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Here’s the good thing about not having a top prospect for 2024 fantasy baseball in the traditional sense: There’s instead ten guys who could be the top prospect and this class could be better than any of the previous few. Jackson Chourio could be Ronald Acuña Jr. or not be up until September, and be lined up to be the top prospect for next year. Jackson Chourio was bursting from the seams in Double-A this year with 22/43/.280 line and an 18.4% strikeout rate. That’s wacko, Jacko. They are absolutely not making hitters like they used to make them. They used to be in the Create A Player Factory and make a guy like Pedro Alvarez, and be like, “He hit 24 homers and .210, that’s a success.” And you’d be like, “Are you sure?” And they’d be like, “He won Player of the Week once, how much do you want?” Now the players are like, “I wonder if he can go 25/50 his first season and hit 60 homers and steal 90 bags by year three.” Yeah, things are nuts in the world of baseball prospects. Exciting times. No, I didn’t say Jackson Chourio could be Acuña as a goof. Of course, not in 2024, or, dramatic pause, can he? Or rather: So, what can we expect from Jackson Chourio for 2024 fantasy baseball?

First off, the doozies for the eyeballs:

Another:

If they revealed hitters started using aluminum bats, I wouldn’t be shocked. Is he even swinging hard in these clips? Ugh, I need to show another:

These are ridiculous. Think this Jackson could be better than that other Jackson. Yes, Chourio over Holliday. In case there’s a Jackson Off. A Jacks-Off, so to speak. Jackson Chourio’s steals are just as goofy as the power. He runs like the wind. He runs more than he hits for power. And, boy, does he hit for power.

As a 19-year-old last year, he had a 18.4% strikeout rate, as I repeat what I said in the opening for emphasis. This is not real. He’s a top five overall in fantasy guy within two years. If he were going to break camp with the club, he’s a top 50 overall pick in redraft leagues, but that brings us to the almighty caveat: When will he be playing with the Brewers? Think it could be as early as end of May, and, as said earlier, it could be as late as September. He’s so young! He was born in 2004. I started Razzball when he was three years old. Ha, kill me now! Actually, don’t bother, Father Time will get my stupid ass. For 2024 fantasy, I’ll give Jackson Chourio projections of 37/9/33/.257/17 in 319 ABs, but there’s a huge amount of upside here that’s not being shown in the projections, but, just enough down side if the Brewers drag their feet on promoting him. Random Prediction Alert! He won’t be up until June, and he will still be in the Rookie of the Year conversation. If he were a lock for Opening Day, he would easily be my top prospect.

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Jay
Jay
22 days ago

Hey Grey !

I’m looking for your advice.

I’m in a 12 manager, 7 keeper league.

My first 5 keepers are good, but I need to choice 2 out of these 4 for my final 2:

Jackson Holliday
Jackson Chourio
Royce Lewis
Jordan Walker

Appreciate it !

Last edited 22 days ago by Jay
Jay
Jay
Reply to  Grey
22 days ago

Thanks Grey ! Appreciate your opinion !

Last edited 22 days ago by Jay
Scott
Scott
1 month ago

Grey,

I need your help. I swung 2 deals to get the #1 and #2 pick in the minor league draft. But i want to pull a player back from the MLB expansion draft, and not suer who to pull off the list: this was who i currently made available:

Jason Adam RP TB $8.00
Ian Anderson SP ATL $6.00
Jon Berti 2B / 3B / SS / OF MIA $6.00
Kutter Crawford SP BOS $6.00
Tommy Edman 2B / 3B / SS / OF STL $23.00
Sawyer Gibson – Long SP DET Scott $6.00
Liam Hendricks RP CWS Scott $25.00
Jeff Hoffman RP PHI $6.00
Hoby Milner RP MIL $6.00
Robbie Ray SP SEA $17.00
Luis Severino SP N/A $15.00
Taylor Ward OF LAA Scott $6.00
Weston Wilson 2B / 3B / OF PHI Scott $6.00
Brandon Woodruff SP MIL Scott $23.00

Who should I pull back? Thanks as always

leon
leon
1 month ago

Thoughts on Jose Siri? are you in on him for 2024? bad average. may not be fulltime. does he even have a starting job? but his counting stats seem great with huge potential. He was just offered to me in a 15 man dynasty for a milb pick.

