One thing I’m noticing in the bigger picture sorta way is there’s gonna be more pitchers in this fantasy baseball rookies series this year than other years. The nature of the season made it more conducive for rookies to be called up, and rookie pitchers had no way of exceeding eligibility requirements. On a side but related note, this year made it abundantly clear that teams only keep prospects down in the minors because of phony money concerns. I mean, the concerns are phony, not that their money is phony. It’s real, and absurd. Not to become Willy Woke, but if a guy is worth $5 billion dollars; he can afford to promote a prospect and lose control of him a year early. On another side but related note, how many teams in the playoffs would’ve not been in the playoffs or there with a totally different looking rotation? It’s hard to imagine the Braves getting to the playoffs with the rotation of Max Fried, Kyle Wright and Ian Anderson. That’s not to say I don’t like them (to varying degrees). But if, say, the Braves called up Ian Anderson in May, his arm would’ve been so taxed by the playoffs, or just shut down. It’s interesting (to me, at least) to think of what a guy like Ian Anderson would’ve been in a 162-game season. Him especially, because he could’ve been up in May, and pitched 150 IP. I have an idea! Let’s actually figure out what he can do in a full season! Bravo, Grey, an ingenious plan! So, what can we expect from Ian Anderson for 2021 fantasy baseball?

In Double and Triple-A in 2019, Ian Anderson threw 135 2/3 IP with dazzling numbers in Double-A (2.68 ERA, 11.9 K/9 in 111 IP), but middling results in a short stint in Triple-A (6.57 ERA, 6.57 BB/9, which should win something because they’re the same numbers — prolly would’ve won another year in Triple-A). Ian Anderson followed all those minor league numbers with his major league debut this year and the stats in 32 1/3 IP: 1.95 ERA, 11.4 K/9 (drool), 3.9 BB/9 (drooling because you fell asleep on the couch), then in the postseason a 4.8 BB/9 through 18 2/3 IP, but a 11.6 K/9 and 0.96 ERA. Small sample? Sure, but they’re telling me something. The stats are ‘they.’ If you could engineer a season that would benefit a guy with terrible command that no one knew about, I’d give Ian Anderson a season like we just saw.

Scouting reports are only going to take a hitter so far. Ian Anderson only faced one team more than once (Marlins) that he dominated, and the Marlins aren’t exactly the most patient of teams. Anderson saw the Dodgers twice in the playoffs, and neither result was great. If the MLB schedule is back to normal in 2021 (no guarantee, but I’d expect it), Anderson is going to face a bunch of tougher, more patient hitters twice, three maybe four times. By the time a team faces Anderson a 2nd time, his success at throwing hard, but nowhere near the plate, might bite him in the ass. One team who was the 2nd best in the league in OBP (the Mets — yeah, it surprised me too), drew four walks from Anderson in 4 2/3 IP. Don’t get me wrong, I think Anderson’s command gets better as he matures, but he’s only 22 years old.

The number of swings outside the zone generating strikes by Ian Anderson was 27.6%. If he qualified, that would’ve been the 2nd worst in the league behind Martin Perez. If a guy has great command or doesn’t rely on strikeouts, that’s not as bad as it sounds. Woodruff, Giolito and Bauer all generate a low number of swings outside the zone, but they also have much better command or are dominating in the zone. Taking one of those guys: Lucas Giolito generated 74.6% of contact on pitches in the zone. That’s excellent. Only deGrom was better. It goes without saying, which is what I say before saying it, if you’re throwing in the zone and no one’s making contact, it’s good. Ian Anderson’s contact in the zone? 81.4%. Not bad, better than league average, but not elite.

Ian Anderson will be great, and become known for an elite change. He is not a 1.95 ERA pitcher. He may not even be a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher in 2021. I like him, just trying to throw some cold water on people’s pants tents to make sure people aren’t too enamored by their small samples. For 2021, I’ll give Ian Anderson projections 8-7/3.78/1.24/157 in 132 IP.

 
  1. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    You’re back!! Don’t ever leave us again for sooooo long…LOL

    Gonna need your humor, and baseball speak to get trough the next six weeks of lock down.

    Can only go 5km from home…HELP…lol

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’m here!

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        Can’t believe they got you on another 6 weeks of lockdown, but I should since I feel like we’re headed there too

        • Malicious Phenoms says:
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          I guess the first time was a practice run. It’s crazy.

          • Grey

            Grey says:
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            I’m pretty optimistic baseball will be fine to start on time in 2021, but I’m not sure why I’m optimistic, if that makes sense

            • Malicious Phenoms says:
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              I sure hope so. This season left me wanting so much more

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                Same

                • DonnieB says:
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                  Just booked my week in Las Vegas in March for drafting. It will happen…I hope.

