming 12 team

  68. Sparty Scott says:
    (link)

    I would love some trade advice in a standard Yahoo 12-teamer. I give up JD Martinez and Marte for Joey Bats, Braun, Carpenter, and Kemp. Carpenter and Kemp would replace Schoop and Moreland at UTIL for me. (Already have Odor at 2B and Sano at 3B) I’m torn because I love the upside of Marte and am not a fan of Carpenter or Kemp, but I feel like I’m getting too much talent back to reject the trade. Any thoughts?

    • Sparty Scott says:
      (link)

      @Sparty Scott: That’s Starling Marte, by the way…

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      JD side is better

  69. This ain,the no disco says:
    (link)

    10 team 5×5 12keepers. My keepers are rizzo,dozier,machado,beltre,fielder,jdong,
    Jones,brantley,yelich,pederson,salazar and
    Cmart. When I look at the free agents the name that jumps out is polanco. Should I even consider him
    since I already have 5 outfielders and fielder at u.
    Other options are russell,semien and marte at ss
    or liriano or odorizzi. Help!!!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Him over Yelich

      • This ain,the no disco says:
        (link)

        @Grey: keepers are already in so I can’t drop yelich, still polanco

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Then who can you drop?

          • This ain,the no disco says:
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            @Grey: polanco would be my pick in round 13

  70. Oh Johnny Boy! says:
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    In an OBP league, which set of guys do you like better?

    Goldy, Altuve, Donaldson, Marte, Blackmon, Braun, Arrieta, Scherzer
    OR
    Freeman, Altuve, Arenado, Franco, McCutch, Marte, Arrieta, Scherzer

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Goldy

      • Oh Johnny Boy! says:
        (link)

        @Grey:

        Thanks… and in an OBP league, would you trade Goldy for Arenado, Franco and Freeman…. If I did that deal I would replace Braun and Blackmon with Franco and Freeman

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          I’d want Goldy

          • Oh Johnny Boy! says:
            (link)

            @Grey:
            Thanks Grey! ….and screw you Ritchie, because I know you’re reading this…

            for my last keeper, should I keep Braun as my 3rd OF or Hosmer as my CI?

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Haha… Braun

  71. gangreen says:
    (link)

    Is rp jefferies from mil a good last round pick. With what you said about jim henderson yrs ago when he became there closer was a brilliant add of mine. But what you wrote about him made me draft him and he stile the job from axelrod I think it was at the time. I get that from jefferies and what you said last year.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Yeah, Jeffress

    • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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      @gangreen: in a league with saves and has at least 3 spots for RP he shouldn’t be in the last round. assuming 12 team league.

      • gangreen says:
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        @Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey: 2relief spots ,2sp spots and 4 pitcher spots . 12 team leage keeper auction the other leage same thing but not a keeper auction.

  72. Test Kitchen says:
    (link)

    Grey,

    Would you trade Franco for Polanco in an OBP league?

    Thanks

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Nope

  73. Wilson says:
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    Hi Grey, how is my team? 5×5 H2H 10 teams re-draft league. thanks.

    C Travis d’Arnaud, NYM C
    1B Jose Abreu, CWS 1B, DH
    2B Jason Kipnis, Cle 2B
    3B Todd Frazier, CWS 3B
    SS Francisco Lindor, Cle SS
    2B/SS Brandon Phillips, Cin 2B
    173/588 69 12 70 23 .294 — 68.9 +2.9
    1B/3B Albert Pujols, LAA 1B, DH DTDRecent News
    147/602 85 40 95 5 .244 — 98.0 +2.3
    OF Bryce Harper, Wsh OF
    OF George Springer, Hou OF
    OF Justin Upton, Det OF
    OF Delino DeShields, Tex OF
    OF Khris Davis, Oak OFBreaking News
    UTIL Mark Trumbo, Bal OF, 1B, DH
    Bench Jose Reyes, Col SS DTDRecent News

