I got in a bit of a tiff in one of my dynasty leagues over a trade offer involving Erick Fedde. I’m one of the types that pretty much negs every first offer or counter I get below market value. IMO you’re crazy not to. I also refuse to give up multiple MLB pieces for single prospects unless the talent level is a significant potential increase. The offer was Erick Fedde for Brandon McCarthy and Mike Leake. It’s a 10 team NL only dynasty, he’s competing, I’m a prospect kennel full of young pups with big paws. In other words I’m in dead last and I’m selling all MLB players that are over 32 or below star level (McCarthy and Leake). With that said mid-rotation starters are more valuable in AL/NL only formats. Long story short I snapped back, spelled Fedde incorrectly 3-4 times, and we ended negotiations. Thought I had to share if I planned on writing about him. So random league mate, here you go an ode to Erick Fedde.

Erick Fedde, RHP National (hi-A Potomac): It’s been a long road for the former first round pick. After a legendary collegiate career with UNLV, an elbow injury struck, and he had Tommy John just weeks before the 2014 draft. After beginning his professional career late last June with the Nationals short season NY-Penn affiliate, he entered 2016 ready for his first full season with hi-A Potomac. The first few months did not go well. However, starting on May 23rd Fedde got hot, going 3-0 with a .69 ERA, .90 Whip, 8.31 K/9, 1.85 Bb/9, and a .197 BAA. He’s due for a call to AA, though his name has come up in trade rumors involving Aroldis Chapman, so it’s worth keeping an eye on that. He’s worth an add, or as a potential trade target even if my actions have said otherwise.

Andrew Benintendi, OF Red Sox (Portland AA): Friday night the news broke that the 2015 first round pick would start his first game in left field for the Sea Dogs. Between this and Dombrowski’s comments around the all-star break saying he’d consider promoting players directly from AA, there’s a chance we see him within a few weeks. With Brock Holt currently manning left for the Bo-Sox it’s not like the position is locked up, and a Benintendi promotion might mean a return to the super-sub role that Holt thrived in previously. I wouldn’t rule out a promotion prior to the second week of August, you know, as long as he’s not dealt for Sale.

Raimel Tapia, OF Rockies (Hartford AA): These Yardgoats man, I’ll tell you. First it was David Dahl setting the world on fire prior to his promotion now it’s Tapia. Truth be told that’s not entirely true, Tapia’s been good. Following a disappointing April the 22 year old outfielder has raked. Starting on May 1st Tapia has slashed .365/.404/.493 with 5 homers and 14 steals. Things I like about Tapia are his obviously advanced hit tool and ability to avoid strikeouts, the later if which is exemplified by his preposterous 10.7% K rate. Things I don’t like are his lack of power, which could still develop, and his overrated base stealing ability. Sure he has 16 steals but he’s also been caught 14 times, that’s no bueno vs AA catchers. Tapia remains a divisive prospect, albeit one with huge upside if he makes it to Coors. I find my own self conflicted with him, but lean toward the positive side in the end.

Dan Vogelbach, 1B Mariners (AAA Tacoma): Not sure if you guys are aware of this but I’m a fan of Dan Vogelbach. Not sure where you might of heard that before? In his first game in the Mariners organization following Wednesday’s trade with the Cubs, the Jelly Donut of Swat went 3 for 3 with a double, 2 rbis, and a walk. I was on record when the trade happened that Vogelbach will hit the majors soon and should supplant Adam Lind at first and rotate at bats at DH with Nelson Cruz.

Isan Diaz, 2B/SS Brewers (A Wisconsin): Since June 1st Diaz has slashed .314/.392/.593 with 10 homers. He was just outside my top 100, but he’s a player I mentioned in honorable mention. May turn out to be the jewel of the Jean Segura deal. I love middle infielders with power.

Sean Reid Foley, RHP Blue Jays (hi-A Dunedin): Upon promotion to hi-A Dunedin Foley has continued to roll going 5-0 with 1.88 ERA, 11.3 K/9, and a 1.88 Bb/9 in 7 starts. I had him pegged as a pen arm coming out of the draft two years ago but It’s hard to say that now. He’s gone less than 6 innings just twice in his time in Dunedin. Worth a flier in leagues where you need pitching.