                  • Grey

                    Grey says:
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                    Hopefully!

  2. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Loving the Tull front man for 2021

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Haha

      • LaRockakis says:
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        My dad texted me that during the game the other night. “Is the Rays’ pitcher’s nickname Locomotive Breath? His parents must’ve been hippies.”

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          HAHA — The Tull bringing generations together

  3. Rebar says:
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    Grey, are you saying pitchers are risky?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, a little bit

  4. Harley Earl says:
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    I wish you would write about somebody that would make my dick move, even just a wiggle. Ian Anderson leaves me limp.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      ok

      • Smitty says:
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        huh?

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Major huh vibes from this whole interaction

          • Harley Earl says:
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            Hahahaha, I knew I’d get non-reaction. You’re so predictable. Lighten up Karen. I was fuckin’ with you for the hell of it. You didn’t catch on.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Nice

              • Harley Earl says:
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                What’s hilarious is the site is called “Razzball” for it’s frank, honest, synical, sometimes cringeworthy take on baseball.

                But what is amusing is when it gets really radical you’ll back off and it that’s when it all gets really weird and awkward. Some funny ass shit man when the CEO of Razzball doesn’t feel comfortable reacting with some razz of his own. Hahhahaaa

                • Grey

                  Grey says:
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                  *cynical

                  • Dave D says:
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                    Whoa! Someone’s got some issues going on… and its not the “CEO”.

                  • Harley Earl says:
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                    Yeah, your spellchecker caught it, I just posted it anyway. I’ve written with korrect spelling for 30 years. I don’t really give a fuckstick anymore about spelling.

                    And fuck off Dave. Nobody cares what you think.

                  • agree with DD

  5. Coolwhip

    Coolwhip says:
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    Good info my man. I hadn’t dug into him yet, so thanks! The command issues you laid out definitely give some concern for a full season. He’ll prob go a bit higher than I’ll want to pay up for him. With this info (depending on where/when he starts 2021) I have now Tristian McKensie ahead of him on my sp draftboard. TMc showed solid command and location and a good K-rate and his secondary stuff looked much better than last i saw/heard from him in minors.

    • Coolwhip

      Coolwhip says:
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      plus… he’s an F’ing CLE pitcher… they always work out. lol.

      • Grey

        Grey says:
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        This is true tho, CLE makes nothing but aces (not even joking)

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      I’ll go over McKenzie too…His body worries me a little

  6. Dave D says:
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    Good read. Im definitely higher on Sixto than Jethro. Ian seems like more of a potential good #2 or #3 than #1 IMO. Id draft him 200ish but not much before. You could be right on playoff inflation.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Yeah, could see that…Good command should alleviate extreme rookie starter blowups, and Anderson struggles there

  7. Smitty says:
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    Like him but dont love him (the pitcher). Do believe he will be serviceable as a P6.
    Did love those legendary Tull shows though. Can still see Ian twirling his flute as he led his band with a fury. Rock on Grey

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Have to rock on because everything else would be a rock off

  8. Bterry says:
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    I rode him this year. I have faith. Good call here IMO.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Thanks!

  9. packers2018 says:
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    Grey, if you could check for me about the Razzslam online 12 team $50 volunteer contest.
    I came in 1st in my league and 9th OA.
    I never read what the actual payout format was going to be but thought maybe I had a chance with a 1st in the league and a top 10 OA.
    Thank you.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Money should be in your account…fantrax says: They will have to initiate a withdrawal from there account profile.

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Let me know if there’s any issue

      • packers2018 says:
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        Ok, thanks. I’ll check it out and let you know.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          No problem

  10. packers2018 says:
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    Grey, I don’t have any money on my account. Like I said I’m not sure if I even won anything because I only deposited the $50 and at the time the payout format wasn’t set in stone.

    I just figured each league winner would get something and then with 9th OA I thought maybe that might pay as well.

    Did Itch run this contest?

    • Grey

      Grey says:
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      Itch? Nah, you’re talking about the RCLs? That’s Truss…you have his contact info or need it?

      • packers2018 says:
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        I need it, please.

        • Grey

          Grey says:
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          Sorry, been laid up all day, will get it to you tomorrow… is the email you use to comment the one I can send Truss’s email to?

          • packers2018 says:
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            Yes.

            Great game last night.

            • Grey

              Grey says:
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              Okay, email sent to you and Truss — Let me know if you don’t hear back after a day or so

              • Grey

                Grey says:
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                I sent an email to *******[email protected] email and it returned an error — trying to reach you

                • packers2018 says:
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                  @aol.com

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      Ah, okay, will resend

                    • Grey

                      Grey says:
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                      I see, this is about RazzSlam and not RCL — will CC Donkey vs. Truss

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