    P Jose Fernandez, Mia SPBreaking Video
    P Stephen Strasburg, Wsh SPBreaking Video
    P Danny Salazar, Cle SP
    P Zach Britton, Bal RP
    P David Robertson, CWS RP
    P Francisco Rodriguez, Det RPRecent News
    P Jonathan Papelbon, Wsh RP
    P Glen Perkins, Min RP
    P Yordano Ventura, KC SP
    Bench Steve Cishek, Sea RP
    Bench Santiago Casilla, SF RP

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Looks solid, you don’t need Reyes, your pitching looks insane, it’s a shallow league so you’ll need to work it all year

  74. Dorian S. says:
    (link)

    Heya Grey and company! Thanks as always for the write ups, appreciate the reads.

    So I think I managed to do pretty nicely with my team in my 14 team, 8 Keeper, C/1B/2B/3B/SS/3OF/UT/3SP/2RP/2P/4BN/2NA/2DL, Rs/HRs/RBIs/SBs/OBP/SLG Ws/SVs/Ks/HLDs/ERA/WHIP league. R – Round Drafted, K – Keeper Round Value if you are wondering.

    C – Salvador Perez (K5)
    C/OF – Kyle Scwarber (K20)
    1B – Albert Pujols (R1)
    2B – Rougned Odor (K4)
    2B – Jonathan Schoop (K20)
    3B/SS – Manny Machado (K15)
    SS – Xander Bogaerts (R2)
    OF – Matt Kemp (R3)
    OF – George Springer (K10)
    OF – Gregory Polanco (K12)
    OF – Jorge Soler (K20)
    SP – Shelby Miller (R6)
    SP – Lance McCullers (R6)
    SP – Jake Odorizzi (R7)

    That’s how I’m looking right now. I’ve got 2 bench slots filled out hitting wise. I traded away two great pitchers in Arrieta (R20 value) and deGrom (R20 value) with a 16th to land Soler (Round 20 value), Perez (R5 value) and a 6th. I probably over paid (should’ve asked for another pick), but I figured a jump up in round value would pay off while also getting Perez would make it so I didn’t need to find a good back up for Schwarber. Which I think it did when I scored both McCullers and Miller. I also could concentrate on hitting with my first 3 picks, and I think I’ve got a pretty solid team.

    If you are wondering why it isn’t complete, the draft is still going on right now as we like holding an offline draft. Currently in Round 7 of 20. I think my biggest plays I can make is to probably go after Eduardo Escobar for a solid backup at nearly all positions, then find a good solid back up at 1B for hitting to cover me in regards to injury. I’m thinking either Trevor Plouffe, Justin Bour, Jon Singleton or Mark Trumbo. Leaning towards Trumbo at the moment, just because of Os park.

    As for pitching, just fill them in. There’s usually enough good pitching that I can get away with a reasonable back up, so not as high of priority, though I did want at least some pretty good starters while they are still there. Hence why I just drafted 3 in a row.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      No problem… I like the team, agree with your assessment… Trumbo obviously, look at my rankings

      • Dorian S. says:
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        @Grey: Thanks for the like. Glad to know I haven’t done too terrible. Also thank you guys for always responding. Even if I don’t ask a question.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  75. Jiggy Nits says:
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    would it be crazy for me to keep polanco for 24$ in a 10 team NL only?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nope

  76. goodfold2 says:
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    ok, got 1.820,997 million left for last week of bidding. only players i would have any interest in are
    m.gonzalez (MI/CI/OF) and dietrich (CI/OF),
    or one of these RP:
    yimi, salas, jeffress, morin, o.perez, howell, cedeno. some of those i likely won’t afford at all (yimi, jeffress likely for sure)
    or one of these SP:
    shoemaker, colby, roark, garza, ERV sant. it’s even more likely i can’t afford ANY of those.