 

Rookie Ball Sightings

Cody Thomas, OF Dodgers: I have to give a nod to J-Foh here on this one. The former Oklahoma quarterback has been en fuego since joining Ogden after going in the 13th round of this years draft to the Dodgers. Quick aside the Dodgers are excellent at getting these steals outside the first round lately. So far he’s destroyed the Pioneer League, after seeing promotion from the Arizona League after raking there in a short stint. He’s hitting a ho-hum .427/.495/.866 with 8 homers and 5 steals across the two stops. He’s an athletic specimen, and is focusing on baseball exclusively for the first time. Definitely one to keep an eye on.

Jordan Zimmerman, 2B Angels: The former Michigan State star, went to the Halos in the 7th round of the draft, and has been golden since entering pro ball, slashing .347/.411/.524. Full disclosure almost all of those numbers came in rookie ball, and prior to his promotion to class A Burlington of the Midwest League. It’s only been 11 games in class A, and any potentially productive middle infielder is always worth your attention. Whether or not you add him comes down to league size. He’s feels like a top 500 prospect at the moment but he could cut that number in half quite quickly.

Meibrys Viloria, C Royals: The Columbian catcher has been brought along slowly thus far, playing just 91 games of rookie ball prior to this season. So far in 2016 Viloria is slashing .449/.500/.806 through 25 games with Pioneer League Idaho Falls. Once again a fringe top 500 prospect, but someone to keep on your radar.

Bo Bichette, 2B/SS Blue Jays: The Jays just love the sons of former major league players. Between Bichette, Guerrero, and even the failed Drabeck thing the Jays have a history. So far this one is paying off. Fresh out of Lakewood High School in St. Petersburg, FL, Bichette is slashing .421/.440/.724 with 4 knocks, and three steals. Not a bad second round choice.

Troy Montgomery, OF Angels: Another college hitter taken in the mid rounds by the Angels. Much like Zimmerman, Montgomery has recently joined the Angels class A affiliate Burlington of the Midwest League. The former Ohio State player slashed .341/.453/.557 with 4 homers and 1o steals in 26 games prior to promotion. Will be interesting to see how the power/speed translates as he progresses.

Ryan Vega, OF Angels: Somebody check the Angels minor league bats for super balls? Vega was a 14th round pick out of El Paso Community College in 2015 and initially struggled. So far in his second crack at Rookie ball he seems to be getting the hang of it, sashing .426/.474/.647. He’s very young at just 19 and is still years away form being on most dynasty owners radars, if he gets that far.

 

Follow me on Twitter @RalphLifshitzBB and subscribe to my Fantasy Gold Rush Podcast on iTunes.

  1. Adam says:
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    Snell vs oak
    Or
    Giolito vs SD
    Need a streamer thx

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Adam: Giolito

  2. Jason says:
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    I’m in a 12 team H2H dynasty “keep forever” league with 40 roster spots. Each year we keep 28 guys and have a 12-round draft. I’m currently in 2nd and gearing up for the playoffs. I traded ALL my first 7 picks away.

    I have a trade offer where I trade Pollock/9th and 11th round picks for Kemp/Betances/3rd and 6th round picks

    At OF I have – Braun/Bautista/Pollock/Fowler/Hanley/Gardner/Maybin

    Kemp is a 2nd half monster which I’d like to add but I feel like this might be selling low on AJ.

    Which side would you want if you were going for it?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jason: I’d want the Kemp Betances side if I’m going for it

  3. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Morning Prospector Ralph,

    Thoughts on Wil Myers, solid first half, 2 for 27 so far in the 2nd half..Is he for real? I am trying decide if I want to trade for him..

    I would offer a package of Carlos Santana, Micheal Fulmer and Adrian Morejon..Is that too much for Myers?

    cheers and thanks as always.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: I don’t think that’s an awful deal. I do like Myers long term as a keeper above the other three. Santana and Fulmer should be enough though.

  4. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Dalton Pompey worth a roster spot in a 4 ever keeper..50 man rosters..

  5. Malicious Phenoms says:
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    Dodger SP RYU worth holding onto to the same league as above?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Malicious Phenoms: Questionable, I’m worried he’s never going to fully healthy again. He’s a frustration I’d try to avoid.