One Man Crusade
One Man Crusade
1 month ago

How does he compare to Dominic Brown

One Man Crusade
One Man Crusade
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Long time reader. Enjoy your analysis and humor. That’s my contribution for this five year period.

James
James
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Dom brown does have a use for us all- when a guy comes out of nowhere and has a ton of reports that he has a terrible work ethic- we need to actually look at the red flags.

Take away the work ethic thing, and i think you still would have had a Cameron Maybin here (toolshed player that never really fully clicked) or a more recent Victor Robles (i still have faith he figures it out and puts together an allstar level season once)

leon
leon
1 month ago

thoughts on hiura as a sleeper in 2024? he had a pretty damn good 2023 season?

leon
leon
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

yeah.

leon
leon
1 month ago

Need to keep some SP’s from the selection below. League is 15 man dynasty with auction values, so i need to stay within the cap. I can keep as many sp as i want (1-all of them) so just select the ones you would go with considering $ and everything else. Thank you!

Eovaldi – $15
Cristian Javier – $7
Lodolo – $4
Verlander – $57
Severino – $17
Vines – $7
Luzardo – $7
Hunter Brown – $7
Morton – $18
Rasmussen – $13
Ober – $13
Lucchesi – $3
Jacob lopez – $3

leon
leon
1 month ago

What SP’s would you hold for next year. dynasty league (15 man) and i need to make cuts. They are also auction values and i need to stay within thee cap. I can keep as many as i want, event if its only 2, 3 or 4 pitchers. or more. thanks.

Nick Lodolo – $4
Cristian Javier $7
Luzardo – $7
Ober – $13
Verlander – 40
Severino – $17
Vines – $7
Morton – $18
Lucchessi – $3
Eovaldi – $15
Hunter Brown – $7
Rasmussen – $13
jacob lopez – $3

leon
leon
Reply to  leon
1 month ago

sorry double posted

VinWins
VinWins
1 month ago

Here are the top 40 fantasy seasons 2003 – 2023 (No 2020) with their all-time rank on the Historical Player Rater (Pitchers):

11 Justin Verlander 2019
14 Johan Santana 2004
15 Jake Arrieta 2015
16 Randy Johnson 2004
22 Gerrit Cole 2019
35 Clayton Kershaw 2015
40 Justin Verlander 2011
47 Zack Greinke 2015
53 Clayton Kershaw 2014
65 Corey Kluber 2017

68 Johan Santana 2006
74 Clayton Kershaw 2013
78 Max Scherzer 2018
79 Clayton Kershaw 2011
86 Johnny Cueto 2014
88 Chris Sale 2017
96 Ben Sheets 2004
99 Max Scherzer 2016
103 Jason Schmidt 2004
108 Max Scherzer 2013

109 Max Scherzer 2017
110 Jake Peavy 2007
116 Justin Verlander 2018
117 Spencer Strider 2023
119 Mark Prior 2003
124 Curt Schilling 2004
125 Max Scherzer 2021
126 Jason Schmidt 2003
127 R.A. Dickey 2012
129 Gerrit Cole 2023

130 Dallas Keuchel 2015
131 Blake Snell 2018
132 Max Scherzer 2015
140 Felix Hernandez 2014
148 Chris Carpenter 2005
153 Roy Halladay 2003
155 Roy Halladay 2010
159 Blake Treinen 2018
166 Johan Santana 2005
176 Justin Verlander 2012

Unlike the hitters, which saw 6 of the top 10 from the last 2 seasons, there are only 2 such entries in the top 40 (Verlander at #76 held the best 2022 season).