    roster now
    C d’arnaud
    CI beltre
    CI howard
    MI segura
    MI alcides
    OF a-jax
    OF rosario
    OF altherr
    Util leonys
    BN smoak, c.perez (starting catcher for minimum deal), k.johnson (CI/MI/OF)
    SP liriano, sale, quintana, morrow, hellickson, petit (waiting for roark to fail since he’s worse pitcher than petit or injury)
    RP melancon/n.jones/d.hernandez/fien/l.hendriks/rj alvarez
    BN urena (MIA)
    If i want dietrich or marwin i’d drop k.johnson and get back .714 (i’d be eating the other .714, bidding done in multi week sessions makes for weird decisions), meaning i’d have 2.535ish now to bid with to attempt to get 1 hitter and 1 RP. I know you mentioned dietrich having better power, but since i already have smoak backup CI i thought the extra MI of k.johnson had value (marwin also has this)
    1. stick with k.johnson or grab one of marwin/dietrich?
    2. if i get a RP i’d have to either drop rj alvarez/urena (both on long deals at minimum, 4 and 3 years) OR drop a prospect for sending alvarez down. alvarez does appear to be going to minors to start year. which prospect is the drop if so? (i’ll ask ralph as well)
    30 prospects i have 1 C, 6 CI, 4 MI, 7 OF, 8 SP, 11 RP, and 1 SP/RP (staumont, just drafted by KC)
    weakest prospects are:
    h.lee MI (ex TB, recently traded i think to SF)
    m.ynoa RP WSOX (used to be a big deal SP prospect)
    m.cabrera RP ATL
    j.sherfy RP ARI (but i know he was really good 2 years back and is likely nice set up man)

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: also, since you don’t get money back if somebody gets injured it’s probably best idea to keep .4 or .8 (minimum deal for waiver player is .4) free, so i really only have something in the range of
      1.020997 mil (if i keep k.johnson) to use on 1 RP
      or
      1.734997 to try to get 1 BN hitter and 1 RP if i drop k.johnson

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Dietrich, but it doesn’t matter… Hold Kelly if you like… Alvarez

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: so drop alvarez rather than h.j lee?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Lose Lee

          • goodfold2 says:
            (link)

            @Grey: got salas for my last 1.42, but it turns out i could’ve had marwin for 1.001 (if you bid over 1 million you have to eat half the contract if you cut), marwin was won for 1 mil, AND salas for the last 1.134 i would’ve had left (cutting k.johnson). but the drop off in RP (to me) if i miss salas is higher than the difference between some dude named marwin and kelly johnson.

            garza not even bid on, so when morrow gets DL’d early in year i can waiver him maybe, or williamses perez.

            • goodfold2 says:
              (link)

              @goodfold2: i did screw up in the sense that since roark only went for 1 million i could’ve paired him with my (overpaid, my fault) petit to ensure WAS’s 5th SP slot. i’ve seen other guys like him go for like 3 mil earlier in bidding. clearly most people went through their budgets earlier.

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: that should read 4 RP, not 11, doesn’t change answer though.

  77. goodfold2 says:
    (link)

    in a different keeper league i have carpenter/dozier/stanton/pollock/rizzo. guy is willing to trade bogaerts for a non 3B/SS/OF. i also have schwarber prekeepers set time. trade schwarber, and then keep bogaerts over carpenter? extra categories are total bases, K’s and OPS. could also drop dozier if he’s less valuable in a league like this.

    • goodfold2 says:
      (link)

      @goodfold2: can only keep 5 hitters total.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      I’d lose Dozier for Xander

      • goodfold2 says:
        (link)

        @Grey: i sent out the schwarber for SS or schwarber + dozier for better 2B or schwarber + carpenter for better 3B idea. i’ll also contact bogaerts guy alone, but i’m thinking i could have even better deals possibly. schwarber hype is bat shit.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Agreed

          • goodfold2 says:
            (link)

            @Grey: he’ll do it if i move him up 7 picks in 11th round (we keep 9, so this is 2nd round). to ensure some sort of parity we keep 5 hitters, 2 OF, 3 from different positions that can’t repeat, and 2 SP (iglesias/keuchel) and 2 RP (kenley and perkins (or capps/boxberger))

            • goodfold2 says:
              (link)

