As I previously mentioned, Prospect Mike had a large (foam) hand in what prospects I covered as rookies that could impact in 2016 fantasy baseball.  I used his Midseason Top 50 Fantasy Baseball Prospects list, and asked him for input.  In case you couldn’t tell from his Mike Schmidt avatar, it’s no secret he’s a Phillies fan, a phan.  I mention this now because today’s prospect is J.P. Crawford, the top prospect in the Phillies system.  So, I had to be a cyclops with a monocle to make sure Prospect Mike wasn’t using Liberty Bell IPA goggles when he listed Crawford high up in his prospect lists.  Prospect Mike said, “Crawford should sit comfortably in the top twenty on just about every prospect list this spring.  There’s 20/20 upside at shortstop and a high floor thanks to an advanced approach.  The 20-year-old will likely reach the majors midsummer and a fair comparison would be Addison Russell in Chicago – albeit with a tick less power and a tick more speed.  The left side of the infield in Philly is loaded with fantasy potential.  Imagine, if you will, Grey’s brain, but instead of empty it’s full.”  Aw, man, Mike’s mean to me!  So, Crawford is a cousin of Carl Crawford, and not related to J.P. Arencibia, according to the research I did.  Crawford doesn’t have his cousin’s speed or the unrelated Arencibia’s power.  Crawford is a shortstop though, so immediately he becomes interesting as a fantasy commodity.  How interesting is the question, which is actually a statement.  Weird, right?  No, you’re weird!  Anyway, what can we expect from J.P. Crawford for 2016 fantasy baseball?

I mentioned Prospect Mike so heavily in the lede, because I wouldn’t have done this 2016 outlook post if he didn’t suggest it.  This is admittedly my first look at Crawford and Prospect Mike lives and breathes prospects (hence his name) and maybe more so Phillies, and he believes in Crawford.  I don’t really see it at this point.  At least not in redraft leagues.  I watched video of him and he didn’t profile to me like a top echelon bat or speedster in any respect.  He was fast out of the box, but did not look blazing fast.  Looked like he had gap power that would step into 12-15 homers.  I don’t see twenty homers from him.  Can he be a 12/25 guy?  Yes.  Does that have fantasy value?  Indeed.  Will he do that in 2016?  I’m not sure we see it until 2018, honestly.  In the AFL, he left with a small tear in his thumb ligament, but it’s minor.  But, Part II: Back That But Up, he’s 20 years old.  The Phils are going nowhere fast, so he could be called up a little after the All-Star break, but I’m having a hard time getting excited about Crawford at this point.  Honestly, if he weren’t a shortstop, I likely wouldn’t have talked about him.  When he’s called up, will I pick him up and tell everyone else to?  Indubitably, you have nothing to lose at that point if you need a middle infidel.  Will I draft him in any leagues if he has a starting job out of spring training?  Yes, upside, y’all!  Will I stash him if he doesn’t?  Highly unlikely, and this is the scenario I envision.  For 2016, I’ll give him 22/3/17/.258/8 in 220 ABs, and I think I might be being optimistic.

 
  1. Halp

    Mike HC says:
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    I think he is a better real life prospect than fantasy because his two best skills are defense and OBP (unless you play in OBP league). Not to say he isn’t a good prospect in fantasy, but probably not super elite like you say.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Mike HC: I don’t see him throwing around elite up there

      • Halp

        Mike HC says:
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        @J-FOH:

        Yea, my comment at the end there wasn’t clear … “like you say” was meant to mean Grey also didn’t see him as super elite, not that he said he was super elite.

      • james says:
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        @Grey:

        I saw him in AA last year 5 or 6 times, and walked away with the same impression. He was clearly good, but never felt like the best player on the field. I actually was consistently more impressed with Trevor Story (who was in AA for the rockies) whom I saw about as much, but age is a big factor there.

        I did see a change in him in the playoffs, he seemed to really click with Nick Williams, and really started to look like he was having more fun out there, and it allowed the natural skills to shine a little more

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Good real world info! Trevor Story’s gonna be coming in the next few days…

  2. Ante GALIC says:
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    Grey!!!

    Great work, man.

    I really miss February Grey. Please tell him to take good care of himself, to find inner peace and that I love him deeply.

    No breaking news from Bassikounou. Will let you know.

    Cheers,
    Ante

  3. J-FOH says:
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    You watch rubble kings doc on netflix?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, never even heard of it, what’s it about?

