My first foray into dynasty baseball gifted me that infinite wild west feeling that really gets my geek out of bed in the morning.
“Wait, we get to keep everybody!?”
That’s me thinking 50 keepers = party time.
While the hitting side of this new infinity was coming into the focus, the pitching side was ducking away from the camera. If you’ve seen DEVS (or read a ton of quantum theory like the rest of us), there’s reference potential in here about how observing a particle makes is singular, while they remain multiple in their unobserved state.
Any revelation about how to forever handle fantasy pitching seems to fit this description.
It’s too simplistic to fade all the old guys in general but especially on the mound. Similarly fraught to dismiss all pitching prospects. These blanket strategies can work to some extent, but they can also lead to inflation for youngish middle tier arms like Jose Berrios and Noah Syndergaard. Arms like these seem to have long runs of usefulness ahead of them, so they’re certainly nice to have, but they’re unlikely to put you over the top in a given year, while older arms can do just that.
This winter I saw Wander Franco traded for Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer.
Typical 15-team, 50-keeper league. Both players know their stuff.
Which side you’d want might depend on your spot in a competitive cycle or just a general feeling about how you’d like to play dynasty baseball.
You could squint and see a world in which you replicate via streaming the impact of a Syndergaard or Berrios, but it feels impossible to replicate a Scherzer or Kershaw off the free agent wire. You might pick up a Montas or a Max Fried, but the hyper-elite WHIP guys are the rarest of birds, which is why it feels wrong to see Ryan Yarbrough down here in the hundreds. Part of that is pitching being weird and deep. Part of it is me fearing what’s coming to pitch in Tampa and Yarbrough’s fate should they trade him. Part is me maybe needing to move Yarbrough up a little.
Let’s get to the list. Drop me a line if you’re seeing an angle I’m not. This project remains under construction.
Rank | Player | Age | Team |
1 | Gerrit Cole | 29 | NYY |
2 | Walker Buehler | 25 | LAD |
3 | Jack Flaherty | 24 | STL |
4 | Shane Bieber | 24 | CLE |
5 | Jacob deGrom | 31 | NYM |
6 | Shohei Ohtani | 25 | LAA |
7 | Mike Clevinger | 29 | CLE |
8 | Lucas Giolito | 25 | CHW |
9 | Luis Castillo | 27 | CIN |
10 | Blake Snell | 27 | TB |
11 | Tyler Glasnow | 26 | TB |
12 | Jesus Luzardo | 22 | OAK |
13 | Stephen Strasburg | 31 | WAS |
14 | Chris Paddack | 24 | SD |
15 | Mike Soroka | 22 | ATL |
16 | Julio Urias | 23 | LAD |
17 | MacKenzie Gore | 21 | SD |
18 | Clayton Kershaw | 32 | LAD |
19 | Chris Sale | 31 | BOS |
20 | Frankie Montas | 27 | OAK |
21 | Max Scherzer | 35 | WAS |
22 | Justin Verlander | 37 | HOU |
23 | Trevor Bauer | 29 | CIN |
24 | Nate Pearson | 23 | TOR |
25 | Brandon Woodruff | 27 | MIL |
26 | Aaron Nola | 26 | PHI |
27 | Luis Severino | 26 | NYY |
28 | Jose Berrios | 25 | MIN |
29 | Patrick Corbin | 30 | WAS |
30 | Zac Gallen | 24 | ARI |
31 | Yu Darvish | 33 | CHC |
32 | Noah Syndergaard | 27 | NYM |
33 | Tarik Skubal | 23 | DET |
34 | Sonny Gray | 30 | CIN |
35 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 27 | BOS |
36 | Charlie Morton | 36 | TB |
37 | A.J. Puk | 25 | OAK |
38 | Zack Greinke | 36 | HOU |
39 | Forrest Whitley | 22 | HOU |
40 | Dinelson Lamet | 27 | SD |
41 | Matt Manning | 22 | DET |
42 | Spencer Howard | 23 | PHI |
43 | Luis Patino | 20 | SD |
44 | Casey Mize | 23 | DET |
