The other day I said that Jorge Soler was going to be your top rookie in 2015 fantasy baseballBig words from a little man.  At least I am a man, and not just an italicized voice.  Joc Pederson would’ve been the top rookie if I saw the Dodgers committed to him out of spring training.  There’s still time for that to happen.  Like trading Andre Ethier and Carl Crawford for a middle reliever.  I’m not being facetious.  Shoot, I don’t even know what facetious means.  If someone would take the contracts of Ethier and Crawford for a middle reliever, the Dodgers should jump around like Everlast.  The Dodgers owe Ethier and Crawford almost $40 million for 2015 alone.  And they’re signed through 2017!  Maybe Magic can borrow some of the special sauce from one of his fast food franchises, squirt it on the $40 million and eat it.  A’la a commercial jingle, “Two-overpriced-all-stars-from-2009-special-sauce-let-us-get-rid-of-them-on-a-seasame-seed-bun!”  Without doing any actual research, I’m gonna say the Dodgers are paying about the same for Ethier and Crawford as the Marlins and Astros are paying for their entire teams.  On the fo’really tip, the Dodgers could trade Matt Kemp, Ethier and Crawford for a middle reliever and be a better team next year.  At this point, I have nothing but conjecture as to what they will do.  My guess is the Dodgers trade Crawford or Ethier with the other becoming one of the highest priced bench players in the history of baseball.  Right now, I’m gonna go on the assumption that Pederson isn’t up until June, but when making an assumption, you make an ass out of, um, ption?  Anyway, what can we expect of Joc Pederson for 2015 fantasy baseball?

Let’s bask in the glory that are Pederson’s minor league numbers.  In Triple-A last year, he hit 33 homers, stole 30 bases and hit .303.  Hahahahahahahaha– Breathe, Grey, breathe!  Wow, I lost it there for a second.  Even his minor league numbers point to how stupid the Dodgers are.  No one has had a 30/30 season in the PCL since 1934.  Know why?  Because teams call up hitters capable of 30/30, they don’t let them ferment in their own wonderful.  “Hey, why are you bathing in a barrel filled with your own sweat?”  That’s someone talking to Pederson while he fermented in his own wonderful.  You seriously have to have someone ghost riding your whip to not call up a 30/30 guy to the majors.  The PCL is like hitting with an aluminum bat on the moon, but it’s still an insane year.  As previously mentioned on the aforementioned tip, Pederson would be my NL Rookie of the Year and the best rookie hitter in 2015 if he had a job, and not Soler, but right now Soler has a job and I have no idea on Pederson.  Pederson could hit 20 homers and steal 20 bases in 2015 with a job right out of the spring.  The only real concern in his game is his strikeout rate.  There’s a real chance here for him to have a sub-.250 average.  It does appear that he can control his strikeouts once he gets comfortable at a new level.  So, he could be the kind of guy that hits .220 in April, then starts to come out of it and is terrific by June.  Lots of unknowns here and, as of right now, I don’t see drafting him outside of NL-Only or keeper leagues, but that could change if the Dodgers move some of their dead weight.  For 2015, I’ll give him the projections of 59/12/43/.257/16 in 380 ABs.  You know what would really kill his development?  The Dodgers put him on the Opening Day roster as a fourth outfielder.  At that point, I’d ask someone in my entourage to retrieve my cardboard mat, because that would be my breaking point.

 
  1. Martin says:
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    Hey Grey, I had a lead in my league for the entire second half and won in a landslide in the playoffs in my first year of paying attention to fantasy baseball, mostly thanks to you guys. I need to pick four keepers for next year, and I could use some help picking the names out of the hat:

    Anthony Rizzo, Anthony Rendon, Adrian Beltre, Hanley Ramirez, Danny Santana, Josh Harrison, Matt Kemp, Michael Brantley, Jorge Soler, Charlie Blackmon, Matt Carpenter, Jayson Werth, Kris Bryant.
    Wainwright, Felix Hernandez, Alex Wood, Corey Kluber, Matt Harvey, Mike Fiers

    If I had to pick today I’d lean towards Rizzo, Rendon, Brantley, and either Soler/Bryant/Harvey

    • Martin says:
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      @Martin: @Martin: I also forgot Jose Fernandez on that list

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Martin: how many years can you keep them?