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: How early 70’s Bronx gang culture evolved into hip hop.

  4. Jamie says:
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    my Arenado for his three (3) of S Marte, M Moustakas, and G Richards….20 team keeper, keep 15, my weakest positions being OF (A Garcia, O Arcia, M Ozuna, K Davis, J Soler) and SP (Skaggs, C Rodon, S Newcomb, A Reyes, J Taillon, R Porcello, T Bauer), my weakest are the two most volatile yet easiest to typically fill out, however.
    IF is Hosmer, C Correa, A Russell, J Baez – Sincerely, Conflicted

    Thoughts??

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’d want Arenado

  5. Jamie says:
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    Also, offered C Gomez, A Sanchez, J Singelton, and J Bour for my Hosmer and Skaggs in another offer same league.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      This isn’t bad if you need depth, how many of these guys will be keepers?

      • Jamie says:
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        If I accepted, I’d have to choose 15 from following:

        1B Bour/Singleton
        2B J Baez
        3B Arenado
        SS A Rusell
        OF A Garcia
        OF J Soler
        OF M Ozuna/K Davis/O Arcia/R Tapia
        UTIL C Correa

        SP – T Bauer, R Porcello, C Rodon, A Reyes, J Taillon, A Sanchez, S Newcomb, D Hutchison

        @Grey:

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Right, but if you don’t accept, do you not have 15?

          • Jamie says:
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            oh yeah, I have about 20 players now to narrow down to my best 15

            @Grey:

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I’d take Gomez likely, tough call

              • Jamie says:
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                you’re the best dude, thanks for the input……one last, I doubt I’d keep both Bour and Singleton, and obviously my roster screams I’m going the youth/prospects route. Keep Singleton over Bour or figure a way to keep both?? Caue I do want to try to compete soon as these guys mature.

                Thanks again!!

                @Grey:

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I’d want Bour over Singleton… There’s a chance Singleton is never more than a platoon bat

  6. J-FOH says:
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    wait, David Cross was in your home league? Who else is in there?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Bunch of comedy writers and comedians… To be clear, I never met David Cross, I kinda took his spot though… Big step down!

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: in funny department, yes a definite step down, but for fantasy skill, I assume they all hate you unless they have no idea what your day job is

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’ve never won the league, and have finished near the bottom most years… It’s my cursed league… My friend’s wife wins most years, no joke

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: you really need to keep some things to yourself. Is it standard league or one of those weird cockamammey BS league

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              NL Only keeper

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: you need to post your login and password and maybe we can fix this. Why is your team so bad?

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Lots of crappy breaks…

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: we can rebuild this, it might take a village

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      My keepers last year, Harvey, McCutchen, Giancarlo, CarGomez, Heyward, and finished 5th out of 10 teams…The struggle is real

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      @J-FOH: and you lose Gomez, bet you were pissed over the non Mets deal

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      In our league, I had him for the entire year last year, which was more of a negative

                    • J-FOH says:
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                      @J-FOH: well that too and if Heyward signs in the AL you lose him too

  7. J-FOH says:
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    Have you watched Master of None?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Nah, Cougs loves it though, so I might peep it

      • J-FOH says:
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        @Grey: I read a good review on it and so far so good

      • nick the dick says:
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        @Grey: I can’t get behind an Aziz Ansari show, but Cougs is a reputable source so maybe there’s something to it. You sure do a whole lot of waiting for her to watch shows while she blazes ahead without you on some good stuff!

        • J-FOH says:
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          @nick the dick: OOOOOHHHHHHHHHH! Roast Zing!!!!!!

          I didn’t think I would like Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt and I ended up laughing my ass off watching it.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          We watch TV in separate rooms like a real married couple!

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: Im working on a separate bed in another room

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              We could be roomies!

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: hahahaha, I took a cue from my parents the last couple of years

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  Haha

          • nick the dick says:
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            @Grey: I actually like that actress from The Office

            • nick the dick says:
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              @nick the dick: meant for Foh

          • nick the dick says:
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            @Grey: Being in the same room as your wife is for mark bustas

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Btw, I originally told her I didn’t watch For the same reason, I can’t really get behind Aziz

          • J-FOH says:
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            @Grey: he doesn’t bother me

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Yeah, I’m not a huge fan

              • J-FOH says:
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                @Grey: me neither, but he doesnt bother me. I loved Parks and Rec and watched them all even though he was my least favorite character on the show

