Almost didn’t write this one. Not because he’s not worthy, but Jordan Lawlar received one of these posts in the past, and, honestly, if I wasn’t so lazy, I’d search through past archives and prolly unearth two or three more Jordan Lawlar fantasy outlook posts. In 2022, at the age of 19, he went 16/39 between High and Double-A. That’s nuts for a 19-year-old. Then, as a 20-year-old, he went 20/37 between Double and Triple-A and the majors. He was called up already in 2023. When he was called up, I said, “Was listening to Fleetwood Mac’s Everywhere (Remastered) when I saw the news that Jordan Lawlar was being promoted, and the wind chimes playing in the background were perfectly timed as I spun out, arms outstretched, seeing stars because my equilibrium isn’t that good. Then Little Lies by Fleetwood Mac starting playing and all I heard was, “Tell me lies, tell me lies, tell me sweet little young player guys,” and now I don’t know what the Mac is trying to tell me. Do not confuse me, Mac! So, Itch just said yesterday, ‘I get asked a bit about Jordan Lawlar, and I don’t know why he’s not in the DBacks’ lineup tonight. I see Royce Lewis running circles around major league pitchers and wonder if the Snakes don’t taste on the air a flicker of the same potential for an autumn outburst from Lawlar. They’re still in the playoff race. Lawlar has been great since he got to Triple-A and has eleven hits in his last four games, including two home runs on Tuesday night. He’s great and Grey stinks.” What? C’mon! This year Lawlar went 20/36 in the minors, and had a .358 average in Triple-A. He could be the top prospect off boards next year. Grab him in all leagues. Even if Jordan Lawlar isn’t worthwhile this year — and he should be! — this gives us an indication that he should be starting next year with the Dbags, which is great news in itself. Tell me lies, tell me lies sweet little young player guys!” And that’s me quoting me and quoting Itch! Actually, it’s perfect that Jordan Lawlar was comped to Royce Lewis. Guess where Lawlar was in 2024. Too slow! He missed most of the season with a hamstring injury. I did not know hamstrings could be so lethal (to anything outside of a pig). This year Lawlar went 2/6 in only 85 ABs and hit .367 Triple-A. Man, I hope he shakes that Royce Lewis comp, because Lawlar looks incredibly special; please don’t also be fragile. So, what can we expect from Jordan Lawlar for 2025 fantasy baseball?
Rookie class feels light this year — Jasson Dominguez and Jackson Jobe have a quality of “we’ve seen them before,” and the two Baby Sawx have a quality of “We’re not sure when we see them.” To look at the rookie class glass as half filled? Dominguez, Jobe, Anthony and Campbell could be all stars — or even All-Stars — and Jordan Lawlar might be the best one. Enjoy this:
Jordan Lawlar hit a ball 4??5??4?? feet last night for his third Triple-A home run ? pic.twitter.com/nX3UcGiNuZ
— Milb Central (@milb_central) September 1, 2023
Peep this:
Jordan Lawlar notches his 4th three-hit game this season, 1st since returning from the injured list.
MLB’s No. 7 prospect (@Dbacks) is slashing .400/.468/.650 in 10 contests for the Triple-A @Aces in 2024. pic.twitter.com/iQPFWPSDs1
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) September 20, 2024
Then watch this:
Jordan Lawlar legs out an infield single for his first big league hit!
MLB’s No. 10 overall prospect put his 60-grade speed on display for the @Dbacks. pic.twitter.com/UfF7dbAL8b
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) September 8, 2023
He has huge power and top five speed. If he’s healthy and breaks camp — two rather daunting hurdles — Jordan Lawlar is gonna seem like one of the biggest bargains of any fantasy draft by the 1st week of April when he has a handful of steals through two games and–Hey, how much can I trust this Magic Eight Ball? The problem with predicting Lawlar is you have to take a bit of a trust fall that he will break camp (and stay healthy). I’m out of the predicting health business. I have to assume a 22-year-old will get healthy and be fine. Breaking camp is another wax ball made by bees. If he hits well in the Spring Training, which he absolutely can do, then why wouldn’t he break camp? If he breaks camp, he could be a top 75 overall player, pretty easily. All he would need is a 12/30 year, and he does that without a ton of effort. I’m going to hedge with the projections and guess he goes down to Triple-A, then is called up quickly. This is more of a hedge than anything else, since I have no idea when he’s in the majors (and no one does, not even him). For 2025, I’ll give Jordan Lawlar projections of 47/7/52/.251/22 in 374 ABs, which is incredibly conservative.