The Great Knoche
Reply to  VinWins
1 month ago

Keuchel and Arrieta seasons and what happened after always makes me chuckle

ksdespard
ksdespard
1 month ago

I have been playing in a 12 team keep 10 $270 Auction league since 2005. Prices of keepers increase $5 per year. If a player is not drafted, and picked up as a $1 FA, they remain $1 the following year. I have been lucky and drafted rookies well (most before they made debut), made some solid trades, and have a beast of a team. I have won 5 years in a row and love to dominate and continue to be hated by my league mates! HAHA! We didn’t increase the prices during the shortened 2020 season. I want to keep the streak going and could use some input for my 10 keepers. Below are the $ prices for next year. I have an embarrassment of riches and more potential keepers than spots available. Below I have my for sure keepers and then others I am considering. Any feedback would be appreciated:

For Sure Keepers
Juan Soto $21
Yordan Alvarez $16
Corbin Carroll $6
Julio Rodriguez $19
Marcus Semien $16
Elly De La Cruz $1 (open to opposing opinions if he should not be kept)
Vinny Pasquantino $6 (open to opposing opinions if he should not be kept)

Need 3 from the following (sort of listed in order of what I am leaning towards)
Royce Lewis $1 (should he be on the for sure list, even with injury worries?)
Rafael Devers $30 (I love Devers and have kept him the last 6 years, but now at $30 im considering throwing him back in the pool)
Pablo Lopez $13
Tanner Bibee $1
Blake Snell $19
Logan Gilbert $22
Jodan Lawler $1
Pete Crow-Armstrong $1
Edward Cabrera $6
Nico Hoerner $11
Bryson Stott $7
Eduard Julien $1
Alex Kirilloff $1
Brandon Phaadt $1
Max Fried $32
Musgrove $25
Alcantara $17 (I know he is out in 24, but is he worth an all year IL spot at $17?)

Sorry for the novel of a post. I am just trying to get as many opinions as possible. Thanks for your time.

ksdespard
ksdespard
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Thanks Grey. I had big hopes for Vinny going into last year and was hoping for him to make a big comeback, but I think you are right. Could probably get him for not much more than $6 if I want to go down that road again!

OaktownSteve
OaktownSteve
1 month ago

I like how you are both 19 and 103 in the comments today.

Smitty
1 month ago

Ball comes off his bat a little different….pretty special

MattTruss
Editor
1 month ago

2004!! HAHAHAHAHA, oh my….

fivepoundbass
fivepoundbass
1 month ago

Great article Grey, this guy is exciting to dream on. My non-research driven opinion on Milwaukee is that they will keep guys down for a while, but give them a chance to play once they arrive. They gave Wiemer lots of time last year, even when he struggled. It seems like Frelick was down for maybe longer than expected, but they let him hit the ground running on arrival. I prefer that to calling a guy up early and limiting his playing time.

Jimmy
Jimmy
1 month ago

Thoughts on his younger brother Jaison? He looks good just not as strong…

Pochucker
Pochucker
Reply to  Grey
1 month ago

Wow how old are you again? I’m 73 and did not see the Dimaggios play lol.

The Great Knoche
1 month ago

Here’s a Brewers side thought on this and I hope I’m wrong. With Woodruff hurt/Free Agent and Burnes free agent next year and likely off-season trade candidate, the Brewers could use 2024 as a quick rebuild. They’ve got the bats in the minors and some that came up last year, but not the pitchers. My guess is they trade Burnes for prospect pitching help and hold Churio back until September.

Jose Hernandez
Jose Hernandez
1 month ago

Man, I can’t wait to see this. Another Ronald acuna Jr.!!!!!
I have him on my good team along with James Wood in the OF and Painter waiting for 2025. In my rebuilder I have Dylan Crews with a great rotation of the future. Painter, Skenes, Horton, Misiorowski and Waldrep and i am hoping to land LHP Reggie Crawford 95-97 MPH for a lefty.
Thanks for the nice article. You made my day!!!!