      • Martin says:
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        @J-FOH: Just for 2015, then I repick 4 at the end of the season

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Martin: Rizzo, Rendon, Brantley, Kemp

          • Ralph says:
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            @J-FOH: if your league keeps a lot of pitchers, I’d keep Felix along with the first three J-Foh picked.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Martin: No one knows how many teams in the league

  2. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!

    Very nice article on Joc “Strap” Pederson. Looks like a gr8 future player.

    1. I’ll trade Kemp for one of the following.

    a. Mia Malkova
    b. Payton Simmons
    c. Brooke Wylde

    2. I’ll trade Kemp, Ethier AND Crawford (can I take only Crawford’s bat but not his glove in the trade?) for one of the following.

    a. Nicole Aniston
    b. Destiny Dixon
    c. Jayden James

    3. I’ll take either Ethier (did you see what I did? I found an anagram for Ethier!!! completely by chance) or Crawford for one of the following (Can you imagine the level of skank for either of these two twats?).

    a. one busty Japanese ho with only one eye OR with a missing earlobe
    b. Martina Navratilova and Billie Jean King – Houston Astrodome
    c. there is no c.

    Cheers,
    Ante

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ante GALIC: 1. Who now? 2. Who are these? 3. B, definitely

      • Ante GALIC says:
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        @Grey: Do not google them on your coug’s laptop. Just a few startlets I’ve run into since I arrived here because my coug is far away and a man’s gotta do what a man’s gotta do.

        Cheers,
        Ante

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Haha…Gotcha!

        • dizzystpizzy says:
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          @Ante GALIC: A lot of “Y”s in those naymes

  3. SteveNZ says:
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    Um, after my visit to the merchandise store at Dodger Stadium, I’d prefer it if the Dodgers held on to Kemp for next year, at least…

    • de nachos says:
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      @SteveNZ: haha!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @SteveNZ: Novelty and collector’s price goes up after trades

      • SteveNZ says:
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        @Grey: True.

        I wanted something with Drysdale on it, but no luck…

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Better than an Uribe jersey, I suppose

          • SteveNZ says:
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            @Grey: Miles better! Drysdale was the man!

            Guy sitting in front of us actually had a Drysdale jersey on – not sure I want to go to that expense though…

    • J-FOH says:
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      @SteveNZ: I told you to get Kershaw shirt

      • SteveNZ says:
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        @J-FOH: Yeah, after I got back with the Kemp one!

  4. Ralph says:
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    I have Pederson as a keep forever in round 26 in a ten team mixed. I’m holding,right? Ourleahuehas NA slots (yahoo), so if he’s in MiLB I’m not burning a bench spot. We start 4 OFs and have two UTIL.

    Other keepers:
    Miggy
    Cutch
    Bruce
    Gomez
    Springer
    Freeman
    Wainwright
    Alex Gordon
    Rendon

    Other options: kenny x 2, Avisail, Sano, Pineda, Paxton, Russell, Gallo, Appel, wet tail

    Having a crop of generally safe guys, I’m inclined to go with Pederson’s upside. Am I too in love with the idea that I will get to look at Springer and Pederson’s constant slam and legs while I rosterbate? Can I love them too much? Is this offseason the time to sell Miggy, or do I wait until he has a big month? Can the 2015 season start already? I got questions!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Ralph: Avisail, Pineda and Paxton would be over him

  5. Niceguybilly says:
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    Hey,
    In a keeper league would you keep Joc over Papi, Garrett Richards, Kenley Jansen, Carlos Carrasco or Marcell Ozuna?
    Already keeping
    Goldy
    Rendon
    Desmond
    Beltre
    Brantley
    Wainwright
    Strasburg
    Chapman

    No restrictions.

    Thanks for another entertaining year Grey!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Niceguybilly: No problem… Maybe Carrasco or Richards depending on what goes on in Winter Meetings and spring…

  6. Hoosier Daddy says:
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    I just returned from the Dominican Republic and got to catch the second game of the season between island rivals Licey and Escogido on Sunday. Got to see Joc with the jitters try to throw someone out at the plate early on and nearly had the ball sail over the backstop! Made up for it by stroking a beautiful 2R double later on. Looks like a beast. Hoping for lots of great things as a dodger fan.