With Shohei’s labrum surgery possibly impacting his power (maybe), pitching again and likely not stealing bases…who would you take #1 in 2025 for a standard roto?
are we getting a Roki Sasaki 2025 Outlook?
If he signs, absolutely
So I just heard that Ohtani had surgery to repair a torn labrum from that slide. Ugh. I know he is superhuman but that is not good. I will be out on him in next year based on where he will go in the draft. I am not messing with that.
Yeah, sucks for sure…He’s not gonna steal at all next year…Last year was the year to have him
Daaaaaaamn it. You 100% right. Was slinging a huge offer for him in dynasty and just hit abort.
Yeah
Sounds like you want to predict he’s going to break camp and play the full 2025 season but just don’t have want to go that far. So let’s try it this way …
If Lawlar does break camp with the D-backs, what would your projections be? This is what really intrigues me because then I can see what you believe his real/full value is.
Dare to play along? Hope so! Thanks.
15/35
Solid!
I drafted vaughn grissom this year in a early draft for me (march 1). I followed that up with Story and Lawler as my last pick. I am still looking for a middle infielder.
Seriously, i like Lawler. I am not real crazy about Luvullo’s willingness to play him. I can almost guarantee that Lawler will be batting 8th or 9th and will also not be playing every day with perdomo still around. That’s also if (it’s a big if) Lawler can stay on the field. The Lewis comp is good; I can think of others too w/o being too far off base.
HA, ouch… I am a little bit worried about Perdomo, bc I think he’s actually decent for real baseball if not for fantasy
I actually thought Lawler could replace Suarez at 3b. Suarez was so bad in 1H. Lawler got hurt again after the early thumb injury. Boy was I wrong on both accounts
Yeah, Suarez looks like he’s in their 2025 plans too
Yes they picked up his option. Walker is a FA, they may have a hole to fill there.
Yeah, but if they brought back Walker too it wouldn’t shock me…we’ll see
The upside of Lawlar sounds so mouthwatering! With the depth of the SS position I’d have to think he’s going to be available at a point where I can get him on a few teams. It comes down to a hot spring training though like you said I guess.
Heading into dynasty off-season, I have a few shares of Willy Adames. Seems like a perfect time to sell-high or no? Or wait and see what team he signs with?
My favorite winter write-ups are your sleepers. How soon you reckon we’ll start seeing them?
I’d likely wait to see where Adames signs, but he does seem a candidate for a fall-off from last year, which screams career year — sleepers start around thanksgiving
On that note, got a timeline for the Schmohawks series? I love that series! You’re usually really good at it too.
March
Saw Lawlar play High A ball outside of Portland a couple of years ago. He was an obvious standout because of his speed and natural athleticism, but it was hard to see whether and how soon that talent would develop into an MLB star. It’s still kind of hard to see. Btw, Davidson De Los Santos was also on that team and it was easy to see his path to the majors (“Davidson smash ball!”).
Because of work and family stuff, I never got a chance to thank you for all your great work this season. Between your posts and Rudy’s bits, I won my money league again. Razzball is the best in the business, and the fact that you answer every question, every day is amazing. Plus you keep the fantasy game fun, no easy feat. Thanks for everything you do, Grey!
Devy looks excellent, still can’t believe they acquired him
Thanks! Glad to hear you won it!
Lol, Rudy’s BOTS. Stupid autocorrect. Although I’m sure his bits helped in some way too
haha…but please don’t make fun of bots’ bits, i’m worried about a mad AI
I concur with the last paragraph. I have relied on this site for many years. It’s so easy to use AND trust. Top it off with Grey’s wittiness splash of humor to each write up and it becomes a stress relief. I can’t count how many times at work I read something and laugh out loud but can’t explain why it’s so funny to co-workers!
Aw, thanks! Appreciate it!
Thanks for the writeup Grey! I moved on from Lawlar this past season in a deadline deal in a 16 team Dynasty league. As I questioned myself .as to if this was the right move, I stared at his profile and his photo would get blurry and then turn into Royce Lewis photo and then back to Lawler and then back to Lewis. I think your projection for him is what I would expect.
Thanks! Yeah, that sounds about right