I must admit my brain is slightly damaged because I see that Dylan Carlson plays for the Cardinals and I think of Harrison Bader and thank u, next. So, let’s get the elephant out of the room first and talk to our contractors about why they made the doorway big enough for the elephant to begin with, but no nightlight by our bed so we can read. Dylan Carlson isn’t Harrison Bader. No one is Bader, according to his 23 and Me profile; he’s a special snowflake. In 2017, Bader went 20/15/.283 in Triple-A and last year Carlson went 21/18/.281 in Double-A. I told you, huge difference! *long gulp, pulls on collar, sweat trickles* Okay, so maybe there’s some similarities? Bader actually has quote-unquote more speed than Carlson, less power and struggled more with plate discipline than Carlson (at different levels, but you’re the one who wanted this comparison. Okay, okay, OKAY, maybe I wanted the comparison, but here we are now). Results vary obviously, but if you told me Carlson and Bader would result in 100% of the same stats, I wouldn’t be wholly surprised. Carlson does look better, however, so…Anyway, what can we expect from Dylan Carlson for 2020 fantasy baseball?

First, some video:

As you can clearly see, Dylan Carlson has easy power–Wait a minute, the title of that says, “This Is Not Dylan Carlson.” Well, I’ll be a monkey’s uncle who scratches his butt for a living, that’s not Dylan Carlson! That’s Harrison Bader! Damn it! This is Dylan Carlson (the title gives it away):

Like a scrounchie, don’t get it twisted, Carlson does have more power than Bader. I just pulled an oppo taco video for s’s and g’s. His leg kick provides plenty of power and he’s a switch hitter that can hit from both sides of the plate, so a natural platoon shouldn’t be an issue. Speaking of which, playing time. Who’s got it, who wants it and who can’t get enough? Please check out my Soundcloud for more. Wait, I don’t have a Soundcloud. OZUNA is a free agent, so that’s a wild card; the Cards have a guy who rhymes with Garrison Lader, and Fowler is under contract for a while, but he is Dexter Fowler, so bleh. A lot is unknown about how the Cards see their outfield shituation as of right now. I know how I see it. Carlson, Bader and a free agent with Fowler moved to the bench, but Fowler wasn’t awful last year and is owed a lot, so it might be Carlson, Bader and Fowler as of right now, and any free agent signing hurts Carlson. Then there’s Tyler O’Neill, Jose Martinez, Johnny Depp playing Rango, wait, no, that’s Rangel Ravelo, I mean, jfc, how many outfielders do the Cardinals have? This is the pickle and it might be sour. I’m going to tentatively give Carlson five of six months of stats, but it could change with an offseason acquisition, and everyday playing time seems iffy even if he’s with the major league club. For 2020, I’ll give Carlson projections of 34/13/38/.261/4 in 277 ABs, but there’s a chance here for more and less.

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Smitty
2 years ago

While the kid is worth monitoring I’m not as optimistic. Seems the Cardinals have a trio already in place with Fowler, Bader, and Js. Martinez. Not very impressive, so Carlson will play if he produces and may end up getting most AB’s vs RHP. However, he’s only had 1 solid season since being drafted out of high school and still quite young. With Goldy locked in don’t see Martinez getting much time at 1B and O’Neill could figures in as well.
9/36/8/.255 in 378 AB

Miketron
Miketron
2 years ago

No one seems to have mentioned this, but Carlson actually went 21/18/.281 in AA not 21/8/.281. if you take into account his AAA numbers he went 20/20 last year which Bader never has. They seem pretty different to me, but I’m curious what a razz prospector would say.

Harley Earl
Harley Earl
2 years ago

I see your concerns with PT for Carlson and they are justified. As a Cardinals fan, who pays very close attention to the Birds on the Bat, I think Carlson will get a much harder look and longer leash than you’re ready to suggest.

My bet is he alternates between all three OF spots with CF being his most-played position. I think Carlson gets around 400-to-425 at-bats, and quite possibly much more. I have a strong sense that he’ll be in the Opening Day lineup. Obviously, if he struggles, his PT could be reduced to nothing.

Just my two cents. But you seem to be a lot closer to being right on these forecasts than I ever am, so my two cents is probably worth one-half cent.

Keep up the good work!

Coolwhip
2 years ago

Maddon introduced today, first thing he said when he got to the podium was “Good afternoon… How cool is this?” then he started talking about being with the org 30 years ago. Obviously I’m hyped up on emotion and homerism right now, but his short speech gave me hope that he might be just the guy to right the ship. The son returning home to fix the corrupted mess, Walking Tall anyone?