    I found out Licey is also the team Lasorda had Garvey on in the early 70’s when he took them to the Carribean title. I couldn’t stop thinking about your interview with Garvey talking about his role as an extra in Godfather 2 while playing there. Ha!

    What a different atmosphere! People waving flags and screaming for a leadoff walk, bouncing cheerleaders between innings…you gotta check it out sometime….

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @Hoosier Daddy: I’d love to check out the Dominican Republic, and not just for baseball… Were you there on vacay?

      • Hoosier Daddy says:
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        @Grey: The women were incredibly sexy. I actually got propositioned by a midget hooker in front of my parents! My brother was getting married to a local gal. Good times

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That’s awesome! So? Did you hook up with the midget?

          • Hoosier Daddy says:
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            @Grey: No! :( – I’ve never paid for it before thinking I couldn’t get excited knowing the lady was only there for the money. But I’ve spent the last few days in a sort of a funk thinking that I just let the experience of a lifetime pass me by. Not just the interracial midget thing, but she (along with all other ladies of the night there) kept calling out “Papi!, Papi!” to grab one’s attention. Although the Dodger’s are my #1 team, the Red Sox are a close second. Weaving in David Ortiz into the scenario would have made for an incredible/unholy Baseball/midget/interracial/vacation/Sex experience!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Did you at least ask the midget if she (assuming a she) knew Pedro’s midget, Nelson de la Rosa?

              • Hoosier Daddy says:
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                @Grey: Ha! Wish I would have thought of it. I actually was laughing uncontrollably

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha

                • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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                  @Hoosier Daddy: you get excited in those circumstances for a different reason, since you know they are only there for the money. Then later you feel excited for a different reason (at least sometimes) since you part when it’s done (very possibly forever), and you know that as it’s going on.

  7. Birdmann says:
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    Damn… flash back to Mr. Ahoe seventh grade social studies class. He use to always say never assume, cause it make an ass of you and me. His other catch phrase was if you can say Tahoe you can say Ahoe. Brings back good memories of how much I loved baseball back then, thanks for the flashback. I need it so I can deal with the lame Giant fans who claim they have always been Giant fans but never saw a game at the Stick, I will give a bye to the fans under 30.

  8. shibboleth says:
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    Hey all… keeper question for you. I keep 5 for one season in the round they were drafted. Free Agents slot into 20, 15, and 10. Which 5 of these would you go with? I’m leaning towards Kaz, Morneau, Frazier, Dickerson, and either Ozuna or Arica.

    28- Kazmir
    27- Wong
    24- Morneau
    21- Frazier
    *20- One of Dickerson/Ozuna/Arcia/Richards
    *15- One of Dickerson/Ozuna /Arcia/Richards
    *10- One of Dickerson/Ozuna/Arcia/Richards

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      @shibboleth: Wong, Frazier, Dickerson, Ozuna, Morneau

  9. Kevin says:
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    Gray if you could lock two of these players as your 25th Round pick for as long as you keep them. Who would you take

    Corey Kluber
    Kris Bryant
    Jorge Soler
    Yasiel Puig

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Kluber, Puig

  10. Militant Vegans says:
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    Keeper question. Ran into a trade situation last year and would like opinions. 15-team keeper league, 4 keepers per team each year and you can control a kept player for 2 seasons.

    Trade Details:

    Team 1, 7th or 8th place on date of trade, gives:

    Matt Adams (keeper)
    Billy Hamilton (keeper)
    J. Mercer
    M. Moustakas
    Henderson Alvarez

    to, Team 2, 15th place on date of trade, gives:

    Aramis Ramirez
    Jhonny Peralta
    Jacoby Ellsbury
    Nelson Cruz
    Scott Kazmir

    My problem with this trade was in valuing keepers for next season vs. in-season values for current players. Put another way, are the 2 keepers involved worth the premium for the value of the 5 in-season players? I tend to value keepers like financial option in that they only have value if they are exercised. What happens if team #2 decides NOT to keep Hamilton and Adams (injury, etc)?

    Was I way off in my vetoing of this offer? I’ve never vetoed a trade ever, but this just seemed too egregious.

