Starting pitcher Chris Paddack has been as valuable to fantasy owners as a Patek watch is to a rapper – if Lil Uzi Vert was a Padres fan, he could have written “New Patek” about Paddack. Paddack has a 2.97 ERA with a 27.4% K-rate through 11 career outings, and these numbers are backed up by his excellent 2.40 Deserved Run Average. While he’s coming off of back-to-back clunker starts, The Sheriff should be trusted in this matchup against a feeble Giants lineup. The Giants have just a .285 wOBA against right-handed pitching, and Paddack gets to face them in San Francisco, one of the most pitcher-friendly environments in the league. Paddack is the fifth-highest priced starter, but he can easily turn in the top pitching performance of the night, making him a worthy investment in any contest.
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Jakob Junis, SP: $6,800– Junis is an outstanding option as a value starter, as he comes at a very cheap price against a weak Tigers lineup. Detroit has just a .286 wOBA against righties with a 26.3% K-rate, which is the second-highest in baseball. Junis isn’t a great pitcher, but he’s been victimized by a .321 BABIP and a 65.8% LOB-rate, so don’t be scared off by his ugly ERA. And if nothing else, you’ll be able to load up your lineup with expensive bats with Junis at starting pitcher.
Carlos Santana, 1B: $3,500 – Santana has quietly put together an awesome season for the Indians, putting up a 138 wRC+. While he’s got a tough matchup against Reds starter Luis Castillo, this is an opportunity to get a quality hitter at a discount.
Brendan Rodgers, 2B: $3,000 – Rodgers should be in the Rockies starting lineup as they face a lefty, and he’ll probably be the cheapest bat you can find at Coors Field. The top prospect had a .356/.421/.644 line in triple-A and should be able to get things going in the league’s top offensive environment.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 3B: $3,000 – Vladdy is in a nice spot to rack up some counting stats batting second for the Blue Jays in a hitter’s park in Baltimore. Opposing starter John Means looks like an obvious regression candidate, as he’s got a 4.03 FIP and a 4.53 SIERA, so grabbing some cheap Jays bats like Guerrero could work out nicely. Guerrero’s already got seven home runs and can easily go deep in this matchup.
Corey Seager, SS: $3,600 – Seager has been on a torrid stretch over the last month, batting .337 with a 1.033 OPS. He should be priced as an elite option at shortstop, so take advantage while you can. Angels bulk pitcher Felix Pena gave up seven earned runs his last time out and may see a similar fate tonight against the stacked Dodgers lineup.
Nelson Cruz, OF: $3,500 – Speaking of underpriced elite hitters, Cruz has a 140 wRC+ and has homered in three straight games. He faces Mike Leake, who has a 1.98 HR/9, so Cruz may just make it four straight.
Jarrod Dyson, OF: $2,700 – As the Diamondbacks leadoff hitter, Dyson will see plenty of chances to get on base and score runs. Arizona put up 13 runs last night, including a rare homer from Dyson himself, so he could have another big night atop the lineup. Of course, Dyson can also score you points on the basepaths, with 14 steals on the year. Jake Arrieta has given up 10 earned runs over his last two starts, making him a starter to target.
Andrew Benintendi, OF: $3,500 – Benintendi has an .865 OPS over the last two weeks, and is a much safer bet to score some runs with J.D. Martinez back in the lineup behind him. He’s in hitter-friendly Fenway Park at a reasonable price.
I’m Only Happy When It Rains
Unlike last night, it doesn’t look like rain will be causing any problems!
Doing Lines In Vegas
I’d like to see how Peter Lambert looks in Coors Field. If he survives, the Rockies at +117 are looking good.