45 | Max Fried | 26 | ATL |
46 | Michael Kopech | 24 | CHW |
47 | Brailyn Marquez | 21 | CHC |
48 | Kyle Hendricks | 30 | CHC |
49 | Madison Bumgarner | 30 | ARI |
50 | Luke Weaver | 26 | ARI |
51 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 26 | HOU |
52 | Jameson Taillon | 28 | PIT |
53 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | 33 | TOR |
54 | James Paxton | 31 | NYY |
55 | Jose Urquidy | 25 | HOU |
56 | Asa Lacy | 20 | ?? |
57 | Brendan McKay | 24 | TB |
58 | German Marquez | 25 | COL |
59 | Kenta Maeda | 32 | MIN |
60 | Joe Musgrove | 27 | PIT |
61 | Zack Wheeler | 29 | PHI |
62 | Lance Lynn | 32 | TEX |
63 | Corey Kluber | 34 | TEX |
64 | Carlos Carrasco | 33 | CLE |
65 | Jon Gray | 28 | COL |
66 | George Kirby | 22 | SEA |
67 | Edward Cabrera | 22 | MIA |
68 | Emerson Hancock | 20 | ?? |
69 | Domingo German | 27 | NYY |
70 | Sean Manaea | 28 | OAK |
71 | Mike Foltynewicz | 28 | ATL |
72 | Mike Minor | 32 | TEX |
73 | Michael Pineda | 31 | MIN |
74 | Simeon Woods-Richardson | 19 | TOR |
75 | Carlos Martinez | 28 | STL |
76 | Jake Odorizzi | 30 | MIN |
77 | Josiah Gray | 22 | LAD |
78 | Dustin May | 22 | LAD |
79 | Robbie Ray | 28 | ARI |
80 | Hunter Greene | 20 | CIN |
81 | Nick Lodolo | 22 | CIN |
82 | Aaron Civale | 24 | CLE |
83 | Yonny Chirinos | 26 | TB |
84 | Matthew Boyd | 29 | DET |
85 | Clarke Schmidt | 24 | NYY |
86 | Sandy Alcantara | 24 | MIA |
87 | Sixto Sanchez | 21 | MIA |
88 | Masahiro Tanaka | 31 | NYY |
89 | Josh James | 27 | HOU |
90 | David Price | 34 | LAD |
91 | Caleb Smith | 27 | MIA |
92 | Blake Walston | 18 | ARI |
93 | Andrew Heaney | 28 | LAA |
94 | Logan Gilbert | 23 | SEA |
95 | Alek Manoah | 22 | TOR |
96 | Reid Detmers | 20 | ?? |
97 | Max Meyer | 21 | ?? |
98 | Daniel Lynch | 23 | KC |
99 | Josh Lindblom | 32 | MIL |
100 | Grayson Rodriguez | 20 | BAL |
101 | Alex Wood | 29 | LAD |
102 | Carlos Rodon | 27 | CHW |
103 | Alex Reyes | 25 | STL |
104 | Adrian Houser | 27 | MIL |
105 | Miles Mikolas | 31 | STL |
106 | Griffin Canning | 24 | LAA |
107 | Kyle Wright | 24 | ATL |
108 | Ryan Yarbrough | 28 | TB |
109 | Ian Anderson | 22 | ATL |
110 | Marcus Stroman | 29 | NYM |
111 | Brent Honeywell | 25 | TB |
112 | Seth Corry | 21 | SF |
113 | Cole Wilcox | 20 | ?? |
114 | Cade Cavali | 21 | ?? |
115 | Kwang-Hyun Kim | 31 | STL |
116 | Garrett Crochet | 21 | ?? |
117 | Luis Frias | 21 | ARI |
118 | Zach Plesac | 25 | CLE |
119 | Anthony DeSclafani | 30 | CIN |
120 | Joey Lucchesi | 26 | SD |
121 | Joe Ryan | 23 | TB |
122 | Mitch Keller | 24 | PIT |
123 | Jordan Balazovic | 21 | MIN |
124 | Daniel Espino | 19 | CLE |
125 | Freddy Peralta | 23 | MIL |
126 | Tahnaj Thomas | 20 | PIT |
127 | John Means | 27 | BAL |
128 | Dylan Bundy | 27 | LAA |
129 | Marco Gonzales | 28 | SEA |
130 | Dylan Cease | 24 | CHW |
131 | Jordan Montgomery | 27 | NYY |
132 | Jordan Yamamoto | 24 | MIA |
133 | Taijuan Walker | 27 | SEA |
134 | Ethan Hankins | 19 | CLE |
135 | Ross Stripling | 30 | LAD |
136 | Matt Shoemaker | 33 | TOR |
137 | Chris Archer | 31 | PIT |
138 | Dallas Keuchel | 32 | CHW |
139 | Nathan Eovaldi | 30 | BOS |
140 | Corbin Burnes | 25 | MIL |
141 | Jackson Kowar | 23 | KC |
142 | Luis Garcia | 23 | HOU |
143 | Deivi Garcia | 20 | NYY |
144 | Jonathan Stiever | 23 | CHW |
145 | Adam Kloffenstein | 19 | TOR |
146 | Elieser Hernandez | 25 | MIA |
147 | Jonathan Loaisiga | 25 | NYY |
148 | Kris Bubic | 22 | KC |
149 | Jonathan Bowlan | 23 | KC |
150 | Scott Moss | 25 | CLE |
Thanks for reading! I’m @theprospectitch on Twitter, Reddit and Words with Friends.