    Thanks in advance for your opinion.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I don’t believe in vetoes, I see no reason to have vetoed this one either… Especially not in a keeper…You can’t hamper people trying to play for future years…

  11. Militant Vegans says:
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    I’ve been self-flagellating myself ever since, but I just couldn’t past the players involved. I get he’s trying to improve his team, but when do the values outweigh the principle of “FBB free enterprise”? If taken in reverse, no first-place team would trade away 5 contributing players for 2 keepers.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      “If taken in reverse, no first-place team would trade away 5 contributing players for 2 keepers.” No, because teams are trying to do what’s best for their team… As I said in today’s post, it would make sense for the Dodgers to trade multiple outfielders for a middle reliever… It makes no sense for, say, the Astros to do that…

      • Militant Vegans says:
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        @Grey: I won’t belabor this anymore. I guess I’m still trying to resolve this. Thanks for the alternate way of looking at it.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Honestly, it’s not close to vetoable…

          • Militant Vegans says:
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            @Grey: Thanks, I really do appreciate it. I’m looking for my 5 lb. sledge hammer so I can break my veto-finger and permanently correct my moment of weakness.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Ha, don’t self-flagellate too harshly… Not the worst thing that one can do is veto a trade…

              • Militant Vegans says:
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                @Grey: I’m militant… I can’t help it.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Militant Vegans: don’t be hard on yourself. I’m a little less open as Grey and it’s all shituational. I have been in leagues where you know everyone else and people will make trades to spite others in the league. Or owners who convince morons to make lopsided deals that don’t fall under the realm of collusion but are gross manipulations of someone else. When it comes to keeper though most bets are off. Future value is a hard argument when dealing with young players. Let’s look at the Cubs, Soler, Bryant, Alcantara, and baez are suppose to be good fantasy contributors and they might be, but there is also a chance that one of those four, or maybe more, never lives up to expectations and becomes Mike Moustakas or Brandon Wood.

              • Militant Vegans says:
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                @J-FOH: Thanks, JFOH. Both you and Grey have perfectly summed up my personally inflicted conundrum, hence why it’s best just to step away and let things go.

                Next time, it’s half a bottle of rye instead.

                • J-FOH says:
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                  @Militant Vegans: go have a tofu on rye with some taro chips and chill

  12. Tom says:
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    say pederson gets the job out of spring training….pederson or springer?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Springer

  13. Big Magoo

    Big Magoo says:
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    Trying to decide what to watch tonight. I have a few shows on the DVR like Top Chef that I haven’t even started yet, but tis horror season with Halloween approaching. What’s a guy to do?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Top Chef, easy call… Solid beginning to the season…

      • Big Magoo

        Big Magoo says:
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        @Grey: I knew you’d say that. You don’t strike me as much of a horror fan. I think that Sky would vote for the horror flick though. Tiebreaker, J-FOH?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Grey gets scurred easily

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I do!

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Hey, did we just marry?

              • Sky

                Sky says:
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                @Grey: We did…thankfully I signed a prenup!

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Too bad I hid an asterisk in there and voided it all

                  • Sky

                    Sky says:
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                    So you’re telling me I don’t get your Krupps single serve? WE’RE THROUGH!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      It’s Keurig…Krupps is ghetto!

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Ooooh, so I wrote it up wrong? Asterisk on your asterisk! I’ll see you in court!

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      DAH!

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @Sky: Haha. Between Frankenstein (original Karloff version), The Thing (Carpenter version), Hellraiser, or the movie in the trailer below, rank em in terms of what you’d most like to watch right now. Go.

            • Militant Vegans says:
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              @Big Magoo: The music in Carpenter’s ‘The Thing’ was incredible. Really set the mood. Does anyone know if he composed it?

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Militant Vegans: No, Carpenter composed the Halloween theme himself but the Thing score was created by Ennio Morricone. Really accomplished Italian composer.

                • Militant Vegans says:
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                  @Big Magoo: Well, that explains it. While I do like the music in most spaghetti westerns and some kurosawa films, I don’t listen to many movie scores. That one was terrific, though! Thanks for the info.

                  • Big Magoo

                    Big Magoo says:
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                    @Militant Vegans: No problem. The musical score can help make or break a movie, but pretty much everything about The Thing is awesome.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Big Magoo: haha, i watched the Thing yesterday, it was on TV

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @J-FOH: I hope it was either the Carpenter version or the original and not the most recent remake. That was complete garbage.