Coolwhip
Reply to  Coolwhip
2 years ago

he also said, “we’re going to bunt this year” butttt happy thoughts! lol

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
2 years ago

Would you trade Justin Turner for Domingo German in a dynasty

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

I send

McCullers
Turner
Laureano

I get

Clevinger
German

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Agreed..thanks for saving me from what could be a big mistake..

Smitty
2 years ago

1st rounder Carlson has some tools. A power/speed combo worth monitoring
That lineup needs help

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
2 years ago

Jayce Tingler…..?? I guess better than Ron Washington, but seems to me you’re putting a team that has no sense of urgency, accountability or responsibility in the hands of a first time 38 year old manager. Doesnt smell like a recipe for success

The Great Knoche
The Great Knoche
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

True. Can’t believe they didn’t talk to Hurdle with all their young pitchers with great strikeout ability.

Member Berries
Member Berries
2 years ago

Standard scoring, who do like best for next season between:

Luke Weaver, Dinelson Lamet, Ryan Yarbrough, or Joey Lucchesi

Thanks!

It’s been rough seeing the Dodgers lose to the World Series winner the last 4 years… or do you think Stros come back?

JJJJJJ
JJJJJJ
2 years ago

Hey Grey. Who do you like most as a 2B for a competitive but capped out dynasty team? 6×6 OPS. I might have the space to keep two of them:

Kolten Wong
Nick Solak
Luis Arraez
Nico Hoerner
Tommy La Stella

I’m bringing back the rest of my lineup as is. I finished 1st in R+SB, 2nd in HR+RBI+OPS, and 4th in AVG.

JJJJ
JJJJ
2 years ago

Hey Grey. Who do you like most as a 2B for a competitive but capped out dynasty team? 6×6 OPS. I might have the space to keep two of them:

Kolten Wong
Nick Solak
Luis Arraez
Nico Hoerner
Tommy La Stella

I’m bringing back the rest of my lineup as is. I finished 1st in R+SB, 2nd in HR+RBI+OPS, and 4th in AVG.

JJJJ
JJJJ
Reply to  JJJJ
2 years ago

Sorry for the repeat post :(

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
2 years ago

Received these two offers..

His Mike Clevenger for

My Ramon Laureano and Justin Turner

or

My Lance McCullers JR and Jonathon Villar

what do you think?

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Dont like giving up Laureano, but Clevinger is worth it.. MY Sps are getting old, JV, Max, Hole Camels, and YU, time to start upgrading..

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Rather keep Villar, especially for steals and versatility. I have plenty of OF depth..

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Grey
2 years ago

Did not realise Clevinger will be 29 in Dec.

Malicious Phenoms
Malicious Phenoms
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
2 years ago

Plus the back issues..

Smitty
Reply to  Malicious Phenoms
2 years ago

Clev for Laureano MP

Matty
Matty
2 years ago

I was hoping that Carlson was Canadian, so this would be less of a non-sequitur; thought I’d share this paper that my wife shared with me the other day (by sharing a baseball article she’s tacitly endorsing all the time I spend playing fantasy baseball, right?).
Figured this would be interesting to the more saberhagenmetrically or otherwise statistically inclined as we go into the slow off season.

PLOS One published a paper entitled “Sinister right-handedness provides Canadian-born Major League Baseball players with an offensive advantage: A further test of the hockey influence on batting hypothesis.”
Sinister right-handedness was a new term to me.
The clincher from the abstract: “Recent research has shown Major League Baseball (MLB) players that bat left-handed and throw right-handed, otherwise known as sinister right-handers, are more likely to have a career batting average (BA) of .299 or higher compared to players with other combinations of batting and throwing handedness. Moreover, possibly owing to early exposure to hockey, Canadian-born MLB players have an increased propensity to be sinister right-handers, however, it has yet to be determined whether this provides a relative offensive performance advantage compared to players born in other countries.”
They used archival MLB stats to run the analysis, Canadian players are at least twice as likely as players from other regions to be ‘sinister right handers,’ the whole thing is pretty interesting.
I’m reluctant to post a direct link, but it’s open access and quick to find with a search engine.

LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood
LennyDykstraIsJustMisunderstood
2 years ago

Heard this last night. Phillies Hire Joe Girardi…………………..Great News! good game manager and he can reasonably use the analytics without being robotic. plus i think he will bring discipline and control to some of these players.