  6. alps88 says:
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    Do you think DeLeon gets called up to pitch Tuesday.
    I think they have Urias slotted in but I doubt he pitches again as a SP
    your thoughts

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @alps88: Yes I’ve been grabbing him everywhere

  7. Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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    Hey Ralph, facing a desperate of weird decision in my 12 team redraft roto league, where I’m doing well but looking for AVG, SB, W and pitching ratios. I have a very high waiver priority and have not been making any grabs so I can use that waiver priority on Bregman when he’s eventually called up. (Thanks to that, I’m actually working with 2 open spots plus a couple of guys like Ryu and injured Glasnow who are also drops).

    Word is that Margot may be getting the call soon due to an Upton trade, and Giolito and Bell were recently dropped. So would you:

    A – grab Giolito (assuming he looks good today), Margot, Bell, and whoever else (Jankowski or a RP like Diaz) now, or

    B – hold out for Bregman and hope to still manage to grab those other guys (though unlikely).

    Obviously also depends on when you think Bell is back and starting regularly (and same with Margot).

    Thanks!

    • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: weird autocorrect typo – not sure why “desperate” found its way in there! Meant to say “sort of weird”

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Duda Want to Build a Snowman?: Grab Margot or Renfroe first, I lean that it’s Renfroe that gets the call. I’d stay away from Giolito unless he looks great, and save the priority for one of the Padres or Bregman.

      Bregman can have the most impact

      • Duda Want to Build a Snowman? says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: thanks! Since it sounds like bregman is up very soon, I may just hold out.

  8. Can't spell wRONg without Ron says:
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    Matz @ Marlins OR

    Giolito home vs SD

    H2H points

    Thanks

  9. Micah says:
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    What do you think about trading Jansen for Manuel Margot and a 13th round pick in a 12 team dynasty league with 12 keepers?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Micah: I’d hold Jansen is the best at what he does,

  10. Gregjeffries says:
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    Great stuff Ralph! Who do you like better ROS?
    Vogelbach or Margot? Thanks!

  11. J-FOH says:
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    I love rookie ball mining. Kicking ass and taking flyers. Thanks for the nod. Now, stop writing about beni. I think you are jinxing his call up

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @J-FOH: Haha how so there’s so many signs, and I need to share them haha

  12. Jack florida says:
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    Thanks for al the great stuff
    A little off subject help, if you don’t mind
    Best two, ros, 12 team redraft
    Travis,gyorko, , t turner, profar, hardy, semien
    Thanks for the help

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jack florida: Trea Turner and Travis

  13. Jackie Treehorn says:
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    Ralph would you say Vogelbach is a better stash than Moncada at this point?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jackie Treehorn: For this season Vogelbach.

  14. Kenneth says:
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    Vogelbach actually homered in his very first at bat. Sounds like Adam Lind is on the block, leaving Vogelbach as his immediate replacement. Dipoto even said that Vogelbach looks ready now.

    Excited for Shipley’s debut tomorrow.

    Also, thoughts on Mitchell Hansen? Off to fine start as well.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Kenneth: Indeed he did, good catch. I agree that he does.

      Just saw the Shipley news. Yeah should be interesting, not expecting a ton.

      Hansen has been very good, nice power/speed combo good player.

  15. Mike says:
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    Who you like better 1b/dh for dynasty trying to compete next year? Bellinger, Bird, Vogelbach?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Mike: Bird, Vogelbach, Bellinger for next year Bellinger, Bird, Vogelbach long term

  16. highmindedness says:
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    Hey Ralph,

    20 team keep 20 league. I’m trying to stash a few under the radar options in hopes they get the call in time to have an impact.
    What are your feelings on the following players and the type of impact they’re likely to make: Brock Stewart (I know De Leon is obvious choice but could it be that stewart finds his way into mix?)

    Beede or Mejia. I know Cain has has a series of unfortunate events (and starts..) and was actually looking better before his last DL stint, but at some point the Giants must surely decide to see if these guys are better options right?

    Dom Smith. This one is more for next year. Very impressed by his comments on how he approaches hitting. Like he has a plan and is waiting until the water is boiled before adding any other ingredients Lol. Can’t help but feel we’re a little low on him. In your view how does he stack up against Vogelbach and Bell in the long term?

    Really appreciate all the great articles you’ve been providing. Thanks.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @highmindedness: Yes I think Stewart could be an option, the first start wasn’t great but it all came down to a bad inning. I wrote about him here https://razzball.com/brock-stewart-2016-fantasy-baseball/

      I agree and I’m of the Mejia is the guy. I wrote about him here Wednesday.