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              @Big Magoo: Right now? Well, I just watched Hellraiser about a week ago so I’ll go The Thing. Just perfect combo of good script, good acting and great old school effects. CGI seriously killed the sci-fi/horror industry. CGI blood? I mean, c’mon!

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Sky: Excellent choice. Though there wasn’t a wrong choice in the bunch.

                Ugh, don’t get me started on CGI blood….

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Sky: original thing is what I watched yesterday. CGI blood is like CGI effects, way over rated

                • Sky

                  Sky says:
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                  CGI has its place; Jurassic Park was a great example of when to use it and not use it. But Hollywood has just used it to make the good effects we used to get terrible. No other reason.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: some places it’s fine, I never cared for all the greek mythology or beowulf stuff they did recently where the whole movie is a green screen

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Which one is that? I remember one that’s entirely animated. I’m fine if you’re going to do animation. The whole world is CGI then.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: clash of the titans remake was terrible. The worlds seem too over the top. I always appreciated the art of special effects and people like Rick Baker

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      It felt like I was watching God of War

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: It’s like when you listen to music recorded analog compared to the over production we get a lot of these days. It has a certain feel that is lacking.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      It’s just about studios being cheap. You can use CGI. It has a time and a place. But it’s cheaper than paying for the costumes or the sets so it gets squeezed into movies when it shouldn’t. It’s what makes directors like Guillermo del Toro so cool in today’s industry.

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Sky: I never cared for Pan’s labyrinth, but liked hellboy.

                    • Sky

                      Sky says:
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                      Was referencing his use of CGI vs actual models/makeup and prosthetics. Pan’s was creepy as hell because of all the sets/costumes/makeup. Wouldn’t have the same feel if it were all CGI.

            • goodfold2 says:
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              @Big Magoo: 80’s thing (but new one did have mary elizabeth, so there’s that)/killer klowns/hellraiser/old frank. do it.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Big Magoo: not a big horror fan. Very few that I like. Top Chef, always go with something that inspires eating as opposed to something that makes you lose your appetite. The Crying Game falls into the latter

          • Big Magoo

            Big Magoo says:
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            @J-FOH: I’ll help point you in the right direction if you want to gain an appreciation for the genre. You’ve seen The Thing, that’s a start. What else? The Exorcist? Alien? Halloween? The Evil Dead? There are a lot of good ones out there, but the bad ones tend to be really bad…

            • Militant Vegans says:
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              @Big Magoo: Trolls II. cult classic??? yes. cinematic masterpiece??? mmmmmm, probably not so much.

              • Big Magoo

                Big Magoo says:
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                @Militant Vegans: Nothing wrong with a good cheesy horror as long as it’s done well (see: Killer Klowns, The Stuff).

                • goodfold2 says:
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                  @Big Magoo: stuff was great too. only really good remake was new evil dead.

  14. Sean says:
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    I guess you’re joking around, but Kemp put up a .971 OPS in the second half. If people aren’t realizing he’s back… uh, he’s back.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      We’ll see how back he is in 2015 at 30

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey:he’s really like 28 after all the time he missed *said in a snarky voice*

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          That means when he misses two more years in his thirties, he’s going to be the youngest 40 year old ever

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: he’ll be 35 when he’s 40

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              He’s got a Benjamin Button thing going!

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: which is what we all want

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @Sean: even the steals sorta were.

  15. Sky

    Sky says:
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    Since movie talk is a thing today, please tell me I’m not the only one out there that understood and enjoyed Starship Troopers. Please?

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Sky: a modern clasic

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        Damn smart movie. They really underplayed the point of the movie in the trailers. I remembered seeing them and saying I’d never watch that movie. Looked like boneheaded tripe. Glad I did.

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Sky: if it wasn’t for weed i would of never seen it and I’m glad i did. It’s been a long time

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            Worth watching again. Should actually be in more film study classes.

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Sky: I have watched it again, usually half way in and what not.

              • Sky

                Sky says:
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                That’s what she said?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Casper Van Diem is wildly underrated!

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        It’s true! So was Dina Meyer (rawr!)

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          How about Wild Things? Rawr-RAWR!

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            Are you thinking Denise Richards? I see Dina is in one from 2005…don’t tell me you have the whole collection!