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  I never saw Parks and Rec

                  • J-FOH says:
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                    @Grey: Nic Offerman is the best on there

                    • nick the dick says:
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                      @J-FOH: without even watching that, I know. You’ve posted stuff before and i’ve seen a bit. I like him, he’s very funny. Just him is not enough to get me on board though

                  • nick the dick says:
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                    @Grey: I’m not interested in Parks and Rec. Seems like one of those shows people say is funny but isn’t like How I Met Your Mother or Modern Family, except more trying to be The Office-y

                    • goodfold2 says:
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                      @nick the dick: having seen all of Parks and Rec and maybe a total of 8 minutes added together with the sound on of doogie howser’s sitcom and that giant titted latina ex-model’s show those aren’t made on same comedic planet as Parks. occasionally it’s better than Office ever was, overall around as good as Office, if we throw out the last season of Parks entirely (some of 2nd to last season) and maybe last 2-3 seasons of Office.

  8. Rhaoul Duke says:
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    Dear Cubs-

    Please trade Javy Beaz before you decrease his fantasy value by sticking him in the outfield.

    Mahalo.

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Rhaoul Duke: how does that decrease his value, numbers are numbers

      • Rhaoul Duke says:
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        @J-FOH: I agree numbers are numbers, but it is easier to find production from the outfield slot than it is from a middle infield slot, so my personal preference would be for him to stay at second or short. As a high ceiling low floor prospect he is more on the risky side, and I would be more willing to assume that risk for a potential infielder than I would an outfielder.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha, agreed

  9. Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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    Grey, who you got in a 12 team keeper Aaron hicks ($3)or Travis d’Arnaud ($7) 5×5 roto

    • J-FOH says:
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      @Gray’s Sports Almanac: what’s the budget? League size? roster?

      It’s hard to know this early if Hicks is a full time or part time. I think they trade Gardner

      • Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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        @J-FOH: 12 team/$400/40 players (ottoneu fan graphs league), my first keeper league…..

      • Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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        Based on this limited data I gave you (don’t want to bore you with all the details), do you agree with Grey on the Hicks side (I also have Devin Mesoraco as another catcher). I’m really looking forward to your keeper analysis this year!

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Gray’s Sports Almanac: I agree as long as he plays everyday. If you got Meso then I think it’s worth having Hicks. To be honest in the offseason we have time for days to help. No shame in posting whole roster and settings to get the best strategy/moves possible.

          • Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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            Cool, thanks man. I just took over a team so it is a bit of a mess right now. I am probably going to lean on you pretty heavy this year while I figure out this new format. You da man J-FOH!

          • Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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            Cool, thanks man. I just took over a team so it is a bit of a mess right now. I am probably going to lean on you pretty heavy this year while I figure out this new format. You da man J-FOH!

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Hicks

      • Gray's Sports Almanac says:
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        @Grey: thanks Grey! I thought you would think that, since you didn’t want to miss out on Hicks this year

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I do like me some Hicks

  10. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey

    Someone offered a second round pick either number 10 or 15 overall for Conforto. Should I go up to number 7 overall or let him go

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      What would you get with that pick?

      • Scott Kimmel says:
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        I can get Conforto with seven or grab Urias and Glasnow with two and seven

        • J-FOH says:
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          @Scott Kimmel: is this a dynasty?

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            J-FOH it is a dynasty keeper league

            • J-FOH says:
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              @Scott Kimmel: Id want Conforto and Urias

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          I’d take Conforto

          • Scott Kimmel says:
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            Grey I also like Urias Glasnow and Austin meadows should I pass on Conforto and try to sign those three

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              I’d go Conforto

              • Scott Kimmel says:
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                Grey

                Which guy should I give up on? Glasnow, Urias or Meadows

  11. Adam says:
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    I got an intriguing trade offer in a dynasty league I’m in. OBP league. 40 man rosters. Auction with contracts.

    I receive Francisco Lindor and Noah Syndergaard
    I send Carlos Correa and a draft pick next July (we don’t have waivers/free agents in season but instead do a midseason supplementary draft)

    Contracts all equal among the three.

    • Adam says:
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      @Adam: Thoughts? (realized I didn’t ask a question in the comment)

  12. Scott Kimmel says:
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    Grey,

    Should I use the following picks to sign these prospects?

    Julio Urias – 1st round/2nd overall
    Michael Conforto – 1st round /7th overall
    Tyler Glasnow – 3rd round/23rd overall

Comments are closed.