      Dom Smith is a lot like the two of them particularly Bell. All first baseman where the question is power

      • highmindedness says:
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        Thanks Ralph. Re-read the post on Stewart and decided to grab him where possible. Forgot he hasn’t really been pitching a long time, which makes his results even more impressive.

  17. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    BREGMAN IS UP!!!

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @Steeve: wooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!!

  18. thorbs says:
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    Just flipped Vogie and Edwin Diaz for Joe Ross in a dynasty…hope that doesn’t come back to bite me in the ass!

    I’ve got Tyler Skaggs on my minor league roster at the minute…do you see any hope for him coming back up to the bigs?

    All I’ve read suggests a bit of a bump in velo, which I think was killing him as he couldn’t set up his nasty hammer (phrasing? Are we still doing that) with his previously-89mph heater.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @thorbs: Hmmm that will be an interesting one to watch, you might end up on short end of that one.

      Yes I do, he’s looked good, and is set to face the Royals Tuesday.

      • thorbs says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Yeah, I’m not 100% confident the deal’s a good one, but I’ve also got Votto/Pujols/Frazier/Bryant/Arenado at my CI spots.

        Is it a bit low on Vogie to think his ceiling is good Billy Butler? I.e. good K/BB, 20ish HR, good average?

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @thorbs: No that’s a good comp

  19. Jerry says:
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    Hey, Ralph. Archer or Shark ros? Thanks!

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Jerry: Shark

  20. Clogged Rosterman says:
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    I’ve got to drop someone in my dynasty league to make room for Bregman.

    My choices are Nola, Roark, or Melvin Upton.

    What would you do? It’s a 15-team, 6×6 roto league and I’m currently sitting in 4th by about 10 points. I’ve already made some win-now moves (Schwarber for Maeda/Severino & Edwin Diaz for Darvish). I’m banking on making up ground in wins and quality starts because some of the teams ahead of me in those categories are 150 innings closer to the max IP limit than I am.

    I’m also thinking about adding either Vogelbach or Espinoza/Honeywell off waivers (to take Bregman’s place on my inactive list) in whatever move I use to drop one of the above guys. Who would you go with there? Vogelbach has the value advantage in the near term, but then I’m just going to have to cut another of the above when he comes up, too.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Clogged Rosterman: Drop Roark and add Espinoza in NA

  21. Turd Ferguson says:
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    Will there be a Top 50 or 100 Prospect List for mid-season like there was last year?

  22. Mike says:
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    Got first pick in draft. Take Dahl or Vogelbach?

  23. David says:
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    Ralph, please rank for long term, Reed, Bird and Vogelbach.

    Also in a dynasty, Cutch or Benintendi? Thanks.

  24. Brian says:
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    16 team dynasty 6×6 h2h. k/bb extra cat and QS instead of W. looking for some sp depth and sitting in 1st by 21 games.
    not many SPs on the market and prices pretty high. of these prospects/picks, are there any you would not trade to acquire mike leake….tyler oneil, verdugo, brett phillips, cease, yusniel diaz, 3rd rd pick (probably around pick 46-48).

    thanks ralph

  25. Drexel Hill Dragons says:
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    Hi Ralph, thanks again for your prospect work.

    Curious about your opinion on some prospects that have had breakout campaigns this year:
    Mitch Haniger, OF, ARI
    Samir Duenez, 1B, KC
    Edwin Rios, 1B/3B, LAD
    Tito Polo, OF, PIT

    I like to try to stay ahead of these guys before they land on top prospect lists at the end of this season, and grab them when I can in my deeper dynasty leagues.

    Much appreciated!

  26. Drexel Hill Dragons says:
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    One more question. I have a trade proposed to me in a dynasty league. I’m very high on Dahl, but this offer seemed like an overpay. I guess it depends how much you like Naquin & De Leon.

    I give: David Dahl

    I get: Brandon Belt, Tyler Naquin & Jose De Leon

    I do need to add some pitching depth to my roster, but hesitant to trade Dahl as he is up and a 5 category contributor in Coors is a hot commodity. I’m not high on Belt, but know he has some value.
    Which side do you like long term? (keep forever, no contracts)

    • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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      @Drexel Hill Dragons: youse like me, we always get here 2 days after he stops checking the posts.

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