              @goodfold2: WOAH, i was about to hit the easy accept button till i went on over to Rudy’s newest addition, the “other categories” which is good for me since i have OPS (already in there), but also K’s and total bases. schwarbs is down in the rater for less than 500 PA as well. due to being a catcher it also isn’t taking away much pts for his average or K’s (K’s since his total at bats is low of course). these #’s are for my league specs alone.
              schwarber $26.5
              bogaerts $28.9
              carpenter $ 16.7
              dozier $11.7
              if long term doesn’t change things a lot i’d get $43.2 keeping schwarber over dozier and doing no trade, and $45.6 doing trade and not keeping dozier, that’s a LOT closer than i thought. I’m thinking long term you like bogaerts as well over schwarber

              • Grey

                Grey says:
                (link)

                I like Bogaerts, yes

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              Ok

  78. Gerry Randell says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey
    In a 20 Team League and I pick UGH 20th. LOL
    So Can you take a look at these 2 possible teams primarily based on your Rankings and maybe give an overview?
    I am wondering too if I should take a 1B (Abreu) and OF in Round 1 at 20 and 21 or go with 2 OF (JD and Springer and then fill 1B later (like Belt?)
    Greatly appreciate your expertise and time Grey!

    TEAM A
    1 George Springer, HOU
    2 J.D. Martinez, DET
    3 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
    4 Gregory Polanco, PIT
    5 Tyson Ross, SD
    6 Francisco Liriano, PIT
    7 Shawn Tolleson, TEX
    8 Taijuan Walker, SEA
    9 Yordano Ventura, KC
    10 Glen Perkins, MIN
    11 Wil Myers, SD
    12 Ketel Marte, SEA
    13 Jonathan Schoop, BAL
    14 Nick Castellanos, DET
    15 Wilson Ramos, WSH
    16 Marcell Ozuna, MIA
    17 Brett Cecil, TOR
    18 Jake Peavy, SF
    19 Matt Adams, STL
    20 John Axford, OAK

    TEAM B
    1 J.D. Martinez, DET
    2 Jose Abreu, CWS
    3 Carlos Carrasco, CLE
    4 Gregory Polanco, PIT
    5 Francisco Liriano, PIT
    6 Maikel Franco, PHI
    7 Taijuan Walker, SEA
    8 Randal Grichuk, STL
    9 Patrick Corbin, ARI
    10 Starlin Castro, NYY
    11 Steve Cishek, SEA
    12 Delino DeShields, TEX
    13 Jonathan Schoop, BAL
    14 Trevor Bauer, CLE
    15 Wilson Ramos, WSH
    16 Aaron Sanchez, TOR
    17 Brett Cecil, TOR
    18 Marcell Ozuna, MIA
    19 John Axford, OAK
    20 Matt Adams, STL

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      What is the difference between the teams?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Agree with Knoche

  79. The Great Knoche says:
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    20 teams is deep. You need best bats you can at the turn. If Abreu is there you have to grab him. After that even projecting a possible team is so difficult since you have no idea who will be there, but I like B better simply for the start.

    • Gerry Randell says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: Thanks I figured there is not much difference other than earlier 1B and 3B pick ups. Usually try to get those spots early but the OF seems great this year so thought I might draft heavier for OF in the early going and then pick up 1B and 3B late.

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: ugliest part about 20’s is the inability to find mocks too. i’m in a bunch of 20’s so i’m more used to what you’ll actually end up with, but it’s still not easy. esp a H2H league, gotta balance out which and when SP to grab, since unlike Grey’s rankings these won’t just all be out there.

      • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
        (link)

        @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: one thing, power guys fall off even faster, so make SURE you get some early. cheap steals can be found much later. pretty much have to punt catcher and 2B (or SS, or all three).

        • Gerry Randell says:
          (link)

          @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: Great feedback! I am punting C, SS, 2B (and Closers a bit), I might have been looking at SB too early as opposed to filling other hitting so thanks for bringing that up!

          • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
            (link)

            @Gerry Randell: oh yeah, just try to get 1 closer and midseason pay attention and grab more than leaguemates, don’t pay for them now. really, if you exit draft without a closer in a 20 team league since you ended up with a great offense it’s not a big deal, esp if you are in fact better than leaguemates at grabbing new closers. if league has holds you’ll want to get good ones of those, and those are MUCH much cheaper, last year i exited about every draft in yahoo with a.miller, and only like at most 15 spots higher than his ADP in yahoo.

  80. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
    (link)

    dusty so senile that he twice called harper “royce”. yeah, really smart decision to hire that guy. and it’s not as if dusty wasn’t involved in baseball since his CIN job, not that that is necessarily relevant when it comes to the NL MVP.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      HA!

  81. mrbaseball says:
    (link)

    springer or Betts in keeper league

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Betts, it’s even

  82. The Great Knoche says:
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    Ian Desmond to the…Rangers?

    • Knucks says:
      (link)

      @The Great Knoche: looks like it’s to play LF and super Util? Guess that bumps Gallo. Hopefully not odor/deshields all that much. I know Hamilton is hurt already anyway too. Will be interested to hear Greys take on Monday. I’m thinking that it makes it even easier for me to wait for Castro/semien/segura/ketel super late if I wanna be a cheap SOB at SS and have missed out on one of the top four five guys early

      • Knucks says:
        (link)

        @Knucks: yea should’nt have any impact on deshields at all, forgot leonys was in Seattle. Damn Texas got a bargain with desmond

        • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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          @Knucks: bargain until he’s batting .210 by june 4th.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, so wacky

  83. Wilson says:
    (link)

    James Shields is ranked #267 in ESPN and #165 in Grey’s ranking.
    Why is he ranked so late inESPN? Anything wrong with him?
    Or could he be a good steal in late round for starters when I join ESPN league?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
      (link)

      Have to ask ESPN

      • Wilson says:
        (link)

        @Grey: Do you suggest to steal Shields in late round if he still there? (eg, 15-18 rounds in 10-team league?)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
          (link)

          Sure, if he’s there, I go over my thoughts on him in the rankings

          • Wilson says:
            (link)

            @Grey: thanks

            • Grey

              Grey says:
              (link)

              No problem

  84. Cohen says:
    (link)

    Grey,i got 2nd pick in 12 team roto,i have been taking Goldy if Trout is gone.My 23 pick is OF best available ie Marte,BettsJD,my question is with 26 pick do i take next best player if its another OF or do i go 3b with Frazier?

  85. #BlackmonMatters says:
    (link)

    Hey Grey,

    Quick question. Why are you so down on Yasmani? He had a 282 average, 14 HRs and a 920 ops in the first half of the season before getting hurt last year? He also walks a ton which is great for ops leagues.

    Thanks!

  86. Bammers says:
    (link)

    Trade question for you in a 12 team standard scoring H2H dynasty league.

    1 – Miggy Cabrera

    2 – Felix Hernandez and Lucas Giolito

    Which side do you take?

  87. Simply Fred

    Fred Barker says:
    (link)

    Hope you got to attend…and get your bag of goodies–you deserve ’em!

  88. sliimbo says:
    (link)

    whats up buddy

    would you be giving up lindor to get moncada in keeper leagues?

    thanks

  89. gangreen says:
    (link)

    Grey vs anyone at yahoo. Thats a joke. Yahoo should let there self be wrong sometimes its like they are too scared of being wrong that they dont actually give any real advice ,good or bad. By following grey since my first leage I have devolped the same mindset and when I check on razzball now I read something from grey and say to myself. I was thinking the same thing and it reassures me. Without the fact grey responds to every question is a huge bonus for anyone. So razzball has actually trained me to become a normal top five contender in every leage ive been in. If grey left tommarrow and stopped writing id be fine , because he taught me everything I know about baseball, and its alot. If your new to fantasy baseball read everything he writes and eventually you will be your own writer. Hes like the father of fantasy baseball. Thanks grey.

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